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4781  Economy / Economics / Re: Is taking a loan/debt addicted ? on: March 15, 2023, 03:28:21 PM
Well, I have to clarify that personally I have never had any loan or debt in my life so this thread has nothing to do with my experience but intends to find out how people in loan/debt deal with the problem. Let's say you take loans from a bank and sometimes for whatever reason, you can not pay the debt on time, then you borrow money from other channels. Sure this works for a certain period but later bad things may happen, you have to postpone the payment and struggle with finances again. Isn't this a vicious circle ? How would you deal with the problem ? I am all ears.

Well you should take a loan and pay it back on time or early.

Loans and taking the proper amount of them is fine.

I had a 30 year mortgage in 1992 I paid it by 1999.

I have borrowed over 200,000 on credit cards since 1986 I have paid a total of 25 -50 in interest and earned over 4,000 in bonus points.

So that is proper management of loans.  Are they addicting for me no.

Do I lose money doing this no.
I have well manage good credit

see image below.

I could get that card and have 12 months to pay it back no interest.
At the moment I am not buying gear so I won't use this offer.
I have been doing these offers since I started my ebay business in 2003.


4782  Economy / Speculation / Re: Is ageing and old people part of bitcoin? on: March 15, 2023, 03:55:51 AM
First bitcoin is open for everyone to acquire and upon that if you acquired a bitcoin without you telling anyone nobody who willhave the idea you are holding bitcoin, so tell me how would your parents know you have bitcoin without you telling them you've purchase some fractions of bitcoin. Age 80 to 90 are too old for them to still have the activeness to operate around the internet or thinking of investing into cryptocurrency all less they are investing for their children. Though they read news online or being active, any one of such age going into bitcoin are just slowly looking for their death at hand because I don't think they might be able to control their blood pressure (BP) due to the rise and fall bitcoin.

clueless.

lots of 65 ,75,85 year old investors.

Long years of practice not day trading just buy and hold.
4783  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 15, 2023, 02:12:37 AM
Credit Suisse crashes to record low as it warns of 'material weaknesses' in its financial reporting
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-11860583/Credit-Suisse-crashes-record-low-warns-material-weaknesses.html

"It revealed the firm had identified 'certain material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting' for 2022 and 2021."


That's one way of saying you are broke I guess.
 Roll Eyes




How big are they?

In 2021, Credit Suisse had assets under management (AuM) of over CHF 1.6 trillion. On February 9, 2023, the bank reported an annual loss of CHF 7.3 bn, the biggest loss since the 2008 global financial crisis.
Another bank collapse will send Bitcoin over 30k$ imho

yeah has multiple holdings. I found one that was 700 billion if totals are 1.6 trillion lets see the mofo fail.

Not looking forward to that possibility, although if you look at this bank's stock chart since 2008, you could surmise that something was off.

 They are staggering.
 I wonder if the fed will raise rates end of month. I have heard a few so called experts say now the fed can not raise rates any higher.
4784  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Biden proposed 30% mining tax. what would impact on Bitcoin mining? on: March 15, 2023, 01:52:08 AM

it is 1 for 1 swap.
never heard of 1 for 1 swap. i always heard people saying you sell it to them for way less than they sell it back to you at. plus you can only offset your electricity bill you can never end up with a credit, that's what i heard too.

Quote
the 275 kwatt array uses 60 kwatts during sunlight and sends 215 kwatts to the grid.

the grid is a free battery. so when it gets dark they owe me the 215 kwatts .
but when you do it that way, you would owe the excise tax when you get it back from the grid. everything you get from the grid would get taxed that 30%. but if you had a battery system it would still get taxed there's no way around paying the tax from your solar. you're still using it. you're just storing it somewhere before you use it. right?


. the best states do true net metering. 2 or 3 of them.

NJ does it due to all the midwest coal plants.
4785  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 15, 2023, 01:06:35 AM
Credit Suisse crashes to record low as it warns of 'material weaknesses' in its financial reporting
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-11860583/Credit-Suisse-crashes-record-low-warns-material-weaknesses.html

"It revealed the firm had identified 'certain material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting' for 2022 and 2021."


