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4481  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: April 16, 2023, 02:58:03 PM
I in fact had Chelsea vs Brighton 1-1 and then only changed it a couple of minutes before the start to 1-2 as I thought Chelsea is in the worse possible performances which I remember from several years.For Tottenham though everybody or most of us predicted them to be winners against a weak Bournemouth but this result just shows how f*cked up as a team they are.

I thought to lose many positions on yesterday results but I was pleasantly surprised to see that I was up 2 positions and now being in 11th place.Arsenal already destroyed my prediction of 0-2 for today game as already in the first half they are leading 1-2 and most likely we will see more goals in this game.

Stoppage time is already underway and the score is still 2-2. Apparently Arsenal will destroy a lot of multi-bets, predictions in the pool and the hopes of the fans today. It's a pity that their advantage over City melted away so quickly, but on the other hand, now I have more hopes for their victory in a personal meeting.

Yep, it's 2-2.
4482  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 16, 2023, 02:52:50 PM
If Inter win the Champions League and Milan finish second then both clubs will be there. The question is, can Inter do it? When I look at their stats in Serie A, I wonder how they got so far in the Champions League. The bookies are now giving their odds at 1 to 8, a rather modest estimate given that Inter are on the easy side of the road to the final.
Conditions for the current Semi final for Inter still looks quite real but when talking about the champions it is still a little complicated because besides the semi final they will face the Derby also with a team in the same league on the other hand for the chart on the other side it is still a little complicated because Of course now Manchester City and Madrid are strong candidates for the other side for the final which makes me very doubtful even for the semi final also I'm actually still fifty-fifty with Inter.

Inter are already in the semi-finals, as it is unlikely that they will miss the advantage of 2 goals in the home game. Unfortunately Benfica did not live up to expectations as a dark horse.

I think people should be ready for a probable surprising result in the Roma - Udinese match also. Because just as Napoli, Milan and Inter they are also going to play a really important match in the Europa League.

The other teams are a part of the Champions League of course which is a bigger tournament. But it doesn't mean that Roma wouldn't care about the Europa League. They really do actually. We can understand how passionate they are from their performance against Feyenoord in the first leg also. They had an unlucky match which led to a loss. Roma will need to win that match to have a chance to move on. Therefore we might see a rotation in their starting lineup too. This can pave the way for Udinese to collect some points.

Roma is much more important to get into the top 4 at the end of the season and now there is a great opportunity to gain a foothold there. And I don't think that all teams from the top of the standings should lose points. So far, only Lazio has justified its status, logically speaking, Roma should also win (there are already 3 points losses among the tops).
4483  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [CHESS] FIDE Candidates Chess Tournament 2022 on: April 16, 2023, 02:45:26 PM
He cheated not in this. FIDE has certain criteria according to which a chess player must have at least 30 classical games for a certain period (a little less than a year), otherwise he is not allowed to the tournament. Ding cheated and in just a month and made himself statistics in dummy intra-Chinese tournaments to meet this criterion. This is an obvious scam and I do not see what can be discussed here.

In choosing for the candidates, FIDE established a criteria in order to choose players that can and will participate in the tournament for the WC Championship. You already said it:
Code:
a player must have at least 30 classical games for a certain period (a little less than a year)
-in which Ding was able to achieve in the time frame given by FIDE. Though you argued that he cheated since he accomplished this within less than a month, then FIDE should have called this and prohibited him from participating in this event and mentioned that such practice is PROHIBITED.

Again, alleging that Ding cheated just because he was able to complete 30 classical games in a month is just outrageous. If there was a problem with it, then FIDE should have looked into it, in which they did not. Perhaps this is not cheating perse but a loophole that Ding was able to capitalize on that FIDE had no problem with.

I wonder what can be outrageous about the facts? He participated in fake tournaments and the fact that FIDE did not take any steps to punish it does not change anything. I hope you don't need special instructions or a chef's degree to not eat shit if it's served as a cake?
He seems to have played 28 games in 30 days, three tournaments (allegedly they were, no one has seen evidence)  Grin If you are ready to believe it and pretend that "everything is fine" then this is just disrespect for other chess players and good manners in general.

