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4341  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is Bakkt really an overrated event? on: February 04, 2019, 05:26:30 PM
Just wary that almost every significant event has long been priced in, as can be seen even from the bch split and halving

Certain things simply can't be priced in. But I definitely understand what you mean here as exactly this argument had been prevalent on the forum before the 2016 halving. People were telling that the effects of the coming halving had already been priced in and I was telling them that you can't possibly price in future decrease in supply due to halving as it has direct impact on prices (and I was proved right in the end). In other words, to price it in, you should diminish this supply for real and then see what happens to the price

That will be your "pricing in"
4342  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin investors now moving to gold on: February 04, 2019, 05:21:17 PM
A good investor always try to search down market Situation,and bitcoin investor also think. the bitcoin down price is good opportunity to invest now this time. at the moment if we have invest now this time then I hope we will keep more profitable. As the long time indeed because we don't know this matter when the market come back green signal.
Investors are capital owners who are always chasing profits, no matter gold, silver, crypto, stocks, or other financial instruments

That's not necessarily so

In fact, it is almost certainly not so with respect to physical gold as some investors (rather, all investors after earning a certain amount of dough) may be looking to park their wealth to avoid its depreciation. In this specific case they won't be looking for profits as their primary goal will be preserving their wealth and not multiplying it (these are different things), and gold fits into this category perfectly
4343  Economy / Economics / Re: Cryptocurrency lending business. on: February 04, 2019, 05:11:44 PM
Cryptocurrency lending is a good offer, but it is not yet widespread due to several drawbacks: high volatility of the cryptocurrencies; too little acceptance worldwide (not everywhere accepting the cryptocurrency for payment);
but with the big spread of cryptocurrency, it will really be very good, because the banking sector is now strangling people with its loans!

Even if all these issues get sorted out, it won't make Bitcoin loans more feasible

Lending money assumes you provide collateral for the loan, i.e. you enter an agreement with the lender (for example, a bank). So if you fail to return the loan, you may legitimately lose this collateral, which means its forfeiture should be enforced somehow (read, your property can be taken by force from you without your consent). But how are you going to do this stuff with cryptocurrencies unless there is some legal entity lending you coins officially, which means full legal recognition of cryptocurrencies? We are far from that
4344  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On reversible transactions on: February 04, 2019, 05:05:00 PM
From what I have seen here on the recommendations you made, its something I would call an Escrow system which is something already in place and what is applicable in most peer to peer site that they create a form of timing for transactions between two people and you are equally allowed to open s trade dispute should in case you are not comfortable with the trade

Probably yes (as I don't know how the system you refer to actually works)

But what I suggest should be done on the protocol level. This feature will also prevent you from sending your coins to a wrong address by mistake. If you make such a mistake, whether the receiving address actually exists or not won't matter as your coins will come back to you after the grace period is over. Honestly, I don't understand why we don't have such a system already implemented

On the other option of making transaction reversible, how that would be possible is what I can't get my head around except the entire bitcoin or crypto is reconfigured to make this option possible other than that, I fear we might have to do with what we currently have and continue to protect ourselves in the face of people who are bent on ripping us of

But how are other systems upgraded? If Bitcoin doesn't allow such upgrades being made in a safe and reliable way, it pretty much means that it is poorly designed, and we need to redesign it (while it is still officially in beta)
4345  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: On Litecoin on: February 04, 2019, 05:01:40 PM
as for other altcoins like Litecoin for example, i do believe that if any altcoin is going to grow big in the long run it has to be different than bitcoin and not inherit its weaknesses. so far all the altcoins we see including LTC, ETH and a couple of other bigger coins are inheriting the same weaknesses as bitcoin and some have done changes that make those weaknesses worse. like faster blocks of both coins i named which has made their decentralization into a nightmare

I essentially agree with you

On the flip side, though, I should note that there is not much choice anyway. I mean we may not yet be ready for cryptocurrencies to take over fiat in a big way as a means of payment. All coins (Bitcoin included) are used mostly for speculation with which the weaknesses you mention are inconsequential and mostly irrelevant. In other words, there is no real use which would work as a natural selection mechanism and weed out bad or weak coins
4346  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: On reversible transactions on: February 04, 2019, 04:44:05 PM
Your second idea would need quite the change and all the wallets to update with it as soon as it goes live or tons of theft would happen, help a ton would happen due to unknowing users. This doesn't seem like an easy thing to implement without theifs going wild

How come really?

