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4581  Economy / Speculation / Re: The market looks boring 2019 on: January 26, 2019, 09:01:14 PM
I think this week has been more than just boring, it is also a bit depressing as well. We got our CBOE basically rejected (withdrawn) and market didn't even respond to that, I understand the need to go higher in price but when the price declines to go up AND down it looks really frightening to me.

It's a good thing. Consider the alternative: during strong bear markets, bad news causes selloffs. The lack of market reaction to the VanEck news suggests we might be in the long, quiet low volume period that precedes bull markets. Something like February - August 2015. If no one is selling on bad news, it starts to look like seller exhaustion

Obviously, no one is going to sell at such prices (this is called supply squeeze)

Well, unless some whale is forced to liquidate his stash for whatever reason. And then we can easily see Bitcoin crash to new local lows as it is not clear either how much support is underneath at the moment. But that's not my point. Even if there are no more sellers at this price, you will be surprised how many will pop up at prices closer to the 5k mark. It will take a huge surge in demand to cut through that resistance. And while we are at it, things don't look similar to the first half of 2015. But I seem to repeat myself
4582  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: To save bitcoin - stop buying bitcoin cash on: January 26, 2019, 08:51:54 PM
BCH is not a copycat, it has its own roadmap that's better aligned with the economic system outlined in the bitcoin whitepaper. You're free to disagree with it, but they have every right to claim what they're claming given that the economic incentives in the system are more closely related to the WP than those of BTC. Bitcoin should be cash, and since I'm not really invested in either BTC or BCH - good luck to LN proponents in achieving cash status, I mean it. But I was also quite disappointed by the "SoV" narrative during the 2017 split

I'm curious what roadmap you refer to here

If this one, then I don't know who is more insane, the dudes who created it or the ones who they created it for. When I saw it, it was an eye-opener of sorts for me which let me clearly see that people behind Bitcoin Cash (no matter which one exactly) are in this business exclusively for money (or maybe they are even more insane than I can imagine)

BCH is also a HORRIBLE trading instrument, because its main fanboys are the early bitcoin community of 2010-2011. If they decide to buy, it's gonna double, maybe even triple in price simply because the market cannot sustain their huge riches

How are these fanboys particularly different from Bitcoin ones if everyone of both camps was given the same amount of Bitcoin Cash coins at the fork?
4583  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-24]Russia to Release a Draft Law Allowing Entities to Use Crypto for an on: January 26, 2019, 08:07:16 PM
I do not know what this Russian government wants, why they simply do not legalize bitcoin? What fear does the Russian government have? with so much technology that Russia has, can not they be able to create laws that are favorable to bitcoin and be able to inspect if these laws are being fulfilled? We constantly hear news about Bitcoin coming from Russia and such news is always pessimistic news. We can not expect anything good coming from russia

I can tell you exactly what they want

They want Bitcoin to remain as it is (if it is not going to die on its own, which would be the best outcome for them). Just in case, Bitcoin as well as other cryptocurrencies is not illegal in Russia, and this is the way the authorities see it best at this time, i.e. Bitcoin remaining in the gray area. They can't openly legalize it because common people are likely to lose money with it, and then the government will have to deal with the consequences of that. But they can't ban it either because such a ban will be ineffective anyway

We should not forget that there is also a bill on establishing criminal liability for using cryptocurrency as a means of payment

There is no such bill (as far as I know). What you likely heard were only empty threats and fearmongering
4584  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: To save bitcoin - stop buying bitcoin cash on: January 26, 2019, 07:45:21 PM

BCH took from BTC-s price - true. But had it not forked, all the early adopters who wanted to use Bitcoin as cash would have sold their coins anyway - so the end result would be the same

How do you know that?

Your assumption that people who sold Bitcoin Cash would have sold Bitcoin if there were no fork is completely arbitrary. I can just as easily claim that people who sold their Bitcoin Cash coins bought Bitcoin with the proceeds. Basically, the money that Bitcoin Cash provided was taken from Bitcoin's value (there's no free lunch), and the end result would be the same if all Bitcoin Cash holders dumped their coins and bought regular bitcoins instead
Well, failure to scale has driven tons of early adopters away. I'm not saying they would have sold for dollars, maybe they would have invested more heavily in ETH, maybe they would have joined the first exodus from "Store of Value" bullcrappery in Dash (although I'm not a fan of how Dash started at all)

Failure to scale? What did I miss?

