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4101  Economy / Speculation / Re: How much Bitcoin to accumulate now to be financially set after the next boom? on: February 13, 2019, 03:03:35 PM
Well, for some it may in fact be the ultimate goal, though personally, I think of it as a process (read, the more the better). But it is not really about accumulation at all, it is more about making your bitcoins (or whatever coins you might have) work for you in a profitable and constructive, purposeful way. Keeping bitcoins under the bushel is not my thing and probably not the choice of many other people as well

For me it is the ultimate goal

How can it possibly be an ultimate goal?

Okay, you can of course make it your personal credo to get as many bitcoins as possible and that would essentially be your goal. But I don't think that even Warren Buffett sets similar goals for himself even if he is said to be money married, i.e. making money for the sole purpose of making even more money. In fact, it may be a good strategy as it allows you to focus on one thing, but not in the way of making it your life purpose, of course

Regarding your question, it is up to you to decide whether you are considering it a worthy purpose. If that is your goal, I'm okay with it, but personally, I'm more interested in using crypto as a tool for exploring other areas of life, so speculation, ultimately, is purely utilitarian for me, even though I definitely like the thrill of it. Other than that, I agree that there is not much in the way an average Joe can "utilize" their coins
4102  Economy / Speculation / Re: Lesson from the prolonged bear market on: February 13, 2019, 02:49:50 PM
People are much more bearish than at $6K (a big improvement) but in general still seem too hopeful. More weak hands need to be flushed out it seems

Did you change your stance too?

You are the second poster here who I remember having recently changed their mind in respect to future price action. I recall you were way more optimistic not so long ago. Or did you really expect the last rally to continue up and beyond 4k?

Maybe you should re-read what I said. Just because someone thinks a short term bull trap might occur doesn't mean they think the bear market is over

Nonsense aside, are you bullish or bearish now?

Personally, I don't see a lot of upward momentum now, and the way I see money being poured into altcoins (Litecoin, more specifically, as of recent) tells me there is not much to hope for with Bitcoin in the coming months. And as I have said earlier (with the market seeming to confirm my assumption), we will likely see more action in a few "selected" altcoins in the nearest future. In this way, yes, it pretty much comes down to "a never ending tight range" (as much as I don't believe in it myself)
4103  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: The future of Bitcoin as a sustainable currency. on: February 13, 2019, 02:43:28 PM
This is just another problem with bitcoin if you agree with the bitcoin payment tool. So what must be done is to make bitcoin stable or increase prices based on mining difficulties. So there is no more price manipulation by the exchange

And how is that going to prevent manipulation?

The only way to prevent exchanges from manipulating the Bitcoin price is to dry their orderbooks completely. It is possible only in one case (if we discard the possibility of an exchange itself delisiting a coin) when Bitcoin adoption is so high that most bitcoins leave exchanges essentially leaving them with nothing to dance on. You would likely have higher prices then, but just high prices on their own are not a guarantee of any kind in this regard
4104  Economy / Speculation / Re: Does Roger Ver control the Bitcoin price? on: February 13, 2019, 02:03:34 PM
You could throw away a few thousand coins at provoking a plunge but if the price goes down and stays down then that's looking like the 'true' price to me. No one can keep a price down for more than a few hours artificially

I basically agree with this part

Moreover, I've been telling folks here essentially the same thing about the hash war as it was likely only the trigger that started an avalanche of sell-offs which brought the prices to their current levels. However, we don't see a lot of action today as well as we didn't see a lot of action before the Bitcoin Cash split

This somehow makes you question the whole validity of your point. In other words, if someone sells a couple (thousand) bitcoins now and the price plummets below 3k, it will most likely remain there. Would it count as an organic drop? But if he didn't sell, the price would remain where it is now. Would that count as an artificial drop?
4105  Economy / Economics / Re: Can Crypto redefine current economic models? on: February 13, 2019, 12:48:40 PM
I refer here to election systems which allow tamper-proof voting using the blockchain technology. So you set up such a system in a society or community (local or whatever) and then everyone votes in a decentralized and secure manner. In this way "that stuff" (whatever it might be) gets enforced with the blockchain protocol (though in an indirect way)

I've always been skeptical about this. How will it work exactly? Everyone gets assigned a public key pair by the state? How do you verify that the only person "voting" is the person who was assigned the private key? How do you ensure that people aren't getting their private keys hacked?

