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4421  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 23, 2023, 10:24:28 PM
For all the wretchedness of PSG management, the Mbappe + Osimhen pairing will be really scary. With 99% of Messi leaving the team and it can be assumed that PSG will buy a productive midfielder who does not just walk, I begin to fear that this money bag will still become competitive in the Champions League. I will hope that Osimhen is ambitious and does not go to PSG.

I really think if Osimhen does end up going to PSG he will certainly have some problems with Mbappe. Just a feeling. Personally, I do believe that he should go to other links.

I heard that New Castle United was looking for him. That choice seems to be really great compared to PSG right now. He could go to any big club right now.
He should not be choosing PSG. Because then he will be choosing only money. At this stage of his career, he should be more ambitious and not just go for money.

I completely agree - PSG is a swamp in which you can only go for the sake of money (early retirement). For young ambitious players, this is not an acceptable choice. It is enough to look at what happened to Neymar, Mbappe himself and others to understand that you should not go there. Even Messi lost a lot of his image during his adventures at PSG. But who knows what Osimhen is thinking. I didn't follow his interview so I can't speculate about what he'll choose.
4422  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 23, 2023, 10:19:19 PM
Bundesliga remaining 5 matches for becoming the champion this season and Bayern Munich have dropped to 2nd standings after losing from Mainz and the rival team Dortmund success won Frankfurt last games. Lets talk statistic and chance for both team who will be the winner in this season  by comparison all matches left for both teams.

Dortmund's matches left

  • Bochum vs Dortmund
  • Dortmund vs Wolfburg
  • Dortmund vs Gladbach
  • Ausburg vs Dortmund
  • Dortmund vs Mainz

Bayern's matches left

  • Bayern vs Hertha
  • Werder vs Bayern
  • Bayern vs Schalke
  • Bayern vs Leipzig
  • Koln vs Bayern

Bayern's path looks a bit easier in common, but Leipzig will be a tough nut to crack plus Schalke which are desperate to leave the relegation zone could prove to be a problem. I'm rather optimistic about Dortmund's chances - I don't believe they will take all 15 points, but I don't believe Bayern will take their 15 points.
4423  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: April 23, 2023, 10:13:49 PM
Inter Milan - AC Milan can fall in any direction in principle, Inter does have a stronger team, but not so strong that AC Milan would have no chance. Both beautiful clubs, a Milanese club in the final is already certain. Real Madrid Inter Milan would also be a great game, but we all think City will play the final. It would also be nice for Madrid to start a duel well. Last year it seemed to be without a chance for quite a long time, until Benzema had some brilliant ideas in the games before. 0-3 down against Chelsea at home was still repaired.

Bookmakers give a slight preference to Inter:

To Qualify

AC Milan 2.14

Inter Milano 1.71

But in my opinion it will be a completely random game - literally randomness will decide everything, like who is lucky to score first or something like that. By the way, Milan are above Inter in the standings and Inter have a monstrous 11 defeats in Serie A... Milan seems to be the correct bet.
4424  Local / Юристы / Re: Налоги и криптовалюта в России on: April 23, 2023, 10:07:30 PM
Нормально или нет, но через них проходит большой бесплатный поток (в плане получения информации) рабочей силы - то что нужно любому работадателю. Если вы не заметили, то сейчас чтобы узнать телефон соискателя даже на авито надо отстегнуть бабосики. Я уж не говорю о кадровых агенствах которые цену за подбор кандидатов загинают такую цену как будто они на луне их ищут. Так что глянуть что там в центре занятости полезно любому работадателю ибо бесплатно.

Последние два ваших предложения вообще не понял, сорян. Кто кому обещает, почему люди работают за в два раза меньшие деньги... ничего не понятно.
У нас в центр занятости ходили за пособиями, работу через знакомых искали. Если ты мужик с руками из правильного места, по сарафанному радио найдут. Я тоже вам говорю о теме более 10 лет, когда в эти центры ходили за пособиями или те, кто работать не хотел в основе.
На оборонные предприятия требуются сварщики, слесари, сборщики с обучением и зп до 100К, а мужики с опытом и с зп 40-50К не идут туда переучиваться.

Блин ну какая нах работа может быть если руки из нужного места? В самом грубом случае одно лето шабашек обеспечивает годовую зарплату в обычном месте. Знаю из личного опыта.
Если мужики не идут то там не все так гладко как на бумаге. "Дурак то он дурак, а мыло не ест". Я видел много "хороших" мест куда "почему-то" никто не идет, так что сразу скептичен относительно таких парадоксов.

