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4421  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: September 27, 2013, 11:01:05 PM
If $140 falls...
I doubt it will until this massive September long Pennant/triangle is over. Seems like it might end around Oct 5 and then KABOOM up we go. If it happens earlier I'd be happy, this thing has taken forever.

Or it could break down... why does everyone keep dismissing this possibility? Every day the required ta levels (Bollinger etc) to do so keeps creeping up (131 now), yet the market depth is failing to follow. In the past 2 months of 140 STILL no market depth has filled in. Its still only 5k to 130 (and trendbreak) and 20k to 120. Total bid depth is now $11.5m whereas 3 months ago at $110 market depth was at $16m! The volume is still low too (8k of today's volume is fake bot error) and ppl keep relentlessly dumping on stamp and btce.
4422  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: September 27, 2013, 07:32:31 AM
It looked like the exact same order sizes and types of orders outbidding eachother in the same way both on the way up and on the way down. 4 orders about 1000K 950K 950K and 700K agressively outbidding eachother in .1ish increments. The bots are malfunctioning again, or maybe gox is testing midas in production?  The same thing happened on June 24. Some bots kept trading up and down between 100 and 110, producing about 100K volume with no effect on the price in the end.  This is just more proof that mtgox numbers are and always have been cooked up by bots and not actual demand for bitcoin. Its not millions of distinct coins that have been bought and are now held at a higher price basis -  its just the same coins switching hands over and over.
4423  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Don't give Bitfloor your bank routing numbers! on: September 26, 2013, 09:53:05 PM
I've been trying to withdraw since April. I gave my details again in July, which have benn "under review" since then. My balance in bit floor is now $0, still under review, and I have not received any funds. I emailed support weeks ago and have not received a response.
4424  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: September 26, 2013, 09:33:18 PM


lol this

Why you wouldn't at least wait til the morning to see the impact this news makes is beyond me.

TA reasons why one might sell: Right now the lower bolly, psar, and ichi cloud are all around $130 on gox and it only takes one 4k btc dump to get there. If that catches on then d1 will quickly cross down too.
4425  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will The Bitcoin Investment Trust affect the price? on: September 26, 2013, 08:37:44 PM
Doesn't holding assets on a trust or etf defeat the entire purpose/advantage of having a bit coin investment? Your investment is supposed to be untouchable and on an unbreakable decentralized system where you and only you have access. Using a trust/etc now you're regressing and trusting people on a centralized system and losing all of those advantages. now you're vulnerable to the organization, people, the government, the sec, laws hackers, banksters, and all the bs bit coin is trying to get away from.
4426  Economy / Speculation / Re: creating demand for bitcoin on: September 23, 2013, 08:44:12 PM
You have to do more than just "insert money". Inserting money is simply speculation and will only raise the price until some other speculator or miner sells. To raise bitcoin's REAL value then you need to create a TRUE and CONTINUOUS demand for it by growing the economy and getting more merchants and organizations involved.
4427  Economy / Speculation / Re: How much ,as you think ,is 1 bitcoin in 2025? on: September 21, 2013, 01:16:47 AM
Bitcoin's monumental success will be impeded only by a catastrophic failure, such as protocol failure, cipher breakage (likely), complete government criminalization/firewalling, or a highly superior competetion. Therefore, it will either be $0 or $20,000+, and nothing inbetween. Happy trading gentlemen. Wink
4428  Economy / Speculation / Is 140$ new 130$? on: September 20, 2013, 07:18:18 AM
4429  Economy / Speculation / Re: Memespeculation on: September 20, 2013, 05:50:35 AM
4430  Economy / Speculation / Re: How much ,as you think ,is 1 bitcoin in 2025? on: September 19, 2013, 04:50:33 AM
$0. In 2025, the underlying ciphers will be broken by then.
4431  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: September 19, 2013, 04:48:33 AM
Gox proclaimed dead. Funeral to be arranged shortly:

4432  Economy / Speculation / Re: We are repeating 2012, not 2011 on: September 19, 2013, 03:07:35 AM
I'll bet you 1000BTC that BTC doesn't go to $0.10 next year, payable in BTC.
4433  Economy / Speculation / Re: BITSTAMP eXchange wall Observer. second biggest and best exchange on: September 19, 2013, 02:59:08 AM
Oh look, someone ate most of the bidwall. Btw that 800 ask isn't particularly large, and i  don't think its new either

yea and then they bought it right back 60 seconds later for a $ less minus fees...

History graph doesn't show any indication of that...?

yes there is no way to prove that it was the same actor, but someone came in and bought 900ish right after around 1100 was dumped

That would be some expensive manipulation.

Let's say he's gotten his fee all the way down to 0.25% To trade 2000 coins in both directions:

2 x 2000BTC x .0025 = 10BTC * $125/BTC = $1250.
4434  Economy / Speculation / Re: What is succesful trading? on: September 18, 2013, 06:31:09 PM
Both. Each sell should be higher than the previous buy and each buy should be lower than the precious sell, so that fiat value AND coin value are constantly going up together.

Since society still runs on fiat, I find the fiat value of my portfolio to be more significant. However, that is not an excuse to make a terrible short trade, and I would still consider a rebuy higher than a sell to be an act of failure. It effectively reduces the fiat value of the portfolio (or what it could have been) and wastes time and energy.
4435  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: September 18, 2013, 07:36:39 AM
"Red Bull pattern".
Will be confirmed when the second horn is drawn.



So is the second horn drawn now?
4436  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker - Hardcore on: September 18, 2013, 06:44:43 AM
and where oh where have all the wall watchers gone, plays in the background.

The walls have moved over to Bitstamp.

4437  Economy / Speculation / Re: LOCALBITCOINS USD wall observer XXX-rated, don't let your kids see this! on: September 17, 2013, 05:32:57 PM
I can imagine the meeting for this transaction being like some Mexican cartel drug exchange with assault rifles.
4438  Economy / Speculation / Re: LOCALBITCOINS USD wall observer XXX-rated, don't let your kids see this! on: September 17, 2013, 03:44:37 PM
500,000BTC ($58M USD) buy wall added at $115.
4439  Economy / Speculation / Re: BITSTAMP eXchange wall Observer. second biggest and best exchange on: September 17, 2013, 01:20:00 PM
Finally! A wall to speak of.

4440  Economy / Speculation / LOCALBITCOINS USD wall observer XXX-rated, don't let your kids see this! on: September 17, 2013, 06:52:08 AM
So recently bitcoinity added localbitcoins. (http://bitcoinity.org/markets/localbitcoins/USD) Although the volume is low, the depth on the charts is humongous, making the walls anywhere on any of the other (mtgox/bitstamp) wall threads look like tiny picket fences. For example, there are about 250,000btc of buy orders just in-between $120 and $125. Although the low volume might make these walls less relevant, they are still fun to observe.

Here on this thread we can observe the changes in the localbitcoins order book depth. We can also speculate about how this is relevant to the supply and demand of bitcoin as a whole and how it affects prices.



OK I'll start first. It looks like someone just added a 55,000BTC sell wall at $135. I guess this bearish?
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