There’s a great pump with ETH this week, but I think its not a strong pump that it will go dump again after having a short pump so don’t be too excited. The price of $200 will hit again by ETH but it will go through dumps also before that. So what’s your thoughts about the recent pump?
ETH looked under-priced before, so it was due a rise. We also have to see how the price moves following the Constantinople upgrade. But I do think that ETH is a strong project with a very bright future.
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Crypto is unstable now partly because of low volumes and partly because of the youth of the market. I would expect as crypto matures that firstly prices of alts will decouple from butcoin, and secondly, yes, volatility will decrease as well.
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It seems to be going up and not coming back down again.
We'd all like to think that, but it's just not what the charts show. The charts are quite clear that we are still in the bear trend that we've now had for over a year. The mini rises recently have been welcome, but nowhere near enough yet to suggest that the bear market is over. Most coins are still at a tiny fraction of their ATHs.
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In the past some coins has shown surprise upwards movement and ethereum been one of the popular coins has shown significant pump in 2017 and early 2018! Will ethereum get to $500 this year even if sec approved ETF?
Maybe. It depends mostly on how the whole of crypto is moving, and whether we are starting the long recovery, and partly (less) on how much of a success the Constantinople upgrade is.
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The eagerly awaited Shelley update is very much quickly nearing its release from the Cardano foundation. Is such an upgrade should lead to a dramatic in price?
New developments with most coins tend to get priced in pretty quickly, the old buy the rumour sell the news idea. It's likely that any projected increase is priced in already, but as always with crypto, we don't know for sure.
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Increased volume is a good sign, but this is nowhere near a bull market yet, it still fits into the downwards trend of the last year. We need much bigger increases. Signs are encouraging, but we can't over-react.
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I know it is basically impossible but what if, while you slept the bull run commenced and the price of Bitcoin climbs to $50k and then goes back to $3k just as you wake up. Then you see the charts for confirmation of what went down while you slumbered. What will you do by then? I want to hear your thoughts on this. ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) I think it's very unlikely. To hit that sort of price I think we'd need a lot of new money coming in, which means a lot of volume. I just don't think it would happen that quickly. In really thin markets, sure, you get sudden spikes... but BTC is bigger than that. At least I think so.
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There are encouraging signs that the bear might be coming to an end, but it is way to early to say yet. ETH price does depend to a large extent on what the rest of the market is doing. This recovery is welcome, but is still quite small so far.
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No, it's very unpredictable. Essentially everyone is guessing, it's just that some people are a bit better at guessing than others. It is difficult to compare crypto to other markets, but one good strategy is to compare current market behaviour to what we have seen in crypto before. History is one thing that we can always learn from.
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I don't see how it can be bad news. ETH development continues, there are bound to be a few bumps on the road. Everyone would rather have a fully-working product that is slightly delayed, rather than a team that just release a buggy upgrade before it is ready. I am very confident that ETH will continue to recover. ATH is obviously a huge way away, but I think we'll pass it at some point, maybe this year, maybe next.
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Long time since the original post, but now looks like a very good time to buy some ETH. Prices are rising steadily, and ETH has been the main driver of the whole market rise over the last couple of days.
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I think 2019 will bring increased regulation around ICOs. We are starting to see this with some cancelled because of concerns about meeting legislative requirements, and others requiring KYC. I expect this trend will continue to develop as crypto slowly matures.
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Another nice rise today, but as others have said this is still small movement when compared to what has happened over the last year. I am optimistic that we're starting to turn the corner, but there is a long way to go yet to get out of the bear market.
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Another small rise today, which is always welcome - but remember we need much more than this to start a bull run. The small rise still fits into the overall bear pattern. We need sustained rises to get us out of it.
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BTC is certainly top at the moment, and bitcoin=crypto in the eyes of the general public. I think BTC will certainly remain top for years to come. As for the very long-term, I'm not sure. It may be that a smart contract system like ETH becomes dominant. Not saying it will happen, just that one thing about crypto is that it's always unpredictable.
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IMO the JPM thing is just a joke. It's not real crypto, it's just an internal coin that is trying to make use of a trendy buzzword. Why do they even need blockchain for something like this? It just sounds like they are trying for a bit of publicity.
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I think we are just starting to see signs of stability around current prices. This could break either way, but I'm optimistic we'll head back up by say another $20b across the market and then maintain it. This would be around the previous higher support level. If we can do that, the big one is just over $200b, which is where we held for much of the second half of 2018. At the moment ETH is looking strong, but I expect BTC to start building if we are going to rise. Volume increases recently are quite a good sign. Nothing definite yet though, we shall see.
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My hope is that the big trend of 2019 will be the start of institutional investment - that's when we will see huge price rises. Whether it's realistic or not is another question! Personally I think BTC will lead the recovery, so 2019 should be a big year for BTC, also maybe ETH depending how successful Constantinople is.
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What month will bull run starts? I can't wait to see my portfolio increases up to 100 times after joining so much bounties and got potential altcoins that will bring me to riches. When shall I see it?
100x increase is I think very unlikely. Absolute max marketcap that we had was only about 7x current prices, so 100x is I think unrealistic, at least in the medium-term. Certainly some coins can increase 100x, but these will be some of the very low cap coins - and the vast majority of low cap coins will not experience anything like that growth, and many will actually fall in price. As for when we can expect a bull market, I'd say we'd need prices 2x what they are now before we could say the bear has ended. Maybe March, maybe not.
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