In the meantime, the next game turned out to be productive (what kind of clown indicators?) and, unfortunately, equality again and the сhinese cheater has a chance for the crown  Undecided
4484  Local / Майнеры / Re: Майнинг здох? on: April 16, 2023, 02:37:10 PM
_________

Принес вам кнопку "бабло"))
В пасху, сегодня, произошло значимое событие, если кто еще не знает, сегодня с этого адреса:
https://www.blockchain.com/explorer/addresses/btc/bc1quksn4yxlxp80tn929gqnh8xpnngqj0fqr99q4z
была сделана транзакция, в результате которой вознаграждение на адресах всем известной головоломки было увеличено в 10 раз.

Если кто не в курсе как там дела в головоломке, 64 бита разгадали в прошлом году, 120 бит совсем недавно в этом. Теперь на очереди 66 и 125 диапазоны.
Так что карты, простаивающие после майнинга, теперь есть куда применить.
Обсуждение головоломки в этой теме: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1306983.2340
Правда ничего стоящего из новых идей я там в общем-то за все время не читал.
Поскольку в вышеуказанной теме присутствует запашок русофобии, общаться там желания нет, позже напишу здесь пару идей по головоломочному баблу если интересно

Есть и в ру разделе обсуждение этой темы (амаклин стартер, не могу найти так как у него несколько акков), но ру тема мертва.
Интересно какие тут могут быть новые идеи, если за годы уже много кто над этим думал и ничего более крутого чем распределенного брутфорса не придумал.
А вот зачем эта головоломка сделана вот это вопрос очень интересный, у меня есть мнение, но пока придержу при себе и послушаю (надеюсь) других.
4485  Local / Майнеры / Re: Донеси на майнера в РФ on: April 16, 2023, 02:23:46 PM
Большое помещение для ригов не нужно, если видеокарты не горячие. Подвал под домом подойдет, в плане дома его может не быть, дверь можно спрятать, кабеля в доме или под землей от счетчика незаметно провести в подвал. Электрика можно в дом пустить, где он увидит электроплиту и водонагреватель. После нового закона в открытую майнить как раньше не получится.

Я не читал, может подскажете - вцелом этот закон только майнеров крипты касается? Так то я тоже майню (три системника 24/7 пашут) и хоть потребление ерундовое, но относительно бытового среднего моего выходит +100% уже, а как включу сплит, то наверно все +200% будет. Особо не переживаю по этому поводу и никого пускать в квартиру не собираюсь, но чисто теоретически интересно как расценивали бы такое потребление ЭЭ если бы поймали.
4486  Local / Юристы / Re: Налоги и криптовалюта в России on: April 16, 2023, 01:47:19 PM
Как известно, гораздо удобнее искать не там, где потерял, а там, где светло. Разных историй о том, что проверки начинаются сразу после того, как начинаешь всё оформлять правильно и по нужной категории, вагон и маленькая тележка. Так что нет ничего удивительного в том, что налоговая возбудилась на необычные источники дохода и решила всех проверить. А там ведь ещё и на штрафы за что-нибудь можно выйти, а это перспектива выполнить и перевыполнить план. Если это вызывает удивление, то Вы просто не сталкивались с налоговой до того. Grin

Это не только в налоговой так, а вообще в любом взаимодействии с местным "государством". Помню еще лет 15 назад была такая фишка: если ИПшник/ОООшник (хотя насчет ип не уверен, но касательно мелких фирм точно работало) обращался в центр занятости поинтересоваться какие есть работники желающие поработать, то потом его прессовали на отчетность (которая вроде как по закону итак должна была им предоставляться) о том сколько рабочих мест на предприятии, сколько вакансий и т.д. То есть до того как произошло взаимодействие никто никого не трогал, а вот после всё - уже отвертеться не удавалось и предприятие получало дополнительную бумагомарательную абсолютнонахуй никому не нужную обузу.
4487  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 15, 2023, 09:41:02 PM
Incredible, Inter lost with Monza.