We should just increase a version number (or how it is called correctly), so that you don't really need to update existing addresses at all. In this way, only newer addresses will be able to use this feature. In other words, legacy addresses should just ignore it. Basically, this is how scalable and compatible systems are built where you can add new features without affecting the existing feature set in a negative or dangerous way (like you mean it)
4347  Economy / Gambling / Re: SKOBET - Anonymous | Honest | Unique | Fast | On Chain | Bitcoin Only on: February 04, 2019, 04:38:57 PM
"On Chain | Bitcoin Only"

You should explain this part better, maybe with a paper. What you are saying is that this casino will work almost as if using ETH or EOS?

Mate, this question has already been asked a few times

And no, no definitive answer was given if you are curious (you may want to read the whole thread, though). What it means and what it all means everyone should decide for themselves. Herewith I'm not necessarily accusing the shop runners of anything specific, but if they really want to make a decentralized casino as they claim, i.e. where no ownership of keys is changed, they should probably look into the blockchains you mentioned
4348  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / On reversible transactions on: February 04, 2019, 04:23:52 PM
We all know that hacks and thefts are following Bitcoin (as well as other cryptocurrencies, for that matter) and its users like a plague, so I was thinking about solving this issue once and for all. Long story short, we need to implement two things described in detail below

First, we should create "frozen" or lockable addresses, i.e. addresses which will be locked for a specified amount of time on the protocol level by setting a special variable that will be our countdown timer. After it runs out the address gets unlocked and you can move your coins freely. That would essentially mean that no one including the owner of the keys will be able to move these coins anywhere until the specified amount of time runs out, thereby efficiently and effectively preventing hacks and thefts during that time. As an extension to this basic feature, it could be beneficial to create a white list of addresses where the coins can be sent to during this lock time

Second, we should make some transactions reversible, but please don't attack me before you actually listen me out. It is most certainly not what you think it is. This feature should allow a transaction to expire (i.e. be reversed) unless the payee (i.e. the person you pay to and who is to receive the money) confirms it from their side. This is how many online payment systems work (e.g. Yandex.Money). Basically, you send money to someone but they won't be able to receive it without a protection code which you send them separately (or tell in person). Thus, if no code is provided on time, the transaction gets canceled. Essentially the same thing can and should be implemented in Bitcoin

So if you find these proposals interesting or even if you find them disgusting, feel free to comment below
4349  Economy / Economics / Re: Romania has approved a 10% tax on profits from cryptocurrency trading on: February 04, 2019, 04:05:40 PM
Are you sure about that?

It was quite a fuzz about it last month. I've read it in many papers directly in Romanian.

In the previous years crypto didn't exist in the papers. It was counted in the "other gains" group. So you you got any gains (sell > buy) you had to pay tax on those gains.
But starting with 2019 is has change and you pay tax on the money you receive for the crypto, no matter how much did you pay for it. At least that was what the papers I've read were writing.

its more like what we have in my country, a "capital gains tax" tax is due on the profit you make, it could also be seen as an "income" tax but income is technically the wrong word to use

I don't really think it is a misnomer (sort of)

Whenever I see that word (income), it is what it is supposed to mean according to common use (or dictionary), i.e. what you receive as wages, salary, money you procure from selling, say, real estate, securities or from currency exchange operations. In other words, it is not profit, as simple as it gets. And the income tax (which is also a correct term here) is calculated on this amount specifically, even though this income is not the same as profit (i.e. it also includes your expenses which should be taken out)

And this is where things get interesting (or complicated if you please) as many tax codes in many cases allow you to reduce your taxable amount by the expenses you made to obtain this income. For example, in case of securities this will be the money you paid for them (i.e. price multiplied by quantity), so you actually end up paying what is commonly understood as profit. And if you think of it, that makes sense as it allows the tax authorities to see what your profit is actually made of (i.e. income minus expenses)
4350  Economy / Speculation / Re: new fork bitcoin at soon time will make bull run on: February 04, 2019, 03:15:18 PM
I remember vividly during those times bitcoin price increasing and altcoin prices dropping during the early days of fork before it happened. The reason for that is absolutely market trusting the bitcoin cash and wanting some free but also there was the fact that bitcoin cash is and was backed by Jihan Wu and Roger Ver who wanted as much bitcoin cash as possible which resulted with them buying bitcoin as much as they can afford during that time to eventually have bitcoin cash afterwards

You don't take into account that money doesn't appear from nowhere

And while it is certainly possible that some market participants would trust Bitcoin Cash, there is absolutely no reason to think that all market participants started to also trust the original Bitcoin more because of the fork (which would explain the inflow of fresh money). Please note that I don't talk about Bitcoin Cash here and its price dynamic. I'm talking about Bitcoin and its price as it started or continued to grow after the Bitcoin Cash fork