Don't we already have Lightning Network in the mainnet? Maybe, you actually wanted to say that it took so long to finally make it there, right? But it took even longer for these "early adopters" to wait until this has become an issue at all. If such people firmly believed in the technology for so many years, with all its bumps and hiccups down the road, they should understand that such things are not done overnight. And they should know it better than anyone else, apart from also being the most interested party in Bitcoin as a reliable, trusted and bugfree means of payment or store of value. The people you refer to are anyone but early adopters
4585  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin prices are being settled to explode ? on: January 26, 2019, 06:20:39 PM
BAKKT still depending on the regulators, and from what I see, there is still no 100% guarantee that the regulator will grant them the license. Just see that they are no longer optimistic as the months ago

I suspect this has more to do with how things stand right now in the cryptoworld

I don't think they would be making all this effort and spending so much time and resources developing their platform if they weren't sure in receiving the regulator's approval in the end. More likely, they have become less optimistic because they now see that there's actually not that much interest in cryptocurrencies as they first estimated. In other words, they wouldn't start if they knew in advance the current state of affairs in the cryptoverse. Perhaps, they expected much more adoption by this time
4586  Economy / Gambling / Re: Stake.com | The Most Popular Bitcoin Casino | ETH & LTC Accepted! on: January 26, 2019, 04:08:10 PM
At early days of primedice you got random name whenever you gambled so I remember people literally refreshing the page trying the faucet on something like x100 or whatever it was, if it didn't win retrying again and again and again until it won.
That was a way of making money daily and considering a bot could do that probably 50+ times in a minute there was a big chance of making a decent amount of money per hour, I remember someone made over 2 bitcoins that way for a whole month or two and then primedice introduced better defense mechanism to prevent those

I remember those days too

Though not in the way you remember them. I recall Stunna announcing something like an increased free bonus here, on the forum, then you waited patiently the moment it started. It lasted only about five minutes or so (if my memory serves me right), but If you were lucky, you could claim it a few times. That is, you first claimed it, then bet with x100 multiplier. If you lost, you could try to claim the bonus again and play with it one more time. It was kinda official and legal back in the day
4587  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2019-01-21] - How US Government Shutdown Affects Bitcoin ETF Approval on: January 26, 2019, 03:39:07 PM
This ETF nonsense lasted for way too long now, time to have it come to an end

As long as someone's making money in the process, it won't stop

From my perspective, it's pretty much the same as with forks. Forking Bitcoin had been a profitable business for quite some time, with Bitcoin Cash being the most conspicuous example of that. Maybe, it is the way to attract private investors, maybe there's something else in this "ETF nonsense" which we don't have a clue about

Regarding the twins, they may fall into this category as well, i.e. they may be not so much interested in Bitcoin as technology as in money they can attract with it. Otherwise, why are they not paying attention to things that actually matter as you suggest? They've been in the business long enough to "do something useful that makes Bitcoin fundamentally better"
4588  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin Price Defends $3.5K After Cboe Pulls ETF Proposal on: January 26, 2019, 02:26:35 PM
That doesn't mean the bear market is over, but it does mean a correction back up to $5K is still possible (and maybe even likely)

A lot of people are waiting for that rebound to come about

This is our new ceiling, get used to it. When Bitcoin fell below 12k in earnest (after a few short-lived rebounds), many folks here were saying that it would be a new ceiling. And it came to be. Now our new ceiling seems to be at 5k. Whenever price is going to come close to this mark, there will be a massive resistance as people will be selling what they bought just below 6k (which was a support a couple months ago) in an effort to get rid of their bags even at a small loss (or not so small)

The bottom line is that there are still a lot of sellers in the market despite the price looking "stable". But if they are not going to sell at current prices, it doesn't mean that they won't when the price rises to their break-even point. These are the weak hands that everyone talks about and thinks that they have already been shaken out. They haven't
4589  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in - Contest with $30,000 in GUARANTEED PRIZES now live! on: January 26, 2019, 12:49:37 PM
Does any one here have already claimed their rewards through faucet only? I just want to know if I were to start again using it and without playing on multiply, how long will it take me before I can make a withdrawal?
Roughly, it would take a month or less maybe a few weeks to reach the minimum withdrawal assuming the price of BTC stays $3.5k for the entire month and the lowest payout to stay at 50 sats per claim.
You barely can reach withdrawal limit just in one month. If minimal reward is 50 Satoshi and withdrawal treshold is 30 000 Satoshi, you have to make ~600 free claims to reach it. So, if you make 10 faucet claims per day, it will took about 2 months to reach withdrawal treshold. Offcourse, if you will win bigger tier rewards you will reach treshold faster

