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441  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Bank on: June 28, 2011, 07:20:35 PM
A glorified online wallet. The owner operates from his mom's basement, and hopes he can attract depositors with vague references about an interest. Is this guy for real ?

At the very least, I would expect a bitcoin bank to prove it's liquidity by proving it owns million dollars worth of bitcoins, as it's own capital. I would also expect a staff of economists, banking professionals, and IT experts.
A "degree is in International Business" just doesn't cut it pal, sorry. You need to prove you have actually managed the wealth of others. You need to prove you or your staff understand risk management, accounting, hypothecation and collaterals, financial law, computer security etc.
Only then I could begin to believe you are actually capable of producing interest for my money, and not leave me goxed with my dick in my hand when a run on the deposits or fraud happen.
442  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: So, bitcoin client still use unencrypted wallet.dat on: June 28, 2011, 04:30:10 PM
I don't believe smartcards will be any more secure than a password protected wallet.dat.
Once you enter your PIN, the trojanized client takes over the communication with the smart card, and instructs it to sign a transaction that empties your wallet to the hacker's address. Since you have no control on the amount that the smart card is signing away, there's no way you can prevent it or detect it, and it's equivalent to a trojan stealing your wallet.dat and password.

The hacker does not care about your private key, what he needs is the ability to impersonate you, that's why it is essential that a dedicated hardware wallet has it's own secure display and keyboard, with which you can verify the paid amount and a user friendly representation of the payee address.

Generating keys on an offline machine is probably the best solution at this point, but you will have to eventually need to connect to the network and spend, right ? Maybe you could split them in small amounts and have a paper version that you can scan and spend. Overall, not very user friendly.
443  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Correlation between mining costs and Bitcoin value and ecological nightmare on: June 28, 2011, 04:12:41 PM
It's certainly a flaw, a major one. Is it a mortal flaw ? I don't know. It's the same flaw that killed gold as a viable medium of exchange. If the current monetary system of the US would suddenly require 70% of the energy production to stay secure, how do you think the society will react ?
I'm not saying security is bad, I'm saying that Bitcoin pays a hefty price for it's security, up to the point where it doesn't really make sense to want it as a replacement for the current monetary system. At least the executive bonuses at AIG go into nice looking palaces and generate employment. Bitcoin's overhead goes into killing the planet.
444  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: So, bitcoin client still use unencrypted wallet.dat on: June 28, 2011, 01:21:26 PM
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Two-factor_authentication

Someone give me a client that I can use two-factor authentication with. Until then, all other methods are insecure to some extent or other.

I don't think you understand fully the problem two-factor authentication solves. It's impossible to create a client that uses two factor authentication, once you are "authenticated" to the local client and it proceeds to decript your wallet, your bitcoins are available to the attacker. What I am proposing is NOT two factor, but an embedded wallet that handles the private key operations and minimal user input using secure hardware. Using a pin to unlock the device is purely optional, to prevent from physical theft.

Two factor is usable for authenticating against PayPal/MtGox online wallets, assuming you trust them to handle security better than your own computer.


Two-factor authentication exacerbates the problem. Now, instead of one thing that can go wrong causing you to lose your bitcoins (loss of the wallet), there are three things -- loss of the wallet, loss of the password, and loss of the second factor.

The embedded wallet makes an encrypted backup each time you connect it to your computer. You can easily arrange online backup. The backup is encrypted with a key that you can read of the wallet's display, write on a piece of paper, and store it in a safe place.
Sure, you can loose that too, but it's a practical solution that actually works. Your solution "just keep your computer safe and make plenty of (safe) backups" is simply not practical for 90% of the people out there, because securing your computer has a tremendous learning curve. Securing a piece of paper on the other hand is something people do pretty well, see paper money.
445  Economy / Economics / Re: The secret of oz [documentary] on: June 28, 2011, 10:45:35 AM
Suppose all banks own 1 million dollar in reserves total, in other words their own hard earned money. With fractional reserve banking (10%), they could create and loan up to 10 million dollars (my math is wrong but it is just an example). If they loan at an interest rate of 4% montly (credit card), they are essentially making 40% monthly interest on their reserves.

The 1 million $ goes straight into the central bank's account as minimal reserve. The private bank has no money to lend out. In order to reach it's 9 mil $ allowance, the private bank must attract 9 million $ of deposits. For these money they must pay interest to the depositors. Only then can they start borrowing out money. Their actual profit is the spread between the deposit and credit interests, probably 10-15% with your figures. They need to pay staff, cover the risk of non-payment, cover the costs of the deposit insurance scheme (FDIC) etc.

