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4661  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 15, 2020, 08:57:49 PM
That's a very possible scenario, just like the deal Manchester United gave to Edinson cavani, which imo, is quite too much for a player i consider to have gone past his peak/best and I don't know what else he can offer Manchester United.

There are alot of things he can offer. If you notice last season, Manchester United has been too reliant on Martial, Rashford and Greenwood . All other Club would have notice all their pattern by now and it is a good timing to bring in a new striker to add in some variances

^  Yeah so that means he's going for free next year.  I heard Barca's interested and so are PSG and Juve.  But I bet the other huge clubs like Real are also looking closely into it to see what develops.

Small chances to happen because Manchester United paid a huge amount to bring him into Old Trafford so They might want to squeeze some of their money back if any other Clubs are interested to sign him. One year contract perhaps to make him stay although he might be benched most of the time
4662  Economy / Gambling / Re: FreeBitco.in-$200 FreeBTC⭐Win Lambo🔥0.2BTC DailyJackpot🏆$32,500 Wager Contest on: October 15, 2020, 03:20:56 PM
Very curious to know who will get Lambo for this round. Since freebitcoin only show the user id not display name like other gambling site if the winner is member of this forum there will be a great story when that person publish He/She winning in this forum.

its not that I really care about whoever going to win the lambo but If any active account from this forum ended up getting that lambo, you could be sure that there will hell lots of bragging on this thread.

There are tons of lucky winners on various casino every week and their stories last for probably weeks because there will always be another lucky gambler that ended up winning alot more . However it definitely would be a fantastic one if the winner choose the lambo instead of cash then share the picture of him driving it
4663  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2020/2021 on: October 14, 2020, 10:22:10 PM
So, what United has to do is find a team who would be willing to purchase Pogba but also pay his huge salary as well, if the team is fine with paying for a transfer fee, but not feeling like they want to pay for such a huge salary,

There is always the option to loan him to another team . Same case with Bale but Pogba is still getting the spot for the starting squad unlike Bale that spent most of his time playing golf while getting that huge paycheck . If Bale could get an interest from another Club despite spending most of his time not playing, I dont see why Pogba wont

A total waste of money imo.

 Tongue I love this
4664  Economy / Gambling / Re: ⭐ BTCGOSU ⭐ Your Trusted Guide to the Best Bitcoin Casinos ⭐ on: October 14, 2020, 06:40:15 PM
-sniped-

Actually, Text's assumption about house edge is correct. You can easily translate house edge into winning chance in game such as 'Dice'. As I explained in the post above, dice game's house edge is nothing but the win chance of house less win chance of player.

And your first line is wrong, Lower House Edge certainly means your chance of winning the bet is higher than the casino offering higher house edge.

Its true but his sentences could be interpreted in another way . Its kinda like saying do you actually win in lower edge site and I just response to that

Consider two casinos, A and B. A having house edge of 1% while B having house edge of 4%. Now suppose you made the bet with 2.00x multiplier betting on the above range. Now in order to win the bet, you have to roll a number between 50.5 and 100 in case of Casino A whereas between 52 and 100 in case of Casino B.

Suppose, you roll result is 51.07 then you will win the bet on Casino A but lose the bet on Casino B even though your multiplier is same.  In other words, win percentage on Casino A is 49.5% while on Casino B is 48%.

This is how I was explaining it to him with my examples and In theory for the long run, you are still going to lose X amount depending on the wagered amount and the house edge ( average )

Yes you get the higher win rate but doesnt mean you are going to 'win' unless you are lucky that variances strikes to your side  Tongue
4665  Economy / Gambling / Re: ⭐ BTCGOSU ⭐ Your Trusted Guide to the Best Bitcoin Casinos ⭐ on: October 14, 2020, 01:27:46 PM
As far as I know, there are casinos or games on offer that have a house edge of 0.5%, is that true?  

On btcgosu, crypto.games probably has the lowest edge of 0.8% on their dice game but yes there were some sites that did offer 0.5% house edge in the past.

Does that mean, when it is lower the chance of luck or win rate is higher?

House edge doesnt work like that, Lower house edge doesnt really mean your chance to win is actually higher than site with higher house edge.

Assuming that you are going to play on a dice game for 1000 rolls and you wager $1 per roll, there will be two options

If you play on a site with 2% house edge and wager $1,000 , you are going to lose around 2% of your wagered amount which is $20

If you play on a site with 0.5% house edge and wager $1,000, you are going to lose around $5


This is estimation based on the house edge of the games you are playing and of course you could be winning huge or even lose alot more while you wager until $1,000
4666  Economy / Gambling / Re: #4 Bitcointalk Poker Series @ SwC Poker (0.06 BTC, BIG BTC Ticket by SwC) on: October 14, 2020, 11:55:07 AM
I've run through various possible scenarios, and came to conclusion that finally I can play without worrying about points. In the worst case scenario during the Q8, I can go down to 9th place, but not further down than that. I hope I'm not wrong. Smiley

Yes , you booked your slot on the Grand Finale

On worst case scenario even if either bitmutiny / kolloh ended up taking the 1st place and 2nd place , their max points would be 29 and 28

On worst case scenario for you it would looks like this

#7 bitmutiny/kolloh/betwrong 29 points
#8 bitmutiny/kolloh 28 points
#9 Steamtyme/pitkins

Pitkins has the highest chance to get the remaining slot for the Grand Finale, he just need 2 more points to secure his slot.

