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4221  Economy / Gambling / Re: Micro Exchange with Poker & Dice & Roulette on: February 09, 2019, 08:04:17 PM
Am I the first here to say that I don't think it looks like a good idea at all?

If you are familiar with the now deceased exchange called WEX (former BTC-e), they took a similar path by adding a possibility of betting on Bitcoin prices. Indeed, it was not poker or dice or anything which is typically meant by gambling, but they didn't end well (they scammed in the end if you are curious). Overall, it is better to have different sites for different purposes (like gambling and exchange), and I think you will come to this understanding yourself in due course. Basically, if things go awry somewhere, you are screwed everywhere
4222  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is it possible to restart the blockchain? on: February 09, 2019, 07:53:40 PM
I was thinking about the ways to make the blockchain smaller, and the most obvious and simplest solution that I came up with consists in restarting the blockchain one day. For example, we can start with an empty blockchain every year with only initial balances written on it and without any transactions. I think that would make the whole network more reliable, while full nodes easier to maintain

Of course, the previous blockchains should be available at all times as well, whoever may need them. We may have to tie them up into one whole using links or whatever so that we could always trace all transactions back to the genesis block. Note that we don't necessarily have to restart with an empty blockchain as we can, for example, save the last 2-3 years of transactions once the blockchain is restarted

Is this a good idea?

You are talking about another Blockchain which will connect the old blockchains. 
The current blockchain will be always a lighter one but when you add old year's blockchains then it becomes the usual one

Well, I actually didn't mean like we should literally link them together (like one after another into one big file). It should be more like having a few separate blockchains on your hard disk. Each of these "closed" or "locked" blockchains would provide an entry and exit point (sort of) that would allow some application to run over a chain of transactions starting from the very first block and ending with the most recent one (or in the opposite direction)

The point is to remove information which is not required for current operation
4223  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin ETF Available Eventually on: February 09, 2019, 07:44:47 PM
Read about this https://www.btcnn.com/bitcoin-news/sec-commissioner-assures-the-community-that-there-will-eventually-be-a-bitcoin-etf-approved/ and I wonder if this could be a thing soon? Supposedly, this will be also a slump year according to experts. If a Bitcoin ETF is really approved, it could be the catalyst for a bull run? Or is institutional unnecessary for this? "Experts" are divided on the matter, and the opinion of down to earth guys is important

I'm more inclined to think that it is an instance of stovepiping

Maybe, this SEC commissioner himself has bitcoins and he decided it might be the right time to pump Bitcoin a little (it may also be any altcoin). Maybe, someone close to him asked this dude to say a positive thing about Bitcoin. As far as I understand it though, it is not considered a good practice when officials make premature statements about things which could strongly affect prices. We may have to wait for a rebuttal coming out soon (like people and mass media having misinterpreted his words and he didn't actually mean anything to that tune)
4224  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Is it possible to restart the blockchain? on: February 09, 2019, 07:35:44 PM
I was thinking about the ways to make the blockchain smaller, and the most obvious and simplest solution that I came up with consists in restarting the blockchain one day. For example, we can start with an empty blockchain every year with only initial balances written on it and without any transactions. I think that would make the whole network more reliable, while full nodes easier to maintain

Of course, the previous blockchains should be available at all times as well, whoever may need them. We may have to tie them up into one whole using links or whatever so that we could always trace all transactions back to the genesis block. Note that we don't necessarily have to restart with an empty blockchain as we can, for example, save the last 2-3 years of transactions once the blockchain is restarted

Is this a good idea?
4225  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How does block size harm decentralization? on: February 09, 2019, 07:24:14 PM
This is not a post in support of a change in block size or for sidechains, I'm not qualified to take a side in that debate at all lol. What are the consequences of a block size increase and more specifically how it would be harmful for bitcoin's decentralization?

Disclaimer, I can't say that I'm qualified in this matter

But from what I heard, bigger block sizes (like 8-16M) are not good for the resilience of the network since they lead to excessive centralization of mining. Bigger blocks will propagate slowly, so small miners will be at a disadvantage. There are probably other reasons why big blocks are not good. Further, if we want real scalability, Lightning Network is the way to go, not increasing the block size

Regarding pruning the blockchain, I think it is also possible. For example, it might be possible to make a "cold reset", so to speak, i.e. switch to a new and empty blockchain with only initial balances set without the overhead of transactions which led to this state (and we can do so as many times as we need)
4226  Economy / Speculation / Re: Finally little fire on bitcoin got ignited on: February 09, 2019, 07:06:43 PM
I said a week or two ago that if bears couldn't dump through the $3,400 area, that the pump to $5K is still on. I think that's where we are now