Впрочем от темы мы отклонились. Налоги есть у кого желание за крипту заплатить? У меня лично пока не появилось. Отсюда вопрос - допустим биток наконец-то достиг миллиона, то как обналичить большую сумму с минимальными потерями/вопросами от ФНС и прочих?
4425  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: April 23, 2023, 09:58:14 PM
I thought Arsenal had a good chance to win the title but three draw in the last three matches is ruining their chances. I believe they will have more of these type of results. Eventually City is going to win it at least that's where we are heading now.

My round was not a good one. Below average with only 5.5 points but it's good to see one step up though.

Bad/good streaks don't last long (bad streaks for good clubs, good streaks for bad ones). And here, to be an optimist, one can argue like this: Arsenal has already gone through a decline in results, it will be better in the future - after all, 3 points in 3 games is the most obvious deviation from the average. Now look at City: 16 games unbeaten in all competitions. Hmm... I think we should expect some good news here.
4426  Local / Юристы / Re: Налоги и криптовалюта в России on: April 23, 2023, 06:18:28 PM
От города к городу ситуация разная и на самом деле в центре занятости бывают хорошие вакансии. Касательно отчетности сказал что знал из первых рук, и в любом случае что поквартальная отчетность, что годовая - это никому (на предприятии) нахер ненужная работа. По зп опять же в моем регионе все иначе (правда опять пример десятилетней давности) - новый завод пытаясь привлечь лучших местных кадров ставит зп чувствительно выше средней по району. На что от местных властей получает "совет" умерить пыл (совет включает точную цифру - потолок по зп которую можно платить работягам).
А че, служба занятости работать начала нормально? Все на окладах работают. Я помню чтобы получить бомж пособие безработному, там давали бумажку, с которой нужно ходить по ларькам и магазинам, и просить отметку "вакансий нет". В моем городе на военных предприятиях обещают зп до 100К квалифицированным рабочим, а вакансий больше чем кандидатов. И кто работает на средние 40-50К, не бежит сломя голову за большой зп.

Нормально или нет, но через них проходит большой бесплатный поток (в плане получения информации) рабочей силы - то что нужно любому работадателю. Если вы не заметили, то сейчас чтобы узнать телефон соискателя даже на авито надо отстегнуть бабосики. Я уж не говорю о кадровых агенствах которые цену за подбор кандидатов загинают такую цену как будто они на луне их ищут. Так что глянуть что там в центре занятости полезно любому работадателю ибо бесплатно.

Последние два ваших предложения вообще не понял, сорян. Кто кому обещает, почему люди работают за в два раза меньшие деньги... ничего не понятно.
4427  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [CHESS] FIDE Candidates Chess Tournament 2022 on: April 23, 2023, 04:33:48 PM
You say some things from the fantasy world. For example, Carlsen did not win the match for the chess crown (which is currently underway) although he could have.
You can talk as much as you like about the past, about past achievements, about “what would happen if”, but now two strongest chess players are playing in the match and Carlsen is weaker than both of them in terms of fighting for the chess crown.



In the meantime, Nepomniachtchi traded queens and thus turned an extremely sharp position into a draw. So the game ended - which is clearly in favor of Nepomniachtchi, who retains the lead.
Well, I agree that there is a bit of snobbery in Carlsen's decision. Probably need to retire from chess altogether if you're so tired of it all, but so far there's no stronger player than Magnus in terms of rating and essence. He's beaten everyone in his way and has held the chess crown for more than 10 years, but apparently no one lasts forever.

The eighth game between Nepomniyashchiy and Ding Lizhen was also excellent, although it seemed that Nepomniyashiy should have lost, but he tied the match with Ding Lizhen.

Carlsen has said many times that he has no motivation to participate in another championship match. No motivation/powers/skills - this means that he is weaker. What can be discussed here. This is not the first case in the history of chess, and always the one who left ceased to be a champion. Moreover, the debate about whether the current champion is the strongest chess player goes on for many periods in chess.

Today Nepomniachtchi kept the draw playing black and now there are 4 games left until the end of the match and the balance is clearly in his favor - he has a one-point advantage and has 2 games left to play with white and two with black.
4428  Local / Разное / Re: Зачем Илону Маску Твиттер? on: April 23, 2023, 04:25:57 PM
Это может вполне быть обыграно, что делается это все во благо, расскажут что чип поможет определять болезни на ранних стадиях и все такое. Изобрести одну пилюлю от всех болезней тоже нереально, и таблетку которая сделает вас счастливым не изобрести, а вот с чипом что то придумать можно, будут стимулировать область мозга и будет человеку хорошо. Ну это я уже увлекся немного миром фантастики, надеюсь что у людей хватит ума не разрешать внедрять себе в мозг что либо.