Others with 15 or 16 points has small chances to get the slot, they will need to get the highest possible points provided that Steamtyme, Kolloh and Bitmutiny fail to get points
4667  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Poker talk - Specifically Hold'em - Hands and or strategy on: October 13, 2020, 09:53:56 PM
i'm super busy these days but i wanna grind some of those when i finally get some free time again.

You are busy lately, I hope things are great on your end !

feel free to share---
-sniped-
what hand did you go out on? standard short stack play and just couldn't hang on past the bubble?

Steamtyme shared it on the bitcointalk's poker thread, he probably got confused about which thread to share it on

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5271735.msg55373498#msg55373498

It was really nasty hands. Whenever he has Aces, someone hit a set . Whenever he got Kings, someone has Aces and such. Lots of brutal hands , you might just want to check it over

Getting pocket pair and shove is pretty much like coin flip, I have lose alot of hands like that as well. My aces got cracked one time against 23 suited, he nailed flush and I lose . Sometimes there is this slight itchy feelings before you click on that all in button , kinda telling you that your hands might lose but yeah cant really fold Aces or Kings especially when you need to increase your stack
4668  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: October 13, 2020, 09:13:36 PM
He’s got no excuses now really, he has to get a trophy this season & get top 4 in the PL otherwise I’m certain he will get sacked at the end of the season, maybe even before if they are out of the title race by Christmas.

Top 4 in Premier League is not enough . Manchester United was 3rd last season and look at how tight his position is right now, there are tons of rumours about him being sacked soon especially after losing horribly against Tottenham. Its either winning the Premier League or Champions league to save his position

The only decent players so far are just Van De Beek, Bruno Fernandes, Harry and Cavani ( yep I know he is on free agent ) IMO
4669  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: It's F'n happening ----- Polk VS. Negreanu HUNL Grudge Match on: October 13, 2020, 07:53:43 PM
Surprising though is I think Doug is legitimately fired up to play now. He talked before about feeling anxious when the time was coming to play, and that was part of his leaving the game. I don't see any of that in his current, come and get me approach. I even noticed him kind of accepting and calling for additional matches, some obvious putdowns and/or trolls but maybe he dips his toes in and gets a taste for these heads up matches.

Any other information on where will this be streamed at? To be honest, Dneg is somewhat sloppy when it comes to online game. Doug on the other hand is a good player when it comes to online 1v1 heads up. I've checked his video on youtube few days ago and I have seen that he is doing great on that , making lots of cash on his game

If Dneg ended up winning this, it will be total upset for Doug
4670  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀 Sportsbet.io - Official betting partner of ARSENAL FC 🚀 on: October 13, 2020, 04:28:25 PM
Just went past silver 3 today and instead of opting cashback or freebet as reward, I tried opting for free spins on a slot just to check out my luck. I didn't had much luck earlier with slots but I got some nice wins with 6 free spins. Similarly few days ago I opted for 20 free spins and managed to get good win. Really some good slots in sportsbet, if anyone manages to get reward in case of tier rank-up, I suggest trying out the freespin options- its worth a shot and fun as well.  Cheesy

You know what, you've just convinced me to try it out on my next rewards too, which comes soon due to some uncontrolled BJ betting yesterday and today haha... I always go for the freebet since it's a little more than the cashback

Slots are kinda like hit or miss, you either get a good amount or shitty amount and there is nothing in between that. Its so volatile that alot of people really hates that but its less volatile with freebets. Its almost guaranteed for you to get some amount back with those freebets provided that you have decent record in betting or if you go for some sure win bet

and I always bet on high odds anyway =D

Yeah, there is always that temptation to go for the highest winnable odds if we use those freebets
4671  Economy / Gambling / Re: FORTUNEJACK.COM |Deposit 777 play with 1777 mBTC |Live Casino, Slots, Betting on: October 13, 2020, 12:06:00 PM
--snip--
I disagree that dice was something major back in the day and not so much today, I still think there is millions gambled on dice every single day in crypto casinos so it should be still pretty major pick.

Obviously you are right in the sense that there are now other games and people play those as well, not that they do not play dice, they still do play dice but nowadays people play in other games as well, specially the sportsbook part got super big, even fortunejack has it for the past few years but they didn't had for the first few years at all.

