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4661  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: March 30, 2023, 01:38:16 PM
In my opinion, the victory of Croatia against Turkey was obvious, as Croatia "unplanned" lost points in the game with Wales and had to correct the situation. As for Turkey, this team has long suffered hard times and the situation is not improving, so their chances against a motivated Croatia, even in the home game, were minimal.

If the Turkish national team coach changes, things will change in the group. In the second match, Türkiye takes the field stronger. But if Kuntz stays, Türkiye's job will be difficult, even impossible. There are names that are spoken about change. For example, if Sergen Yalçın becomes the head of the national team, there will be a great change in the positive direction. It's clear that there will be no long-term success with Kuntz. Participating in Euro 2024 is a must for the country. This country can't afford to miss another big tournament.

I think Türkiye will get to the final part of this tournament with 99% probability. In fact, in the modern format it is quite difficult not to get there, given the fact that even taking third place, a team can get a ticket through an additional tournament. By the way, now bookmakers estimate Turkey's chances of winning Europe 24 as 1 to 51, and Wales' chances as 1 to 81 - at least this means that bookmakers consider Turkey to be the favorite in the fight for second place in Group D.
4662  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: March 30, 2023, 01:31:34 PM
Liverpool is not an easy opponent but Manchester City must get full points in the match later to keep the points gap with Arsenal if you want to be part of the hunt for the EPL league championship, I think many are waiting for this match because of course the bets with pretty good odds and I bet on manchester city because I'm sure the city will get their win because they play as the host and are watched by many of their supporters.

The current quotes for this game are as follows:

1.60 - 4.20 - 5.50

City is overrated. 1.60 against Liverpool is just ridiculous even if Liverpool have a bad season and whatever. It seems to me that not the last reason for such quotes is that everyone basically thinks that the rivalry between Arsenal and City should continue, but many thought that in Serie A after the World Cup, competitors would start catching up with Napoli, but everything happened exactly the opposite. Why shouldn't we see a similar picture in the Premier League?
4663  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: March 30, 2023, 01:22:27 PM
Copa del rey will become the last el classico for real madrid against barcelona this season. that will be very interested to see that how real madrid will try to comeback after it was losing in the santiago bernabeu. Barcelona will be always trying to use the same strategy again. 4-3-3 has become the main choice by xavi against real madrid right now. Ancelotti has no choice other than try to use alternative strategy. It seems like that ancelotti was feeling so frustrated to see how barcelona was always playing defensively against madrid.

The fact that once a team feels so difficult to break the defensive strategy that used by its opponent will make the club become frustrated to think about how to make a goal against its opponent.
Barcelona was always using opportunity when real madrid was frustrated with its attack not so efficient to make a goal.

I strongly doubt that Barcelona will play the bus again in front of their own fans. In addition, it has no problems with the squad as in the first game (where this decision was forced), so I'm sure that we will see a double-edged game. I don’t know who will win and I’m not even sure of Real Madrid’s 100% motivation, but now the situation is such that Real should be stronger in an open game.
4664  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 30, 2023, 01:16:50 PM
For the Bayern Munich - Dortmund game my first betting choices are both teams to score and more than 3.5 goals to be scored. Because I agree that we can see many goals in this game as usual. We have mostly seen the games between them ending in this way so far. They played in Signal Iduna Park the last time in the league and it ended up with a 2-2 draw as well.

This time I will be expecting a win for Bayern Munich. They have to win to take back the lead from Dortmund. As for a score prediction I expect it to end by 3-1 or 3-2.

Probably everyone is waiting for something like this (the only question is in whose favor), therefore, odds for BTTS are so scanty - 1.45. I don't think it makes sense to put such a bet. I like this pick:

Bayern Munich Clean Sheet

Yes 3.25

No 1.33

Borussia Dortmund Clean Sheet

Yes 10.50

No 1.04

It is clear that such a bet will not play every game (especially in the case of Dortmund), but it looks profitable at a distance.
4665  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: March 30, 2023, 01:08:57 PM
Football is beautiful for this reason, it is unpredictable. For this reason, sometimes a technically poorer team wins.
If you remember a few years ago Greece won the European Championship with a cheap team. He played as a team and defeated everyone.

Remember?