I see people getting their crypto wallets hacked left and right. This seems much less secure than the current system with photo ID verification

Some of your concerns are valid while others not so much

Bitcoin wallets get hacked because Bitcoin is worth something. But what's the purpose of stealing your voting key if you won't be able to use it anyway? Say you steal it from someone and then vote with it. Now we see what could be loosely interpreted as a double spend. Obviously, both votes are then declared invalid, while the legitimate owner receives the right to cast a new vote with a new key (or is obliged to vote in "manual" mode if he is not able to provide enough security for his keys). We could use hardware encryption and that would solve the problem of hacking

Regarding technical details how it should work in practice, I guess this system should begin as Bitcoin itself had started, i.e. without any help or assistance from the government (at least, not public). In this way, if enough people will be using such a system for voting on their issues (think of it as a consensus), it will escalate quickly until the government can no longer be considered legitimate if it refuses to accept the results of such a vote. All in all, we just need a new Satoshi Nakamoto, with a voting system in mind
4106  Economy / Economics / Re: Institutional money into Crypto? on: February 13, 2019, 12:33:15 PM
Look dude, I really don't feel like explaining to you how derivatives and paper gold/coin work and how corrupt and destructive the banking system and Wall Street really are

I don't care about how corrupt and destructive Wall Street is

It is enough for me to know that they can't corrupt Bitcoin, and that (as I explained above) is likely one of the reasons (if not the sole reason) why they have been staying away from it for so long. In this way, you may continue to make noise (like "it would take a few books to explain it to you"), but it still won't make Bitcoin more corruptible or destructible. Bitcoin is not gold (in this regard), and all your actions with it are public and can be pretty much considered set in stone (e.g. who paid whom and how much)
4107  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will Bitcoin collapse by a global government crackdown? on: February 13, 2019, 12:27:05 PM
The government cannot destroy itself because of the dispersion of Bitcoin. However, they can control and restrict the use of bitcoins within their jurisdiction.

For example, they can close the bank accounts of encrypted money companies, and they can prohibit the creation of any related business. If only a few countries ban encrypted currencies, the impact will be limited, because businesses will only move to more friendly jurisdictions.

This is exactly what happened after China banned its domestic order Exchange last year. Although it's almost certain that one or more governments will pursue Bitcoin in the same way, I think it's almost impossible to achieve a global ban. It's a different matter to assume that the United Nations will reach such a consensus.

In addition, Bitcoin is already legal in Japan. It would be very harmful if the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom and China jointly banned encrypted currencies

Bitcoin is also legal in the United States

And in a couple of them it can even be rightfully and legitimately considered legal tender, though at a local level only (and as a commodity at a federal level). But that's not my point. Simply put, you can't ban what you can't prevent. Bitcoin is like gravity in this respect. Technically, you can pass a law or proclaim a court ruling that would ban gravity for good but will such an order have any effect on it?
4108  Economy / Speculation / Re: POLL: Did we hit the bottom? on: February 13, 2019, 12:17:30 PM
Which we can clearly see in stagnating prices and low trading volumes (read, there is as little supply as demand). But we still should not dismiss lightly the possibility of just one big whale selling out like it happened in the first half of 2018 (in January and February if I'm not mistaken) with Mt. Gox coins which were sold right into the market and crashed the prices massively. This is still possible, i.e. big chunks of coins being thrown into the market and bringing prices down at the end of the day

It's possible. But I believe there would be less panic now than the first half of 2018. Any dip in this level would be a welcome sight for the bottom-feeding whales

This is what happened in the past

Say, in early 2017 when there were two massive but rather short-lived corrections which turned out to be good entry points with fortunes made soon thereafter. But we are not taking into account that back in the day there was enough demand to drive prices up no matter what. Today this is no longer the case

So if we crash lower in the coming weeks or months (for example, to 2k), the rebound may be small and pathetic just like it was when the price had crashed from 6k to 3k. Technically, it was a postponed dead cat's bounce, and nothing in particular has changed since the last crash
4109  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Is the coming halving our last hope? on: February 13, 2019, 11:51:30 AM
If anything, Litecoin will likely be a good test subject for whether or not a coin halving's really going to have any meaningful impact on the price of a bigger POW cryptocurrency like BTC- the halving for LTC's coming up in just under a 1/2 year (176 days according to litecoinblockhalf.com (click for link)), and we'll be able to observe the effects of that before the BTC halving actually happens

There should be some form of hype without doubt

And the recent spike in Litecoin's value was likely caused by this, i.e. pricing in the next halving. But we should also remember that you can't price in the real effects of halving before the actual event, i.e. market supply decreasing due to block reward having been diminished

And while hype comes and goes, this decrease in supply will be permanent, even though it may take some time until its effect kicks in for real (as it happened with Bitcoin in the second half of 2016)
4110  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in - Contest with $30,000 in GUARANTEED PRIZES now live! on: February 13, 2019, 11:33:52 AM
Well, you may then ask, what's this faucet actually for, but it seems to me that you should address this question to support

