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4781  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 28, 2012, 08:10:09 PM
Well, it's been about 20 weeks since the IPO, so to get the NAV down to about 0.062 from 1 you'd have to burn 13% of the coins per week. We'll have to split the difference.

Shared negativity!
4782  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Care about Bitcoin? STAY AWAY from the "Bitcoin Fundation" on: September 28, 2012, 07:53:45 PM
I give it a year or two before the Foundation starts "helping" regulators to draft laws relating to Bitcoin. I sure hope I'm wrong.

That'd be them scamming the government.
4783  Economy / Gambling / Re: Escrow for all these bets? on: September 28, 2012, 06:12:12 PM
Teppy, would you mind a. creating a WoT identity and b. making it plain you're the same Teppy (as for instance by publishing the same public key somewhere on your website)? Thank you.
4784  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Diablo Mining Company (DMC) [140.1 gh] [6.700 mh/share] on: September 28, 2012, 06:00:09 PM
This thread makes me cry on the inside. Up until this last little deal with Usagi, it really looks like Diablo was trying. For those saying it doesn't matter if Diablo is an investment genius as long as he would be a good DC operator, it does when the entire DMC mining operation is an investment portfolio. This portfolio was managed with such monumental incompetence that it would have been better if the coins were kept liquid and each week 20% were sent to 1BitcoinEaterAddressDontSendf59kuE.

7% a week. Let's not get greedy here.
4785  Economy / Lending / Re: BUYING Pirate debt at 1% - BTCST, Hashking, Bitcoinmax on: September 28, 2012, 02:54:44 PM
Even if 1% is still probably overpaying, it's nice to see the price on that junk moving closer to real value. I keep seeing these threads where people ask for >50% on defaulted debt and chuckle to myself.
4786  Economy / Securities / Re: TYGRR.* assets on GLBSE delisted. on: September 28, 2012, 02:50:54 PM

I am open to helpful ideas. Honestly IMO the best solution would be just to relist on GLBSE and go on as if nothing happened. Anything outside of that will be tricky and will require cooperation and communication from Nefario. He has at this time not responded to my request to have the BTC returned or explained why I was delisted.

Well in fact Nefario claimed DMC will be suspended "until an independent audit will be performed". He then unlocked that without any audit whatsoever being performed. It's pretty clear that what Nefario says doesn't really matter at this point, so indeed the best solution would be to just ignore him completely and return to the statu quo ante.
4787  Economy / Securities / Re: Looking for holders willing to loan shares listed on GLBSE. on: September 28, 2012, 02:47:24 PM
To people who have pm'd : you will have an answer in ~6 hours.
4788  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] Gamma SatoshiDICE Pass Through on: September 28, 2012, 02:44:16 PM
I thought it was on the 5th?  Which is it?

From the contract:

Quote
(e)The representatives of SatoshiDice solemnly promise and warrant that complete and accurate Statements of Profit and Loss for each calendar month will be published by them no later than by the fifth day of the new month.
[...]
(f)Immediately upon publication of each Statement of Profit and Loss SatoshiDice will pay to shareholders as dividends a fraction of no less than 100% (one hundred percent) of the Net Profits, if any.
4789  Economy / Securities / Re: Looking for holders willing to loan shares listed on GLBSE. on: September 28, 2012, 11:21:01 AM
Trying to short shares?

Yes.

Which guarantees do you give to return the shares in case you strategy doesn't work?

There'd be gpg-signed contracts of course. Such as this.
4790  Economy / Securities / Re: [GLBSE] BitcoinTrading.com's LOTTOMINING [IPO Oct. 1st, 2012] on: September 28, 2012, 10:57:25 AM
Lotteries and bitcoin mining... Sonny, is that you?

I lol'd. But seriously, state lotteries have negative expected return. How is this an investment?

PS. Nefario, this is the sort of thing GLBSE accepts now?
4791  Economy / Securities / Re: Looking for holders willing to loan shares listed on GLBSE. on: September 28, 2012, 10:44:37 AM
Awww! Well...there must still be some people with accounts.
4792  Economy / Services / Re: looking to start a Lendingclub.com type business for BTC on: September 28, 2012, 10:32:04 AM
Good luck with it.
4793  Economy / Securities / Looking for holders willing to loan shares listed on GLBSE. on: September 28, 2012, 10:24:49 AM
That's right. Please pm me a list of assets (name and nr. of shares) you'd be willing to lend. Flexible arrangements available.
4794  Economy / Securities / Re: [BMF] MAJOR ANNOUNCEMENT INSIDE on: September 28, 2012, 10:24:06 AM
That's an issue which (at root) is one of the big problems BTC faces in gaining wider acceptance - specifically:

1) Most physical assets owned by businesses (e.g. mining rigs) are valued in fiat - and will continue to be valued so whilst the materials and labour needed to make is valued in fiat.
2) Because of 1), the value of those assets (expressed in BTC) is going to vary as the BTC/fiat rate alters.

