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4461  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will Bitcoin Crash in The Next 2 Weeks? on: February 21, 2022, 08:02:03 PM
Only today Bitcoin price crashed 3 times. Well, it has also recovered pretty good every time too.
So how big is the crash you guys speculate it could be happening? 30k? 20k? 50%? Lower? Or proper bear market maybe?

However, that "after that, I'll buy" part make me not believing at all the person tweeting it. It sounds like somebody that keeps looking (forever) for the best moment to buy. If bear market start, he will again not buy because it'll fall more; if it will not actually crash significantly in those 2 weeks, then he will wait for a better opportunity again? Really? No. If one wants to buy, he probably does DCA. Just look at MicroStrategy.
4462  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Using BTC vs. Using Credit / Debit cards and purchase tracking and privacy. on: February 21, 2022, 07:51:28 PM
Depends on limits, any cash back offers, and other things.

My "main" credit card gives me not-bad-at-all cashback for every purchase at supermarket. Still, I don't use it every time.
Sometimes I simply spend from the Bitcoin debit card in the supermarket (too) to make sure that at the end of the month I'll be able to pay back fully the fiat credit card.
So imho it's not only about cashback and other benefits, it's also about budgeting and everybody's plans. And Bitcoin's price too.

But if a BTC debit card they are came out that would give you good benefits if you let them do a lot more invasive tracking, would you do it?

For now, in most cases, best would be to see the fees still decrease. I mean, we talk about cashback when we still have cards with 3% or more fees (1% fee + 2% hidden as price difference from exchanges')?
Also I don't really expect them tell you about the more invasive tracking; they'll just do it. And we may just try to use the cheapest without suspecting much why it's cheap.
I've seen to become customary offering cashback not for the tracking they do anyway, instead for holding shitcoins. It's a different perspective. And not a good one.
So as an answer: most probably yes and most probably I would not know it. (And possibly even without benefits in cashback).
4463  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Really need some help... on: February 21, 2022, 07:17:37 PM
It almost sounded intentional to me. Like: 'I remember I purposely put in a wrong 4th word & memorized it' (and obviously then forgot it).
Some people do these kind of weird things, overestimating their long-time memory in an attempt to increase their security.

* I've played a little at some point with keeping the first 4 letters and make up, where possible new words off that. And obviously I've destroyed one of the words.
* For somebody not native English errors like battle => bottle or fine => fein can happen without noticing at first

I guess that we have to tell more often that people should try to use the recovery phrase after writing it down.
4464  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Technical Support / Re: Really need some help... on: February 21, 2022, 04:20:24 PM
a way to make a script that brute forces my current 12 words that i have but instead keep trying and replacing the 4th word with the 2000 word database until I get into my wallet again.

I also suggest FinderOuter with * instead the 4th word, if that's the wrong one.
Make sure you select from the combo box the correct setting - whether the seed is standard BIP39 or Electrum, also watch the examples for an overview on how to use it. It's a nice tool.
4465  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Looking for services with withdrawable welcome / depo / ref bonuses on: February 21, 2022, 11:23:16 AM
I was about to recommend Binance, but the minimum requirement is rather strict.

I appreciate the heads up, I didn't know it's this complicated.
Now I took a look and from my understanding it may be even more complex.
There may be affiliation and may be refer-a-friend which may not needs such social media record, but the link has to be change for every new "friend".
However, one has to read that through, because there are so many (rather contradictory) "offers" I got lost.
4466  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Where can i find the top company analysis on crypto on: February 21, 2022, 10:25:38 AM
i can see in some YouTube videos they will explainlike " as per xyz analysis bitcoin will be 200000$ by end of 2022" like that but   Where can i find the top company analysis on crypto what analysis they did ? what data they have ? based on what kind of data they are predicting 

Since nobody can predict the future, all those numbers are meaningless.
Just look at JPMorgan late history of predictions: one day "bitcoin is overpriced" and giving a target of $63,160, then a few days later "bitcoin could surge to $146,000". https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5369176.msg58350803#msg58350803

Keep in mind that:
* TA alone doesn't show the future.
* S2F is not the correct crystal ball some would think
* most predictions on newspapers are there to attract attention over those making the prediction (and their business)
* most predictions on youtube may probably send you to paid or referral links to various platforms or closed groups you may lose your money

Read more about bitcoin. Understand what it actually means to invest into Bitcoin (like the facts that bitcoin can "tomorrow" easily grow hugely or drop hugely). Don't fall for everybody's advises. Everybody wants to earn money, everything you read is probably biased.

4467  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Looking for services with withdrawable welcome / depo / ref bonuses on: February 21, 2022, 10:10:36 AM
I would add to the list:
* SatoChip (the affiliate area is hidden under shop, I think that no KYC is necessary) - satochip.io
* Binance also has referral program, may need KYC
4468  Economy / Digital goods / Re: Sell the private key on: February 21, 2022, 10:06:07 AM
To anyone considering the offer, I would only say:
OP is not selling the private key, he/she is actually selling a copy of the private key.
This means that:
1. He/she can easily sell the same PK to as many buyers as they come.
2. He/she can still withdraw from there (actually the quickest script will withdraw if there will ever be anything to be withdrawn).