We have risen measly $200

And now you are saying that we are on our way to 5k. We will be there if we reliably break the 4k resistance and stand there, with it becoming a new major support level. But considering for how long we had been stuck at 3.5k, it doesn't look like a plausible assumption unless there is some major news (positive, naturally) followed by real events that add value to Bitcoin (I don't know what it could be). Obviously, some random comment won't cut it
4227  Economy / Speculation / Re: Finally little fire on bitcoin got ignited on: February 09, 2019, 06:12:58 PM
here is the likely scenario that always happen;

half the noobs will buy now at 3700$, the other half will buy when the price goes pass 4000$, the smart will start selling the 4-5 area to the noobs, price will fall back to 3-3.4k , the noobs will freak out, sell for lose , the smart buy and make profit, rinse and and repeat , shut up and take my money

I basically agree with this scenario

Though I don't actually expect prices to break out beyond 4k any time soon. The market doesn't look strong now, so the smart ones will likely start selling earlier if they haven't already. We had been staying for too long in a very tight range to penetrate easily current resistance levels as they had likely also been going lower over time (read, it may take time as well as some effort and a few up and down cycles)

Put differently, we should now start thinking in terms of hundreds of dollars, not in thousands, when analyzing possible price action. This may be our new base scale
4228  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin continues to decline? on: February 09, 2019, 05:20:25 PM
We should be focusing on getting rid of the whale dependency by increasing the volume of bitcoin and all other coins and just make it a stable economy instead of this whale run speculative and manipulative show we have right now.
It is hard to get rid of the big investors or whales in any market as they control the market and that is the only reason why stock market has a regulation in place about no inside trading, bitcoin is not having that kind of hindrance and inside trading is prominent in this market, so never think that there will be a market without huge players.

Regulated exchanges are also caught doing all kinds of nefarious things

But I don't really think that it is manipulation and lack of regulation which is the root of the problem here (i.e. speculative and manipulative show we have right now). Even if there were no manipulation going on, that wouldn't change things to the better in a big way. Probably, we wouldn't have such extreme levels of volatility, but you can't really expect stable prices from a highly speculative asset. Volatile prices are an inevitable result of Bitcoin's speculative nature

The only way to turn off this show for good is to change Bitcoin into a real asset having real value by far surpassing speculative one. How to actually do that is a one zillion dollar question, though
4229  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Will Bitcoin collapse by a global government crackdown? on: February 09, 2019, 05:08:01 PM
If there is no way to exchange Bitcoin into Fiat money then it would pretty much die. Most people buy bitcoins using fiat money in the first place only to resell to make a profit and turn back into fiat money.  Bitcoin will unfortunatly always be tied up with Fiat money and that is the downfall of Bitcoin

I don't think it is going to die

As long as you can exchange Bitcoin directly for some good or service, it will have value. Ultimately, this is what the whole shebang is about, i.e. turning Bitcoin into a full-fledged currency in and of itself. If it becomes that, it won't need fiat. I could even go as far as to say that without fiat sticking around it would fare even better in that case (as a means of payment). Money is not bestowed on us by our financial gods (though you may still believe in Mammon) as it is created by us in pretty mundane ways with utilitarian purposes in mind
4230  Economy / Speculation / Re: new bullish run on: February 09, 2019, 03:25:45 PM
I wouldn't call it a bull run, not yet. The short burst of the price is probably for the words of SEC commissioner being spread that proposed bitcoin ETF will eventually get approved. The news might have sparked a new hype for which people are jumping in with the intention of making some quick profit. Remember, its just a leaked comment and he never mentioned that it will be accepted. Once the hype falls, we might see the price falling back again unless we get a strong support line

No rest for the wicked

It looks like folks at the SEC are busy earning dough, and it is kinda understandable if you you take into account the government shutdown in the US. So everyone earns money as they can and while they can. In this way, we are to expect more such "leaks" in the future without actually anything being approved at all (as it would kill the cow). At least, not until these "comments" make no effect on prices anymore (no more milk today), and then we can hope for real action. As the saying goes, action begins when hope ends
4231  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is crypto-currencies is a right term to refer bitcoin and altcoins together ? on: February 09, 2019, 03:16:41 PM
Why do you even care about this?
Cryptocurrency,blockchain money or digital coins,I don't care how should we call them.
We could call them decentralized money,if you want.Thiswould distinquish them from the centralized fiat money.