На аудиторию он мог влиять через твиттер и без его покупки, тут наверное есть какая то большая задумка.

Какая наивность - ковидафера показала что людям можно доказать/убедить что вверх ногами выгоднее ходить и вообще что угодно. С чипом будет то же самое. Где-то уговорят, где-то надавят - послушное большинство выполнит, а сотальных додушат постепенно. Так что наверно из реального надо просто надеяться что технологии еще нескоро такое позволят в принципе.
4429  Local / Юристы / Re: Налоги и криптовалюта в России on: April 23, 2023, 04:21:48 PM
Это не только в налоговой так, а вообще в любом взаимодействии с местным "государством". Помню еще лет 15 назад была такая фишка: если ИПшник/ОООшник (хотя насчет ип не уверен, но касательно мелких фирм точно работало) обращался в центр занятости поинтересоваться какие есть работники желающие поработать, то потом его прессовали на отчетность (которая вроде как по закону итак должна была им предоставляться) о том сколько рабочих мест на предприятии, сколько вакансий и т.д. То есть до того как произошло взаимодействие никто никого не трогал, а вот после всё - уже отвертеться не удавалось и предприятие получало дополнительную бумагомарательную абсолютнонахуй никому не нужную обузу.
В центр занятости обращались только те организации, в которых работать никто не хотел SmileyИ сейчас там полно вакансий, например библиотекарь в селе на 8 тысяч или рабочим на завод на 25 тысяч. ИП и ООО не сдавали отчетов в центр занятости. Был отчет о среднесписочной численности раз в год, а в последние годы поквартально. Были от таких организаций запросы о наличии свободных мест, и на этом взаимодействие прекращалось. За статистику ЗП уже работала администрация, если ЗП ниже отраслевой, заставляли повышать.

От города к городу ситуация разная и на самом деле в центре занятости бывают хорошие вакансии. Касательно отчетности сказал что знал из первых рук, и в любом случае что поквартальная отчетность, что годовая - это никому (на предприятии) нахер ненужная работа. По зп опять же в моем регионе все иначе (правда опять пример десятилетней давности) - новый завод пытаясь привлечь лучших местных кадров ставит зп чувствительно выше средней по району. На что от местных властей получает "совет" умерить пыл (совет включает точную цифру - потолок по зп которую можно платить работягам).
4430  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: April 23, 2023, 04:14:51 PM
The chance for non italian club to win UCL is far bigger compared with italian clubs itself. As far as i can see that if italian clubs were not always consistent with its performance.~

Bookmaker quotes for this type of outcomes are very funny in my opinion:

UEFA Champions League - Winning Country

England 1.66

Italy 3.90

Spain 4.25

In my opinion, Italy is underestimated - after all, they are already guaranteed to have one team in the final. England is overrated - quotes are as if City are already in the final and lead 1-0 in the first half. It will be a shame if City win the Champions League, but anyway I would not agree that such quotes fairly reflect the chances of the teams.
4431  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 23, 2023, 04:06:44 PM
You can blame Tuchel for everything, but it’s hardly his fault that Bayern flew out of the German Cup, then out of the Champions League and now risks losing the Bundesliga (lol). I wrote earlier that it is in any case the fault of the management who decided to change the head coach at the decisive moment of the season. Now I'm wondering - if Bavaria loses the Bundesliga as well, will Tuchel have another season to prove himself or will they again look for a new "wizard" (I think they themselves do not understand what they want).

Big mistake from Bayern Munich management for sacking Nagelsmann. I think they fired him really early and Tuchel didnt have any impact on the team at all. Probobly the worst season for Bayern Munich in years. Dortmund already leading 2-0 and will be first if they win this match

No one knows how things would have been under Nagelsmann, but now they are as bad as possible for Bavaria. In some ways, this reminds me of the situation with Chelsea, where they fired Tuchel and things got even worse.
I hope that Dortmund will take the title this year - the last time, by the way, after the 29th round, they were in the lead under Klopp and then they were able to take the title.
4432  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Italian Serie A ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2022/2023 on: April 23, 2023, 04:01:14 PM
Really ridiculous to see stuff like this happening in the top leagues. I thought decisions like this have been well thought out before acting in the first place. And not changed depending on who is judging the situation.

Anyway new match day starts today so make your picks.