Again it is a race for between Milan and INTER to be stay out form the next Champions League.

If Inter win the Champions League and Milan finish second then both clubs will be there. The question is, can Inter do it? When I look at their stats in Serie A, I wonder how they got so far in the Champions League. The bookies are now giving their odds at 1 to 8, a rather modest estimate given that Inter are on the easy side of the road to the final.
4488  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Italian Serie A ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2022/2023 on: April 15, 2023, 09:32:02 PM
What a showing from top Italian teams, eh? All still alive in the Champions League and all dropping points for everyone else to pick up. Didn't watch any of them so can't really comment, all I can say is am glad Napoli odds were so low I didn't put them on any tickets this week -- probably same for both Milans.

No questions for Napoli - they already have Serie A in their pocket and are now busy with the Champions League where their situation has become more difficult. But the rest of the teams certainly look like clowns (maybe except for Lazio). Inter have 11 (!!!) losses in 30 games, do they deserve a place in the Champions League next year? Don't even know  Cheesy
4489  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: April 15, 2023, 09:24:59 PM
I was tempted to go with Chelsea but then changed mind after checking their recent performance both the in the PL and CL. It was a well move and got me 3 exact points. But it seems majority of the pool participants still are in the illusion that Chelsea had a chance.

For some reason, on the contrary, I get the impression that everyone except me benefited from another Chelsea defeat  Angry I have no illusions - but they can't lose forever, can they? I wonder how they will show themselves in the game with Real Madrid - is it possible that the "miracle" in the form of a victory will happen in this game (which I would really not want)? But watching Chelsea, I don’t understand at all what they are capable of and why bookmakers don’t rate them at the level of teams from the second ten.
4490  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [CHESS] FIDE Candidates Chess Tournament 2022 on: April 15, 2023, 09:16:51 PM
Today Nepomniachtchi won again  Grin I am surprised by such performance in games - usually at the level of grandmasters, draws are almost 80-90 percent, but here out of 5 games 3 turned out to be productive.
By the way, why are you rooting for Ding? If judged strictly formally, he is a cheater and got into the Candidates Tournament in a fraudulent way. I think it would be very unpleasant if he became a world champion.

Ohh I think calling him a cheater is very unfair- he qualified for the candidates due to Karjakin's ban from participating in this year's candidate so under the rules, he is the "substitute" for his place. Still, Ding was around top 3 when the candidates happened and calling him a "cheater" is very uncalled for.

Well, the game ended with Nepo winning this match. I really like what Giri mentioned during the commentating of the game in which he explained that playing with the black pieces is more difficult than white. You have to prepare for all kinds of preparations while white may play any kind of preparation to his liking.

Furthermore, I do think that this year's WC match contained more wins compared to past WC matches that happened.

He cheated not in this. FIDE has certain criteria according to which a chess player must have at least 30 classical games for a certain period (a little less than a year), otherwise he is not allowed to the tournament. Ding cheated and in just a month and made himself statistics in dummy intra-Chinese tournaments to meet this criterion. This is an obvious scam and I do not see what can be discussed here.
4491  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: April 15, 2023, 04:28:09 PM
Bayern 1-1 Hoffenheim
Did they really fire Nagelsmann for this result? While you're making decisions based on emotions can often lead to negative outcomes. I think the problem with Tuchel's style of play, which don't suite for Bayern. He tends to rely heavily on a defensive game rather than going for attacking plays. On the other hand, Bayern is known for their attacking football and their attacking football have always been extremely productive for them.