This is what you get when you don't think out of the box (or just don't think at all)

And I don't mean doing anything which would be against the rules or otherwise shady. First, when you free roll, you get reward points (2 points for 1 roll, if I'm not mistaken). You can then exchange these points for a bonus which is added to your base amount. Further, you can sign up using a referral link of someone who is paying back to their referrals. For example, I pay back 100%, which means that on all your free rolls you get a 50% bonus at the end of the day (week). There are likely a few other things that I simply don't know about but which can help you greatly reduce your "withdrawal times"
4590  Economy / Speculation / Re: Relax, its just a hard market reset on: January 26, 2019, 12:28:45 PM
Think about December 2017: By that time, everyone was bullish and shorters had mostly given up (we were seeing sub-10K short levels on Bitfinex). Everyone had already bought, or in other words there were no buyers left to sustain prices at $20K. So the price crashed

This is just a theory

I don't necessarily disagree with it, but there is another theory which claims that the surge in prices was entirely artificial (remember 2013 and Gox times, anyone?) due to Bitfinex issuing new tethers like there was no tomorrow. So if this is what actually happened, you theory that "everyone had already bought" and "there were no buyers left" goes straight out the window as it was just Bitfinex stopping the proverbial printing press. If they didn't, we would likely see prices like 30k, 40k and so on, with no lack of buyers. Obviously, it would inevitably end in a catastrophic crash sooner or later anyway, but it is an entirely different matter
4591  Economy / Economics / Re: EU fines Mastercard more than half a billion euros on: January 26, 2019, 12:10:05 PM
Mastercard

Weren't Bitcoin miners doing essentially the same thing in late 2017?

Yes it can be related to a trade war in a way or another but the European have their reason for fining Mastercard. After all, with bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency this problem will not take a place from the beginning since the transaction fees are already known and no need to banks or any other third party.

Hmm, it doesn't look like this

Well, while it doesn't look quite like this exactly, we still had to pay fees like 50 dollars per transaction by the end of 2017. But we don't have the European Commission (which is basically the EU government) to fine miners for abusing their "competitive advantage" (or monopolistic position, if you please). We kinda had to bite the bullet. Yeah, now we have Lightning Network but we no longer have high prices to make miners pay for the pain we had to endure thanks to them not so long ago
4592  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin vs. Gold, Fiat and Altcoins (Updated: Traits of Money) on: January 26, 2019, 11:51:41 AM
Bitcoin can't and won't integrate most features (including private/confidential transactions) for political reasons.

Do research before ignoring wasabi wallet and mixers that have existed for years. The privacy of bitcoin isn't part of the protocol (yet) but that doesn't mean privacy options aren't available and increasing.

These don't compare to mandatory private transactions at the protocol level like Monero. Enforcing privacy at the protocol level would require a hard fork and would deteriorate Bitcoin's public and transparent ledger. That's extremely controversial and will therefore never happen without a network split

Somehow missed this interesting part

It is not only the requirement to hard fork that will hurt Bitcoin in case someone decides to add more privacy to it. We all know what happened to ZCash. I'm not very technically familiar with it, but as far as I know, it is basically a Bitcoin fork with more privacy in mind. And this privacy backfired heavily as a few regulated exchanges were forced to remove it because its transactions were hard to trace. Now imagine the same thing happening to Bitcoin once we have a similar feature introduced to it. So it is a double-edged sword of sorts
4593  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in - Contest with $30,000 in GUARANTEED PRIZES now live! on: January 26, 2019, 11:30:33 AM
Hey Quin,

Do you consider enabling Lightning Network transactions or creating another faucet with LN? If Bitcoin goes above $20k the faucet rewards will be lower than 10 satoshis. And as many people expect if it ever goes above $100k, it will be reduced to 1-2 satoshis which is going to make this faucet practically unusable. The only safe way out of this enabling the lightning network where you can reward people with (even) sub-satoshi amounts and the withdrawal fees will be near zero.