Since the case moved into the area of legal squabbles, such cases were expected. As you know, any decision of the court can be challenged in the highest instance, and then in an even higher one (as far as I know, in most countries this is the case). And what happened at the moment is also not the final decision - I read that the likelihood of punishment for Juventus is still high and it can be applied both in the summer and next year.
4433  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: April 23, 2023, 03:56:53 PM
I will fix the quotes of the bookmakers before the next round:

Juventus 2.90

Bayer Leverkusen 3.50

Roma 3.90

Sevilla 4.50

I wonder why Bayer is higher than Roma? Alonso is good, but having Mourinho in the team gives +100% to the cup chances of any team. Seville is very close, well, ok, they showed that they are capable of miracles, but miracles are not endless, are they? Personally, I'm waiting for the Italian final.


The odds for Sevilla are much higher than other teams because due to the bad performance they have we don't expect Sevilla to win the Europa League title we didn't even expect to see Sevilla beat Manchester United because of the previous games we saw from both teams but there is the chance to see another miracle for Sevilla and they win the Europa league title.

2.90 for the favorite and 4.50 for the clear underdog is not much higher than other teams at all. If you look at the national championships, only Bayer is not in the top (although very close), and Sevilla is 13th in La Liga. Therefore, I believe that it is overrated - another thing is that so far they confirm that they are capable of something. And it seems to me that Juventus are now stronger than United simply because United are exhausted by the calendar - in the second game they simply did not have the strength to keep up the pace of the game. Therefore, I do not expect miracles in the game with Juventus.
4434  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 23, 2023, 03:49:29 PM
Saturday's transfer gossip:

Paris St-Germain are preparing a £133m bid for Napoli and Nigeria striker Victor Osimhen and will move into pole position, ahead of Chelsea, for the 24-year-old. PSG is again gathering big football stars and putting together a mega team, but so far this strategy has not paid off for them. They still haven't managed to win the Champions League.
~

For all the wretchedness of PSG management, the Mbappe + Osimhen pairing will be really scary. With 99% of Messi leaving the team and it can be assumed that PSG will buy a productive midfielder who does not just walk, I begin to fear that this money bag will still become competitive in the Champions League. I will hope that Osimhen is ambitious and does not go to PSG.
4435  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: April 23, 2023, 03:16:20 PM
I was hoping for a Spurs win or even a draw to keep Liverpool’s very slim chances of getting top 4 alive. We don’t deserve it any way, good luck to Newcastle they totally deserve it. That was one hell of a capitulation by Spurs, embarrassing lack of balls. I guess the old saying Spursy rings true again, losing courses through the veins of that club.

If Tottenham had won it wouldn't have improved Liverpool's chances - I don't think it's easier to beat two teams that have a 6 point lead both than one team that has a 9 point lead. The only good option for Liverpool was a draw, but Newcastle are showing that they are really strong and ready for the Champions League.

I did not expect that after a terrible result in Arsenal's game, this tour will bring positive emotions, but in the end I got a yellow cap. As is ILuckyGuyI. Congratulations!
4436  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +87282 units on: April 22, 2023, 08:42:32 PM
^ It was more of a "value" proposition than anything else. Bayern haven't been playing at their best but I was hoping for a Tuchel masterpiece combined with a Pep tinkering. Neither happened!

Today's an easy bet for me. Yes, Saints are bottom of the league, and Arsenal right at the top, but I won't forget easily their massive win against City in the EFL cup. You just never can count out a team with pretty damned good players on their day...

100 units at Sportsbet on Saints to WIN vs Arsenal @18.60. Other odds: 16.00
Units advantage: 260
Bet ID: 643e45a91e4b050001aa366a

Running advantage after 53 bets: +5120 (+260)
All-time cumulative: +88,200
Running units after 52 bets (8W|44L): +2228 (-100)

Oh. Friend, I'll probably stop visiting this thread for a while (I hope you invite me later) - it's very painful to watch how you are sooooo close to victory lately, but literally just a little bit is missing. Arsenal and the upcoming championship (very likely) of City ruined my mood today.
The only thing that pleased me was Dortmund (which, unexpectedly for me, used Bayern's mistake) and the situation that is developing now in the management of the club. Kahn and Salihamidzic must take full responsibility.
4437  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 22, 2023, 05:02:20 PM


Julian naglesmann

Luis enrique

Pochettino

Quote
Chelsea have shifted their attention from Julian Nagelsman and Luis Enrique towards a more familiar name for Premier League viewers. Having been interviewed by the club in September following the sacking of Thomas Tuchel, Mauricio Pochettino has emerged as the new favourite for the job.
https://www.football.london/chelsea-fc/news/mauricio-pochettino-new-chelsea-manager-26275856


Chelsea becomes even harder to get a good coach for the club. Pochettino becomes even closer to the chelsea, but the problem is if i were also seeing when naglesmann already reported to be even closer to the chelsea last weeks but he rejects it now.
Naglesmann was also trying to move to the totenham. It's likely that if pochettino will be a new manager for chelsea while naglesmann will be joining with totenham as a new manager.