That's one way of saying you are broke I guess.
 Roll Eyes




How big are they?

In 2021, Credit Suisse had assets under management (AuM) of over CHF 1.6 trillion. On February 9, 2023, the bank reported an annual loss of CHF 7.3 bn, the biggest loss since the 2008 global financial crisis.
Another bank collapse will send Bitcoin over 30k$ imho

yeah has multiple holdings. I found one that was 700 billion if totals are 1.6 trillion lets see the mofo fail.
4786  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 15, 2023, 12:54:03 AM
Credit Suisse crashes to record low as it warns of 'material weaknesses' in its financial reporting
https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-11860583/Credit-Suisse-crashes-record-low-warns-material-weaknesses.html

"It revealed the firm had identified 'certain material weaknesses in our internal control over financial reporting' for 2022 and 2021."


That's one way of saying you are broke I guess.
 Roll Eyes




How big are they?

edit over 700 billion.

if it fails some heavy duty shit will be hitting the fan.
4787  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Biden proposed 30% mining tax. what would impact on Bitcoin mining? on: March 15, 2023, 12:48:33 AM
yeah you can buy a dirty closed power plant burn dirty coal and mine with the power plant only attached. to your big ass mine.

even though you have an entire power plant it would be off the grid.

there's people that do that?  Shocked but i guess that answers my question.

Quote
my solar is on the grid and net meters so i think all of my solar would be untaxed.
how do you figure that? unless you never buy it back from the grid to do any mining...but i would think you sell it for less than you pay for it. maybe time to have some battery storage. like a power wall.

it is 1 for 1 swap.

the 275 kwatt array uses 60 kwatts during sunlight and sends 215 kwatts to the grid.

the grid is a free battery. so when it gets dark they owe me the 215 kwatts .

that would be more like 6 x 215 as we average 6 full hours a day. most people dont realize the first 3 and last 3 hours each day are shitty for charging so a decent location is about six hours a day.

4788  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 14, 2023, 11:31:31 PM
buddy be begging beat me.
4789  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Biden proposed 30% mining tax. what would impact on Bitcoin mining? on: March 14, 2023, 11:27:51 PM
I think the wash rule is more likely to be adapted than the power rule.
both of them need to be implemented. but i'd say the excise tax on power usage is the more important one. the only part i disagree with is someone that generates their own power being required to pay a tax on that. but maybe there is some rationale to it that i'm not getting...

yeah you can buy a dirty closed power plant burn dirty coal and mine with the power plant only attached. to your big ass mine.

even though you have an entire power plant it would be off the grid.

my solar is on the grid and net meters so i think all of my solar would be untaxed.
4790  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2023 Diff thread now opened. on: March 14, 2023, 07:51:17 PM
Latest Block:   780792  (4 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   111.8988%  (601 / 537.09 expected, 63.91 ahead)

So finally backtracking a bit and as the math of probabilities starts tempering it down, I don't think any miner could be shutting down now that he has 20% more revenue. Still going up compared to the previous diff, 46,58, 63 blocks ahead but the rhythm of the growth might finally take a break.

Now, the funny question is, how much gear was offline at 6 cents/th, it's still sitting in the same warehouse ready to be deployed, and is profitable at ~9 cents/th? The s17 only needs 9 cents per kWh to start being profitable again at those levels, if the price keeps going up, are we going to see the biggest bump in terms of exahash (not %) ever?

imagine flicking the on switch to 1000000 s19's at will!!!  Grin

And turning NYC into Pyongyang at night  Grin



Yes the diff can go to 60 with ease.

The power is available.

Look what I do right now on a small scale.

I had 10gh in gpus for eth pulling 35kwatts

I am slowly selling it on ebay.

When I sell 1500 worth I buy an s19 and put it on line.