"a few"  Grin It's time to wake up, that was 19 years ago  Wink
But I remember all this, it is noteworthy that in that year Porto won the Champions League, which in modern conditions no nontop club can even dream of.
We can say that all the surprises remained in the Europa League. Now, even if we take relative outsiders like Benfica or Napoli, they are actually very strong teams. And real outsiders like Milan and Chelsea have at least a loud brand.
4666  Other / Archival / Re: Таблица Подписных Кампаний за Bitcoin on: March 29, 2023, 08:59:59 PM
В саспенде чипмиксера (сервиса а не подписухи) лично я увидел и позитив: все-таки значит это был честный миксер, а не подментованный (однако остались вопросы что там за инфа у них на 7 террабайт конфискована) в чем я их очень сильно подозревал (экономически необоснованные выплаты подписантам наталкивали к мысли о том что это некоммерческий проект).

Как выше читал про "внезапно" быстро организовавшийся какой-то новый миксер, то может "так совпало" а может как раз этот и есть подментованный и заранее готовился чтобы занять рынок проекта который уже заведомо шел на убой.

We (staff) were asked to stop advertising mixing services.

Вероятно, администратор запретил всем модераторам рекламировать любые миксеры~

 Grin мегалол.
Скоро на криптофоруме крипту забанят. А че бы и нет, собственно.
4667  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: March 29, 2023, 08:53:10 PM
Soccer is really unpredictable, I posted yesterday about my bet, with all certainty that Spain was going to win.
Result: Scotland won, not only 1, but 2 goals against Spain  Cheesy , hard to believe.
And Croatia, which I thought would have a very difficult game against Turkey, won without much difficulty.

I couldn't watch all the matches, I watched the main teams, and the strongest teams in my opinion right now is France, England and Portugal.
Italy and Spain I expected more, not only by the results, but by the level they played.

The result of the first round of qualifiers for me is: 33.24 USD of profits, not much, but at least I have this to bet on next round in a few months

In my opinion, the victory of Croatia against Turkey was obvious, as Croatia "unplanned" lost points in the game with Wales and had to correct the situation. As for Turkey, this team has long suffered hard times and the situation is not improving, so their chances against a motivated Croatia, even in the home game, were minimal.
Spain surprised the most and I think a lot of multi bet lovers curse this pick as even "reliable" picks like double chance or win with a negative handicap didn't work.
4668  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: March 29, 2023, 08:42:09 PM
FC Chelsea has 11 games left to play in this season, currently they are 10th place in the Premier League and 9 points off a possible Quali Champions League spot next season. Or the catch a spot for the Europa League, I cant imagine not to see Chelsea playing there. With the many millions of euros they have spent, they must also have success, or the 600 million euros been a very bad investment.

And a few players will have to leave the club, there are too many at the moment. This Saturday they play at home against Aston Villa and on Tuesday next week against Liverpool FC, i hope they get 4-6 points in both games.

If Chelsea can be able to get 30 points from these eleven games they might get an European League football slot. Winning ten games in a row will be an uncommon feat for the team. Qualifying for the Europa league next season will be a great achievement for the team considering their poor run this season. But we shouldn't forget that Chelsea is still competing for the Champions League which means they could get a champions league slot if they win the trophy. The club has spent so much this season and Graham Potter wouldn't have any excuse for not performing. The next three league matches will determine how far Chelsea would go in the EPL.

If we assume that the average Chelsea win quote will be 1.6 (quite a fair estimate since there will be games against favorites + away games), then for the remaining 11 games the chances will be equal to (1.6)11 = 175. As you understand, this is not a very real result that Chelsea can achieve.
By the way, bookmakers are more optimistic and estimate the chances of Chelsea to get into the top 4 as 1 to 41  Cheesy
4669  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: March 29, 2023, 08:30:22 PM
First, Barcelona must avoid getting into the Segunda for their corrupt dealings. However, even if the punishment is less severe (although for what reason it should be less severe - everyone saw what happened to Juventus the previous time) and Barcelona will just be removed from the euro cups, it will also be interesting. On the one hand, coupled with the financial problems of the club, this will lead to the loss of some of the players, and on the other hand, Barcelona will have the opportunity to fully concentrate on La Liga. If Real buy a top striker in the summer, we will see an interesting rivalry.
I haven't considered the punishment that Barcelona will receive before it is proven true and decided. We probably won't talk about it too often given that anything can be the final decision there regarding Barcelona's future, however heavy or light.

The main focus is La Liga, of course because it will be the most realistic at the moment. While Barcelona is also struggling with its financial predicament, it is great that they have still managed to top the rankings this season against teams who are not in such financial straits like Real Madrid. I also expect better competition next season in La Liga because it looks like Real Madrid will spend lot of money for replace players who are getting older.