What this means is that to make profit in a market where BTC is gaining vs fiat (with investment and gains denominated in BTC) your business has to make a profit which exceeds the rate at which BTC climbs.  That's very hard to do.

The counter to this is that a vast majority of companies have no business being listed in BTC, seeing how in fact they have little to do with it. If your diner serves American hamburgers to American citizens you wouldn't list it in Yen on the Tokyo SE would you? Just so, if your business is purely fiat a BTC listing makes zero sense.

BTC is for BTC companies not for fiat companies.

I'm gradually working on a model to allow me to properly assess the long-term viability of mining companies in various scenarios.  One thing I can say without needing a model is that it's scary how readily investors are buying operations where the hardware will only come with a 6 month warranty.  What precisely is the plan if the kit fails after 7 months?

This is a good point, and one of the chief reasons MPOE has no mining rigs and no plans to acquire any. But I'd be very interested to see that model.

Very nice post. I wonder if these same issues explain the mystery of why the values of gold mining companies have not risen nearly as much as the gold they mine.

Indeed so.


4795  Economy / Securities / Re: [CPA] [NYAN] [BMF] Aggressive Buyback Plan -- UPDATED Sept. 26th, 2012 on: September 28, 2012, 10:20:07 AM
Dear Maged,

All of usagi's posts are also offtopic (strangely enough). Please move the entire bunch in the Twilight Zone. I'll take over this thread and aggressively post bunnies.
4796  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Reputation system? on: September 28, 2012, 10:19:35 AM
Ok. What is the system being used in all of this that indicates who matters? The only entity management in all this appears to be Freenode's NickServ,  userprofileID / name on this forum, and a handful of strange startup stock markets. Is it a personal case-by-case judgement? If so, that's ok; but if there is another system being worked on I'd like to hear about it. To use.

My point stands about the entry by MoscowR earlier, if that works the way it appears if I trusted MoscowR (and maybe filtered out all feedback from non-trusted reviewers) I would think that this user was vouched. Can he change that entry on his own or....?

See, this is the thing, people dissing the WoT don't really know how it works. So:

I. The only way to enter ratings is being registered with gribble. The only way to register with gribble is to answer a cryptographic challenge it issues, and the only way to do that is to hold the secret key for the respective gnupg keypair. Therefore, the only person that can use a name is the person that holds the specified keypair (on the page of that name you have a link anchored on "GPG identity"). This identification is as strong as Bitcoin itself, and that's why it makes for such a good solution.

II. The WoT is really an investment. It is slow to start off, but becomes exponentially more useful with your usage. At first you don't know anyone, so in principle it's difficult to make any judgments. Maybe you might know some of the names there, from other venues, and you can establish relations by talking to them, and in that case also acquire at least part of their trust list. Maybe you don't, in which case you start small, try to hedge your bets. You look to see who your op is being trusted by and who they trust. After you've made a few deals, you've started to recognize the names, you start giving them weight in your head.

III. The mistakes you can make are principally to think "trust" can be added, and so someone who received 50 trust brownies is more trustworthy and someone who received 5 trust brownies is less trustworthy. This is wrong (the trust points are not at all equal), and not the correct way to use that value.

The value only gives some indication of how likely you are to know someone who knows them. That is all. A user with 100 trust is about 10 times more likely to be trusted by someone you know than a user with 10 trust for the very simple statistical reason that you need at least 10 people to get 100 trust. This is the correct use of total trust: to compare the list of how many people you trust that rated the person with how large his trust is. A user with 100+ trust that you can't find was trusted by anyone in your list is suspect for this reason. Sure, it may be the case that he trades widgets and you trade nuggets, and he only knows people in the widget market and you only know people in the nugget market. But it's also possible that he's faked his trust. You have to decide which.

