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441  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 02, 2024, 07:35:02 PM
I don`t think Empoli had the strength to respond to goals

regarding the goals not scored, I think that their coach Inzaghi gave orders to measure the strength and not to exaggerate
they have to hold tight with Milan at -11
even if everything is almost certain, you never know, it`s better not to risk it

In fact, Inter had a quick goal in the 6th minute andthus, Inter shouldhave been able to win with a bigger goal maybe like 3-0 or maybe 4-1 which would have been interesting . But unfortunately, it seems that Inter quick goals in this match meant that Inter might have slightly reduced their attacking aggressiveness, sothat Inter failed to score a manygoal in this easy match .Because after all, Empoli is also the team in the relegation zone, what's more, Empoli is also playing away in this match against Inter. Therefore, ofcourse it would be a natural result if Inter won with a clean sheet but unfortunately, Inter failed to win with a biggerscore but nevertheless, winning in this way is still a good result.

Inter actually dominated the match. People actually expected that outcome I guess. The score is 2-0  in favour of Inter.  and we have to realize that Inter does not have any other competition to worry about right now.  so they are obviously going to try to put the best performance in the Serie A.  and they are actually doing it as well.  this further solidifies the first position of Inter on the table and this loss also means that Empoli  is now in the relegation zone. But the good thing is they are absolutely equal in terms of points and also goal difference with the team that is ahead of them. So it is very much possible for them to get out of the relegation zone quickly. And about Inter, I think everybody knows that they are most likely going to win the title.
442  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 01, 2024, 04:32:54 PM
The odds are very tempting but I don't hesitate to bet on Roma winning in this match, in my opinion the Roma team is currently in their best performance and they are also very motivated to be able to get 3 points so they can continue to compete for the title. 4th place in the ranking. Serie A standings
On the other hand, Lecce's performance is currently very inconsistent with all the internal problems they are facing, even though Lecce will play at home, I don't think they have a big chance of matching Roma's performance, which is currently at its best.
In the Lecce vs Roma match, which has been going on for more than twenty-five minutes, there has still not been a single goal scored even though Roma have controlled more of the ball in the current match. However, Lecce is also superior in giving kicks, one of which was towards the Roma goal, so Roma also have to be more careful with this team if Roma wants full points from today's match. Although I also have confidence in Roma to win today's match because considering the improvements they have experienced so far, they have been quite good through their new coach.


Romelu Lukaku and Nicola Zalewski before the match started, i think they are discussing how to come out with 3 points.. Cheesy

Lecce- 4-4-2
Roma- 4-3-3
Stedium- Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (home ground of Lecce)

This match should be easy for Roma to get three points. Remember that they have to win if they want to finish in the top four.
Of course, they need some luck as well. But I think if they are consistent enough till the end of the season they will actually be able to pull it off.

In this match, I don't think they will have too much of a problem because they are going up against a team that is not consistent currently at all.

Of course, Lecce will try to win this match. Well, I guess they will go for a draw at first and if they see the situation is good they will go for a win.

But I think a realistic approach is going to be to go for a draw. And for Roma, if this is anything other than a three-point, it is going to feel like a loss.
443  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Indian Premier League #IPL Cricket on: April 01, 2024, 04:08:30 PM
The Rajasthan Royals skipper won the toss and decided to bowl first. Rajasthan's bowlers put the Mumbai Indians batsmen under pressure early on. In Mumbai Indians three top batsmen got out for zero runs which is very bad for Mumbai Indians team. The attack of Rajasthan Royals bowlers against Mumbai Indians today seems that Mumbai Indians will not win today's match against Rajasthan Royals. The current score of Mumbai Indians is 60 runs for 4 wickets in eight overs. Looking at the current state of play of Mumbai Indians, it seems that if the next batsmen of Mumbai Indians can bat responsibly then Rajasthan Royals might be able to give a target of 160. If Rajasthan Royals bowlers can restrict Mumbai Indians to 160 runs then Rajasthan Royals will easily win today's match against Mumbai Indians.
Even if the match is not over, almost everyone knows the result of the match. If there is no drama then Rajasthan Royals will easily get a win in the 14th match of IPL. None of the batsmen could score big in this match of 20 overs. They lost 9 wickets. Their total collection is only 125. Can the opponent be tied down with this small score? Of course it will be very difficult but not impossible because there are many matches where even with low scores there is good competition. However, it cannot be said that it will be like that in all cases. RCB scored 185 runs in Kolkata's last match but could not put any pressure on Kolkata in that match. Rather, they can reach their set goals within a very short period of time. Today's match may also end in 12 or more overs or Rajasthan Royals may lose by collecting this small score. Cricket is a game of uncertainty that has to wait until the end.