Right now on ebay there are over 10,000 gpus on sale and about 1000 a day sell.

Many are mining  guys shift to asics to mine.

When eth was at its peak it was burning 80% the power btc was.

more than ⅔ of that gear is not mining this means lots of power for s19's is available.

If we go to 35k boom diff will jump 15% in 2 jumps easy peasy

so 14+2+12+7+8 = very possible

the first three happened already
4791  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Biden proposed 30% mining tax. what would impact on Bitcoin mining? on: March 14, 2023, 07:25:27 PM
found full paper

https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf


Quote
IMPOSE DIGITAL ASSET MINING ENERGY EXISE TAX Current Law
Current law does not provide tax rules specifically addressing digital assets, with the exception of certain rules relating to broker reporting and reporting of cash transactions.
Reasons for Change
Digital asset mining is a process for validating transactions among holders of digital assets to record and transfer cryptographically secured assets on a distributed ledger by, for example, using high-powered computers to perform calculations to select the validator.
The computational effort involved in mining can be substantial and can therefore require a correspondingly large amount of energy. The increase in energy consumption attributable to the growth of digital asset mining has negative environmental effects and can have environmental justice implications as well as increase energy prices for those that share an electricity grid with digital asset miners. Digital asset mining also creates uncertainty and risks to local utilities and communities, as mining activity is highly variable and highly mobile.
An excise tax on electricity usage by digital asset miners could reduce mining activity along with its associated environmental impacts and other harms.
Proposal
Any firm using computing resources, whether owned by the firm or leased from others, to mine digital assets would be subject to an excise tax equal to 30 percent of the costs of electricity used in digital asset mining.
Firms engaged in digital asset mining would be required to report the amount and type of electricity used as well as the value of that electricity, if purchased externally. Firms that lease computational capacity would be required to report the value of the electricity used by the lessor firm attributable to the leased capacity, which would serve as the tax base. Firms that produce or acquire power off-grid, for example by using the output of a particular electricity generating plant, would be subject to an excise tax equal to 30 percent of estimated electricity costs.
Except as otherwise provided by the Secretary, the term “digital asset” means any digital representation of value which is recorded on a cryptographically secured distributed ledger or any similar technology as specified by the Secretary.
The proposal would be effective for taxable years beginning after December 31, 2023. The excise tax would be phased in over three years at a rate of 10 percent in the first year, 20 percent in the second, and 30 percent thereafter.
71
General Explanations of the Administration’s Fiscal Year 2024 Revenue Proposals