I read that a decision on Barcelona will be made before June 2023, although if the case aggravates (which is very likely since the prosecutor's office is investigating), then even after this period, new punishments/toughening of the old ones are possible. As for evidence, I don’t know what else is needed there - all the facts are already there. You understand that in civilized countries the corruption schemes themselves are prohibited, and not only what they lead to. You cannot give gifts to officials/judges/police officers and then say "and you prove that these are not just gifts, but bribes and they somehow influenced my affairs."
4670  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 29, 2023, 08:21:58 PM
Schalke has improved in recent games and they have not lost a game in the last 7 games. However, they have only won the games against their direct opponents in the fight against relegation (Stuttgart and Bochum). In this game against Leverkusen, Schalke will mainly concentrate on defending.
Leverkusen has played very well in the Bundesliga but also international. The victory against Bayern Munich gives them a lot of confidence.
I think Leverkusen will win this game.

In fact, Schalke's unbeaten streak is already 8 games. With two victories against direct competitors, this is an almost ideal indicator for a team whose only task is to maintain a place in the Bundesliga. Things are going even cooler for Bayer, but the victory over Schalke looks far from obvious and this can be seen even from the bookmakers quotes:

3.80 - 3.75 - 1.91

+91% looks attractive, but on the one hand, a series of 8 games without defeat, and on the other hand, 7 games with 6 wins and one draw. The second series looks even more impressive than the first, so I guess it should be interrupted.
4671  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: March 29, 2023, 08:11:13 PM
Bayern Munich is not the club it used to be in terms of dominance of the German league. Thomas Tuchel is not a magician, hence I am not expecting him to get an instant result in Bayern Munich. Manchester City has the advantage in this match because it will take sometime for the new coach to stabilize the team. I expect the Bayern team to improve with time because Tuchel needs understand the team. The match between these two teams is unpredictable City might win the first leg but the second leg will be the real battle. Thia match will be a real thriller and a must watch.

In fact, assuming that Bayern will play their normal football and City will do the same, I see a high probability that Bayern will win easily. Guardiola's teams abuse the control of the ball, but against Bayern (which knows how to control the ball and counterattack and pressure and aritmic football), this has always worked poorly - you can see from the history of meetings with Barcelona. This is the case when one style is clearly stronger than another, even without taking into account the performers. I hope that everything will be so and Tuchel with his tactical decisions will not spoil the whole pattern.
4672  Local / Майнеры / Re: Майнинг здох? on: March 29, 2023, 07:34:26 PM
3090е говорят тоже хорошо делают вычисления для проектов ИИ. 30К существенная цена для многих компаний. Продвинутые майнеры уже закупились необходимыми материнками с быстрыми портами 16х и мощными процессорами.

И куда эти продвинутые майнеры подались, что майнят вы не знаете?

30к это неподъемная цена для всех компаний для которых ИИ это не профильноя деятельность а утилити использование - по сути им иногда (возможно достаточно редко) нужны мощности чтобы обучить/перееобучить свою нейросетку, а дальше просто работа до следующего апдейта и значит железо будет лежать мертвым грузом. Тут аренда всегда с запасом побьет покупку.

дорого. на ИИ ощутимо легче балконных майнеров отрезать. мне серьезно заходить не по карману, а по мелочи сдается мне смысла нет. так и останется ИИ уделом корпораций и крупного бизнеса.
~

Согласен, тут чтобы от пирога что-то отщипнуть надо пилить именно готовые проекты-стартапы, от пирога где корпорации используют десятки тысяч H100 даже мелкие компашки вряд ли что-то откусят. Хотя в теории х8 H100 при цене 37к в месяц выглядит как окупаемость за меньше чем год (возьмем  с запасом), но думаю там есть еще нюансики.
4673  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ UEFA Euro 2024 in Germany ⚽ - Qualifiers on: March 27, 2023, 05:32:24 PM
Ireland France could be another tough job for France. Not in terms of content, of course, since France is much better. But teams always struggle in Ireland because they have some nice players and a big mentality. I think the quality of France will be decisive in this match. The Netherlands - Gibraltar doesn't seem like an exciting game to be honest. Those are matches in which 10 goals is a realistic option. Montengro - Serbia is a sensitive match because those countries used to be one country together. Serbia is now a lot stronger than Montenegro.

