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4401  Economy / Economics / Re: The impact of Russian and Ukrain war on world economy on: March 28, 2023, 11:31:13 AM
The gas price and restriction in supply has greatly effected fertilizer production which does become a global problem quite easily.   I already thought food production was a bull market this decade and the next but this unforeseen restriction has and will continue to cause problems in many countries.  It also restricts self production and requires countries to import even more foreign food produce, more stress on the dollar and global trade.
  Apparently Ukraine was a source of gas of another kind used in chip production.  Some stocks were stored for this event but eventually it will require alternate sources to appear or again the whole world has a constriction on chip supply and design or so I've read.   Again the market was already tight and disrupted in order flow by covid.

Back in 2020, pipeline natural gas was trading at $100 to $150 per thousand cubic meters. Now it's trading at $500 to $600 per k.cu.m (at one point in 2022, prices had crossed $3,000 per k.cu.m, but then it came down). At current levels, producing Ammonia fertilizer from natural gas is unaffordable for most of the industrial units. On top of that, the price of potash fertilizer has also risen thanks to the Russo-Ukrainian war (most of the global production comes from Russia and Belarus). And as a final nail in the coffin, the freight rates have also increased by manytimes.
4402  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Cricket match prediction discussions on: March 28, 2023, 11:21:18 AM
@tusandii there’s not many major developments since you last watched an India’s cricket match except that their wicket keeper suffered an horrific accident but is making a recovery now, and second big development was Australia defeating them and winning the series despite being the tourists. Furthermore IPL is starting now so you may want to get a closer look on the player’s, as that’ll prepare you for future tournaments to decide whether to wager on India or some other team.

Rishabh Pant is just lucky that he escaped more serious consequences. A few seconds after he got out of the vehicle, it caught fire and was completely destroyed in a matter of few hours. And regarding the Indian tour of Australia, the visitors performed poorly in the first two test matches when Pat Cummins was captaining them. But after Cummins was replaced with Steven Smith, they roared back with an upset win and then managed a draw for the 4th match. And then came the upset series win during the ODI series.
4403  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Women's Cricket Prediction & Discussion - T20 & ODI on: March 28, 2023, 11:08:15 AM
RCB the name itself is jinxed. Like the men team which has the best players on paper the women team did too. Unfortunately they all start playing like a bunch of amature when the game starts. I hope the management of RCB starts working on them by placing some strict guidelines in their contract.

The problem is that Royal Challengers Bangalore women's team members and management never focuses on their game and instead they concentrate on things outside cricket field. What was the point in appointing Sania Mirza as the mentor to this team? If you want, you can ask ex-cricket players such as Rahul Dravid and Stuart Binny to become the mentors to the women's team. But what is the point in asking a tennis player to become the mentor of a women's cricket team? These are the reasons why RCB has become a cursed team.
4404  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: March 28, 2023, 10:58:32 AM
Well, it is known that the soccer World Cup has been held since 1930, this is a great tradition, it is something that must be maintained, no matter what is believed, the exciting thing about all this is that this great event is celebrated every 4 years, I If I want more countries that have never gone to a World Cup to do so in the next one, it's the first time that 3 countries will organize it,it seems perfect to me, it's something new, if Qatar is new, what these 3 countries are doing is something that I like it even more, you know more things and their culture.

If you care so much about tradition, then you may restrict the FIFA Football World Cup to just 13 participants and 3 confederations. Tradition can't be maintained everytime. Situation needs to change according to time. Back in 1930, there were only a few dozen independent nations. Most of the African continent was under the control of colonial powers, so was South and Southeast Asia. In order to maintain the tradition, you need to ask these countries to represent under the flag of their colonial master, which is illogical.
4405  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: March 28, 2023, 10:43:10 AM
Now the match is officially called off without a ball being bowled. Sri Lanka needs to play the qualifier in Zimbabwe for the World Cup 2023. One point given to each team and the point of Sri Lanka have reached 88 points. It looks like big difference between the points of Sri Lanka and West Indies.



You are looking at the ICC ODI rankings table, and not at the points table for the 2020–2023 ICC Cricket World Cup Super League. Qualification for the 2023 ODI World Cup will be decided by the latter. If Sri Lanka wins the next match, then there is still a chance that they may qualify directly. They have 81 points now, and West Indies is at 88. If they win the next match, then they will be at 92 points. But still, there is no guarantee. If South Africa wins both of their matches against Netherlands, then they will get to 98 points.
4406  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: March 28, 2023, 10:29:56 AM
Nobody is saying that PCB must not test new talent from PSL but the way new players are tested is not a wise move. If you see team of first 2 t20Is then majority are making debut or coming back to national team after a long break. Lets not forget that Pakistan is team that is playing more T20 then Test and ODIs. Already Pakistan has lost home series against NZ, Aus and England, and now this series is also lost. If you history of Pak vs Afghanistan then all matches are very narrow win for Pakistan. Still PCB decided to send a new team against mighty Afghanistan.