and


Quote
MODERNIZE RULES, INCLUDING THOSE FOR DIGITAL ASSETS
APPLY THE WASH SALE RULES TO DIGITAL ASSETS AND ADDRESS RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS
Current Law
Section 1091 of the Internal Revenue Code disallows a loss from a sale of stock or securities if the same or substantially identical stock or securities are purchased within 30 days before or after the sale (a “wash sale”) unless the taxpayer is a dealer in stock or securities and the loss is sustained in the ordinary course of its dealer business. If the stock or securities are purchased at a price that differs from the sale price of the stock or securities sold, appropriate adjustments are made to the basis of the purchased stock or securities. The holding period for the purchased stock or securities takes into account the holding period for the sold stock or securities. As a result, the effect of the wash sale rules ordinarily is to defer the recognition of a loss until the taxpayer finally disposes of the stock or securities. The wash sale rules also apply to sales of stock or securities where the taxpayer enters into a contract or option to buy the same or substantially identical stock or securities within the 30-day window, and to certain short sales of stock or securities. The wash sales are intended to ensure that taxpayers cannot recognize losses without exiting their position in a loss asset for a meaningful period of time.
The Internal Revenue Service treats a loss from a sale of stock or securities by a taxpayer that causes its individual retirement account or Roth IRA to purchase substantially identical stock or securities within 30 days of the sale as subject to the wash sale rule.52
Except as otherwise provided by the Secretary or her delegates (Secretary), brokers who report gross proceeds and basis from the sale of stock or securities determine a customer’s adjusted basis without regard to the wash sale rules, unless the transaction occurs in the same account with respect to identical securities.
Reasons for Change
Taxpayers with loss positions in digital assets are engaging in transactions that would be subject to the wash sale rules if the digital assets were subject to section 1091. For example, a taxpayer may sell a digital asset that is not considered a stock or security for wash sale purposes at a loss on one day and repurchase the same digital asset the next day. The same loss recognition rules should apply to digital assets held as investments or for trading as would apply for stocks and securities.
The wash sale rules should also be updated to provide statutory rules addressing related party transactions, and to reflect new types of financial instruments that have developed since the last amendments made to those rules.
52 Revenue Ruling 2008-5, 2008-1 C.B. 271.
190
    General Explanations of the Administration’s Fiscal Year 2024 Revenue Proposals
Broker reporting rules should be amended to reflect these changes to the wash sale rules.
Proposal
The wash sales rules would be amended to add digital assets to the list of assets subject to the wash sale rules. Except as otherwise provided by the Secretary, the term “digital asset” means any digital representation of value which is recorded on a cryptographically secured distributed ledger or any similar technology as specified by the Secretary.53 Regulatory authority would be granted to the Secretary to treat any security as defined by section 475(c)(2), or any commodity as defined by section 475(e)(2), or other assets traded on an established market as subject to the wash sale rules as necessary to prevent abuse. The basis and holding period rules applicable to purchased assets would be revised to reflect the expanded scope of the wash sale rules. These expanded rules are not intended to apply to ordinary course business transactions. The Secretary would have authority to prescribe regulations defining the term ‘substantially identical” and to provide an exception to the application of the wash sale rules for ordinary course business transactions (not including trading) involving digital assets.
The wash sale rules, as they apply to all assets and not only digital assets, would be modified with respect to transactions involving related persons, except as otherwise provided in regulations prescribed by the Secretary. In the case of any loss from a sale of assets subject to the wash sale rules and a purchase by a related party of the same or substantially identical assets within 30 days of the sale, the loss would be deferred until the related party sells or otherwise disposes of the asset or such other time as specified by the Secretary, provided that the taxpayer and a related party do not reacquire the asset within 30 days before or after that sale or disposition, or the parties cease to be related. A related party would include members of a taxpayer’s family and tax-favored accounts such as individual retirement accounts controlled by the taxpayer or the taxpayer’s spouse. Two entities would be related to each other if one controlled the other, directly or indirectly, or both were under the common control of either a third entity or the taxpayer and one or more family members. An individual would be related to an entity if the entity is controlled, directly or indirectly, by the individual and the individual’s family members. The Secretary would have authority to issue regulations expanding this definition as necessary to prevent abuse, to provide rules for transactions where a taxpayer sold assets at a loss and both the taxpayer and a related party acquired the same or substantially similar assets, and to coordinate the operation of the wash sale rules with other rules dealing with sales of loss property between related parties (sections 267 and 707).
The wash sale rules also would be amended to address derivative financial instruments more comprehensively, including modifications to the basis rules to prevent abuse.
The Secretary would have authority to require brokers to report such information as may be necessary or appropriate to implement the wash sale rules. Except as otherwise provided by the
53 This definition is the same as that provided in section 6045(g)(3)(D). It is intended that the Secretary may exercise her authority to provide that the term “digital asset” has a meaning for wash sale purposes that is not identical to its meaning for purposes of regulations issued under section 6045.
191
  General Explanations of the Administration’s Fiscal Year 2024 Revenue Proposals

Secretary, brokers reporting a customer’s adjusted basis on a disposition of a digital asset or other asset subject to the wash sale rules would report the basis of the asset without regard to the wash sale rules unless the sale of the loss asset and the transaction causing the wash sale rules to apply occur in the same account with respect to identical assets.
No inference is intended as to whether the losses claimed by taxpayers from wash sales of digital assets may be deducted under current law, or as to the proper treatment of transactions involving related parties under the wash sale rules under current law.
The proposal would be effective for taxable years beginning after December 31, 2023.