What do you think?

And how is Lightning Network supposed to help here?

Will it make rewards higher or what? If Bitcoin ever goes to $20k, we will be back where we were a little over a year ago. Did people stop using the faucet back then? Besides, you wouldn't really expect the fees to rise as much if high prices re going to happen again precisely because of Lightning Network now in the mainnet. So for small people like us it shouldn't matter much, especially considering the fact you should have Lightning Network at both ends

With that said, though, I agree that introducing Lightning Network everywhere should help Bitcoin adoption as such. Therefore, it is a good thing on its own

First of all, I am not talking to you. I asked the question to Quin. Not you.  If you don't quote me in your future posts, I would be glad

It is an open forum where anyone is free to comment anyone else's posts. So I don't mind if you do (or anyone else, for that matter). But you can choose to ignore me if you feel hurt for whatever reason (I don't mind either), though I can't honor your request, sorry for that

You may want to ask your questions in private to avoid the discomfort of someone else answering them
4594  Economy / Economics / Re: What's it like to live on crypto instead of Banks? on: January 26, 2019, 11:23:54 AM
It's just a matter of time before every payment processor will start accepting payments in stablecoins, and I'm certain that this will turn out to be something that will gain a lot of traction in the forthcoming years. Coingate already accepts TrueUSD, so the first step has been set. Considering that most people don't need censorship resistant payments, these stablecoins will do well, very likely better than most decentralized cryptos combined eventually.

Stability is such an important factor that regardless of how fast and cheap your transactions are, if the price jumps up and down like crazy, it's not a serious day to day currency.

I guess I'm just old school. I much prefer to hold most funds in bitcoins in cold storage and hedge short with a portion as needed. Stablecoins seem risky no matter what. With the "legit" stablecoins (GUSD, PAX) you need to worry about Gemini or Paxos hassling you when you try to redeem, or outright freezing funds. Gemini has a backdoor, after all. On the other side of the spectrum (Tether), you need to worry about the U.S. government fining or shutting down Tether. They're already being investigated for price manipulation. I think there might be another BTC-e situation in the making there

Stablecoins are neither here nor there

And hedging with partially covered shorts is the way to go (or via futures and options if you have access to these). This is not the old school (which it is), this is the right school. These stablecoins are a substitute for fiat, but it is not the same as fiat in your bank account. They are to give you a sense of being protected without actually protecting from systemic risks like exchange hacked, funds frozen, money stolen
4595  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Decentralized System Disadvantages on: January 26, 2019, 10:59:29 AM
To my mind, one of the disadvantages is that decentralized exchanges, if we take exchanges as an example, have lesser pool in comparison with centralized platforms. Furthermore, for a cryptocurrency to be presented at the exchange, it is necessary to employ a smart contract, and not all of them use it.
I'm sorry but your are out of topic, we are not talking about exchange, we are talking about the decentralize system as a whole, like the blockchain

I don't think he is actually offtopic here

The sad truth is that centralized exchanges turn this whole decentralized system into a centralized system too. As you might know, most of cryptocurrency activity happens at exchanges whether you like it or not. So you can't just choose to ignore them even if you are talking about the decentralized system as a whole. It is a fact of life, a part of reality if you please, which you simply can't ignore. If you, nevertheless, do, then the conclusions you draw won't be relevant. They will be fallacious and incorrect
4596  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in - Contest with $30,000 in GUARANTEED PRIZES now live! on: January 26, 2019, 10:21:25 AM
Hey Quin,

Do you consider enabling Lightning Network transactions or creating another faucet with LN? If Bitcoin goes above $20k the faucet rewards will be lower than 10 satoshis. And as many people expect if it ever goes above $100k, it will be reduced to 1-2 satoshis which is going to make this faucet practically unusable. The only safe way out of this enabling the lightning network where you can reward people with (even) sub-satoshi amounts and the withdrawal fees will be near zero.

What do you think?

And how is Lightning Network supposed to help here?

Will it make rewards higher or what? If Bitcoin ever goes to $20k, we will be back where we were a little over a year ago. Did people stop using the faucet back then? Besides, you wouldn't really expect the fees to rise as much if high prices re going to happen again precisely because of Lightning Network now in the mainnet. So for small people like us it shouldn't matter much, especially considering the fact you should have Lightning Network at both ends

With that said, though, I agree that introducing Lightning Network everywhere should help Bitcoin adoption as such. Therefore, it is a good thing on its own
4597  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin the inflation killer :-> on: January 26, 2019, 08:12:52 AM
I think bitcoin has not fulfilled the criteria as an inflation killer because the price of bitcoin has not been stable until now, the only thing that can kill inflations is gold because its value has never decreased.