Technically, Bitcoin had been growing months before the fork (with minor corrections in the summer), so you have to provide really solid and irresistible evidence or logical explanation that Bitcoin's rise that followed the fork was caused by this fork. Otherwise, we have to conclude that this fork actually took from Bitcoin rather than added to it (in terms of price figures)
4351  Economy / Economics / Re: Do you think Institutions secretly HODL Bitcoin? on: February 04, 2019, 03:01:35 PM
As companies like Fidelity enter the fray, they too will eventually get hacked and screw over their customers. It might add a whole new scale to these types of losses too.
I'm pretty certain that when Fidelity gets hacked, the coins will be deemed near worthless in an instant. It's a whole new level of hacks, and one that's not nearly as similar to what happens when a crypto exchange gets hacked. Every entity associated with these coins, doesn't matter how, will be blacklisted and prosecuted. In other words, more coins off the market

Could you explain how they will be "deemed near worthless in an instant"?

The thieves could and most certainly would use mixing services, so if these coins will be deemed worthless, it will be similar to an epidemic (like it happens in zombie movies) with the whole Bitcoin blockchain instantly rendered useless and worthless. In practice, though, it would likely mean backrolling it. That would obviously undermine the value of Bitcoin on its own, and that's why we need to make some transactions reversible (at least for some time until confirmed by the payee) as then we wouldn't need to roll back the whole blockchain
4352  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is it time to sell Ethereum & all coins , and buy Bitcoin on: February 04, 2019, 02:52:16 PM
selling ethereum and all altcoins just to buy bitcoin? you know altcoins are more profitable than bitcoin, if bitcoin increase x2 then some altcoins will increase x3 or more, but it's up to you if you want to sell them and buy bitcoin

It may be a right idea after all

And still more so if we haven't yet seen the real lows. The point is altcoins are falling much stronger and it is not given or set in stone that when we start to rise again (or rather, if we start to rise again), altcoins are going to follow Bitcoin's lead. Personally, I'm certain only of Litecoin's imminent success as it will likely even outperform Bitcoin, while the rest of the pack will be slowly grinding behind, if at all
4353  Economy / Economics / Re: Wyoming Senate passes bill recognizing Bitcoin and other crypto as money on: February 04, 2019, 02:39:10 PM
This is a huge leap and even came as a surprise to me the way the US government constitution is so structured that a sensitive matter as currency could be within the purview of States that they are allowed to legislate on the type of currency to be used within their own jurisdiction. I doubt if any country that practice any form Federalism would give any such of freedom

I don't really think the American constitution says anything on this matter

But since I didn't read it, that remains to be seen. Perhaps, someone more familiar with it could chime in on this? With that said, we should keep in mind that when it was written, there was no Central Bank in America as we know it today (the Fed) or as it had been when it first appeared (in the first quarter of the 19th century, if I'm not mistaken). Gold was money back in the day (with the dollar representing it and backed up by it), so, ironically, with more States accepting Bitcoin as legal tender we may be back to the roots in a sense
4354  Economy / Speculation / Re: POLL: Did we hit the bottom? on: February 04, 2019, 02:33:19 PM
With that said, however, there is no strong evidence that would exclude the possibility of Bitcoin Cash supporters massively selling bitcoins to support ABC and SV blockchains, and some certainly did just that, while others might have been just looking to make quick profits. But the question still remains, i.e. how much of the recent Bitcoin crash was actually due to this showdown. Personally, I don't think that much

True, but it's fun to discuss. Plus the timing of it all is "too perfect" to not consider that possbility

People often confuse cause and effect

Apart from that, if the beginning of the hash war was a trigger (which seems to be a prevailing opinion here and which I personally endorse and stick to myself), it should be "too perfect" by definition. But it doesn't in the least mean that without this particular trigger the price wouldn't crash sooner or later. In such situations anything can be a trigger, and the longer the system remains in this quasi-stable state, the more sensitive it becomes to external disturbances, however small they might be (let's call it the butterfly effect)
4355  Economy / Speculation / Re: Squeezing shorts via lending rates at Bitfinex? on: February 04, 2019, 02:25:30 PM
I honestly wouldn't come up with this explanation if I thought about it for 100 years. It is the best case scenario and could actually be because of that, margin does result with a lot of cashing out and leaving the shorters with nothing at all which would mean a lot of money for bitfinex in the end

When you are day trading a few currency pairs, you will start to notice even the slightest discrepancies in their behavior. Actually, this is not the first time I see this happening and not the first time with Litecoin specifically. Such events happen regularly and you can use them as an indicator (with a good deal of caution, of course). And as I predicted yesterday, things are now back to normal, with Litecoin lending rates returning to their normal range