I think the wash rule is more likely to be adapted than the power rule.

Also I read the power tax rule I think my 125 kwatt per hour  of which 60 kwatts is my solar nets to 65 kwatts as I  am net meter.

Thus if I pay 10 cents for 1 kwatt
first year I go to 11 cents
second year I go to 12 cents
third year I go to 13 cents.

13 x 65 = $8.45 an hour 202.80 a day by year three.

10 cents is not my price.

I am closer to 5 cents so 101.80 a day by 2026 in power vs 78  a day for my company  in 2023 if I understand the net metering correctly.

so 23 a day is 690 a month best case

worst case 1200-1300 a month

I can survive that

4792  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2023 Diff thread now opened. on: March 14, 2023, 03:12:40 PM
 viabtc has us at  7.7 cents a th

this number for a 3000 watt s19 pro means

$7.70 earned pre power a day

round to 75 kwatts a day

11 cents cost $8.25 lose 55 cents

10 cents cost $7.50 make   20 cents
09 cents cost $6.75 make   95 cents
08 cents cost $6.00 make  $1.70
07 cents cost $5.25 make  $2.45
06 cents cost $4.50 make  $3.20
05 cents cost $3.75 make  $3.95
04 cents cost $3.00 make  $4.70
03 cents cost $2.25 make  $5.45

We are at a very interesting spot.

Coins rally the rest of the period we crest to 30K
Coins tank we drop to 18k

with or or anywhere in-between could be true

diff is brutal right at and around 12%


Quote
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator


Latest Block:   780792  (4 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   111.8988%  (601 / 537.09 expected, 63.91 ahead)

Previous Difficulty:   43053844193928.45                            
Current Difficulty:   43551722213590.37                            
Next Difficulty:   between 46053487718885 and 48773977705509
Next Difficulty Change:   between +5.7444% and +11.9909%
Previous Retarget:   last Friday at 4:43 PM  (+1.1564%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   March 23, 2023 at 6:00 AM  (in 8d 18h 45m 21s)
Next Retarget (latest):   March 23, 2023 at 11:36 PM  (in 9d 12h 21m 26s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 12d 12h 16m 16s and 13d 5h 52m 21s
Copy stats to clipboard
4793  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 14, 2023, 03:01:48 PM
NEW: 🇺🇸 US Administration insider Jason Lowery: "Soon, powerful people within the US government will try to assert that supporting #Bitcoin is a threat to US National Security. " 👀😱

https://twitter.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/1635366078972071936?t=uYUHZImRr7vNgkOAgsBjew&s=19

Well the reality is much like the arms race we are going to enter a coin race.

So will it be an opposing coin or will the race be for the OG of coins BTC

but the race to control digital coin is going to happen. Since 50% of mining BTC is in the USA I am not sure how it will unfold but be prepared for it.



off or on topic leaving buddy alone is working well so far. we just past 26K again.
4794  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 14, 2023, 02:08:37 PM



Joe Biden to be a two term president> I wonder what his crystal ball is made from, meth?
4795  Bitcoin / Pools / Re: [∞ YH] solo.ckpool.org 2% fee solo mining 271 blocks solved! on: March 14, 2023, 01:25:44 PM
what do you think?

I think you are spending 240th hoping to get lucky.

I have a few questions

1) is that all your gear?
2) do you mine 10 days at a regular pool then 1 day solo mining?
3) are you all in on just solo mining?
4) what is your power cost?
5) are those machines paid off?

4796  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 14, 2023, 12:55:50 PM
26k looks nice to me.

Do we go more more more  up up and away dare I say it ? to the moon and beyond!
4797  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: NFTs in the Bitcoin blockchain - Ordinal Theory on: March 14, 2023, 02:48:33 AM
If you think the majority supports ordinals, why don't you create a poll on this and we'll see who's the majority?  Grin  
I'd gladly fork this crap off immediately but unfortunately I'm not a core dev so all I can do is urge people to act responsibly (rarely works).  Roll Eyes

Why don't you do it?
Cause you're the one bitching around for a change!
It's you who wants to change something based on the will of "the people", not me!

