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4621  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: February 15, 2023, 01:43:06 AM
I didn't expected Namibia to lose to Nepal in ICC Cricket World Cup League Two 2019-23, especially with Sandeep Lamichhane embroiled in the rape controversy. Namibia needs another 7 points to overtake Oman in the points table. They have only 5 matches left now. And that means that they need to win at least 3 games, with one more as draw or tie. Nepal doesn't have much of a chance to qualify to the next stage. Although they have 11 more matches remaining, they are at 6th place with just 20 points.

During yesterday's match, Namibia made a massive total of 285 and still lost it. Michael van Lingen had his highest score in an ODI, while Sandeep Lamichhane took three wickets for Nepal. In return, Kushal Bhurtel and Rohit Paudel scored the runs for Nepal and chased down the target with relative ease. The absence of David Wiese was a negative for Namibia, but they can't expect him to play all these unimportant matches when so many franchise T20 leagues are going on. Ruben Trumpelmann of the other hand took 3 wickets.
4622  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2023 Oscar Awards betting and discussions on: February 15, 2023, 01:33:19 AM
For a while now, it has been turning into a progressive heaven for participants. If you are a lady with beard, or a queer or any lgbt+ member then you are going to get a lot more votes than what your song deserves. We do not have the times of "I am in love with a fairytale" period anymore. And this is coming from someone who supports progressive rights, what we think quite normal today was wrong for people in 60's, black/white marriage was a "sin" according to some people 60 years ago, and normal today, so what some say is wrong or sin today will be normal 60 years from now and I support them. BUT nobody should win if the song is not the best one, that should be only reason to win.

Previously televoting had an equal weight as the jury vote and then the political considerations of the jury will not have too much impact on the final results. But they changed the format for voting several times in the last 5-6 years, and now the jury vote has a higher weightage. Even the televoting seems to be having a bias. Check the voting numbers below, and you will find that "friendly" countries (for example, Moldova/Romania, Cyprus/Greece, Ukraine/Azerbaijan) get more votes compared to "unfriendly" countries. So not always, the best song gets most points.

4623  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: February 15, 2023, 01:23:53 AM
Isn't that logical? I mean a team that looks like be good enough to get the title ends up losing to Croatia and you are wondering why people do not like the way they are right now and want to see somethings changed?

I personally think that it is exactly because of that, they had a team who should have fought for a title and unluckily they lost some players and that's bad, I get that, but at the end of the day they lost anyway while expected to be one of the best teams, which shows that quarter final elimination equals to doing something about that. A new manager, some changes in the roster, and somehow a better way to organize later on for the future.

No matter how good a team is, they can't guarantee winning matches 100% of the time they play. No one expected that Brazil would lose to Croatia, but it happened as a result of the combination of several adverse factors. I still believe that Brazil had the most skilled players and better team balance compared to other teams during Qatar 2022. From round of 16, it is knockout phase and no one can actually predict the outcome of the matches with guarantee. Croatia had a great day and didn't had anything to lose and eventually they won the match. That said, I didn't found too many negatives in the team strategy for Brazil, or the team balance and bonding.
4624  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: February 14, 2023, 10:55:32 AM
Oh no... You didn't just say that Serbia is one of the strongest team in Europe. Or did you? Where did you come up with that conclusion? Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying that they are a bad team. They played OK in the World Cup, but to say that they are one of the best European teams is a bit too much. Don't you think?

UEFA is such a tough confederation and almost all the teams competing there are quality teams. I posted that Serbia is one of the strongest teams, because they topped their respective group in the UEFA qualifiers (out of the group of 5 teams, they managed to finish ahead of Portugal and the Republic of Ireland). But if you look at the rankings, then they are much below other teams such as England and France (Serbia is currently ranked #29). Anyway, IMO Serbia is a strong team and Brazil easily got past them without much difficulty.
4625  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: February 14, 2023, 10:45:13 AM
The maximum overseas players limit is 30 so each team can bank on only 6 overseas players (including associates). Isabelle Wong registered as an English player so no one can use any loophole.