Ireland as a whole is an uncomfortable opponent for France plus they will be playing at home so it will not be a cakewalk for France which is reflected in the odds:

7,80 - 4,50 - 1,41

1.41 is a solid advantage, but I don't think it's a good choice. In fact, there is no competition in the groups for the top teams, so these games are mostly friendly and even the French team, which is motivated by the failure in the World Cup, can afford to draw.
4674  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2022/2023 on: March 27, 2023, 05:20:53 PM
After the statements that Conte allowed himself after the game with Southampton, the club has no choice whether to sack him or not. In principle, he repeated Ronaldo's trick with an interview with Morgan, only on a smaller scale - now the club is obliged to fire him.
So far, it is not completely clear why Conte is doing this - either he is tired of suffering at the club, or he knows that he will be fired at the end of the season and thus wants to at least get money for the premature termination of the contract ... but I think everything will become clear soon.

Well he have been rambling about he never dealt with the situation like Spurs in his managerial career so he has been very unhappy recently. Not sure what's going on behind the scenes but it's not looking good. Earlier it seemed like he would be till the end of the season but how things are going on it will be soon if board finds it going beyond a point and becomes unbearable to them. I think he also wants to get away as soon as possible so better to part ways if both the board and the manager are having the same feeling.

Hehe, I turned out to be right and Conte's maneuver worked - now he has received compensation (17 million, I think) and time to choose a new job. By the way, it's funny, but in the history of Tottenham, he is practically the top in terms of statistics:

1. Mauricio Pochettino (1.89 points per match);

2. Antonio Conte (1.88);

3. André Villas-Boas (1.83);

4. Harry Redknapp (1.74);

5. Jose Mourinho (1.64).

I will look with interest at the achievements of the new coach and will not be surprised if the club worsens its performance.
4675  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: March 27, 2023, 05:08:32 PM
I don't expect Xavi to win everything in his second season at Barcelona. He still has a lot to learn and build his team better season after season, but this season they have moved forward to prove something.

Xavi and Barcelona have won the Spanish Super Cup this season, while they still have the second leg of the Copa Del Rey and lead La Liga by 12 points. It is an extraordinary achievement even though Barcelona have not been able to impress in Europe. I think Xavi will come back with even more strength and experience in his third season at Barcelona. For this season, they are still unstable.

First, Barcelona must avoid getting into the Segunda for their corrupt dealings. However, even if the punishment is less severe (although for what reason it should be less severe - everyone saw what happened to Juventus the previous time) and Barcelona will just be removed from the euro cups, it will also be interesting. On the one hand, coupled with the financial problems of the club, this will lead to the loss of some of the players, and on the other hand, Barcelona will have the opportunity to fully concentrate on La Liga. If Real buy a top striker in the summer, we will see an interesting rivalry.
4676  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 27, 2023, 05:02:09 PM
I'm also among the people who think that Tuchel will make a positive impact on Bayern Munich's performance and successes from now on.

Above all else, I'm expecting Bayern Munich to play even better against Dortmund in the der Klassiker ahead. Tuchel is going to play against his old team at the same time so it must be feeling really different for him. I think that Bayern Munich will be victorious in this very important game and take back the lead from Dortmund. In addition, I'm expecting them to even become the champions in the Bundesliga. Apart from that, they could be even a little more deadly in the Champions League but they were already doing good there with Nagelsmann also.

Tuchel will have a tough time surpassing Nagelsmann's success in the Champions League (at least this season) as Bayern currently have 8 wins in 8 games. Given the fact that these were Inter, Barcelona and PSG, this is a significant achievement. Losing points with City, or worse, a defeat would raise some questions about such a drastic change of coach. There can hardly be any claims to Tuchel, since he has just taken over the management of the team, but completely to Kahn and Salihamidzic.
4677  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: March 27, 2023, 04:54:56 PM
A Napoli vs Real Madrid final is no surprise, it's a possibility. Napoli is consistently able to perform well in every match. And they have already almost secured the Serie A title. Napoli is 19 points ahead of the second-placed team. And so Napoli can now fully focus on the Champions League match.

Real Madrid's next match is against Chelsea. As Chelsea's performance is not regular, it is expected that Madrid will win this match. And if they win this match, Madrid will face either Munich or Manchester City in the semi-finals. So getting to the final is a bit difficult for Madrid. Napoli, on the other hand, will find it relatively easy to qualify for the final.