~
Where did he state that the majority supports Ordinals, and since when is bitcointalk the gate to the majority?

Eh, just as how they think they are the voice of the majority they also must invent adversaries to blame them for their failures, I got used to this.

Bigger blocks does not necessarily mean cheaper transactions, if you want to count them in dollars, including all costs. As an experiment, you can compare for example BTC (where mempool congestion can happen) with BCH (where hard-fork can always increase the maximum block size, so you can pay one satoshi per byte, and get it confirmed). Then, you can look at on-chain fees, it will turn out that BTC is more expensive to transact on-chain. And then, you can compare the price of both coins in dollars. You will see that the price change is more costly than transaction fees, and it is very unlikely to find a case, where you pick some starting date and amount, you pick some frequency of transactions (for example, one transaction per day), and in some long period of time you will end up with a higher amount in dollars for BCH than BTC.

Sorry but almost nobody cares about anything else than the price per tx in $, the same the "we" whoever they are don't care even about the sat/b fee, all they know is that to send money they need to pay x $ and it's a pretty normal thing, just throwing random numbers here do you think a 500 million RON house is expensive or that paying 1 million Vietnamese dongs for a burger is cheap? Without checking how much that is in your local currency of course you won't know it! All those users who bitch about fees want to pay $0.00025 as the are fees now over the meme coin while the cheapest one in BTC in last block is $0.24, nothing else.

And if we bring security and stuff in the equation then we're back to what Phil said and which probably too many ignored:

in 2056 if fees do not grow and efficiency doubles we can have 640 eh hashrate mining .
the value of the vault and guards protecting the 40 trillion cap will be the same 6-13 billion that protects the network now.

So, to make things clear and show a better picture, you will have a network worth the GDP of EU, USA and China combined, protected by gear worth the budget of Charlotte. Yeah, the price keeps the reward up by negating the halving, but you have more and more value pilling up with the same protection, and hash rate alone as in exahash or petahash doesn't mean a thing when you don't factor in how much it cost!
Because if now at 300exh it cost 5 billion to attack it then obviously at 150Th/s in 2013 you could attack it for $2500? Oh wait!



in 2013 the network still used some gpus and a few fpgas with asics.

asics burned 10 watts for .333 gh or 30 watts for 1 gh or 30000 watts a th.

these were the first usb asic sticks.

I had 150 of them running for a while which were burning about 10 watts each.

long time ago.

the power improvements since then have been remarkable.

they are not going to happen at that level.

One could argue the watt efficiency improvements super charged price.
4798  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 14, 2023, 01:54:29 AM
here's a good one

https://www.mysanantonio.com/news/local/article/shaq-shaquille-oneal-ftx-lawsuit-17833914.php
4799  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Biden proposed 30% mining tax. what would impact on Bitcoin mining? on: March 14, 2023, 01:29:29 AM
That bill is not passing.
4800  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: Biden proposed 30% mining tax. what would impact on Bitcoin mining? on: March 14, 2023, 12:37:03 AM
I know a man in the U.S that use solar power to mine Bitcoin, I lost contact with him in 2022,  he told me how he makes money by selling power back to the Grid, I would have love to hear what he plans to do with this 30% tax on Bitcoin mining, because it is not possible to keep mining 24 hours per day using solar energy without the grid power.


We have 3 arrays

280 kwatts
110 kwatts
  45 kwatts

435kwatts total which with grid sales means we burn 60kwatts 24/7/365 and net zero

so 60kwatts of free power

but our mine burns 130kwatts so we buy 70 kwatts an hour on the cheap

My guess is if this happens we have to cut back to 60kwatts of free power and no cheap power with that 30% tax.


No worries as that bill will bomb.
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