Associate players didn't attract many bids except Tara Norris and 1 Indian-origin girl from the UAE but she missed out due to mixed up from the franchise. Having a good associate player is a bonus for any team as they can field 5 overseas players, given 1 is from an associate country (4 full nation players + 1 Associate). If there is no associate player then they can only field 4 overseas players in the playing XI.

OK.. In that case my bad. All the best for Tara Norris. I watched her during the Fairbreak Invitational T20 and she performed really well during the tournament. And I am quite surprised that none of the Thai women even got registered in the auction. Thailand is the strongest associate side at this moment in women's game and it is quite surprising that none of the franchises even considered their players. Apart from Thailand, Netherlands and Nepal are also quite good in women's cricket. Hopefully the WPSL will offer some of these players with contracts.
4626  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod] on: February 14, 2023, 10:34:24 AM
@Sithara007 the ICC has not bothered in so many years about this issue, so what makes you think that they’ll suddenly care about reducing funds for Zimbabwe?. Furthermore the start of the third day seems to be delayed, and I don’t think that Zimbabwe can escape with a draw hence it’s clear that a big humiliating defeat is coming their way.

Unless there is rain, the match may get completed by today itself. Zimbabwe are struggling at 15/2, and need another 162 runs to avoid innings defeat. And 64 overs remain in today's play, which should be enough for the West Indian bowlers to take the remaining 8 wickets. Craig Ervine maybe able to delay the inevitable for a while, but their playing XI doesn't have any other experienced batsmen. Even if rain interruption occurs today, two more days remain and I don't really think that Zimbabwe can save this match. And there are hardly any positives for them to take away from this series as a whole.
4627  Economy / Economics / Re: Amazon reports its first unprofitable year since 2014 on: February 14, 2023, 07:53:32 AM
And....it's also a bit of a paper loss.
~~~

Oh.. OK.. so that is the case here.

Amazon has an absolute monopoly in terms of e-commerce, and therefore they are not going to care even if the profits go down for a year or two. I am 100% sure that the so called loss is a tactic from them to lower the tax bill. It is their competitors who are going through losses now, as a result of monopolistic policies from Amazon. The misuse of monopoly by Amazon has made the lives of their competitors miserable and many of them had to shut down. Fortunately here in India, we have a strong competitor (Flipkart) who just refuses to lose to Amazon.
4628  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: February 14, 2023, 07:44:16 AM
Pakistan and Sri Lanka have the same problem. But the overall situation of the two parties is not the same. Pakistan is an important country in world politics. And there are many countries that are ready to lend to Pakistan subject to various conditions. But it is difficult for Pakistan to accept the terms. Even then I think eventually Pakistan will be able to raise a smart amount of debt. So there is less chance of going bankrupt very quickly.
On the other hand, Sri Lanka's economy was completely dependent on the tourism sector. Sri Lanka is facing a lot of problems during the Corona Pandemic. And at the same time due to some wrong decisions of the government, the country is in such a bad state today.

First of all, it will be wrong to compare these two countries in the first place. Pakistan's population is more than 10 times higher than that of Sri Lanka, and their diaspora population itself may be larger than the total population of Sri Lanka. The problem with Pakistan is that they are unable to convert their large market to revenues in the cricket domain. Media rights revenues are around 1% of that in India, due to a variety of reasons - regulations on advertisement, content-sharing rules and low cable TV penetration. In these aspects, Sri Lanka ranks higher than Pakistan.
4629  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod] on: February 14, 2023, 07:34:32 AM
Such matches are very boring to enjoy. And I think the attendance in these matches is very low. Both matches were completely one-sided. Compared to West Indies, the Zimbabwe team was very weak both in batting and bowling. Zimbabwe suffered a humiliating defeat in the first match. Their performance deteriorated further in the second match. The general audience does not like such one-sided matches. It would have been more exciting and enjoyable if it had been an ODI series. The ICC should consider the overall situation of the parties. As a result of such one-sided matches, we are averse to cricket.