As I remember it Bitcoin faucets where originally intended to introduce new people to using Bitcoin, this increased the adoption rate which in turn helps to increase the price. Many faucet owners also aimed to make a profit by selling advertising space to cover their costs and a bit more. That is how freebitco.in started but as the advertising market evolved it wasn't possible to continue so gambling income replaced it

Yeah, I remember how it started

As I had been sticking around when it happened. At first the faucet was showing a lot of ads, and people were discussing how long it would last till Google banned the site as it seemed that the owner had been violating some of their rules (this was only an assumption, I don't know if it really was so). Then I come back and see no ads any more. Looks like Google finally banned the faucet (just kidding)

There are only 28 days in this February

It doesn't matter how many days in the months there are, he's just calculating 100,000 RP divided for the bonus = about 31 times

That was meant to be a joke, sorry for the confusion it caused

Don't forget if you exchange 200k satoshi you also earn daily interest for nothing.

If you have time, go for bonus... if you don't, go for exchange.

This I don't understand either. What kind of exchange do you mean?

He obviously meant exchanging reward points for satoshi
4111  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Transferring bitcoins and fees on: February 13, 2019, 11:01:48 AM
Why do you use multiple wallet, did you cheat at bounty or airdrop project, you can use your one wallet for transferring your bitcoin to other exchange account with less fee, never use multi account for joining at bounty or airdrop project because is not good ideas.

No, I'm not cheating. I've used diff wallets like electrum, Bitcoin-wallet..etc and am planning to "move" them all to a brand-new hardware wallet

But why were you doing that?

You could just go along with importing private keys without actually moving your coins anywhere. After you are done, you can then collect all your coins in one address (if this is what you are looking for, of course). Since you seem to care about fees so much, it looks like you don't have a lot of bitcoins, then why all the fuss really? It just doesn't look like a very smart idea to shuffle your coins around
4112  Economy / Speculation / Re: Lesson from the prolonged bear market on: February 13, 2019, 10:55:31 AM
People are much more bearish than at $6K (a big improvement) but in general still seem too hopeful. More weak hands need to be flushed out it seems

Did you change your stance too?

You are the second poster here who I remember having recently changed their mind in respect to future price action. I recall you were way more optimistic not so long ago. Or did you really expect the last rally to continue up and beyond 4k? I think we should scale down our expectations as well as our perspective on future price. The current range (say, 3-4k) may become our new home for months to come (if not years)
4113  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is it possible to restart the blockchain? on: February 13, 2019, 10:49:37 AM
but grin can do this because it has a different security model than bitcoin, based on homomorphic encryption. validation includes verifying that the sum of all inputs = the sum of all outputs (plus mining fees). in this way, there is no public ledger like bitcoin has; transaction information can be removed.

to do this in bitcoin, we would need to hard fork to a different security model---pretty contentious. i'd rather just see sidechains with confidential transaction/mimblewimble capability, and let people prune on the mainchain as needed

That's the point I never forget to mention

Which is that we now have to cope with a lot of let's call them "legacy" shortcomings, which were basically trade-offs back in the day (so they were justified, to a degree). But now they have grown into real roadblocks and obstacles as they weren't disposed of later in due course. And the worst thing is that we will see our problems multiplied in the future unless we efficiently get rid of them before it is too late

And the Bitcoin blockchain growth is one such potential mine. Indeed, if Bitcoin continues as before, i.e. without any real adoption, that is unlikely to become a real problem in the foreseeable future. But we all expect it to become something else, right? So why do we shut our eyes to these future problems? As they say, prevention is better than cure (and I totally agree with that)
4114  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Jack Only Have Bitcoin on: February 13, 2019, 10:36:14 AM
Majority has got bitcoin and ethereum as an asset for long holding while other tokens were used into trading. Though more and more assets with better use cases were into existence it hasn't gained the trust of common people which is the must with cryptocurrency. To reach the level of bitcoin and ethereum it requires a long time as the network competence have increased a lot than the past days

And which are those assets, really?

I'm extremely interested in learning about such assets, so could you name a few? Other than Bitcoin (and Litecoin, I have to admit), I don't know any cryptocurrency in particular or a cryptoasset in general (though I don't know what the latter could be apart from a token) which would count as one "with better use cases". All use cases we have seen so far amounted to speculation in the end. But I would be happy to admit being wrong here
4115  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: This guy says crypto ruined his life but he spent it on a high risk lifestyle on: February 13, 2019, 10:30:14 AM
If the story is true, what he does is not entirely wrong, maybe then he gets inner satisfaction, where each person must have different desires and dreams

Typically, it works the other way around

After the easy money is gone, people come to understanding that they have been not just wasting that money ("easy come, easy go"), which is not actually the worst thing when you think over it, but rather wasting their entire lives (well, some part thereof). If it didn't last for long (say, only a couple of years), it may be not a big deal after all, but if it lasted the best years of your life, this is pretty much it. But then it's too late to cry
4116  Economy / Speculation / Re: I expect the market to be in green throughout this month. on: February 13, 2019, 10:03:25 AM

and don't forget that bitcoin has never stayed low this long, this is a record in both length and size of the drop.