Google is showing 91% chance of Rajasthan Royals winning and only 9% chance of Mumbai Indians winning.

This is probably the lowest score in this year's IPL. I don't think IPL pitches are bowling friendly. We saw high scores in most of the matches. However, Mumbai Indians have batted badly in all their three matches. And in today's match, the batting of Mumbai's top team was very bad.

Jaiswal, Buttler, Parag, Jurel and Hetmyre are all experienced batsmen for the T20 format. Each of these batsmen has the ability to bat at a smart strike rate and play big innings. That's why I don't think Mumbai Indians have any chance of winning today's match. If the target was more than 160, the match might have been competitive.
444  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: How would you dispose of a steel plate seed backup? on: April 01, 2024, 01:12:32 PM
The best option is going to the blacksmith ...
the best option is to do it yourself self ...

So which one is the best option? Make up your mind.  Wink

I agree with your second option, though. Exposing your seed phrase to third parties can never be the best option.

Steel is a material that is quite hard and difficult to break, many people will not be able to destroy it on their own. If you bring it to a blacksmith, you just need to directly supervise him doing it and ask the blacksmith to destroy it quickly. I don't think anything too worrying will happen, not everyone knows about bitcoin and no one with a super memory can instantly remember the seed phrases correctly. If it were me, I would talk to the blacksmith and ask him to show me how to destroy it myself, I'd be willing to pay him a higher price .
445  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is A Beacon of Hope for the Present and Future on: April 01, 2024, 01:02:23 PM
In the Bitcoin White paper, it is outlined that Bitcoin represents a decentralized financial system, that will offer hope for economic empowerment and financial inclusion, especially in regions facing economic instability or lacking access to traditional banking.

what will you do to own bitcoin if you don't have money , bitcoin is not provided for free to people with unstable economies ? And if you don't use a bank , don't use a traditional currency system, how can you buy bitcoin ?

In the bitcoin whitepaper, bitcoin is likened to a currency but bitcoin is becoming an investment.  I don't see too many people using it as a currency, and I don't think there's any chance of it becoming a replacement for the current monetary system . what I'm seeing is people taking advantage of its volatility to get rich and become financially free.
446  Economy / Speculation / Re: If you had bought the previous ATH you're on profit on: April 01, 2024, 12:48:48 PM
It is true that we often say that we should invest in bitcoin every chance we get, but that does not mean we invest blindly and without any specific analysis or strategy . For me, buying bitcoin at ATH is a bad investment strategy because we have to wait many years and only get very low returns . Meanwhile, if we have a clear strategy and plan, we will shorten the investment time and generate significant profits  .

Using the DCA strategy is completely different from buying at ATH levels . And we are just discussing buying bitcoin at ATH, we are not talking about DCA strategy.
There is no doubt that if you buy during an ATH and then hold it for a long term, you will have to wait for years for Bitcoin to go above that ATH again so that you can get some profit, however, if someone buys near a new ATH and then sell when they see they are getting about 5% to 10% profit, that isn't a bad deal in my opinion. So, long-time investment during an ATH is not a good thing to do, I agree with that.
The waiting aspect is what many people find hard to do and it is understandable if they are relatively new to bitcoin, building the trust in bitcoin from a practical perspective is not easy. Assuming it were people apply the DCA method already, buying during the peak will not be a problem because the price is never a factor of consideration in the buying process. But it is good to see that everyone who bought the previous ATH, for whatever reason, still holding till now is in profit. As bitcoin have made new ATH and still going higher, those who sold under panic will definitely be regretting their decisions now.


But if we know how to apply the DCA strategy , there will be no way we can buy bitcoin right at the ATH. For example, if you use the DCA strategy from when bitcoin was priced at $15k in 2022 until now, even if you just bought more bitcoin for $73k, your average price is only 40k - 50k. This is completely different from buying all your bitcoins for $73k, and the difference is huge.