Zimbabwe hasn't done much to justify their test status during the last one or two decades. Their performance have been on constant downslide ever since Andy Flower and Henry Olonga rebelled during the 2003 World Cup, which triggered the flight of players to Australia and England. Now the question is how the ICC can keep the annual fund allocation to Zimbabwe ($12 million per year, or $96 million in total for the 2015-23 cycle) much higher than that of teams such as Scotland and Netherlands, who have performed consistently better with 1/20th of the funds that Zimbabweans receive.
4630  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: T20 and T20I cricket prediction and discussion on: February 14, 2023, 07:24:11 AM
It was a big day for Women's sports and life-changing money for many women cricketers.

Aussie cricketers were in demand, it wasn't a surprise as they have a top-notch team and their bench strength is also amazing. Lots of good players went unsold so it feels like there is space for a couple of teams as well, maybe after 1-2 seasons.

USA - 1
WI - 2
NZ - 2
SA - 4
Eng - 7
Aus - 14

There are 5 teams and each of them can have 7 overseas players. So there is room for a total of 35 players. That means that 5 players can still be hired. And there is some confusion regarding Isabelle Wong. She represents England, but has dual citizenship of Hong Kong as well. Mumbai Indians claim that they can classify her as associate player (and thereby include another 4 overseas players in their playing XI). But she has never represented Hong Kong. Right now, only one player can be described as associate player (Tara Norris of United States of America).
4631  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🏅 Paris 2024 Olympic 🏊 Discussion & Predictions 🤺 Summer Games 🏋️ 🥅 🚴 on: February 14, 2023, 03:20:11 AM
Most likely they will not get well-known players, but in some cases, if that well-known is really good at something then they might put some legality to it, pretty much they didn't need star power in getting to this point and there could be a lot of issues involving known personality that might ruin the Olympics reputation

Well.. let the players take the decision. For some players, winning an Olympic medal for their country would be one of the highest priorities. But for some others, playing for the club is more important. The current eligibility criteria (U-23 plus 3 senior) is well suited here, since it gives enough room for those senior players who have an Olympic ambition. And this criteria has resulted in some of the African countries winning the gold medal. Nigeria won the gold in 1996 and Cameroon in 2000. So in general, the changed eligibility criteria have been beneficial for the globalization of football.
4632  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: February 14, 2023, 03:10:07 AM
The biggest difference between Pakistan & Srilanka in the current situation is that IMF has agreed on a bailout package for Srilanka and not with Pakistan. I would never say that Pakistan cannot organize another season of PSL. I would only say that this is not the right time. The worst is yet to come for Pakistan and you can blame it blatantly on the ruling class for the current situation. Rameez did good to for PCB but with Sethi as chairman, I do not think the revenue generated by PSL if it happens will go to the board.

Pakistan may get loans from some of the international agencies, as talks are going on. The case with Sri Lanka was much worse and that country ran out of petrol and diesel, and there were people waiting to fill their vehicles for weeks. Similar to the case with the IPL (which is the major revenue generator for the BCCI), PSL has gradually become a revenue earner for the PCB. Sethi don't need to do anything special. Before his departure, Rameez had already finalized the revenue sharing deal with the franchises and entered in to a very competitive media rights deal with PTV Sports and A Sports. There will be a steady flow of revenue, and Sethi just need to sit back and watch while funds flow in to the PCB accounts.
4633  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: It's on! 2024 US Presidential Election Biden+Harris Vs Trump Bitcoin betting.... on: February 14, 2023, 03:00:24 AM
I would say no matter what Trump does, if Kamala runs, DeSantis would easily do better than her, even if Trump runs an anti-DeSantis campaign and talks badly about him everywhere he goes, it won't matter because Kamala is nowhere near DeSantis. If Trump does that but Biden runs? There is definitely a good chance he could still with, Biden is too old and not many people trust him.