Cryptocurrency is already an established term

So when someone mentions it, everyone and his dog (and probably his grandma too) understand what is being meant by that. However, I can't really agree with your use of the term "decentralized money" as some cryptocurrencies are not decentralized at all (like private coin issued by some company behind it in a centralized manner). On the other hand and strictly speaking, you can't call fiat a centralized currency either as it is mostly created by banks in a pretty decentralized manner

All in all, you may not want to use that distinction when referring to cryptocurrencies in general as it only adds unnecessary complexity possibly leading to misunderstanding and confusion
4232  Economy / Speculation / Re: new bullish run on: February 09, 2019, 03:00:32 PM
This isn't a bull run in any way but rather just a short pump with no real strength to hold on. The volumes on exchanges are ridiculously low to perform a higher push on where it's at right now, so I don't think it can continue to go further or traders will ride whatever's happening on the market. Also, there aren't any news or any catalyst for this increase, so I'm afraid that it wouldn't be lasting long or will be shut down by the bears any time sooner

Okay, let's see how it goes

In about a week it will be clear what was all that about and whether it was about anything at all. Actually, I don't think it is about Bitcoin in the first place. If you were following the prices closely, you would know that this so-called bullrun had started with Litecoin being pumped (and it is still pumped, by the way). And I agree with you that the volumes don't look astonishing, apart from Litecoin, which is evidently receiving a lot of attention from market makers recently
4233  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: How long do you think this BEAR MARKET will LAST? on: February 09, 2019, 02:43:43 PM
Too confident tho,
Yes people said next halving is another hope for the bull run but its still too long to reach from now.

Then take it as an opportunity of having a longer time-frame to accumulate. Cool

Bitcoin is provably scarce. I can't be "too confident" enough that it will reach a 6 digit valuation within 10 years. If you cannot wait, then it's your loss

That's a very common misconception

The supply of coins didn't increase too much in 2018 (I guess it is in the range of a couple percent) but the price crashed 6 times.


Because you haven't zoomed out far enough to smooth out the volatility. What is a year in Bitcoin? But of course I said that with the assumption that everyone understands the law supply and demand. Demand comes and goes, Bitcoin's supply is provably scarce, and capped. Cool

Plus I am not trading, I'm HODLING. There's a difference.

Do you believe that it would be stupid to think that Bitcoin will be on its way to a 6 digit valuation within 10 years? Because a lot of people made the mistake that it was stupid to think it would reach a 5 digit valuation

It may not be stupid to think so

But it will be stupid to act based on that assumption when everything is crashing down. Well, today it may not look like that at all but we don't know if the surge we are experiencing now is not a game to make an exit. Regarding zooming out, I don't think you can zoom out enough to hide the crash of this size. Actually, I think you are in fact kidding

Bitcoin supply is neither scarce not capped as far as the law of supply and demand is actually concerned (read, it can increase and decrease in pretty wide limits). If it were otherwise, price crashes like 6 times (and surges of equal scale, for that matter) wouldn't be possible. This is what real understanding is about
4234  Economy / Economics / Re: Warren Buffet has some very wise words. Crypto applicable. on: February 09, 2019, 02:29:17 PM
Ironically, Buffett is really a smart person

As he was telling what was going to happen and really happened. If people actually listened to him and what he was telling about crypto, we wouldn't have so many disappointed and despaired, hapless and hopeless bagholders now. And even more ironically, without them, without all this relentless speculation, we might have been much better off in terms of adoption by now. As you can see, things are more complicated than they look at first glance

Warren Buffett is a reputable person in crypto world and his wording/ saying matter a lot in crypto field. Just like John Macfee statement can move market up and down, similarly any positive wording by Warren can bring positive sentiments in the market and any negative statement can bring negativity in the market.

In no case I would equal Warren Buffett and John Macfee

And I'm not sure if the latter is really able to move the market in either direction. I suspect many people now think of him as a clown. Truth be told, when I read some article and see John Macfee mentioned in it in a serious manner, I stop reading any further as the value of it instantly falls below 0. Basically, he's become highly toxic

On the other hand, Warren Buffett is very reserved in respect to what he says (regardless of the topic discussed) and that makes his opinion matter (given his expertise and understanding)
4235  Economy / Economics / Re: Warren Buffet has some very wise words. Crypto applicable. on: February 09, 2019, 02:16:43 PM
Buffet is a great investor. No question. He only has one problem. He belongs to a generation for whom change is always happening slowly. For this reason, many of this generation find it difficult to overlook epochal changes through digitization and automation. That's why Buffet missed the tech industry. He has not invested in companies like Microsoft, Facebook, Amazon, Netflix etc. for a long time. As he admitted, because he did not understand it for a long time. It's the same with the new area of decentralizing everything

That made a good read until you spoiled it by making reference to everything being decentralized

"Decentralizing everything" is an example of hype gotten out of control. It has little to do with reality, if anything at all. So while Warren Buffett may have been wrong about the companies you mentioned, though I'm not sure about Microsoft at all (I mean that he didn't invest in it), it doesn't on its own make him wrong on crypto. In other words, we have yet to see him proved wrong provided he ever lives up to that, of course
4236  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin investors now moving to gold on: February 09, 2019, 02:08:49 PM
It could be true but I think it will not affect the believers or the bitcoin in general because we all know bitcoin is still best for doing things gold just can't do. Bitcoin is a payment system aside from just being an investment so that it differs a lot from gold. I don't mean to say gold is not good but they are different. That is why both can stay together side by side now and in the future to come.