If it were me, if I were unlucky enough to buy bitcoin for $69k in 2021 and then I confirmed that bear season has arrived, I would rather cut my losses and wait to buy back at a good price than hold until now just to get a few percent of the profits. In investing, there will be wins and losses and we need to accept them because that is the risk of investing.
447  Economy / Speculation / Re: are you expecting Bitcoin to hit $400,000 after the bull run. on: April 01, 2024, 12:27:03 PM
-.-

Big funds are spreading too high targets to stimulate our greed and we will daydream about that target, while they will silently take profits when bitcoin reaches 150k$-200k$. As a wise investor, we need to set realistic goals and stick to our plans, don't listen to anyone.
-.-
 It is very normal for its price to reach $100000 target or $150000 target in bull market but those who invest it as $400000 must plan for long term.

Regardless of long-term or short-term goals, we should research, learn and make decisions ourselves, and should not rely on the advice of others, especially influencers on social networks. In addition, everything should be realistic, don't be too greedy or delusional, set goals that are too far away and then we have to pay a high price. I am also optimistic about bitcoin during this year's bull season because of many objective factors, but I will not be too delusional when setting a target of 400 thousand USD for each bitcoin.
448  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ International Football Prediction and Discussion Thread ⚽ on: April 01, 2024, 10:15:18 AM


What do you think, is the old Brazil back after these results?  Tongue

Joking aside it is of course not easy to make an assumption depending on just a friendly match. But especially in the match against Spain Brazil players looked very ambitious. It was like we were watching a World Cup finale you know.  Cheesy  When they made the score 3-3 their happiness was like they won an important match in a competition.

They had better show the same ambition in the World Cup qualifiers immediately. Otherwise they might even risk their quota for that. I guess things wouldn't come to that point but it is always better to take precautions in time.


Quote from: www.goal.com
The all-time leading scorer for Brazil, and the symbol of football in their country for the past decade, Neymar will miss the tournament after he suffered an ACL injury while on international duty in October. Whether he even plays again for his country remains to be seen.

Yes, I saw the results. But saying the old Brazil is back is absolutely too much optimism in my opinion. It will take more time for Brazil to actually get back or find the previous glory that they had once. Currently, they are definitely not looking like a team that has won the World Cup five times. And there are a lot of reasons for that.

Quote
Current Brazil XI squad (4-3-3): Alisson; Yan Couto, Gabriel, Marquinhos, Carlos Augusto; Bruno Guimaraes, Casemiro, Paqueta; Rodrygo, Richarlison, Vinicius.
Source: https://www.goal.com/en-in/lists/brazil-copa-america-2024-squad-dorival-junior/blt3c3e8b96dd3771ab#cs65703a2d5e970b10

Look at the squad, the main reason being that Brazil has been able to produce a lot of flashy winger players. But they have not been able to produce really good defenders or midfielders and a big position which is very important, strikers. The number of wingers that Brazil has right now if they had half the number of players of other positions, they would have definitely been a great squad. But currently, the squad is pretty unbalanced in my opinion.

449  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: April 01, 2024, 12:47:10 AM
If it's not Bilbao who can hold Real Madrid back, then what team has the chance to hold Real Madrid back? Because after all, it seems that Bilbao is really experiencing a better and stronger performance this season and thus, I think even though Bilbao is playing away against Real Madrid but I believe Bilbao will make it difficult for Real Madrid in this match. Of course, to beat Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabeu is a difficult target but even so, that doesn't mean Bilbao don't have the ability to hold Real Madrid to a draw. Because yes, I think at this moment Bilbao really has a good ability to be able to provide a difficult resistance to Real Madrid and thus, I am not entirely sure Real Madrid wins in this home match.

Based on the H2H of these two teams, Madrid always dominates over Bilbao. Moreover, Madrid is far favored by bookies with low odds. which means, Madrid's probability of overthrowing Bilbao is very high. because, there is a fairly clear gap based on the betting market. However, that doesn't mean Bilbao can be beaten so easily even though the match is held at the Santiago Bernabeu. Ernesto Valverde's team played quite well, they were able to hold Barcelona to a draw in their previous match, beat Girona, and also beat Atletico with a landslide score in the Copa del Rey.