I would not say that Tuchel is a supporter of defensive football. In general, it is too early to discuss him, since so far his influence is not so great due to the fact that he is only a newcomer to the club.
Another thing is Kahn and Salihamidzic - today they should cry and pray for Dortmund, which also drew and could not catch up with Bayern. After all, if Bayern this season also fails the Bundesliga (they have already failed the Champions League), then all questions should be to the management of Bayern and not to the new coach.
4492  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: April 15, 2023, 04:23:21 PM
When you have endless money, then you want something intangible like fame, world recognition, etc. Otherwise, why are these sheikhs competing in crazy projects (including buying up European football clubs)? It was something from the same area. It's not economics, it's closer to politics where rational considerations don't work.
It is not only politics, or at least it is just a part of all of this, countries which are rich on oil  and which depend on it to sustain their economies know very well that one day such bonanza is going to run out, so they need another source of income for their countries and they cannot wait until that day comes as it would be late at that point, so they are trying to build their countries as touristic attractions and for that they need to spread the awareness of their countries, and Qatar found on the world cup a way to do this, after all there have been studies made which demonstrate many people cannot even find their own country on a map, then how we can expect those same people to know where Qatar is unless they did something extraordinary like hosting the world cup?

If their strategy is such, then it is doubtful - I don’t know how they can lure tourists, for example, from countries with Western European culture. Too big differences. For example, I won't go there even for free.

Indonesia supports Palestine and they don't even have diplomatic relations with Israel. They didn't want Israel to come to this competition (idiots lol) and of course in the end they were denied the championship. It would be very strange if FIFA banned Israel because of the inadequate requirements of another country. The most moronic situation - what were they thinking in Indonesia when they wanted to host this competition? They thought that they themselves would distribute permits to participate in it?
Its not reason why Indonesian removed from FIFA World Cup U20 host due not inadequate infrastructure and security conditions after the Kanjurahan tragedy which resulted in the deaths of 130 fans. Beside has issues about politician reject Israel national due respect for Palestine and Indonesian has got consequence loss participants in FIFA World Cup U20. Should not mixing between football and political but seems different viewed what happen with Russian national team after suspending from UEFA and FIFA competition, not only with their national team but also all their club got suspend until right now.

Ofc it is. Or do you think that if that tragedy hadn't happened, Indonesia would have been allowed to choose participants who can come and who can't? It was a natural and inevitable ban.
As for Russia, I don’t see any problems - all suspensions are absolutely correct and logical. The aggressor country cannot participate in any competitions because participation in competitions is, among other things, economic cooperation, and they try to isolate the aggressor country by any possible means.
4493  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 15, 2023, 04:13:03 PM
So far, I do not quite understand this decision by Real Madrid. if it was possible to split the players into parts, then I would think that this is a 60% replacement for Modric and 40% for Benzema  Grin But since this cannot be done, it may turn out that it will be neither one nor the other, and there will be no result either. In addition, he is 31 years old so this is not a long-term project.

Maybe they are looking for a  reliable backup option for Benzema. Firmino has the experience and I think it's a decent move if they are targeting that. Benzema is getting old also so he also might pickup a knock and go out for a long term so in that case they need to rely on someone experienced. Getting a new player with potential is not a worthwhile as the new player will seek regular opportunities and Madrid knows they can't ditch Benzema so getting a new player isn't an option.

I feel like Firmino will go back in Brazilian league and play there. Maybe can give a year or two in the middle and then move but I feel eventually he is gonna end up there.

The only reasonable (albeit dubious) option is that Firmino is a temporary option until Real Madrid poach a new top striker like Mbappe/Haaland. Benzema will be at Real Madrid for another year but if this year is like this one when he missed a lot of games, then Real without a second striker will suffer a lot - that's what Firmino will be hired for (if will). And by the way, yes, Latino players retire early on average, so he doesn't have much time ahead of him.
4494  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 15, 2023, 04:06:00 PM
Lazio have had their failures but in fact they are good all season long. For example, after the 14th round, they shared second place with Milan. Probably, if it weren't for the fantastic season from Napoli, which attracts all the attention, Lazio would have been talked about even earlier. I also think that today they will win, but surprisingly the odds are quite attractive - 1.84 (what's the catch?).
the possibility of Lazio winning this match is quite large and I'm sure no one doubts that, Lazio is now in a good trend after they were able to top the top Serie A teams.
and although it is no longer possible for Lazio to catch Napoli who are at the top of the table of course they want to keep their 2nd position in the standings, it's been a good season for Lazio.

and Spezia are a team that is very close to the brink of relegation, they do have enormous motivation to win the match against Lazio, but in betting choices we have to be realistic to see the quality of the two teams, of course, has a very significant difference.