And Litecoin's price retracing to where it seems to belong

According to https://vcdepth.io/coins/litecoin-ltc Market dept ratio (MDR) (24 hr MDR change) is +5.84% which means buyer/seller ratio is increased 5.84% in favor of buyer at the last 24 hr. This global combined books not just one exchange by the way

Bitfinex is still the primary price driver for many cryptocurrencies
4356  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in - Contest with $30,000 in GUARANTEED PRIZES now live! on: February 04, 2019, 02:17:55 PM
To get the Jackpot 08888 is not difficult as long as you want to try it on each account.
In a way :
1. Deposit the 30K satosi balance
2. Play multiply by copying the Jackpot table
3, If 3 x of the game has not been obtained, then move the balance to the next account.

And in this way, 95% succeed, unless (TheQuin) considers it a cheating game. and what happens is the account will be blocked
The odds for you to win the jackpot will always remain the same which is 1:10000 cmiiw. Changing accounts won't increase your chances of winning if hitting the jackpot was that easy then the site would've lost a lot of money by now. And multi accounting is not allowed (it's stated in their terms) they're mostly used to abuse the site

While changing accounts won't increase your chances, it can help increase your betting speeds if you are auto-betting. I mean running a few sessions in parallel. Why you would ever need that I don't know (perhaps, for more reward points or maybe something else). On the other hand, if you have access to a number of white IP addresses, you can hunt for higher tiers apart from taking what you receive from free rolls anyway. To everyone, I'm in no way and in no case endorsing such practices

They are discussed here for informational and educational purposes only
4357  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: New hate wave? on: February 04, 2019, 11:17:00 AM
There wouldn't even be a spawn from the financial crisis, "evil" or otherwise, if the reckless banksters hadn't caused the crisis in the first place

Banks were just doing their thing

Which they have always been doing. Please keep in mind that I don't try to somehow justify the banksters or anything to that tune but if we cut the crap and face the ugly truth, it is not banks or banking industry as a whole that our retaliatory wave of hate should be directed to. It is relentless and reckless consumerism of common people which is the cause of the evil and which is to blame here. Without it the damned banksters wouldn't have been able to lend so much money which people were not going to return
4358  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin investors now moving to gold on: February 04, 2019, 10:31:48 AM
Looking at the always falling price of Bitcoin, it is only natural that some investors turn to other investments that they consider far from the risk of loss and are able to give them profits. I think indeed gold is currently one of the best choices for investing, even though maybe we only get a small profit but at least will avoid the risk of loss

Gold is not good for profit making (though it is for profit protecting)

As it has been underperforming for the last 40 years. That basically means that its growth in US dollars was lower than the dollar inflation accumulated during that timeframe. In other words, you would likely have lost in inflation-adjusted dollar value of your gold if you had invested somewhere in 1980. If you want to earn profits with the smallest amount of risk, you may want to look into bonds (something like inflation-protected treasuries)
4359  Economy / Economics / Re: Crypto reinvestment without withdrawing fiat currency on: February 04, 2019, 10:14:25 AM
The fact that staking and masternodes are not the main discussion is a wonder. The most common and easy way of making money with money is interest and the interest we have in crypto is the masternodes and stakes. For example, ethereum is said to be turning into PoS from the current PoW which actually increased the price a lot for a while but the hard fork got cancelled but hopefully it will return soon. That type of making money with money exists in crypto as well and I actually really love it and prefer it over the miners

Personally, I don't see much sense in earning a few %% yearly in this way

Especially when you can easily lose over 90% of your capital with prices crashing within the same year. If anything, it is a poor man's income, i.e. when you can't earn income in any other way. Really, if you made an effort to learn about crypto, understand how it works, install a personal wallet after all, why not go further and try to earn more in an active way? Really, if the cryptocurrency of your choice rises a few times, these percentages will be dust anyway while you might lose and might have already lost a lot more due to an overall downtrend market
4360  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin need Mixer services! on: February 04, 2019, 09:57:50 AM
It is not to say that you should use Mixer services to circumvent government monitoring and surveillance, because they too have a obligation towards citizens to protect them from criminals and terrorists by monitoring transactions. The thing is, some corrupt governments with dictators should not have this information, because they can do more harm than good with that information

It is not about only corrupt governments with dictators

Actually, the majority of nation states are doing this, some less with some more. But that's not the point. If you are that citizen and don't consider yourself a criminal or terrorist, why would you agree to being monitored by the government in the first place? As I see it, it is your right to circumvent such monitoring and surveillance unless you explicitly renounce that right. Benjamin Franklin once wisely said that people willing to trade their freedom for temporary security deserve neither and will lose both. I fully agree with him. Do you?
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