Well, we agree with what you said, it doesn't seem to be an easy matter to overthrow Real Madrid. but at least, Bilbao has a chance to hold Real Madrid to a draw. none other than that, their goal is not to lose points which Atletico Madrid can take away at any time. so, there is no choice but to go all out to achieve the maximum possible results. I'm quite sure, Real Madrid will have quite a hard time breaking into Bilbao's goal. By the way, this is just my assumption and speculation regarding this fight. Regarding the results, it will be determined when it is held. In this match, several Madrid players will be absent. apart from injury, Vini Jr was suspended. Well, let's just wait because in the next few hours the match will be held.

Madrid won by 2 goals where both of the goals came from Rodrygo.



No matter how much in form you are, and no matter how good a team you are, Real Madrid is a team to be always careful with. If you are too overconfident or something, you will find yourself on the losing side of the game.

But you know, Real Madrid has the UEFA Champions League matches coming up against Manchester City, so there is a good amount of chance that Ancelotti won't be playing his best player in that match. And to be honest, even if they failed to win this match, it won't matter much because they are way ahead in the La Liga table compared to the 2nd position team Barcelona. Athletico Bilbao are doing great currently and are in 4th position ahead of Atletico Madrid. If they had somehow managed to beat Real Madrid last day, they could have solidified their 4th position instead of Atletico Madrid, but they failed, most probably Bilbao is going to lose their 4th position after Atletico Madrid's next match against Villarreal.
450  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: March 31, 2024, 05:53:00 PM
~~~
I know you probably didn't really enjoy the match because Barcelona was only able to score 1 goal to bring them full points, even though Las Palmas had lost one player since the first half and that should have been an advantage for Barcelona but it turned out that Barcelona was only able to score 1 goal. According to all of us, this is not surprising, I think Barcelona is just trying to play more relaxed so that their players don't lose a lot of stamina so that it doesn't affect their performance towards the end. At least 1 goal is enough to bring Barca to 3 points and become more comfortable in 2nd place.
Barcelona difficulty in scoring goals was due to Las Palmas having a very high fighting spirit even though they played with 10 players from the 24th minute, they continued to run after the ball relying on speed and playing with high tension. Las Palmas didn't look like they were playing with 10 players, they defended well and were still able to build attacks occasionally. Barcelona's defense line was threatened several times by Las Palmas due to the defenders allowing opposing players to have space to shoot. Barcelona was still lucky because the Las Palmas players' shots deviated from the target.
Las Palmas did very well in averting many goals following the early red card. Perhaps Barcelona have continued to show how weak a team they have become this season. If it were the strong Barcelona that we know, there was no way they will not score at least 4 goals against Las Palmas who is never a treat to any big side this season. The conceded 5 goals against Atletico Madrid and 3 goals against Getafe so this demystify their supposed fighting spirit. I'm sure Barcelona has just increase the pockets of the bookies by neutralising those who would have played with the expectations of many goals
Barcelona gave no impression other than weakening their championship chances with the football they played. I see a big difference between Real Madrid and Barcelona. Real Madrid plays more organized in attack and puts a lot of pressure on the opposing defense. Barça, on the other hand, can beat Las Palmas, who received a red card in the early minutes, with only 1 goal. I think Barça and its players will receive great criticism after this match.

It would not be fair to compare Barcelona this season with Madrid's squad. Ancelotti has been trying to build a stable squad for a long time. He has been working with young players for a long time. Tried to strengthen the bonding between the players. And now he is very successful. Real Madrid's squad is very stacked right now. All they need now is an experienced striker. With the addition of an experienced striker to the squad, the Madrid side will become unstoppable.

On the other hand, the situation of the Barcelona team is now very shaky. The financial condition of the team is not good. Barcelona don't have enough money. They are not able to pay high wages to the players. Also not able to buy players at uccho price. I think this team needs more time to stabilize.
451  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: March 31, 2024, 05:07:50 PM
Chennai team is batting at a big target of 192 runs. A big score of 191 on this pitch is not very difficult. Delhi batsmen batted with responsibility so they managed to set a big target of 192 runs. The first 4 batsmen of the top order batted well.


Source: Espncricinfo