Basically that is why I said if DeSantis runs, no matter what happens, he would probably get the win, highly unlikely for him to lose, still could happen but unlikely. The reason why Biden was elected was because people didn't want Trump, if they got rid of Trump, then DeSantis is not someone they are against that much. Not as much as Trump at least.

Back in 2016 and 2020, the pollsters underestimated GOP support. In both cases, GOP won more electoral college votes, than those predicted by the pollsters. But the situation changed completely in 2022. During the midterms, GOP lost 2-3 senate seats which they would have easily won. For the United States House of Representatives elections, I was expecting the GOP to win 240-250 seats and they ended up with just 222 (a bare majority). And then we had all the drama with Kevin McCarthy's speaker election. I am not getting too excited about GOP's chances in 2024. At this point, if the party is united then they have a 50% chance. That gets reduced to almost nothing, if there is infighting.

BTW, Harris is no longer the no.2 for Democrat nomination:

4634  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Cricket match prediction discussions on: February 14, 2023, 02:50:07 AM
Heard about this European league cricket for the first time and if they needed 1 run on 5 balls and Still they couldn't make it than a blind  can tell that the match is fixed as its humanly impossible to not score 1 run in last over.

Things like this can happen in small tournaments as no check and balance is there , they are not accountable for their actions.

I really don't know why the Sportsbooks want to allow betting on these matches, where there is no oversight from the ICC or the law enforcement authorities. Cricket already has a match fixing problem and these little known leagues make it much worse than it should actually be. Here is one of the recent examples:

https://emergingcricket.com/news/limassol-gladiators-excluded-from-european-cricket-series-cyprus-in-match-fixing-probe/

The European Cricket Network (ECN) claims to have formed an anti-corruption unit to look in to the match fixing allegations, but I am noticing very little improvement. Irrespective of whether there is improvement or not, I would urge everyone to stay out from making bets on these matches. BTW, check this article as well:

https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/jaipur/two-arrested-as-police-bust-cricket-betting-ring/articleshow/76882916.cms?from=mdr
4635  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ 2022 FIFA Club World Cup - Morocco on: February 14, 2023, 02:40:06 AM
LOL.. what a match? No one expected that the outcome would be any different, but to their credit Al-Hilal gave Madrid a run for their money. I was expecting a one-sided match, but this one turned out to be another competitive final (similar to the FIFA world cup final in Qatar). At one point, Real was leading by 4-1 and everyone wrote off Al Hilal. But they came back strongly with goals from Luciano Vietto. Eventually the Saudi team lost the match, but they have a lot of positives to take away from this final.

Real Madrid takes home $5 million in prize money, while Al Hilal would be receiving $4 million as the runners up. Teams that are ranked 3rd and 4th will receive $2.5 million and $2 million respectively, while everyone else except Auckland City will receive $1 million. Auckland City got beaten by Al Ahly in the first round, and therefore they will receive only $500,000.
4636  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Saudi Professional League 2022/2023 on: February 14, 2023, 02:30:08 AM
Nice to see him score. It may not be the big league but Cristiano Ronaldo has had a tough time in recent months. 4 goals will definitely bring his confidence back. He is still a football star, there is nothing more to say than the truth, Cristiano Ronaldo looks so happy and he is a great goalscorer at 38 years old, I also want to look forward to the new history he makes for Al-Nassr.

Some of the Saudi Professional League clubs have good overseas players representing them. I am talking about clubs such as Al Hillal and Al-Ittihad. But clubs like Al-Wehda doesn't have that luxury and whenever they play against teams like Al Nassr they go down by big margins. For Al Nassr, the next match is against another little-known club called Al-Taawoun. We can expect a big win on 17th February, when the two teams are going to meet. The local defenders are no match for a legend like Ronaldo. Already he has 4 goals from 2 matches. By the time this season of SPL gets completed, he may overtake Talisca to become the top scorer.
4637  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ICC women's T20 World cup 2023 Discussion Thread on: February 14, 2023, 02:20:28 AM