It doesn't matter whether they win this series or not. What is the significance of this series? It was setup as a last minute replacement by the ACB after Australia cancelled their Afghan tour. Even if Pakistan lose this series, it is not going to impact them in a big way. Matches against teams such as New Zealand and England are far more important. Anyway, we don't even know whether Afghanistan will have the full member status in the long run. That is one of the topics to be discussed during the next general meeting of the ICC.
4407  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Cricket match prediction discussions on: March 28, 2023, 10:19:15 AM
@Sithara007 According to you, how ICC's new revenue allocation policy should look like? Considering it's on record and a well established fact that BCCI contributes 90% of revenue?

Do you think that BCCI now has a genuine claim or it's still an unfair demand? IMO they should get a bigger pie this time.

None of the sports bodies work that way. USA and EU contribute to more than 50% of FIFA revenues. But these countries don't get any extra funding from the FIFA, and in case of USA their grants are much lower compared to high performing countries such as Argentina and France. Funding should be based on performance, and not based on where the funds originate. First of all, this tiered structure of full members and associate nations should be done away with. And then, funds should be allocated based on performance (only after repealing the current eligibility laws, which allow a "national" team to be comprised of 100% foreign citizens).
4408  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Pakistan Super League #PSL Discussion Thread on: March 28, 2023, 03:31:24 AM
Yeah, I agree because of this workload and length I am giving IPL a copy of English Premier League where players having the highest salaries but their workload and number of matches are creating problems for the many players and now after this all many big stars love to enjoy their good time in other leagues like La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga where salaries are comparably not like EPL but quality and time is good like EPL.

Now it's all depend on BCCI how they manage this all for the better future because if they will just go for money then surely this will kill the beauty of play and if they will try to manage this all with better idea surely they will have good money and players workload will be also in control, and they will also enjoy this all happily.

The BCCI is going for the kill. They want to expand the IPL time window from 2.5 months to 3 months. And I am sure that in the future they will add additional franchises as well. Last time the BCCI received a total of ₹12,715 crore for the two new franchises (Lucknow and Gujarat). It is easy money for them and in the near future I am sure that they will add more franchises to the league. Only a small part of this money ends up with the players. The highest paid cricketer in IPL is Sam Curran, who is contracted for ₹18.5 crore per year.
4409  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod] on: March 28, 2023, 03:04:08 AM
You are right. After players like Kumar Sangakkara, Lasith Malinga and Sanath Jayasuriya went on retreatment I have not seen any world-class players in the Sri Lankan squad. The Sri Lankan board has completely failed to find suitable replacements for their star players. Mathews is a very talented player. But he cannot help the team responsibly and at the moment when the team needs it. Also, Sri Lanka's bowling line-up is quite weak now. Spin and pace are not doing well anywhere. A good performance is not expected from the Sri Lankan team in the upcoming ODI World Cup.

First of all, it needs to be seen whether the Lankans will be able to qualify for the ODI World Cup or not. It is almost certain that they need to play the qualifier tournament (everything will be clear in another 2-3 days). Here we are discussing about the test performance from Sri Lanka. When was the last time they managed to defeat a pig-4 side in test format? During this cycle of the ICC World Test Championship, they had big wins against the weaker teams such as West Indies. Apart from the solitary win against Australia, during the matches against pig-4 they simply got whitewashed.
4410  Economy / Economics / Re: Russian Gas ban - A problem for Europe or suicide for Russia? on: March 28, 2023, 02:54:55 AM
...and if we'll rewind some more, there was a similar sad story of Native Americans and their brutal slaughter by the "peaceful pilgrims". It was much bloodier if compared to the history of Russia. And btw, communists killed more Russians than representatives of other nationalities: from 1920s to 1950s around 4 million people got deported and ~700k executed.

