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41081  Economy / Services / Re: [www.easy2mine.com] 195$! The group buy of used antminer S3 bitcoin miner on: October 12, 2014, 11:38:36 PM
first, the price we set included psu, bitmain not, you need buy a psu and that is about 35$
second, we can let the miner work for you asap when you pay us, bitmain still not
third, if you think the miner you buy from bitmian is brand new, you are wrong, they also already working for bitmain before shipping out

First they SHIP to you they don't try to force you to host with them. Your forgetting you are wanting to host.....
Second they will ship you a S3 PLUS  Long term the 500 instead of 420-440 makes the S3 plus a better deal! More efficient and more power!
Third it is new..... they have not been ran in a DIRT floor like yours!  Please provide proof they are not just testing.  
if you want to buy one s3 and run in your room, no proble, if you want to buy 10 s3 and run in your room, a little problem
if you want to buy 100 s3 and run in your room, wow, you will see it become impossible

7 dollars extra for a S3 Plus that is new.  It's worth it.

Considering you cant sell the 40 you said you needed to let alone the 80..... i don't we have to worry about you selling 100. Your dirt center scared us away!

People will pay the 7 dollars extra and you are stuck with used dusty batch 2's!

and bitmaintech wants me to buy 2 for .58 each = 1.16 and shipping to usa is .39 btc = 1.55 btc for 2 units  377 x 1.55   = 584 delivered to my home in NJ usa.       no power no psu    

 for  195+ 195 + 198 =  588 I get 2 hosted units with 90 days power and psu's included

so 584 no power paid no psu or 588 both power and psu paid.  

   Lee has been pretty good but not perfect seller.  bitmaintech has been pretty good but not perfect seller/builder.

frankly if you want the gear in house use bitmaintech.   it costs more to do it but you have the gear in house.
if you want to save money use Lee and easy2mine.

I am no longer doing much mining anymore but this deal is pretty good.
41082  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? on: October 12, 2014, 11:25:44 PM
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

Exactly, we need 50% difficulty decrease in the next two months.
50%? Never going to happen.

If it does happen coins will need to drop to under 100 usd.  And the problem is as soon as coins go up the diff will go up.

I have 6 s-3's  . I can turn them off and on with ease. They are bought and paid for 3x over.

Many larger people then me can do this. I suspect bitfury, asicminer, knc, and bitmaintech can add 300ph to this network in under 2 weeks if btc price was rising.



Bitfury, AM, KNC and Bitmain would add the hash power now if they had it ready. They're profitable now with the current price of bitcoin. So it wouldn't make sense for them to wait for higher bitcoin prices just to power up new datacenters.

They just don't have the gear ready now or they're already adding hash in smaller increments and it's difficult to notice just yet.
Very likely yes, since the miners cost less to manufacture than they are sold at, thus they will always be profitable for the companies.
 

Yeah I can see that idea is possible but I prefer the conspiracy one better.  It is a speculation thread after all.
41083  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: [Guide] Dogie's Comprehensive RockMiner New R-Box Setup [HD] on: October 12, 2014, 10:22:44 PM
Hey Dogie.
thanks for the guide.
What about the noise of this device?
Rather quiet?

these are quiet I had three.  three run with less noise then 1 s-3 by far.
41084  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? on: October 12, 2014, 09:33:55 PM
Too little, too late.  Sad
I would have said the opposite. It was too much, too soon.

But myeah... same thing.

Funny how english works.



 As for s-3's running them  now reminds me when I ran sapphire 7970's and coins were 6 to 10 bucks a piece.  I earned 1 to 1.5 coins a day and monthly profit was very small.


41085  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? on: October 12, 2014, 08:00:14 PM
Could actually be a good gamble to expand hobby mine capacity, assuming bull runs and spikes halt for the next 30-60 days.   


 if you can get used s-3's on the cheap  they may be worth buying if you have power under 10 cents a kwatt.

there are some s-3's here and there for under 250 usd.