All in all, any buyer will just make a donation to OP and will most probably receive an useless string and some lies/dreams.
4469  Bitcoin / Electrum / Re: Electrum 2FA vs Electrum Cold Storage on: February 21, 2022, 10:00:14 AM
I understand that HD wallet is the most secure option but if the only options were Electrum with 2FA and Electrum using cold storage which one is more secure and why (or maybe they're equally secure)?

HD is not more secure, it's just easier to recover and easier to backup too.

And about 2FA, this is how I see it: with or without 2FA, it's still a hot wallet. Just think: both 2Fa and wallet are on device(s) connected to the internet. Sometimes even the same device.
On the other hand, a cold storage is meant to be safest, as long as you use it properly and make no mistakes (from generating the wallet offline and safely storing the seed to keep it always and 100% always offline and the ways of transferring the unsigned/signed transactions between the cold storage and the companion watch only online wallet).
4470  Economy / Lending / Re: 350$ loan with collateral for 20 days repayment . Repayment 500$ on: February 21, 2022, 09:38:31 AM
I am looking for a immediate 350$ loan with collateral of my stake.com gambling account
~snip~
I am not much active in bitcointalk

This looks more a trap (scam) than a loan attempt. New account, no valid collateral, already warning that he is not expected to be active, ... lol!
4471  Other / Meta / Re: Issue when I try to login from PC on: February 21, 2022, 09:32:46 AM
When I try to login from my PC it say that my username (yes HedgeFx) doesn’t exist! But I just wrote this post now from my mobile phone!
What happened?

I would, in this order:
1. Use your browser on smartphone and change password.
2. Check in the history what website I actually tried to login to. May very well be a phishing clone (hence the reasons for step 1).

Maybe I'm just overly paranoid, but that's what I would do.
I am just writing now from PC and as you see it works fine.
4472  Economy / Economics / Re: computer capable of breaking elliptical curve encryption algorithms on: February 21, 2022, 09:29:01 AM
Last week, anonymous government sources confirmed that Quoherence Labs had created a quantum computer capable of breaking both the widely used RSA and elliptical curve encryption algorithms that underpin most cybersecurity protocols....

For the sleepless nights some more tangible proof is necessary. All this.. essay... is just another proof that "verba volant".
Let's see them break one of those. Until then it's just unverified rumors (i.e. FUD).
4473  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Arbitrage Opportunities' on: February 21, 2022, 08:55:42 AM
Recently i have been trying to get into arbitrage trading mostly for the knowledge i will gain by doing it and if possible make some profit. But i can't fine a site which does this comparisms for free. i need just the display just like a normal exchange will display market charts for coin pairs for free.

If you have troubles to even find the tools you need, I advise you don't start arbitraging yet.

And I tell you why: one problem of arbitraging is that not all exchanges are always reliable. You may need certain KYC, or certain wallet may be in temporary maintenance, or it's a scam exchange, or, or, or... and when you think you'll earn a lot of money, you end up losing for trying to do arbitraging with a problematic exchange you cannot withdraw from.

And I didn't even talk about the differences between the fees, or the withdrawal fees you have to be careful at, or the fact the Bitcoin mempool is usually crowded when arbitraging opportunities arise (I don't know how it is for altcoins).

So.. it needs quite some learning first. Don't rush it.
4474  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Traders how do you go about this? on: February 21, 2022, 08:44:07 AM
Since crypto exchanges are not safe for keeping funds and they are the best place for trading every day what strategy can I use to avoid bad luck? Send tokens to exchanges and withdraw they after trading every day?

Crypto exchanges were never safe for keeping the funds there.
So keep there only what you think it worth the risk. I don't expect that withdrawing every day is a good move, since (depending on the coin you withdraw) the withdrawal fees may eat up a significant part of the profits.
Do your math. And don't mix up trading with HODLing. Keep safe the funds worth HODLing.

Imho nothing much has change about the exchanges. They didn't become unsafe overnight. They were always a problem in safety. Always keep in mind: not your keys, not your coins.
The good thing is that the later announcements may make people think if it worth keeping life changing amounts of money on exchanges (actually on any custodial platform) just to earn some pennies.


It may worth mentioning though that I no longer trade for quite some years.
4475  Bitcoin / Electrum / Re: I am one of the people who had my BTC stolen from electrum wallet on: February 21, 2022, 07:40:04 AM
We couldn't have open source software without this clause.

Clearly. And it's the ultimate legal protection for the developers when problems like OP's happen.

I know that is like living in cloud cuckoo land.
That sounds like the real world to me Wink

LOL! Unfortunately the real world is more harsh than in that dream of his.
So let's just suggest OP focus on the future, buy a hardware wallet and try to keep his funds (much) safer.