A private bank cannot create more money directly, they are bound by accounting laws just like a regular business. The banking system as a whole creates deposit money, but banks still have to compete among each other to attract depositors.

446  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Correlation between mining costs and Bitcoin value and ecological nightmare on: June 28, 2011, 10:06:06 AM
The idea that bitcoin mining might actually increase to the point where it significantly affects energy prices disturbs me!

You are mostly correct in your calculations. Comparing BTC to a real currency is good thought experiment that proves it's a flawed, wasteful concept.

Let's assume Bitcoin becomes hugely successful and manages to displace the US dollar tomorrow. The total quantity of dollars that make up the monetary base (the most liquid money that bitcoin would replace) is on the order of 2 trillion, so if their value is substituted with  bitcoins, the 12 million bitcoins generated in the next 10 years (6 million -> 18 million) will be worth today about 1.3 trillion $. If we equate that value with the price of electricity as per the quote above we get 26 trillion KWh at current wholesale prices. That's more than the entire energy production of the world in a single year ! During the ten year period, minting bitcoins would require 70% of the electricity production of the United States !

While I agree Bitcoin will not replace the dollar, and it will certainly not do so tomorrow, using the correct scale shows just how bad a design is. A smaller Bitcoin is not less bad, just bad on a smaller scale, a local toxic spill as opposed to a full blown Exxon Valdez.

Mind you, I have ignored the hardware requirements which will likely dominate mining and that have more important impacts on the environment than the electricity consumption. In a real scenario, the electricity consumption will be lower, while the environmental impacts will be higher (manufacturing is more damaging than electricity production for a given revenue level; electricity can come from nuclear, hydro, etc. while copper can't be extracted without carving up some mountain).
I challenge anyone to reflect on how all this compares with the current financial sector, and prove how Bitcoin can be seen as an improvement.

447  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: So, bitcoin client still use unencrypted wallet.dat on: June 28, 2011, 09:41:06 AM
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The real solution is multi-device confirmation of big bitcoin transactions. You'd send coins starting on your computer, but the transaction wouldn't be valid until it was signed by another device, which would somehow contact you (NOT through your computer) and ask you for your OK before sending it along

It seems easier to implement an embedded wallet that plugs into USB and stores the private key. The device has a small LCD screen and an "Approve" button. When you spend something in your bitcoin client the transaction is sent to the USB device for signature. The USB device checks the amount to be spent, and prints to the user the net amount to be spent: Pay 20B ?
Upon pressing Approve the transaction is signed with the private key and sent to the client for broadcast into the network. There's no way rouge software to fake the displayed amount or the Approve button.

Such a device would cost 10-20$ in large quantities and would be practically impossible to hack.
http://www.mini-box.com/picoLCD-20x2-OEM
448  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin exchanges => Arbitrage opportunities on: June 27, 2011, 11:02:11 AM
Don't forget the currency exchange spread, and the forex risk you accept (if you sell for GBP and buy for USD, it might make you an initial profit, but not if the GBP drops in relation to the dollar).
A bit of arbitrage would make the market look more professional, and provide liquidity to other BTC-currency pairs. Expect the arbitrage windows to drop to pennies pretty soon.
449  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Goxed - 15:30 open on: June 26, 2011, 03:18:12 PM
I hope they are at least using InnoDB tables...
450  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How can Bitcoin help my people in Venezuela? on: June 25, 2011, 08:50:25 AM
Venezuela is a profoundly state planned economy. I assume the regulation are a form of capital control to avoid massive foreign currency leaks from the country and to discourage imports. Regardless if it's implemented as a cap on domestic credit cards or as cap on the amount of foreign currency that's being sold to the population, the primary problem stems from the fact that the government wants control over foreign currency/imports. The result is that black market $ or Eur is more expensive than official exchange rate, that's why a 400$ credit card is worth 800$.

To bypass the limitation you need to:
1. Find a cheaper way to buy $s of the black market (they have probably explored this so it's unlikely)
2. Earn bitcoins in the local venezuelean economy.
3. Put a BTC bounty on Chavez' head and be a free nation again (risky)

http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2010/06/capital_controls
Quote
Finally, not to be outdone, Venezuela is once again going back to a multi-tiered exchange rate. After closing down the unregulated, freely-floating exchange market, the government has set up a three tier system with characteristically little transparency on how the exchange rates will be set. The controlled exchange rate is the government's attempt to get inflation under control, which has been driven by a shortage of foreign currency for imports.
451  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Do you think that the verb 'goxed' will enter the general vernacular now? on: June 25, 2011, 07:14:56 AM
Secondary meaning: being hacked as a result of using a single weak password on every site.