You could have created this thread before the tournament started. Now we are discussing about it in the main T20 cricket thread. The tournament started on 10th February, and you posted this thread two days later. Anyway, better late than never. Here in India, women's cricket has grown by leaps and bounds during the last few years and there is a very noticeable increase in audience and viewership for this edition (compared to the previous one). And India's win against Pakistan definitely helps to get the media attention as well.

We are almost mid-way through the group stage. As things stand, two among these teams - South Africa, Australia and Sri Lanka may qualify for the semi-finals from Group 1. The other group is much easier, and England and India may qualify from there. Indian women recently won the T20 U-19 women's world cup. Now they will be targeting to win the senior women's world cup as well.
4638  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Test Cricket Prediction and Discussion Thread [self - mod] on: February 14, 2023, 02:10:33 AM
Just the second day of the match over and West Indies already leading by 179 runs is really good. The match is in control of the West Indies team. Tomorrow somehow West Indies will end its innings with 200+ runs lead. Zimbabwe to the maximum could score 300 runs and the same too a dream. Probably the match reaches the result by the fourth day.

West Indies already have a lead of 175 runs, and there is a good chance that they may not be required to bat again. Zimbabwe once again proved that they are competitive only when Sikandar Raza is in the team. But he is participating in the PSL, so can't rescue them this time around (BTW he played his last test match for Zimbabwe almost 2 years ago). My advice to Zimbabwe would be to restrict themselves in test format against teams such as Ireland. If they play against the tier-1 test nations, due to the gap in player skills the matches will turn out to be too much one-sided.

So far this series has served it's purpose to improve the personal stats of some of the players. Tagenarine Chanderpaul and Gudakesh Motie would be happy about what they have achieved so far. But the ICC needs to take in to account these mismatches. They need to decide whether Zimbabwe should be allowed to play in test format, against tier-1 countries.
4639  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ODI cricket and general cricketing discussion [self - mod] on: February 14, 2023, 02:00:54 AM
Pakistan's floods, political situation as well as economy are now in negative shape from all aspects. This was still the case when Imran Khan was in power but not as much as it is now. All the problems became visible with the change of power. Pakistan is trying to get rid of that situation but it is not possible to say when it will be free. Pakistan's economic impact is not visible in cricket, But it will definitely have an impact invisibly.

If you compare the economic situation in Sri Lanka with that in Pakistan, you will admit that the Lankan are in a much worse situation. But that didn't prevented them from hosting the Lanka Premier League successfully a few months back. With the PCB, they already have an old and established league in the PSL. With the new revenue sharing model that was implemented last year by Rameez, if the tournament is conducted properly then the board can get a lot of revenues in the form of media rights and sponsorship. Flood and inflation will have an impact, but I am sure that they will get through.
4640  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: February 14, 2023, 01:50:08 AM
I still reiterate...
If Brazil continues with this same team and fails to make a drastic change in players, coaches and staff, it will not win the next world cups.

Brazil's level has dropped a lot compared to previous world cups (example, 1998, 2002, 2006),
At that time, Brazilians had several players who were the best in the world in each position, we had goalkeeper, defender, midfielder and striker.

And today, unfortunately, we only have Neymar, in which he is the team's star player.

I have no doubt that Brazil will need to hone young talents from childhood to adulthood, so after that, Brazil may be able to be world champions again.

Well.. I find this strange. We see these arguments only after Brazil got kicked out of the world cup (lost to Croatia during Quarter-finals). Till that point, Brazil was having the best odds for any teams and they were considered as the favorites to lift the trophy (Argentina's odds were much worse). No one was complaining about the team balance before the tournament started. And let's not forget the fact that they scored a big win in their opening match, against one of the strongest teams from the UEFA confederation (Serbia). Things somehow didn't worked out for them in the knockout phase. But I still don't want to criticize them for that.
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