I got a few from this seller.

http://www.ebay.com/itm/BITMAIN-AntMiner-S3-ASIC-Bitcoin-BTC-Miner-B5-7-IN-HAND-Ships-in-24-hrs-from-NY-/181534774039?pt=US_Virtual_Currency&hash=item2a4450d317
41086  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Next difficulty increase? on: October 12, 2014, 03:26:47 PM
last difficulty jump knocked out the s1.  the s1's efficiency lasted close to a year.  i wonder how long it will take to say bye to the s3's ?

S1 isn't dead yet. Undervolted it can go as low as 1.19 W/GH @ 140GH/s. Places with cheap electricity can still run em fine... Man, I wish I lived in Venezuela, their electricity is so cheap ($0.005/KWH @ unofficial exchange rates) that even operating an ASICMINER blade (7.5w/gh) is still profitable.

Daily revenue of 10GH @ current diff:
5.2¢

Daily power costs of 75W @ unofficial exchange rate:
0.8¢

ASICMINER Blades will be profitable in Venezuala until difficulty crosses 220 billion. Hot damn.
Antminer S1's will be profitable until difficulty is well over a trillion...
I am undervolted and profitable, even if you buy one today you can ROI, most caluclators use difficulty increase at 10% this isn't true were actually only going up 2% this time and probably won't see a 10% increase for a while. If you put it at 5% on the calculators an S1 undervolted will roit in 145 days (at .06 kwh)
This is a very brave assumption to make. We have not seen this small of difficulty increases last that long for a very long time (if ever). I think there is a good chance we will not see huge increases anymore however this is far from a guarantee and will likely turn out to not be true if the price of bitcoin starts to increase dramatically again

You're right on the money!

I find it fascinating that some people can take a single difficulty adjustment of 1% and think its a trend, lol. The adjustment before this one was 16% and a few before that was an adjustment of nearly 21%. If someone sees a trend anywhere near 5%, they're dreaming!


I agree I have tracked  a trend of 10% over 105 days.   which is not close to 5% once you compound it the difference between 10% and 5% is huge.

 I can guarantee  that if price jumps to 600 usd   the 10% will slip higher. 
41087  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Negative Difficulty (Difficulty DEcrease) on: October 12, 2014, 03:23:34 PM
well, new difficulty is in - sorry OP, no difficulty decrease after all Smiley
Bummer  Cry
Its fate was sealed 4 blocks before the end (based on 2015 blocks - hurrah for bugs?); after that block, even if the others had taken 1 hour and 10 minutes each (roughly the longest time between blocks in this stretch), difficulty would still have gone up, and the odds of that happening are of course very slim Smiley

There's always next time, though Wink

yes wait until next year. or in this case next jump!
The next difficulty change is also slated to be much smaller then the previous increases have been so far this year. As per bitcoinwisdom the next difficulty is expected to increase by ~4% the next time it changes.

I think we may have hit a turning point in difficulty increases as the additional profitability is starting to wane for adding additional hashpower to the network

It's way too soon after the last adjustment to make any assumptions. The early predictions are usually very inaccurate.


It will be under 10% for sure unless coins go up.  I am convinced they  are holding back hash and hoping coins go up in price. 

 But frankly WTF do I know, not much when it comes to the top 5 builders of asics stock on hand.
41088  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? on: October 12, 2014, 02:10:12 PM




Bitfury, AM, KNC and Bitmain would add the hash power now if they had it ready. They're profitable now with the current price of bitcoin. So it wouldn't make sense for them to wait for higher bitcoin prices just to power up new datacenters.

They just don't have the gear ready now or they're already adding hash in smaller increments and it's difficult to notice just yet.

  Sometimes I believe that. Sometimes I believe they have 300ph they are holding offline so as not to shock the network with back to back 40% diff jumps.
 Pure conjecture on my part.