Maybe you've never seen history from a gold chart. before bitcoin inflation occurs, gold actually experiences inflation. Bitcoin is only a few years old while gold has been in the investment world for decades, so I say it is fair to have price volatility because even the price of gold is always moving even though its movements tend to be stable compared to bitcoin

You are looking at only one side of the equation

With Bitcoin it doesn't matter much because the other side, i.e. the US dollar, is by far less volatile than Bitcoin and its volatility can be safely discarded for most practical intents and purposes. But this is not the case with gold simply because gold is even more stable than the dollar (let alone Bitcoin). So when talking about gold volatility you should always keep that factor in mind. Simply put, in the majority of cases it is actually the volatility of the dollar in the change of gold price as gold is priced in dollars, not gold itself
4598  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in - Contest with $30,000 in GUARANTEED PRIZES now live! on: January 26, 2019, 06:51:17 AM
But what is the lowest requirement for the balance to have the highest full base reward?

There isn't one. If the wagered to free ratio is high enough you could have a zero balance and still get full base reward

Obviously, I meant the case where one is not gambling

We brought in the $50 and $100 limits so that the system doesn't penalise people with old accounts that made a lot of free-rolls back when BTC was around $200. It is very difficult for them to wager enough at $3,500 BTC to outweigh their total free winnings. So yes you are correct as long as you keep that $50 balance then your base reward will never be reduced

So how exactly is this $50 threshold determined?

You see, the balance is shown in bitcoins, so no fiat is involved in the process, right? It looks like you have to take this balance and calculate its value in fiat. What exchange rates are you using and where can we check them? And while we are at it, it would be good to have an option or switch that would allow to see the balance in dollar terms - again, to see where one is standing with this threshold in mind
4599  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: To save bitcoin - stop buying bitcoin cash on: January 26, 2019, 06:42:42 AM

BCH took from BTC-s price - true. But had it not forked, all the early adopters who wanted to use Bitcoin as cash would have sold their coins anyway - so the end result would be the same

How do you know that?

Your assumption that people who sold Bitcoin Cash would have sold Bitcoin if there were no fork is completely arbitrary. I can just as easily claim that people who sold their Bitcoin Cash coins bought Bitcoin with the proceeds. Basically, the money that Bitcoin Cash provided was taken from Bitcoin's value (there's no free lunch), and the end result would be the same if all Bitcoin Cash holders dumped their coins and bought regular bitcoins instead
4600  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in - Contest with $30,000 in GUARANTEED PRIZES now live! on: January 26, 2019, 06:10:30 AM
What is the minimum amount I have to deposit to get this "full base reward" and in which currency is it calculated exactly? To avoid possible misunderstanding, is it the same as "FREE BTC reward", which is now equal to 0.00001064 BTC? And if these are the same, will the full base reward remain the same as long as the minimum balance requirement is satisfied? Won't this reward diminish with the number of FREE BTC rolls increasing?

It's not actually deposits, it is the current balance. You can get that through referral income or gambling as well as depositing

I meant if you had a small balance like 50k satoshi

The full base reward refers to the $0.002 for the lowest tier of the free-rolls payout table. There is a formula that measures a ratio of total free winnings against wagered amount and balance. Accounts that only play free will eventually have that base reward reduced to 33.5% of full reward. The $50 balance is enough on its own to give full reward for people that don't want to gamble. Accounts that wager need less than $50 balance. The exact same thing applies to playing without captcha but the requirements are higher ($100)

But what is the lowest requirement for the balance to have the highest full base reward?

Or the requirement for the highest tier of the free-rolls payout table which should mean the same thing as I see it (for those who don't gamble)? You say that $50 balance guarantees the full base reward. Does it mean that it is large enough and thus doesn't depend on the ratio of total free winnings against wagered amount and balance? That is, no matter how long you play free rolls, your full base reward won't be reduced to 33.5%. If it will, how much should be added to the balance to "make life full again"? And after all, could you write that formula so that we always knew where we stand in respect to this reward?
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