But the interesting thing is that the Chennai team collected only 32 runs in 6 overs of the power play. We have seen quite good batting from the Chennai batsmen in the last two matches. So even after giving Delhi big target today we thought Chennai will win. But I am more surprised by Rachin Ravindra's batting today. I have always seen Rachin Ravindra batting aggressively. But today he collected only 2 runs from 12 balls. I have never seen such amazing batting from Rachin Ravindra.

The way Rachin Ravindra batted against such a big target really surprised me. While an average of 10 runs per over is needed to win, a bowler as talented as Rachin Ravindra batted only 2 runs in 2 overs. Due to such strange performances of the players, the matches of IPL seem like fixing to us.

Ajinkia Rahane and Daryl Mitchell are batting very well now, although the two openers are not doing well. At the end of 9 overs, Chennai collected 58 runs. Both Rahane and Mitchell remain unbeaten with 26 runs. Chennai batsmen need to collect 134 runs in 66 balls to win. An average of more than 12 runs per over must be collected.

Chennai's batting order is very strong. It will not be difficult for Chennai to score 12+ runs per over unless they lose wickets quickly. Jadeja, Shameer, DHoni and Deepak Chahar are all capable of batting well.



At the end of 12 overs, Chennai's batsmen managed to collect only 92 runs. Chennai lost three wickets. I would say now the match is completely under the control of Delhi bowlers. If the Delhi bowlers can bowl the last few overs with some control then Delhi will win this match.

Google still shows a 44% chance of Chennai winning the match. That doesn't seem believable to me. However, I would say the match now depends on Rahane and Shivam Dube's innings. If these two batsmen play big innings, Chennai has a chance to win. If these two batsmen fail to perform well, Delhi will win this match. But at the moment, the match is completely under the control of Delhi.
452  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Is Bitcoin a scam on: March 31, 2024, 08:47:14 AM
Bitcoin will not be what it is based on what comments are made about Bitcoin, but Bitcoin will remain as it is. Just as there are people around us who have a positive mind about something, there are also some people with a negative mind who always think negatively about everything. Someone said bitcoin scam and bitcoin can disappear from the market anytime bitcoin scam is the thing but it is not like that at all. Basically, those of us who know about Bitcoin and have been involved with Bitcoin for a long time may have understood by now that Bitcoin is not a scam at all but Bitcoin is the most reliable digital currency. As much as we think, we should be in the thought that the other person said something, we should not give so much importance to it.

To put it more simply, instead of listening to what others say and hastily believing what they say, we should verify for ourselves what is true. If we easily believe that bitcoin is a scam just because of what others say, then if they say our parents or relatives are scammers while we are the ones living with the family, then what Is that trustworthy? We can't ban people from saying bad things or thinking bad about bitcoin because that's their right, our job is to authenticate things ourselves instead of easily trusting someone.
453  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin 190K in 2024? on: March 31, 2024, 08:40:41 AM
Time is getting closer to halving, for me this is a special moment even though I only hold a little bitcoin and a few altcoins, the euphoria is so pronounced and there are many surprises in my opinion, a matter of weeks yes. The miners may not be as happy as we are when halving. But not necessarily, if these miners have saved far away or maybe from the previous halving. Maybe it's still logical for X2 at the full price today for each bitcoin, but maybe in the next few months, if it's 3 weeks I think it's too tight and very short to exceed that price. Indeed, bitcoin is a special coin for everyone even though the price is currently very impressive. Even if the price touches the prediction either in the middle of this year or Q4 I think it is still included in the halving year Wink.

I keep bitcoin in my wallet as much as possible, even though I sold it a few times for airdrop missions and I don't hesitate to buy back bitcoin at the current price if I get any money from it. There is an art to keeping bitcoin.

You dont need to worry about the miners because the block reward will decrease but the price of bitcoin increases significantly , so they still make a big profit. In addition, the higher the price of bitcoin, the higher the transaction fees will be, and they are also the ones who benefit from the transaction fees, so they will not be as disappointed as you think. Not to mention , miners are also considered sharks in the market and they will know how to manipulate and manipulate the market to bring them profits . if they don't make a profit , do you think they will continue mining? Just like you , if the investment is not profitable , will you continue to invest in Bitcoin? No one wants to do charity work in this market.

To me, retail investors are still the biggest losers in this game . But it's okay , as long as we have a good plan there is still a way for us to make great profits from Bitcoin.

to answer the op's question, no one knows what will happen, but let's hope bitcoin can reach 190k$ or higher by the end of the year .
454  Economy / Speculation / Re: are you expecting Bitcoin to hit $400,000 after the bull run. on: March 31, 2024, 07:58:58 AM