 But the long tubes from Asicminer are easy to build and they could be cooled in a tank of oil pretty cheaply.

today's diff numbers are :

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   35,002,482,026
Estimated Next Difficulty:   36,532,953,358 (+4.37%)
Adjust time:   After 1589 Blocks, About 10.8 days
Hashrate(?):   267,198,549 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.8 minutes
3 blocks: 29.4 minutes
6 blocks: 58.7 minutes

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/


 
Difficulty   35002482026
Estimated   36005870944 in 1589 blks   this is about 2.86%
 
Network total   272813.567 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   6.53 / 551 s
41089  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? on: October 12, 2014, 03:01:18 AM
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

Exactly, we need 50% difficulty decrease in the next two months.
50%? Never going to happen.

If it does happen coins will need to drop to under 100 usd.  And the problem is as soon as coins go up the diff will go up.

I have 6 s-3's  . I can turn them off and on with ease. They are bought and paid for 3x over.

Many larger people then me can do this.  I suspect bitfury, asicminer, knc, and bitmaintech can add 300ph to this network in under 2 weeks if btc price was rising.

Hey I run my s-3's at freq 206.25.

The power is lower.
The hash is lower
They run very quiet. 
They are under 40db.
They are cooler.
I pull 1038 watts.
I get 1200Gh.
I have not done any resistor mods but I will.

  At current diff and current btc fiat they earn more then power costs. So they run.
I can afford to shut them down if they don't earn more then the power.
41090  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: how can mining still be profitable even for the big farms on: October 12, 2014, 01:28:28 AM
25?  Try 250.  You need to think way bigger than you are.  25 is hobby mining.

even 250 s-3's is only 125th at best.

and 125th earns about 2 blocks a month.

 back in the day i earned a coin a day oh i spent 5kwatts an hour in gpu's, but i got a coin a day for 5 kwatts.

 5kwatts now gets me 6.6th or about 2.8 coins a month


vs
    13gh in gpus and 33 coins a month
41091  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: how can mining still be profitable even for the big farms on: October 11, 2014, 11:10:32 PM
but how do those that are not manufacturers make money?
 a farm like this:

How about a panoramic?




That investment would never have been able to be able to pay back for the hardware and make a profit that is worth it.
How do they do it?? buy hardware then mine for some time and sell them on ebay overpriced?? thats how i did it when i was mining. however this is inefficient as u always would need to change cooling power management to fit new hardware stuff like that which would cause long down time if needet to be done correctly with cable management



maybe this is a hosting farm in the state of Washington.  they pay 5 cents to a power company  and charge 10 cents to host.
41092  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? on: October 11, 2014, 10:43:00 PM
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg

Too little, too late.  Sad

yeah I think no matter what happens home mining will never thrive again.

  If btc shoots up to 800 usd the diff will just catch up very quickly.
 If btc shoots up to 1600 usd the diff will just catch up very quickly.
rinse repeat.
41093  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? on: October 11, 2014, 08:18:06 PM
Well, sorta good news.

Looks like it's as bad as ever, but not getting worse as fast for us... Undecided

yeah if you look deep into the 3 periods of asics .

  we are dropping the diff increases.

 the last 104 days are under 10% avg
41094  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 5 (s3's) running, with no profit being made on: October 11, 2014, 08:16:04 PM
you have to have free electricity to mine some profit from them.
 that is why you are unrealistic.


he needs to make a little more each day for now and hope for a btc fiat price jump.


There is  much better chance for that to happen. then there  is to find 1850 free watts of power.
41095  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 5 (s3's) running, with no profit being made on: October 11, 2014, 06:21:42 PM
what profit switching multi pools are there for btc ?


you can do nicehash or westhash   you are renting your hashrate out right now they are paying about

0.0155  per th on westhash and the same on nicehash.  no luck involved payout is consistent and based on what renters of the gear pay.


https://www.westhash.com/?p=allorders


https://www.nicehash.com/?p=allorders




normal luck you would get about

0.01438 per th

see  here

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

bottomline is at 26 cents a kwatt you lose money.

mmpool.org

  will overpay with luck as in anytime a block is under 40% you would profit with your high power rates.

here is one of my s-3's  .

 I am getting .0151  a th from nicehash which is more then the .01438 norm for 1 th.
I backed up to westhash a lot lower then I backed up to a solo pool. 