According to Timothy D. Snyder, Stalin alone alone killed more than 9 million and more than half of this number consisted of ethnic Russians. On top of that, most of the 27 million deaths suffered by the USSR during WW2 resulted from stupid policies of Stalin. And a large share of this 27 million consisted of very young men, and therefore the actual losses in the long run were much more amplified. In Belarus 25% of the population was wiped out as a result of WW2, while in Ukraine the death rate was 16%.
4411  Economy / Economics / Re: Sanctions at work:Russia posts its second highest deficit in the post-Soviet era on: March 28, 2023, 02:44:31 AM
4. Cherry on the cake: China refused to increase Russian gas supplies to China Smiley

Yeah.. we believe you.

https://english.alarabiya.net/News/world/2022/12/21/China-buys-record-amount-of-Russian-LNG-oil-and-coal-purchases-also-surge
https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/china-is-set-to-become-russias-main-gas-importer-to-replace-eu/2762421

Russian exports to China will rise exponentially in the future, in the form of pipeline gas as well as LNG. Power of Siberia 2 pipeline is under construction and once it becomes operational, almost all the volumes that used to flow to the EU will start flowing eastwards. And China remains the no.1 consumer of Russian crude, and here also the volumes are rising:

https://www.ndtv.com/business/india-vies-with-china-over-russian-crude-prices-rise-3846219
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/business/russian-oil-gets-pricier-as-pool-of-buyers-from-india-china-expands/articleshow/98502068.cms
4412  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Women's Cricket Prediction & Discussion - T20 & ODI on: March 28, 2023, 02:34:04 AM
I hope the next season of WPL becomes more competitive. This year everyone knew either MI or DC would win the first season. Both team played good but I was not happy with DC's fielding yesterday. I also felt the two wickets given in favour of MI in the early stage of DC batting were misjudged by the third umpire. This controversy will stay for sometime. .

In the end Congratulations to MI on the fantastic win. The WPL ended with a jam-packed stadium. It looks promising and now we need to wait for the viewership data to determine how successful was the first season.

What I want to see is more contribution from the Indian players. The overseas players completely dominated the league this time. The franchises who had the best overseas players finished on top, while others couldn't get to the knockout phase. The case with Royal Challengers Bangalore Women was different though. They had some of the best Indian and overseas players, including Smriti Mandhana and Ellyse Perry. And despite all that they finished at the rock bottom of the points table. I don't know the reason for that, but I guess this RCB franchise is cursed, irrespective of whether it is the men's team or the women's.
4413  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: It's on! 2024 US Presidential Election Biden+Harris Vs Trump Bitcoin betting.... on: March 28, 2023, 02:24:28 AM
Imo, it's either Ron DeSantis or Joe Biden, but also Kamala Harris and Michelle Obama are worth some consideration regarding betting on them.

LOL.. from where Michelle Obama came in? She is not even involved in active politics as far as I know. As of now, both Barack and Michelle are touring Australia as a part of their speaking tour. On the other hand, it is the pro-GOP media which always raise this topic. An example here:

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/michelle-obama-potus-2024

In case Biden is not running for 2024 (he has already announced that he will be running), then in all probability Kamala Harris will be the Democrat nominee. Michelle Obama is too low in the order to be considered at this point.
4414  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: March 28, 2023, 02:14:26 AM
The issue with Pakistan is that they have made a stunning decision of sending new team to play T20 series against Afghanistan. The second tier team of Pakistan badly collapsed in front of Afghanistan team. May be this is move to strengthen position of struggling Rizwan and Babar back in team. Nobody is appreciating PCB idea of sending such new and inexperienced team. Even if you trying to test new players test them in a team where majority are experienced players. Now there are chances of losing series 3-0.

IMO, it is not a foolish decision from the PCB to send a young and inexperienced team to face Afghanistan. T20 rankings doesn't matter much (unlike the case with ODIs and tests), and it is always good to build a player pool for the future. And we need to admit that there were a few positives from the first two matches. And Pakistan comprehensively won the third match despite overwhelming odds. Saim Ayub (20-years old) and Iftikhar Ahmed clicked with the bat, while in the bowling department there was good performances from Ihsanullah and Zaman Khan.
4415  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: March 28, 2023, 02:04:17 AM
I don't want to say much about what FIFA wants to gain by increasing the number of participants in the World Cup, or they make the World Cup in 2 years. There are positive and negative things that will certainly be debated later. No I mean when they base this on the money they're likely to get of course it's going to put a bad image on them. However, there are things to benefit from, in this case the opportunities for countries that have never participated in this biggest football party will have even greater opportunities. Of course all countries want to be part of the World Cup, that's what they dream of.