This means the face of crypto gambling is changing from dice that is correct, it could be sportsbooks in the near future or maybe it has already became that, but I will never agree that dice is no longer liked.

Its a fact wether you like it or not. Even St*ke finally offer all those fancy slots to their customer after taking pride for years with their provably fair dice / other games . Also There is no suspense on dice but yeah it is the fastest game to double up, one click away is either you lose everything or double up unlike slots.

Lots of people play dice but they are mostly on autobet for hours without actually looking at their screen while people actually stay on their screen when they play slots with autoroll.

The thing with sportsbook is that some people dont want to wait for hours for their betslips .

Introducing Jackmate Fantasy!
Finally great stuff that everyone has been waiting for !
4672  Economy / Gambling / Re: Roobet.com | Crypto’s Fastest Growing Casino 🦘 on: October 12, 2020, 08:27:34 PM
choosing winners based on wagering and limiting the previous winners in the next competitions sounds cool if the team's opinion is ok with my suggestion.

It sounds cool without you realizing that there are tons of whale in Roobet even if they put up the rules of not allowing the previous winners to win to win, the average joe wont stand a chance to win. Unless you can wager more than $10,000 in an hour, you wont really stand a chance on wager competition

I like it the way it is, it gives everyone pretty decent chance to win something. Even for their raffle, I've seen alot of people win with less than 100 tickets but Of course those with big chunk of tickets has better chance to win.
4673  Economy / Gambling / Re: #4 Bitcointalk Poker Series @ SwC Poker (0.06 BTC, BIG BTC Ticket by SwC) on: October 12, 2020, 06:29:24 PM
See you guys next week. I'm at work, so no image yet, but if no one else grabs one I'll post tonight.

Got your back , no worry. Betwrong should be on #6 and Pitkins should be #7


This is probably the tightest series ever from 3 previous series. I did some small rundown and it seems that #1-6 spot has been secured and only 3 spots left ( not sure if this is correct ). Anyone with 15 or 16 points still have some small chance to get the spot if only Steamtyme, Bitmutiny and Kolloh fail to get any point to secure their position

Pitkins should get atleast 2 points to secure his spot as well  Smiley
4674  Economy / Gambling / Re: #4 Bitcointalk Poker Series @ SwC Poker (0.06 BTC, BIG BTC Ticket by SwC) on: October 12, 2020, 04:09:10 PM
-sniped-
Damn if you called my raise that easy I would just went all-in lol

You had smaller stack than me and you were in desperate needs of points. I check on the river because I have that small doubt that you might have a K but its probably because you decided not to all in would be the reason for me to call because I thought that you had pocket pair and made a Full house.

If you all in on the river, I would have fold that card because you probably would have guessed that I could have a K or Ace so actually by betting 1200 chips, you managed to lure me into thinking that you only have a pocket pair and I might still have the better hands. Well done indeed  Smiley
4675  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Poker talk - Specifically Hold'em - Hands and or strategy on: October 12, 2020, 01:16:37 PM
Here's an interesting beat.

I see it all to often, while I wonder why are you even in with a 9 6 off suit.

I definitely mark these players as goes all in with stupid hands, even if they do end up beating AA

-picture sniped-

Is this bounty tournament? People tend to be more aggresive on bounty tournament because of those bounty which is also why I hate bounty tournament especially if it is a low buy in bounty tournament. People just keep splashing those stack with silly hands when they smell blood, Its more like playing All in or Fold instead of normal poker  Roll Eyes

-sniped-
I am curious about peoples thoughts on my turn shove in hand 1. These are the sorts of hands I've been trying to gather more of, when I have 2nd pair and the board pairs the top pair card. To me then I start to think they either had an overpair and focus on the pre-flop or that my 2nd pair might be good.
 

It was a tough call on that spot but I would have probably going with the same decision because Villain might have hit the J on the river then decided to go for that high bet
4676  Economy / Gambling / Re: #4 Bitcointalk Poker Series @ SwC Poker (0.06 BTC, BIG BTC Ticket by SwC) on: October 11, 2020, 08:58:14 PM
But the good thing is Barcelona's game is on Saturday, not Sunday so I will be fully-focused in the next one. Will give another try to 'WebEndo', let see if it can give me 10 points next weekend! Cheesy

It was a great game from you , you had those big stack of chips for a while and I thought you will end up atleast top 2 but it seems the others were quite lucky with all those all in

Now at max. can reach 26 points which won't be enough to make to the championship IMO. Let see what happens.

If you play as good as today for next week, Im pretty sure you can get those top spot. You could have folded few hands but instead you choose to go all in but still it was a great game today

PS: Kudos to Jayce aka. NoobHere. You have really stepped up your game bro! You are no longer Noob, let me tell you that. Your approach to game is now very much like FOMA or even better if I tell you. Although, you won two lucky all-in hands against me but still I really liked your style of play today. I hope you win this one and also perform good in Championship. Good Luck buddy.