1: Fucking Sony leaked all my fucking data to fucking hackers which stole my identity ! The hackers used my PayPal account to trade drugs and now I'm looking at 1 to 3 without parole ! Fucking cunts !
2: Goxed in the ass, lmao
452  Other / Off-topic / Re: Complete explanation for all the hacks lately. on: June 25, 2011, 06:49:41 AM
Silk road much ? You are utterly incoherent.

Quote
Do you realize that by utilizing the entire world's population and hardware resources to cracking every possible 'coin', you're personally contributing to the largest live 256bit encryption brute force 'dictionary'? Kind of makes you think that the government is probably BEHIND BitCoin, rather than interested in shutting it down, ey?

The Bitcoin block chain, as a dictionary of strings that hash to values with many leading zeros, has no cryptographic significance. It's a dumb bruteforce that does not "break" anything. It's not applicable to other forms of "256 bit encryption", which SHA256 is not anyway.
453  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: I have .10 Bitcoins here. on: June 25, 2011, 06:37:18 AM
Can we have one where Mark unveils to Adam the master plan for goxing `em ?
454  Economy / Economics / Re: The secret of oz [documentary] on: June 23, 2011, 03:48:14 PM
If I were to plot the evolution of money it would be this:

1. Commodity money: gold, bitcoins; massively deflationary, prevent the economy from growing and reaching it's full potential, by artificially clamping the aggregate demand. Everybody is worse off and poorer, huge resources are wasted for acquiring an otherwise much less useful commodity. Decentralized, cannot be manipulated, but creates a self-enforcing plutocracy - the holders of the commodity.

2. Government-issued fiat. Solves the primary flaw of scarce commodity money and allows for real economic growth and improved welfare. Entirely dependent on the moods of the rulers. History has shown that both tyrants and democratically elected rules will abuse the money creation privilege, either for building palaces or for getting themselves reelected, and print much more than the economy needs, therefore stealing wealth from everybody. This is what various non-functional states like Zimbabwe have.

3. Independent central bank that loans money into existence. The prevalent system nowadays, far better than the preceding ones, but with it's unique flaws. The government can't print it's own money and is just another borrower competing along side private productive entities. In theory this should reduce it's appetite for money - it has to give it back. If too much money is loaned into existence and creates inflation, the central bank should, again, in theory, hike the interest rates and diminish everyone's appetite for money thus controlling inflation, wile allowing the money supply to grow as the economy grows.
In practice this system creates multiple instances of moral hazard:
  a. the central bank will always print more money to help private banks who are overexposed - for fear it might bring about meltdown
  b. the parliament, as the central bank's overseer, will always pressure it to go for low interest, low unemployment policies at the expense of inflation
  c. the government's appetite for money is not curbed; banks would much rather borrow the government that take risks with productive business
Overall, the system allows private banks to profit at the expense of the society because they have a key position where they can blackmail both the public and the politicians with systemic collapse. Massive misappropriation of resources ensues, skewing the price signals of the free market, various bubbles occur etc.

The Bitcoin crowd is still at point 1. entangled in a matrix scheme disguised with elementary economic fallacies.
The Oz guy wants us to go back to point 2., and watch our leaders print all our wealth away.
The current model 3. is clearly wrong.

I think it's time to start working on number 4:

4. Decentralized democratic fiat currency. Printed to the benefit on democratically elected charities, so as to target zero long term deflation/inflation, and circulated through a Bitcoin-like open network. Banks are not involved in creating the base money supply - they and their depositors are entirely responsible for the risk the take on when expanding M2. Governments have no say either, and are responsible to the voters when the debt spirals out of control.

I apologize to the TL;DR low attention span crowd.
455  Economy / Economics / Re: Eurocollapse, PIIGS, and capital controls on: June 23, 2011, 08:28:49 AM
What's the best way to warn these people of the dangers and to educate them about how Bitcoin could be the solution?   

So instead of the government steal the money through inflation or forced exchange for drachmas, you propose they should voluntarily give up their money now to the holders of bitcoins. Brillant !
456  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Decentralized Exchange Service on: June 21, 2011, 09:47:10 PM
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As for the shape of a distributed exchange, I'm not so sure about that. Ideas?

A web of trust crossed with a public blockchain in which traders announce their cash-transfer capabilities (Ex. PayPal, Bank, face2face near Lat. X, Long. Y etc.). All trades are instantaneous and recorded in the blockchain at the then current price. When it's time to cash out or deposit money, you use a client program that matches someone who needs cash with someone who wants to deposit cash. The primary distinction from Bitcoin-OTC is that the persons trading cash are not also exchanging bitcoins, each has it's own time and price at which the trade took/will take place.