I have always welcomed the decision by FIFA to increase the number of participants. Given the narrowing gap between the established and emerging teams, I believe that this is a decision that can be justified. That said, conducting the tournament every 2 years is a big no-no. We can wait 4 years to watch the world cup, and if it is being held every 2 years then it will be the same teams and same players, and things will get repetitive and boring. BTW, I am happy that the FIFA profits are increasing. I know that all of that money will be spent on popularizing football (unlike the case with cricket, where a large part of the ICC revenues get stolen by corrupt administrators).
4416  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: March 28, 2023, 01:54:10 AM
The match between New Zealand and Sri Lanka is getting delayed by rain. This is one of the two remaining matches for Sri Lanka in ICC Men's Cricket World Cup Super League. If both these matches gets washed out, they will end up with 87 points (one point behind West Indies) and therefore they may need to play the qualifier tournament for the 2023 ODI World Cup. South Africa will have two matches against Netherlands this week, and if they win those matches then they are through (irrespective of the outcome from NZ vs SL matches).
4417  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Cricket match prediction discussions on: March 28, 2023, 01:44:07 AM
From what I can see, no important decision was taken during the recently concluded ICC meeting at the United Arab Emirates. The most sticky topic is regarding revenue distribution among the full and associate members. And they need to do finalize the structure quickly, since the current structure expires within 9 months. It may take at least 6 months to get in to all the finer details and setup the payment gateways. So any delay in this regard will have the potential to hamper the functioning of national cricket boards.

Just a remainder. This is the existing structure for fund allocation:


4418  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Cricket match prediction discussions on: March 26, 2023, 02:24:47 AM
Sending humanitarian aid to Afghanistan, going ahead with pending infrastructure work or training existing batches of cadets hardly implies that India standing behind the Taliban, considering they still didn't recognize the Taliban as a government. BCCI does back ACB, let's see what happens.

At least politically, Indian government considers Afghanistan as one of the allies (despite the takeover by Taliban), and have provided them backing when required in UN and other global bodies. Afghanistan, Maldives, Bhutan and Bangladesh are some of the countries that are considered as "allies" by the government in Delhi. On the other hand, they have taken a very hostile stance against Nepal and Myanmar for geopolitical reasons. The Indian government considers these two countries as pro-China. Back in 2015, when Nepal was hit by an earthquake (when 10,000+ people died), the Indian government imposed a blockade which prevented the transport of medicines to that country. In Myanmar, India has supported the Rohingya and Chin rebel groups and have supported UN resolutions against Myanmar on the Rohingya issue. The church-controlled states such as Mizoram and Nagaland have allowed Chin rebel groups to establish their bases near the Myanmar border, from where they regularly attack the Tatmadaw.

BCCI is nowadays controlled almost entirely by politicians from the ruling party, such as Jay Shah, Anurag Thakur and Prem Kumar Dhumal and therefore their policies closely align with that of the Indian government. For the last two decades, the BCCI has refused to help the Cricket Association of Nepal (CAN) in any capacity, while they have showered huge amounts of money on the Afghanistan Cricket Board (ACB).
4419  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: March 26, 2023, 02:11:18 AM
The 2020–2023 ICC Cricket World Cup Super League is finally coming to an end, and we are now getting a fair idea about who will qualify to the ODI World Cup directly from this league. The massive defeat against New Zealand yesterday meant that Sri Lanka is now out of contention for finishing in the top-8. Even of they win their remaining two matches, they would need South Africa to lose against Netherlands. Ireland need to win all 3 of their matches against Bangladesh to qualify. It may not be impossible, but probability is low. So IMO, South Africa may qualify directly, and the following teams may need to play the qualifier tournament - West Indies, Sri Lanka and Ireland. 
4420  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: March 26, 2023, 01:54:07 AM
West Indies vs South Africa decide to continue 11 over match due to rain.Rovman Powell has done an amazing batting for West Indies.He batted at a 200 plus strike rate and was unbeaten on 43 off 18 balls.He is man of the match.Nicholas Pooran, ohnson Charles,Brandon King,they played amazingly and batted at 200 plus strike rates.They have indeed achieved a great victory.

It was a tough win for West Indies yesterday. Scoring 132 from just 11 runs is never going to be easy, when the opponents are having world class bowlers such as Anrich Nortje and Wayne Parnell. Nortje bowled exceptionally well, and conceded just 17 runs from his 3 overs. And the rest of the bowlers conceded 115 runs from their 7.3 overs, including Parnell who went for 25 from his 1.3 overs. Along with Rovman Powell, we should also give credit to Brandon King who started the fireworks for West Indies. His 23 from 8 balls proved to be very crucial in the end.
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