I'm seeing Bitcoin rising to $400,000 before the first quarter of 2025, the bull run this time it will be different from the last one. Bitcoin is $70,000 now the halving have not started, I'm looking at the market that this is the right to buy and hold after the bull run then you sell and make your triple profit.

400k$? Is that goal too high? I even see some people who don't dare set expectations higher than $150k, most of them just expect bitcoin to reach $100k - $120k for this bull cycle. Meanwhile, you're setting the bar too high for most people. But of course, you have the right to expect based on your knowledge and bitcoin is unpredictable, anything can happen. But I want to remind you, don't be too greedy by setting your goals too high, it will make you lose money instead of making profits as you expected.
Yes, that's too much. Although this is just speculation and everyone, even experts, have the right to predict the price of Bitcoin after the halving. However, reaching 400K is too high and unreasonable, and in the future there is a possibility that this could happen and does not mean it will happen after the halving that occurs later.
And to reach double the previous ATH of 69K after this year's halving, in my opinion, there is still a possibility to happen and even more than that. But for 400K it's too much and the expectations are too high and also too greedy.

the reason why there are speculation that high is because the tradfi institutions have high hopes for this market to save them.

big names are telling their followers this bull run is not the same as it used to be in the previous halving so it gives hope somehow. $150k is a bit high but because they are saying that this bull market will continue to rise even in 2025, the price may touch that price if they approve more ETFs.


Be wise investors, we need to make our own predictions with knowledge and experience, don't listen to rumors, especially from big names because it can be a trap they want us to fall in. The market is like a battlefield, there will be no games, everyone will win, there will be winners and losers.

Big funds are spreading too high targets to stimulate our greed and we will daydream about that target, while they will silently take profits when bitcoin reaches 150k$-200k$. As a wise investor, we need to set realistic goals and stick to our plans, don't listen to anyone.
455  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin might reach $100k before halviing. What is your exit strategy? on: March 30, 2024, 04:37:45 PM
For me, it's all about setting goals and sticking to them. If I'm aiming for $100K, selling at a profit makes sense. But when it comes to Bitcoin, I see it as a long-term investment for my retirement. I'm not rushing to sell, especially since I'm not that old yet. When prices dip, I see it as a chance to buy more Bitcoin at a discount. I've seen how it pays off in the past. With Bitcoin, I'm confident it'll be worth a lot more in the future, securing a comfortable retirement for me and my family.
Everyone also hopes, like you, that bitcoin can reach not only $100K but more, but it will not be achieved before the halving period but after. I agree with you that we must be able to sell when we have already made a profit, but we must not be greedy in adjusting to the achievements you determine, because we are afraid that the moment to sell could be missed if we persist in reaching higher. Bitcoin is indeed a long, term investment, but the period is only every 4 years, not necessarily until retirement, when it has been 4 years, it will be at its peak and buy and sell when it is corrected and save again, and continue to do so.
I also believe with you that bitcoin will be worth more in the future and there is no need to be afraid to continue holding it.
I also think that holding for too long and not taking profits every cycle is not a wise idea. While we all know that the longer we hold bitcoin, the higher our chances of getting bigger profits. But the future is unpredictable, and anything can happen so selling bitcoin and taking in some profits each cycle is not a bad idea. In addition, everything has its cycle, no asset can increase in price forever without decreasing and once we understand that rule, why don't we take advantage of it to increase our profits?
456  Economy / Speculation / Re: are you expecting Bitcoin to hit $400,000 after the bull run. on: March 30, 2024, 04:04:22 PM
I'm seeing Bitcoin rising to $400,000 before the first quarter of 2025, the bull run this time it will be different from the last one. Bitcoin is $70,000 now the halving have not started, I'm looking at the market that this is the right to buy and hold after the bull run then you sell and make your triple profit.

400k$? Is that goal too high? I even see some people who don't dare set expectations higher than $150k, most of them just expect bitcoin to reach $100k - $120k for this bull cycle. Meanwhile, you're setting the bar too high for most people. But of course, you have the right to expect based on your knowledge and bitcoin is unpredictable, anything can happen. But I want to remind you, don't be too greedy by setting your goals too high, it will make you lose money instead of making profits as you expected.
457  Economy / Speculation / Re: another ATH , 71k and still climbing. on: March 30, 2024, 03:45:48 PM
-.-


-.-For me, the effect of ETF in attracting money to Bitcoin through the ETF company is what I am still doubtful to be as huge as people expected.