When a match is found, the users exchange contact credentials encrypted with each other's private key and do the out-of-blockchain money swap. If the PayPal, face 2 face etc. swap was fine, the receiver of the money credits the giver in the blockchain and each is on his way. If not credited, the giver can publicly complain and reduce the receiver's rating. The system automatically computes ratings and updates the web of trust. Highly trusted individuals could ask for a premium for their services, so they are incentivized to stay honest. The bitcoin settlements are automated and the exchange chain refers to the bitcoin blockchain by requiring traders to prove their identity using the bitcoin wallet keys. Automated escrow a-la ClearCoin removes the incentive to steal - if the cash transfer fails the escrowed bitcoin is transferred to a charity and both parties loose.

The system would also require trusted arbiters that hold the excess cash and bitcoins needed to provide liquidity to the market. These could be selected from the highest rating individuals.

Just a very rough draft, it probably has millions of flaws that scammers can abuse. But I wouldn't call it a pipe dream. Face 2 face traders would only announce themselves in friendly jurisdictions, otherwise law enforcement can quickly single out individuals with good history and take them out based on the proof of past transactions.
457  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mt.Gox and void trades: Force Majeure on: June 21, 2011, 12:25:57 PM
PS: to the guy askigg about the damage, are you kidding? Leaking the userbase is not something we can just let it pass.
A lot of people, people who were early adopters lost their bitcoins because of the leak, because they reuse it in other sites. (40/60 fault. 40% fault of the user for weak password, and 60% MtGox because for LAME security and Because HE SHOULD KNOW BETTER).

There was no implicit or explicit contract for mtgox to act as a password manager and protect you login credentials for other sites. A great number of sites store plain text passwords and a huge number store plain or salted md5 passwords. From an industry best practice point of view, MD5-crypt passwords are regarded as secure without bogging down the authentication server.
Sites do get hacked and do suffer from inside jobs. It's entirely your fault if you chose weak passwords AND reuse them on other sites. mtgox can only be liable for the damage on the system they control; as it seems there's no damage, all balances will be untouched.

Also all of the 60K users now have their private emails publicized and now are definitely gonna be in the lists of spammers and scammers.

Accidentally leaking someone's email is not and cannot be a crime. An email address is public by definition. Sending spam is a crime in some legislations, but to pin that on mtgox would mean to prove they intentionally and malevolently shared the email list with any spammers.
Is it a bad way to treat your customers ? Sure. Can they press criminal charges or request compensation ? Nope.
458  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mt.Gox and void trades: Force Majeure on: June 21, 2011, 11:30:23 AM
90% of this damage was preventable? YES, IT WAS.

What damage ? When the exchange reopens you will find your $ and BTC balances untouched. The most you could claim is that you were denied service for a few days.
The whole debate about force majeure would excuse mtgox from loosing your funds to hackers, at which users could claim mtgox did not do it's best job to secure the service. It would really for a court to decide, but only if funds were lost. For example if the rollback did not happen, it would apply to the original owner of the 500.000 BTC.

Since no funds were lost (the small withdrawals that lead to negative balances will be covered by mtgox), but only imaginary profits, the whole debate is baseless. The profits were never yours to begin with. You have no proof you actually bought 250.000 at 0.01 $/BTC. None whatsoever. You would be thrown out of any court.
459  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Mt.Gox and void trades: Force Majeure on: June 21, 2011, 10:10:13 AM
Say the hacker redirects the mtgox site to an identical clone, duplicates everyone's $ balance and password, and post a price of 0.0000001 USD/BTC. If everyone rushes to buy a total of  1 billion bitcoins worth a total of 100$, do you think mtgox should be liable for the 18 billion USD "loss" the traders incurred at current market prices ?

As long as your money is in the mtgox system, it's their rules and their site. No contractual obligation exists if you simply saw some numbers on your computer screen that might have looked like you were suddenly rich. It might have been hackers, dead pixels, or ghosts. No one knows until you get the money in you bank account.

It's only from the kindness of their hearts that mtgox give you details about what actually happened with the site. For all you know, they could claim the story in the first paragraph: you were trading on a hacker site, domain system is not 100% reliable, we don't owe you nothing; sue ICCAN and ask for a better DNS system.
460  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin will be on the Peter Schiff Show 2011-06-20 at 10AM EDT on: June 20, 2011, 03:33:51 PM
I don't know why but a majority of the precious metals community really don't like bitcoin.

Maybe because they are heavily vested in precious metals and are experiencing a mild cognitive dissonance ?

Off-topic: liquid zeolite  Cheesy
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