Neither of those things are true.

The last crash was significantly longer than how long this one has been so far. If we pass October and the price still hasn't come up from the 3000s bottom then it will be the longest, but we're a good 8 months away from that now. That's if you're talking about the entire duration between bull markets. If you are just saying how long it stayed at the bottom of the market, we're only 3 months in now, in 2015 it spent some 9 months at the bottom, so again not even close to a record.

And the size of this drop is just normal, not a record either. So far I believe it's actually slightly less than the last crash, while at least one early crash dropped by over 90% so this isn't close so far

Technically, you may be right after all

If we use such broad metrics as duration and scale of the drop. But I think we should pay closer attention to details, i.e. how market performs. If you do, you will start to notice major differences between now and then  In 2015 there was a lot of both demand and supply so the market was alive. Today it looks mostly dead, apart from irregular and sporadic bursts of activity, up to a point where we can call them convulsions and agony
4117  Economy / Economics / Re: Institutional money into Crypto? on: February 13, 2019, 03:39:10 AM
When you buy a mutual fund, you don't get any voting rights within that fund when it's investing in stocks of a given company. In fact the fund manager doesn't get any voting rights either.
And if that mutual fund has investments in gold, you don't get to touch a gold bar, and neither does the fund manager.
So what on earth makes you think if there is a crypto mutual fund, that you will get the keys?

In fact, nothing makes me think so

If you were reading my posts here carefully, I never mentioned the transfer of keys to the owners of bitcoins (Bitcoin certificates, more specifically). I meant that the funds should be interested in convincing people that they actually own the bitcoins they claim they have. If they do, then they wouldn't be able to create more paper bitcoins then there are real ones. On the other hand, if they fail to do that, investors will stay away from such funds
4118  Economy / Speculation / Re: POLL: Did we hit the bottom? on: February 13, 2019, 03:31:38 AM
Just like the title says: Did we hit the bottom yet? Or will the downtrend continue?

snip

I'm trying to get a feel for whether people are bullish or bearish. The poll will run for 10 days and people can change their vote. Smiley
The price can always go lower than its current level, but we need to ask how many weak hands remaing in the market? Even if there are some poeple that will sell their coins because of specific needs I do not see a huge number of people still holding their coins ready to sell them, those people are already out of the market so most of those that remain will not sell just because the price moves down a little bit, so to me chances of seeing a price that goes much lower than the current levels are not very high

I don't think either there are many weak hands left in the market

Which we can clearly see in stagnating prices and low trading volumes (read, there is as little supply as demand). But we still should not dismiss lightly the possibility of just one big whale selling out like it happened in the first half of 2018 (in January and February if I'm not mistaken) with Mt. Gox coins which were sold right into the market and crashed the prices massively. This is still possible, i.e. big chunks of coins being thrown into the market and bringing prices down at the end of the day
4119  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: On Litecoin on: February 13, 2019, 03:23:26 AM
Well and good but I am having difficulty understanding the purpose of your post.

What good does it to Litecoin or anyone holding Litecoin if you tag it as a sheriff / deputy?
Does it gain more users? More reputation? Makes it better than other more advanced shitcoins? I'm really confused.

The purpose is to have a thorough discussion of the topic

So do you have anything constructive to say on the questions raised? And it is not about me tagging Litecoin so and so. Just in case, I'm not tagging anything (or anyone, for that matter). Regardless, if Litecoin (or any other "more advanced shitcoin" in your speak) becomes a means of payment as well as a vehicle for speculation (let it be so) while Bitcoin becomes a store of value (the proverbial digital gold), that will be a great combination if you ask me and I would be okay with it. And many other users would be fine too, I think
4120  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is it possible to restart the blockchain? on: February 13, 2019, 03:12:24 AM
What you're talking about is fundamentally against the principle of running a blockchain, and it's doubtful what its benefit which is obtained by doing something like that. Blockchain is registered on a lot of computers and it is very difficult for all of these records to be deleted or accepted to change by everyone

How is that fundamentally against the principle of running a blockchain?

Care to explain? When I suggest that some transactions can be made reversible (please note, I don't speak about all transactions), people start telling that it is against the idea of blockchain (and I conceptually agree with them). But when I start talking about making older transactions completely irreversible (via checkpoints or otherwise), other people (though I wouldn't be in the least surprised if they turned out to be the same people actually) start telling me that it is against the principle of running a blockchain. That doesn't feel quite right, does it?
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