This is the great boon of the WoT: surely for sporadic deals in the 10-100 dollar range entered in among people that will never meet again something like Amazon Ratings works just fine. However, the WoT currently supports recurring deals among players with multi-million dollar balances of trade. That's quite a gap there, and half-baked systems like Amazon's don't scale. How is this possible? Well, it's possible precisely because the WoT is so fine and so interpretable. You want to deal with someone you've never met but has a high sum rating? Ok, are any people you know in his list? Ok, who? Then you can talk to them, and ask "what about X?" and they'll tell you what they did, bought coins, sold a motorboat, lent them $150k of mining gear, whatever. Sure, all this complex reasoning might seem like it's not worth it at the beginning. However, unlike any alternative it actually allows you a lot of space to grow.

Now, the only seeming breach to date was pirate's, who managed to get the trust of the vast majority of trusted people over the course of about a year. But the thing is, the WoT isn't intended to decide whether a person is trustworthy. Only you can decide that. The WoT is there to put the person in context, to make them visible to you. It was plain impossible for anyone using the WoT to not know what pirate was all about. Now, once knowing that, if you trusted him or not is your problem, not really the WoT's. All the WoT says is, hey, there's this guy, 58 people know him, have dealt with him, received money so and so. Put that together with the knowledge that he runs a "mysterious business" paying 3000% APR and you've got your answer plain.

In short for the tl;dr crowd: the WoT doesn't work by itself. The WoT is just the tool that allows you to do the work, and it's by a fat margin the best tool to date. Sure, you may be too lazy to use the tool, and that's fine. Doesn't however change what it is.
4797  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Reputation system? on: September 27, 2012, 11:51:07 PM
The Web Of Trust is a good tool.  more worthwhile than a simple rating score is the ;;gettrust rating that will show how connected you are to someone else (i.e. the people you have shown trust in that trust this person).  always note who has rated a person, not just their score.

http://wiki.bitcoin-otc.com/wiki/OTC_Rating_System#Notes_about_gettrust
http://serajewelks.bitcoin-otc.com/trustgraph.php

of course this is not foolproof. Nothing is. A chameleon can play nice in the community for as long as necessary to build a reputation.

Right?

OTC is valueless for a ton of reasons. You can pay people to rank you, there is no attached identity management (even an anonymous identity), and it is in no way accessable. It also isn't kept clean, such as

http://bitcoin-otc.com/viewratingdetail.php?nick=Coolio-&sign=ANY&type=RECV

This entry has multiple +10 rankings that are obviously accidents
15160    TheBitcoinFox    -9    Coolio-    2012-09-25 13:32:35    10    ripped off 600$ in moneypacks from a newby!
15168    insanebit    -8    Coolio-    2012-09-25 13:39:42    10    ripped off moscowr 600$ moneypack

Both entries, of course, known sock puppets in the system and yet still being tallied

The person stolen from has an entry here:
15111    MoscowR    1    Coolio-    2012-09-25 22:55:29    1    thanks for mp->btc exchagne

I assume you can only leave one entry for someone, so MoscowR couldn't change this from a suggestion to a -10?

In short, it doesn't... suit my needs.

Like I said, I'm more likely to point people to my ebay profile right now until something new comes along (or something old is re-appropriated).


You can't pay people that matter to rank you. The WoT is a Web of Trust not a Sum of Trust.
4798  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Care about Bitcoin? STAY AWAY from the "Bitcoin Fundation" on: September 27, 2012, 10:42:54 PM
The problem is what the problem always is: with a "foundation" inventing "standards" you lose out on the gnarly eccentric bits, which happen to be where value is born and innovation usually starts. With a foundation inventing standards you have some gates to keep the crap away.

There's no solution to this, both alternatives suck. The one valuable point, however, is that if MtGox gives its Bitcoin trademark to the foundation this will have been a net plus and a clear reason to have it: now there's somebody to keep the trademarks, somebody other than a major player.
4799  Economy / Service Discussion / Re: Care about Bitcoin? STAY AWAY from the "Bitcoin Fundation" on: September 27, 2012, 09:12:17 PM
I am sorry, but this is a transvestite

The word you're looking for is travesty, but otherwise yes, this isn't going anywhere.
4800  Economy / Securities / Re: TYGRR.* assets on GLBSE delisted. on: September 27, 2012, 08:07:24 PM
The way I see it, you're going to keep having two camps. One camp who believes that the exchange has to put up with all the BS that is being fanned by the owners of the companies listed on their exchange, even if that BS is detrimental to the exchange itself, and you'll have the other camp who believes that no company has a right to be listed on the exchange, and the exchange can't be forced to keep a company listed, or be forced to continue trading, or handling, any transactions involved with the now-delisted company.

I'm in the latter camp.


This is a red herring (one of the many that compose pretty much entirely your above post). Nobody is discussing what you're discussing, you've not touched at all on any issue under discussion etc.
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