Quite funny enough, at the moment Napoli is the favorite among all the teams to reach the final. Here is the complete list:

Napoli 2.00

Manchester City 2.10

Bayern Munich 2.65

Inter 3.70

Benfica 3.70

Real Madrid 3.70

Milan 6.00

Chelsea 6.75

I agree about Milan and Chelsea, but Real have much worse quotes than Bayern and City, although Real will play with an outsider and Bayern and City play each other. Very illogical in my opinion - the meeting of two strong teams reduces the chances of each of them very much. As for Napoli, I think they are a little overrated because their opponents can also concentrate on the Champions League (although this will be a bit risky for Inter and Milan) and give Napoli maximum difficulties.
4678  Local / Майнеры / Re: Майнинг здох? on: March 27, 2023, 04:11:30 PM
В целом все как я и говорил, а тут еще и Нвидиа самолично глумится проясняет свою позицию:

Quote
Главный технический директор Nvidia Майкл Каган заявил, что криптовалюты «не приносят обществу ничего полезного». По его мнению, другие способы применения вычислительной мощности, такие как ИИ, намного полезнее майнинга.

С заработком на ИИ у них всё Ок:

Quote
Две недели назад Microsoft заявила, что купила у Nvidia десятки тысяч GPU A100, чтобы обеспечить работу OpenAI. Ранее Nvidia продала 20 000 GPU H100 компании Amazon для сервиса облачных вычислений AWS, а ещё 16 000 получила Oracle.

Nvidia также сдаёт свои вычислительные мощности в аренду. Её облачный сервис DGX стоит чуть менее $37 000 в месяц, за эти деньги можно получить доступ к восьми H100, соединённым в кластер.

Ради интереса быстренько загуглил стоимость GPU H100 ~ 30к $. Пожалуй от входа в этот бизнес пока воздержусь  Cheesy
4679  Local / Разное / Re: Форум недоступен из России on: March 27, 2023, 03:37:53 PM
В общем протон на мобиле у меня больше не работает. Пробовал на теле2 и на билайне. Разок каким-то образом коннект произошел, но видимо это был сбой - теперь при переборе всех стран его не происходит.
Вцелом печальненько, еще я видел какую-то законодательную инициативу по очередному обрубанию трафика с "недружественными" (считайте с цивилизованным миром) странами - наверно пора реально к переезду готовиться ибо на местные бомжовские зарплаты жить смысла нет (да и вообще опасно тут жить).

Кстати, может быть тут и ответ на мой вопрос:

Quote
Год спустя в момент замедления скорости доступа к Twitter из заявлений ведомства следовало, что оборудование фильтрует 100% трафика мобильных операторов и 50% трафика фиксированных сетей связи.

Последние несколько недель у протона постоянно происходят какие-то технические неполадки. На странице, отображающей текущий статус серверов, дофига уведомлений по этому поводу, да и сейчас там отмечено, что якобы все сервера на техобслуживании. Конечно, нельзя исключать и того, что проблемы с доступом к протону могут быть также из-за ркн.
Как бы там ни было, всегда есть альтернатива - собственный vpn на vps.

Ну с компа то все за секунду включается как и на телефоне с wifi, так что очевидно что проблемное место это именно мобильные операторы, а уж кто там конкретно виноват ркн или сами они (хотя понятно что ркн) мне все равно.

vpn на vps это конечно решение, но временное, да и решением это назвать сложно - так как это небольшое отодвигание последствий глобальных проблем, но не решение самих проблем. Приятный самообман, не более.
4680  Local / Разное / Re: Зачем Илону Маску Твиттер? on: March 27, 2023, 03:31:50 PM
Ну по крайней мере можно будет откидывать скамарей по признаку: "нет галочки, значит точно мошенники"). Хотя для неискушенного потребителя, наличие какого-либо значка всегда будет приманкой. Тут что не придумай, а мошенник сёрно додумает, как обойти преграду или же как грамотно использовать её. В деле распознавания скамов поможет только опыт. Новички же и с галочками и без нее шишек набьют.

А верификация сосбтвенно состоит в чем? ID надо предоставлять или что-то такое? Если только оплатить, то уж мошенники 10 баксов всегда найдут так как скамить они планируют на суммы порядком большие. Если есть какой-то КУС при верификации то более-менее, но все равно любой КУС обходится, единственное что можно отсечь здесь это когда скамеры себя выдают за какую-то известную личность.
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