In the end, Lazio easily won 3-0 and I still don't understand why the bookmakers' odds were so generous. Milan could not beat Bologna and it looks like in just a few more rounds there will only be intrigue at the top of the standings in the fight for the top 4, as the first two places will be “reserved” first for Napoli and the second for Lazio. I hope Roma will win tomorrow and we will see a fight between Inter and Milan but not for the title but only for a ticket to the Champions League  Grin
4495  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [CHESS] FIDE Candidates Chess Tournament 2022 on: April 15, 2023, 03:58:39 PM
Match for the title of world champion - 2023. Fourth game:

Ding Liren 1:0 Ian Nepomniachtchi

An unexpected victory for Liren which equalizes the position of both players. We can say that everything was decided by Nepomniachtchi's single mistake, but that doesn't matter anymore. Nepomniachtchi is very lucky that tomorrow is a day off and there will be no game - he is famous for his emotional instability and I would not be surprised if, after one lost game, he lost the second. Now he has time to recover.

You can see that on the exchange sacrifice with the rook, you can see Ding's hand shaking when he took that knight. You can clearly see the pressure among these players since a single mistake can cost you the whole game. I was not expecting Ian to lose on the fourth game but he definitely miscalculated when he placed his knight back.

Both players have a point respectively and they will become more careful with the games from now on. At the end of the day, I am rooting for Ding to win this title!

Today Nepomniachtchi won again  Grin I am surprised by such performance in games - usually at the level of grandmasters, draws are almost 80-90 percent, but here out of 5 games 3 turned out to be productive.
By the way, why are you rooting for Ding? If judged strictly formally, he is a cheater and got into the Candidates Tournament in a fraudulent way. I think it would be very unpleasant if he became a world champion.
4496  Other / Archival / Re: Таблица Подписных Кампаний за Bitcoin on: April 15, 2023, 03:51:17 PM
~
С одной стороны конечно в этом есть некая правда, так как такое встречается сплошь и рядом, пользователи пишут о том, что им вообще не интересно и на что им начхать, лишь бы нужное количество постов набить, но с другой стороны это можно расценить как хитрость менеджера, который, так сказать, непрямым текстом заявляет, что знаете, ребятки, или вы пишите намного больше, чем нужно, тем самым добавляя халявной рекламы кампаниям или же мы с вами прощаемся. В общем, двоякое у меня отношение к таким мерам менеджера.
~

Любая хитрость доведенная до абсурда превращается в тупость и наоборот, но 2х2 всегда будет 4 хотя кому-то и 5 хочется и 6. С одной стороны менеджеры следят за качеством постов - что очевидно ведет к уменьшению их количества (зачем писать "простенькие" посты ради настоящего общения если это уменьшит среднее "качество" постинга = будет вам в минус), а с другой стороны им подавай побольше количества - в итоге пользователи херачат академические простыни абсолютно бессмысленного пустого текста (что явно не идет в плюс кампахам если качество постов хоть как-то на рекламу влияет). Сами себя в целом обманывают.
4497  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +87282 units on: April 15, 2023, 03:42:36 PM
I don't think Rashford means anything without Casemiro (who's playing today), so it's a very dangerous bet  Wink
In general, I have a desire to bet on United, since Sevilla annoys me a little - the bookmakers rate it quite solidly, although it crawls along the bottom in La Liga. But United have a grueling schedule, so they can really unpleasantly surprise you at any given moment.

Turns out you were right, but it didn't matter because the Maguire effect is something we all forgot about, for or against United. Probably annoyed me a bit more that Sevilla could actually have won it near the end, but let's be fair and say a point was the most they deserved.