Yeah, he is very good right now and he has been 'training' secretly behind our backs Tongue . He told me that he won alot of prizes from various swc tournaments so far including all those 1k tickets , finishing top spot twice in a row for the saturday 30k guaranteed game on swc .



Im curious to see how the leaderboard turns out to be, it seems that there are alot of new rising star in this series. I hope I still get 1 slot for the Grand Finale though  Tongue
4677  Economy / Gambling / Re: #4 Bitcointalk Poker Series @ SwC Poker (0.06 BTC, BIG BTC Ticket by SwC) on: October 11, 2020, 07:07:28 PM
Ok just kidding, looks like I am not playing today aswell because I am drunk. Wouldn’t make sense to play seriously.. so I might miss this one.

So that was the reason I didnt see you on the table today  Tongue

I just got crushed by Jayce, I had A 10 while he had AK

Board was K A K K 4 , I cant remember the river card and I was betting on flop and turn then he called me. I check on the river and he raise another bet and as he was the short stack and we are on the bubble so I thought this might be him trying to bluff me out or he probably has pocket pair or something but turns out he has Quads  Tongue

This is probably the second time in this series that I got crushed by Quads, the first time was Iv4n with his quads deuce.



Anyway Mission accomplished for me, I got another 2 points to secure my spot for the Grand Finale  Smiley
4678  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2020/2021 on: October 11, 2020, 03:40:10 PM
However are we forgetting what happened last year? Dude saved this teams chances and made them third in the league, THIRD, that has to be considered for something at the very least if you ask me and you can't fire a manager after just 3 games, not after a season when he brought you to champions league to begin with. I would say logical step would be firing him after this season is over and if you are still unhappy but if you do not show patience towards managers they will never grow to be great.

The thing is, Sir Alex set up that high cornerstone for Manchester United and any successor would be expected to meet that expectation. Even Mourinho that managed to win the Europa League was not consider as good enough for the team. Its more of getting the right player for the team rather than getting the right manager for the job but it seems that the management boards doesnt really care about that stuff
4679  Economy / Gambling / Re: FORTUNEJACK.COM |Deposit 777 play with 1777 mBTC |Live Casino, Slots, Betting on: October 11, 2020, 01:03:26 PM
casinos do care about it more than they care about other games, it is just a focus point for all casinos. In the end I believe there is a huge chance of other games being big in the end as well.

The reason would be that the RTP swing is huge on slots. Whenever someone win big amount from slot, hundreds could be losing huge on that slot so slots contribute alot for the house

Think about dice for example, there are dice related games on real casinos as well but dice game became something HUGE with crypto, obviously starting with satoshidice and how huge it got and sold for thousands of bitcoin, but in the end it became something like a cultural deal for crypto casinos, I believe there will be something else like that, something so huge that everyone will be playing it non-stop.

Back then, people only have limited number of games on crypto casino and not to mention that provably fair was hot stuff back then so alot of 3rd party slots wasnt really a thing back in the past. Nowadays, people dont really care about it and as long as it is fancy slots from one of those top 3rd party providers then people would be willing to play
4680  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Poker talk - Specifically Hold'em - Hands and or strategy on: October 10, 2020, 11:29:35 PM
I would raise again before the turn card. Hero raised to 4560 kinda signals that he has a good hand so a check on the Flop would be weird and with a K on the board, it is better to raise at this point. ~snipped~
Atleast this is what I would do Tongue

Makes sense and seems like a solid gameplan so You'd go Bet,Chk,Bet, or Bet,Chk,Chk - What aggression from the Villain makes you fold this hand? Them betting the turn? or betting/raising the river??
I generally prefer to lead out in these spots as a bluff, or made hand with top pair/flopped set type hand to see where I'm at. Like you said there can be a lot of Ax, or draws that will fold out. Having been the preflop 3-better I don't think it's strange for me to lead out with a bet, but can sometimes scare people off the hands I can beat.

I will go will bet, bet , check for this if there is no Ace on the river as Villain might have combination of AK on his hands. If Villain has K on his hands , he might be trying to size up the pot on the turn so anything between 50% pot would be an alert for me but if he checks then I will be betting on turn , probably fold on the river if he try to bet.

I'd also like to take the initiative to bet/raise rather than calling those bets because sometimes it could be perceived as we are having the stronger hands

The thing is, Its kinda hard to really know whats the best gameplay in this situation because it also depends on where you play but atleast this is what I would do

This #6 BPC 50k guaranteed was probably my first if not second time playing on some tournaments on swc and as far as I can tell, its pretty much all in or fold in after we passed the late registration so yeah all that gameplay above wont matter  Tongue
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