If you get .0151 for 5 s-3's it is better then you are doing now.



41096  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: gridseed blade hw errors? on: October 11, 2014, 05:11:12 PM
hey guys wondering if you can give a new guy around here a hand been gpu mining for a while and its been going ok, i have since purchased 3 gridseed blades 40 chip. I believe ive configured everything correctly it just seems one pcb (correct terminology?) seems to be chucking out a lot of hw errors. just after ideas ive read many of the topics on this site and you guys seems to defiantly be on the ball which is why i choose this forum..

so far ive checked my config
im using coinotron pool (i know just temp for now)
the errors start after about 5 mins
checked usb plugs swapped them about along with power connector
even have a handy laser probe which measures surface temp says about 22c
im using cgminer 3 7 2 gridseed windows alt

strangely it seems to still be accepting jobs be a hardware fault or a random bug? its reached about 5000 hw after 2 hours




what freq do you use? 600, 650, 700, 750 ,800 ,825, 838, 850

keep setting it  lower  if you are above 800.   also just run the 1 blade

if the blade set at 600 or  650 running alone has issues.  different software and a different pool.

if you can not get it to work well you may have a poor 1/2 blade
41097  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / My new diff thread covers Oct 10 to Oct 22? 1.85% to 5.07% ? on: October 11, 2014, 02:49:40 PM
As usual I do bitcoincharts and bitcoinwisdom one runs low one runs high.  so 1.85 to 5.07   is the guess for now.
I also added a section on diff since May of 2013 when asics started to be available via asic miner

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

Bitcoin Difficulty:   35,002,482,026
Estimated Next Difficulty:   36,778,460,333 (+5.07%)
Adjust time:   After 1733 Blocks, About 11.5 days
Hashrate(?):   254,506,225 GH/s
Block Generation Time(?):   
1 block: 9.6 minutes
3 blocks: 28.8 minutes
6 blocks: 57.5 minutes

http://www.bitcoincharts.com/

Difficulty   35002482026
Estimated   35650025649 in 1733 blks

(+1.85%).

 
Network total   244719.395 Thash/s
Blocks/hour   5.86 / 614 s


Difficulty History of asics and btc

I divide the  diff jumps  into 3 sections.  I realize that cut off is arbitrary some will say I should go back to the first Avalon's of Jan  2013 for Early asic not May of 2013  but in May of 2013  asic miner was doing good sales of the little .333gh block erupters so I used May of 2013 as a starting point.

With the maturity of asics growth has finally become slower.


Asic maturity days  So far we are  about 104 days into the mature 28mn chips.  So far  this is about a 9.77% avg for this time period.  I see it going lower then 9.77 % due to power cost and of course  price in fiat.

Date---------   Difficulty---   Change-----   Hash Rate
Oct 09 2014   35,002,482,026   0.98%   250,557,526 GH/s
Sep 25 2014   34,661,425,924   16.20%   248,116,151 GH/s
Sep 13 2014   29,829,733,124   8.75%   213,529,547 GH/s
Aug 31 2014   27,428,630,902   15.03%   196,341,788 GH/s
Aug 19 2014   23,844,670,039   20.86%   170,686,797 GH/s
Aug 08 2014   19,729,645,941   5.30%   141,230,307 GH/s
Jul 25 2014   18,736,441,558   8.08%   134,120,673 GH/s
Jul 12 2014   17,336,316,979   3.08%   124,098,191 GH/s