I don't think that bitcoins investors are moving to Gold these days. If that was the case, we could have seen big spike in the value of Gold but this does not happen. Those people who are investor of bitcoins are the ones who need quick profits and are willing to take more risk. Gold Investment will never provide them quick gain , even though the investment in Gold is much safer than bitcoins

I don't think either

But Bitcoin is too small to make a scratch in the gold market and affect the gold price in any meaningful degree. Many people are gauging the cryptocurrency market by its market cap. But it is a wrong metric to use in this case (and in almost any other case). In order to make a meaningful assessment we have to take into account the liquidity of the market, i.e. how many bitcoins can be sold without crashing the price. That will be the amount of fiat which can be invested in gold, and it will be negligible given the size of the gold market
4237  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On reversible transactions on: February 09, 2019, 01:59:21 PM
What you don't seem to understand is that "once reversible" transactions will always be reversible. How do you determine who has the authority to reverse transactions? What gives you the confidence that once a precedent is there, you won't see "reversals" for "moral" reasons like wealth distribution and other garbage?

You may want to read the OP in its entirety first

This will not profound solution to cryptocurrency theft. As security level goes higher the hackers also upgrade their hacking techniques. The solution is just to be careful and security conscious

Being careful and aware of security concerns doesn't seem to help exchanges much

As they are continually being hacked with coins stolen. So we need something which would stop hackers at the protocol level itself, something which they can't possibly beat (then no improved hacking techniques will be able to help them). I think an option of locking addresses at this level with a whitelist of addresses attached would help a lot in this department. Can anyone ask Bitcoin developers to think about implementing this option?
4238  Economy / Economics / Re: Warren Buffet has some very wise words. Crypto applicable. on: February 09, 2019, 01:15:57 PM

I think you can't judge Buffett

And not because he is wealthy while you are poor as a church mouse (you may not be that poor, of course), though it is also a factor here (try walking in his shoes first). It is so because you simply don't know the real circumstances which would allow you to draw reasonable conclusions. Basically, you are making value judgments straight out of your ass (sorry for the language but it fits here)

Of course I can say my opinion about Buffett or anyone else from that 1% extremely wealthy people who control 50% world wealth to the detriment of all those who live a life unworthy of human being. I would never try to walk in his shoes, this is completely the opposite of what I consider to be normal in life

It may backfire strongly

As it doesn't say so much about Warren Buffett as it is telling about yourself. But who am I to judge you, after all? So you are on your own here. With that said, though, I can't add that you are basically calling Buffett an arch-villain (like "next time your bills go up, Buffett is added new billion $ to his account") without providing any solid evidence for that. So the question is begging to be asked, that is, can you substantiate your claims in any plausible way?
4239  Economy / Speculation / Re: POLL: Did we hit the bottom? on: February 09, 2019, 01:07:45 PM
in this surge we saw a very small example of how the FOMO buy is going to look like so it doesn't matter if they think we haven't hit the bottom, as soon as the rise begins they do a FOMO and price can shoot up to $10k!!!

That's not necessarily so

And while it certainly sounds plausible, if we take a closer look at bigger timeframes, it doesn't always work like that (it may not even look like that in the recent surge). For example, if people have been suffering heavy losses for long months (say, since January 2018), they may be inclined to sell at these surges and call it a day for good, not buy more. Maybe, this is the next step in the development of a typical long-term bagholder who is so tired of waiting that he doesn't care anymore and wants to drop his bags at the next stop, so to speak
4240  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On reversible transactions on: February 09, 2019, 12:56:27 PM
But I don't think that BIP70 solves the problem described (i.e. sending coins to nowhere) as it is assumed that you have to take some actions beforehand.
The buyer (i.e. the person who sends Bitcoins) doesn't have to do anything

That's not my point

The whole idea behind BIP70 (as I got it) consists in you wanting to buy something from someone who is ready and willing to send you an "invoice" (let's call this code so for simplicity's sake). Obviously, it limits the application of this scheme to a very specific and narrow use cases. That's likely the reason why support for BIP70 has been dropped as it is not something worth having at the protocol level

Quote
Why not add an option in a Bitcoin wallet to make an automatic check whether an address already exists on the blockchain? It looks like a simple but nevertheless effective solution
This doesn't help in two cases:
- when the payee wants the payer to transfer coins to a new address (which is the default behaviour of many wallets, including Bitcoin Core and Electrum)
- when the payer mistypes the address, but the address exists

In the latter case it actually helps a lot as it allows you to see the balance of the wallet and understand that something is probably wrong and you likely sending your coins to a wrong destination
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