This is a possible scenario to happen.


Nagelsmann is pretty brave if he actually moves to Tottenham. He doesn't seem to have a problem with the options of where to work and in such a situation going to Tottenham who ruined a lot of managers (I can't remember who succeeded there) is pretty bold. Moreover, we are saying this in conditions when the competition in the Premier League has become absolutely crazy and one of the top clubs will still end up in 6th place. I can say that this season is not over yet (and so to God nothing is clear yet), but I really want to look at the next one.
4438  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: April 22, 2023, 04:55:38 PM
I will fix the quotes of the bookmakers before the next round:

Juventus 2.90

Bayer Leverkusen 3.50

Roma 3.90

Sevilla 4.50

I wonder why Bayer is higher than Roma? Alonso is good, but having Mourinho in the team gives +100% to the cup chances of any team. Seville is very close, well, ok, they showed that they are capable of miracles, but miracles are not endless, are they? Personally, I'm waiting for the Italian final.
4439  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: April 22, 2023, 04:50:54 PM
Chelsea were left without Euro cups next season so they can only do well in domestic competitions. Maybe they will compete for Cups inside of England but I doubt they will have a chance to compete for a title or even for the top 4. The Premier League's problem is too much competition - next season Liverpool will try to regain their positions, Newcastle will definitely strengthen, and Arsenal and City are also unlikely to become weaker. Plus there is Tottenham but I don't know if they will be capable of anything. In such a competitive environment, the prospects for even good teams are unclear, and Chelsea are not a good team yet.

The next season is going to be the season for chelsea to reconstruct its team again. There are many things happened this year started from the acquisition of chelsea and so many mistakes that are already made by todd. Todd has no experience in football but he was making a huge changes in the management without even consider the impact to the club. As long as chelsea will have proper squads and im thinking that's better rather than have same performance like this season. EPL is very competitive at this moment. Chelsea needs to restructuring its clubs again, sell some players to avoid FFP and give vast changes to the squads and many more. There have been so many useless players owned by chelsea. Chelsea bought too many players without even thinking about how to only buy a proper player that is needed by the club.

This season is a very bad season for chelsea. It will be market as the worst result has ever achieved by chelsea in the two decades. The todd's era has become the worst era.
Abramovich may be deeply saddened to observe his beloved team has been ruined by the mismanagement of personnel who lacked knowledge about football.

Such a short period can hardly be called an era, but the beginning is terrible. Abramovich was probably in completely different conditions and was able to lift Chelsea from the depths to the top very quickly. Now the competition in the Premier League is extremely high and even if you make only the right decisions, it is not certain that it will give results. The more interesting next season will be - in the end I think many will agree that watching the suffering of Chelsea and Liverpool was no less interesting than the game of Arsenal, City and other (haha there are none) stable teams. Hmm... although Newcastle is very stable.
By the way, about the FFP - as I understand it, the latest changes in it have made big indulgences for the top clubs and now it is not as difficult to bypass it as before.
4440  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 22, 2023, 04:38:19 PM
What your opinion about statistic from Tuchel? have been right decision sacked julian nagelsmann and replacing by bad manager? Bayern Munich on crucial position right now after eliminating from DFB Pokal, Champion League and Tuchel has opportunity giving second chance for Dortmund back to the top position for few hours later if winning against Eintracht Frankfurt. Right now Bayern Munich opportunities dominance in Bundesliga for eleven years not depending on their self but need other team help for stopping Dortmund winning all matches left. I have criticize with Bayern manager decision sacked julian nagelsmann and replace by Tuchel.

Bad statistic for Tuchel with 3 loss of 7 games than Nagelsmann with 3 loss of 37 games



https://twitter.com/ESPNFC/status/1649802804091813889?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

You can blame Tuchel for everything, but it’s hardly his fault that Bayern flew out of the German Cup, then out of the Champions League and now risks losing the Bundesliga (lol). I wrote earlier that it is in any case the fault of the management who decided to change the head coach at the decisive moment of the season. Now I'm wondering - if Bavaria loses the Bundesliga as well, will Tuchel have another season to prove himself or will they again look for a new "wizard" (I think they themselves do not understand what they want).
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