I'm of course eyeing City this weekend but can we appreciate how badly Bayern appear to be wobbling? Sane/Mane drama... sad. Hoffenheim, meanwhile, are on a hot 3-game win streak...

100 units at Sportsbet on Hoffenheim to WIN vs Bayern @13.65. Other odds: 12.60
Units advantage: 105

Running advantage after 50 bets: +4610 (+105)
All-time cumulative: +87,690
Running units after 49 bets (8W|41L): +2528 (-100)

Yes, United scored all 4 goals in the game, but in the end the score was 2-2  Grin
Bayern are unpleasantly surprised - first it's a ridiculous dismissal of a coach in the middle of the season, then a rout from City and now they have more problems in the dressing room. It looks like degradation.
I can’t say that Sevilla or Hoffenheim today were close to victory, but it’s a pity that your bets were actually close but didn’t play. But your flair certainly works well!
4498  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 14, 2023, 04:24:14 PM
Lazio just rock these days. They are on a three-win streak now and two of those wins were against Juventus and Roma. Moreover they haven't been losing a match for many weeks. This great form has helped them capture the second place in the league and they have a quite nice point difference with their nearest opponent as well. This is a significant advantage for them about securing their spot for the Champions League next season. They weren't this much good in the previous season to tell the truth.

It is all up to how good they can preserve this form in the remaining weeks. They have a much more comfortable match up next by the way. They should be able to beat Spezia away. I checked their history and saw that Lazio beat them all the time so far. I don't give any chance to Spezia in this.

Lazio have had their failures but in fact they are good all season long. For example, after the 14th round, they shared second place with Milan. Probably, if it weren't for the fantastic season from Napoli, which attracts all the attention, Lazio would have been talked about even earlier. I also think that today they will win, but surprisingly the odds are quite attractive - 1.84 (what's the catch?).
4499  Local / Юристы / Re: Налоги и криптовалюта в России on: April 14, 2023, 04:15:59 PM
Рофл что надо  Grin
Хотелось бы знать точное количество граждан которые так поступят - пара идиотов всегда найдется, но тут схемка выглядит как нереальный квест (для активного криптана) + неисчислимое количество рисков получить от налоговой "уточняющие" вопросы по транзакциям, а потом обвинения в нарушении правил ВЭД, спонсировании терроризма, отмыву бабла и т.д.
Не рофл. Теперь я понимаю что хочет законодатель: 13 % НДФЛ. В среднем по больнице это много, учитывая что через фиат и спец режимы дешевле. ВЭД и террор думаю лишние, я такой практики не встречал, а на налоги могут натянуть хорошо.
~

А тут проблемка не в том, что вы или кто-то думает/хочет. Бухгалтерия это таки точная штука и если я крутил бабло через фиат -> товар -> крипту -> фиат и товар поставлялся за границу, то это ВЭД. Понятное дело в папуасиях свой колорит, но если быть точным в бухгалтерском учете, то там коллизий всплывет мама не горюй. По связанности адресов с грязью тема отдельная и не менее опасная для пользователя.

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Надеюсь что у трейдеров хватит мозгов не делать никаких транзакций не непонятные адреса с бирж и с адресов вывода.

 Grin "не пользуйтесь криптой - опасно и недешево!" Помню этот вывод уже озвучивался в теме где рассуждали каким бесплатным чекером биткоин адресов на АМЛ пользоваться.
4500  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 14, 2023, 04:05:40 PM
Roberto Firmino has reportedly agreed to join Real Madrid team next season on a free transfer. Yahoo Sports posted an article about it. He should do fairly well in a team that doesn't rely so heavily on an out and out striker. Could get back to his scoring ways along with Real.

So far, I do not quite understand this decision by Real Madrid. if it was possible to split the players into parts, then I would think that this is a 60% replacement for Modric and 40% for Benzema  Grin But since this cannot be done, it may turn out that it will be neither one nor the other, and there will be no result either. In addition, he is 31 years old so this is not a long-term project.
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