Asic expansion days

Nov 29 2013 to June 29 2014  =  213 days about 19.22%

Jun 29 2014   16,818,461,371   24.93%   120,391,236 GH/s 23.77
Jun 18 2014   13,462,580,115   14.51%   96,368,902 GH/s
Jun 05 2014   11,756,551,917   12.44%   84,156,677 GH/s
May 24 2014   10,455,720,138   18.10%   74,844,960 GH/s 14.782
May 12 2014   8,853,416,309   10.66%   63,375,223 GH/s
Apr 29 2014   8,000,872,136   14.64%   57,272,474 GH/s
Apr 17 2014   6,978,842,650   14.04%   49,956,502 GH/s
Apr 05 2014   6,119,726,089   22.23%   43,806,706 GH/s
Mar 24 2014   5,006,860,589   17.80%   35,840,504 GH/s 7.0783
Mar 13 2014   4,250,217,920   11.39%   30,424,245 GH/s
Feb 28 2014   3,815,723,799   21.92%   27,314,015 GH/s
Feb 17 2014   3,129,573,175   19.39%   22,402,357 GH/s 4.4245
Feb 05 2014   2,621,404,453   19.49%   18,764,744 GH/s
Jan 24 2014   2,193,847,870   22.59%   15,704,175 GH/s
Jan 13 2014   1,789,546,951   26.16%   12,810,076 GH/s
Jan 02 2014   1,418,481,395   20.12%   10,153,885 GH/s
Dec 21 2013   1,180,923,195   30.01%   8,453,378 GH/s
Dec 10 2013   908,350,862   28.41%   6,502,229 GH/s


Early asic days

May 12 2013 to Nov 29 2013  = 201  days

Nov 29 2013   707,408,283   16.07%   5,063,826 GH/s
Nov 17 2013   609,482,680   19.29%   4,362,847 GH/s
Nov 05 2013   510,929,738   30.70%   3,657,378 GH/s
Oct 26 2013   390,928,788   46.02%   2,798,377 GH/s
Oct 16 2013   267,731,249   41.45%   1,916,495 GH/s
Oct 06 2013   189,281,249   27.19%   1,354,928 GH/s
Sep 25 2013   148,819,200   32.13%   1,065,289 GH/s
Sep 14 2013   112,628,549   29.56%   806,227 GH/s
Sep 04 2013   86,933,018   32.22%   622,291 GH/s
Aug 24 2013   65,750,060   29.40%   470,657 GH/s
Aug 13 2013   50,810,339   35.88%   363,715 GH/s
Aug 03 2013   37,392,766   19.63%   267,668 GH/s
Jul 22 2013   31,256,961   19.47%   223,746 GH/s
Jul 11 2013   26,162,876   22.63%   187,281 GH/s
Jun 29 2013   21,335,329   10.32%   152,724 GH/s
Jun 16 2013   19,339,258   23.92%   138,436 GH/s
Jun 05 2013   15,605,633   28.41%   111,709 GH/s
May 25 2013   12,153,412   8.64%   86,998 GH/s
May 12 2013   11,187,257   11.03%   80,082 GH/s
41098  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: GAW Miners on: October 11, 2014, 01:51:13 PM
hmmmm,  Huh... evrybody is so concerned with the big guy. nothing about great service for the miner here. doing things on a large scale decreases costs. ie makes it better than doing it at home. not 10 times more expensive.



    The bottom line is this Gaw charges 10 cents a kwatt to host.
 If your power cost at home is under 10 cents do not use them. In fact if you are in the USA and with the colder weather coming make it 11 or 12 cents a kwatt.

41099  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: Is it a deficit or something else? on: October 11, 2014, 01:21:34 PM
The answer surely lies in reporting the bug to blockchain.info, assuming they remotely care to listen.

I did do a report and never got an answer.
41100  Bitcoin / Group buys / Re: [OPEN] ASICMiner Prisma 1.4th/s - 1.54 BTC - Group Buy on: October 11, 2014, 12:51:32 AM
I've received a photo of the adapter that has been created for connecting to a RPi. The interface is USB, so that's good news.



I will ship overseas, but I can not estimate a price as I don't have package dimensions. The weight will be somewhere around 8kg.

There will be 1 USB adatper per Prisma unit - not 1 per blade, correct?
If I plan to run 3-4 Prisma off a single RPi all is needed is a powered USB hub?



I think these daisychain  the short tubes did. 

so tube + tube +tube + adapter + rasp pi

at crazyguy I have the rasp pi you sold me with the r-boxes.  If I buy one of these long tubes will you include a new sd card and an adapter to hook up the long tube to rasp pi?
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