Edit: closed properly the quotes
4476  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: bitcoinpaperwallet.com - scam still alive? on: February 19, 2022, 07:39:19 AM
So when and how bitcoin wallets in mobiles and desktop is considered to be insecured too? The difference is only the latter needs  installation.
There is a big jump from a website to a mobile and desktop wallets! When you open a website you have no idea what you are running and what you are sending to that website's servers and you have no way of knowing it. But with a desktop/mobile wallet you have a choice to download and install what is open source so you can verify that it is not doing something malicious.

Truth to be told many most have no idea what they also install. Even in the rare cases the program has its source code at hand, they won't read it, clearly won't build it themselves. And the compiled binaries may or may not be from the source code you'd expect. Verifying the traffic one program makes is something also very few people do.

Indeed, there's still a big step, since a website can offer different page for a while and steal information and deny it, while 90% of the time operating clean. This is much less likely with installed programs. But most people don't understand software and don't care much either.

Some will look whether this or that is labeled as legit or scam, and that's all. I fear that we're expecting too much from the average Joe... (hence I am happy when this kind of questions pop up - they give a chance to a few more get on the right track).



Something more: I fail to understand why are people still focused so much on classical paper wallets when they can run Electrum (either safely installed and verified, either from Tails OS), generate a seed and a few addresses and.. done.
4477  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin and legacy blockchains do they talk on: February 19, 2022, 07:19:20 AM
it seems like multiple chains would need to work together in order to be more secure from being corrupted

No. By this logic if I make now a new coin (the 10000+ th) I could require the established coins do me a favor and keep my chain too safe.
Why would they do that? Each blockchain is kept safe by the difficulty to be double spent (usually big enough hash rate). Bitcoin has secured huge hash rate and this is visible also in its price.
So if a new coin starts and gets "secured by bitcoin", it would be from start as valuable as bitcoin. Then why would people pay for Bitcoin when they can make their new coin?

No. Each blockchain goes for itself. The stronger ones will prevail.
4478  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: February 18, 2022, 12:35:52 PM
Bitcoin is really something Unique (more than any NFT), although it is fungible.

Actually, since it's pseudo-anonymous, Bitcoin is not really (100%) fungible...
4479  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin + Electrum server + Block explorer under Windows (with WSL and Debian) on: February 18, 2022, 09:37:02 AM
Glad it works. But what kind of warnings you received? Reduced performance? Might broken when windows release update for WSL/WSL2?

Code:
[WARNING] Ignoring an unsupported file "\\?\C:\Users\<my_user_name>\AppData\Local\Packages\TheDebianProject.DebianGNULinux_<something>\LocalState\rootfs\dev\full" of type 0020000.
[WARNING] Ignoring an unsupported file "\\?\C:\Users\<my_user_name>\AppData\Local\Packages\TheDebianProject.DebianGNULinux_<something>\LocalState\rootfs\dev\null" of type 0020000.
[WARNING] Ignoring an unsupported file "\\?\C:\Users\<my_user_name>\AppData\Local\Packages\TheDebianProject.DebianGNULinux_<something>\LocalState\rootfs\dev\ptmx" of type 0020000.
[WARNING] Ignoring an unsupported file "\\?\C:\Users\<my_user_name>\AppData\Local\Packages\TheDebianProject.DebianGNULinux_<something>\LocalState\rootfs\dev\random" of type 0020000.
[WARNING] Ignoring an unsupported file "\\?\C:\Users\<my_user_name>\AppData\Local\Packages\TheDebianProject.DebianGNULinux_<something>\LocalState\rootfs\dev\tty" of type 0020000.
[WARNING] Ignoring an unsupported file "\\?\C:\Users\<my_user_name>\AppData\Local\Packages\TheDebianProject.DebianGNULinux_<something>\LocalState\rootfs\dev\urandom" of type 0020000.
[WARNING] Ignoring an unsupported file "\\?\C:\Users\<my_user_name>\AppData\Local\Packages\TheDebianProject.DebianGNULinux_<something>\LocalState\rootfs\dev\zero" of type 0020000.

These are my warnings. I've hide replaced 2 parts, for privacy/security.

* Yesterday after the move I've checked that Debian, the Electrum server and the block explorer, all were working fine.
* I've had yesterday evening a Windows update and worked (I don't know what it contained though).
4480  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: F1 Formula Sports Racing - Sportsbet.io promotions & discussion thread on: February 18, 2022, 09:16:22 AM
Anyways. i think Ferrari this year its back on top 3 and can fight for race wins.

With so drastic changes anybody can get on any places. The fact you like Ferrari more or whether the car's colors are better doesn't matter much.
We will have to see them compete for a couple of races to know. We will have to see which ones will be this year both fast and reliable.

I would actually prefer that at least in the first 5-6 races the winner will be from different team every single race. That would mean that gap between the cars is small and there will be real competition.
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