I don't put too much faith in ETFs, I'm just saying what's going on as I feel. I just know that thanks to the ETF catalyst, bitcoin reached an ATH before the halving and that has never happened before.

And talk about onchain data about the flow of money through the ETF to enter the market. There is a lot of onchain data provided by services, I think you have never tracked them so you already have some suspicions about them. According to some reports I read every day, on some days bitcoin ETFs are even buying more bitcoins than are mined each day. So, if you think that the increase in bitcoin price is not due to ETFs, you are not entirely correct. Additionally, you can also look back at the history of when gold was approved for ETFs, while it's impossible to say that gold and bitcoin will be the same, it's still worth comparing when it comes to ETFs.
458  Economy / Speculation / Re: BTC Sentiment Poll for March on: March 29, 2024, 02:23:02 PM




There were few things which going to have impact on bitcoin price and things are surely going to be stayed at the positive level for the long time currently we are in $70K and few predictions are clearly suggesting we are going to have $100K in coming days

True, but I don't think this predictions will happen. I don't think bitcoin
 test $100k before halving, I expect to see that only after halving. But can be in   a range of $70k - $80k creating a new ATH before halving.
We are already near halving and there are no signs about positive sentiments or fundamentals on which it would really be causing up such potential price rally to $100k or even touching up $80k but well we do know
that Bitcoin does really love on surprises on which we dont know on when would be the next big movement or this one would really be continuing until having with this current sideways movement.
Now that we are fast approaching on halving event and the movement isnt really that too much. It is really that hard to guess or predict on what would be its next move if something like this.
We cant really be able to see some sentiment around on which we could really be able to based up. This is why it would really be just that depending on you on what are the actions you would really be taking.
Some might really be having that kind of hesitation on making up some positioning because even myself having those doubts that there would be some dumps.

Bitcoin has been going sideways for the past few days and it is making some people feel discouraged and impatient.  But as you also admit that bitcoin likes to create surprises and the $80k target is not too far away so I still think it can still get there before the halving happens .  100k$ is actually a pretty lofty target but 80k$ is actually possible before the halving . Personally, I remain optimistic from now until the halving takes place, and after halving there will be an adjustment, not a crazy price increase .
459  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin halving, how low the price can be? on: March 29, 2024, 02:05:43 PM
Next month will be Bitcoin halving, how far can the price go down? or how high can the price go up?

The max it can go low is 50k usd. It won’t fall below it. The reason for which I am so confident is that, as Bitcoins will go down, more people will start buying it. Moreover we know that Bitcoins are fixed in numbers, hence if more people will buy it then the price to accumulate it will increase, leading to increase the demand. Hence as the demand is high and supply is less, automatically the price will go up. Hence, 50k will be the lowest price possible this halving. Now let’s see what happens.

But why 50k$ or not 40k$ or 60k$? There will be no specific numbers when it comes to bitcoin because bitcoins fluctuations do not completely depend on supply and demand. Bitcoin prices are still largely manipulated, and the price of bitcoin is determined by market makers . I don't believe in supply and demand at this stage as bitcoin is still too small and too easily manipulated . But personally I don't think they will let bitcoin fall before the halving, the price will continue to increase and will reach ATH before the halving occurs.
460  Economy / Speculation / Re: another ATH , 71k and still climbing. on: March 29, 2024, 01:24:51 PM
Potentially bullish rumours on the Morgan Stanley ($150 billion market cap investment bank)  filed with SEC to buy Bitcoin ETFs with 12 of their funds.
The speculation is that they will also allow Bitcoin spot ETFs to be traded on their platform, which potentially could have a decent impact on the price.
More details:
https://www.fxstreet.com/cryptocurrencies/news/bitcoin-price-defends-69k-amid-rumors-of-morgan-stanley-approving-btc-etfs-on-its-platform-202403271900
https://twitter.com/BTC_Archive/status/1772978686133768479

If true, this has the potential to tip the price over $75k.

The impact of the ETF on bitcoin is huge and if this news is true, it is entirely possible that we will see bitcoin prices reach $80K or more very soon. But this also reminds me of something: in the past, many people thought ETFs were useless and they didn't take them seriously . But now what, everyone is watching the money flowing into bitcoin through ETFs every day as this is the biggest catalyst for bitcoin price to reach a higher ATH. I think the impact of the ETF has surpassed and is greater than the impact of the halving.
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