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481  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Trading bots... do they work? on: September 19, 2023, 12:50:13 PM
The issue is that people keep thinking trading like a machine would work but the market is an emotional thing that a machine will never be able to learn. Like if Biden goes out and says bitcoin is awesome tomorrow, a machine can't comprehend that, and the price may skyrocket to double its price when it shouldn't just because he said that, a bot would never be able to understand it. That's a big example of course but that's what I wanted to provide a proof that everyone can understand.

Smaller things happens of course, smaller news, but how could a trading bot would understand Elon tweeting about doge would make it go up, that's not understandable for a bot. Market is emotional and software do not have emotions.

Absolutely, none of the trading bots can perform transactions by following the news and detect the importance of the names in the news content. For example, if the scenario in your message occurs all the trading bot can do is evaluate possible price movements and enter a transaction order after the rise&volume increase. Of course, since this is generally the working logic of the trading bot's algorithm it will be possible to enter a similar transaction order in case of price changes that may occur due to volatility.

In another scenario shown as an example, the best transaction bot can do is enter transaction orders by following the words. Again, in this case the words in the fake tweets will again mislead the algorithm and the trading bot will make a mistake and cause the user to lose money. People can think logically and emotionally, but unfortunately algorithm or AI can only calculate statistics and probabilities. This is the most obvious difference between trading bots and individuals following the news. Finally, I would like to end my comment with a word;

Without our soul, we are just machines.
482  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Crash may take bitcoin to 1M dollar on: September 19, 2023, 07:14:20 AM
In the period after the collapse of the economy, all financial assets lose their value very seriously. If such a scenario occurs nothing can maintain its current value or gain value in this process due to this reason. This situation proved itself during the economic crisis we experienced in 2008. I can make the following comment about the claim in question:

In case of a new financial crisis it is quite possible that Bitcoin will experience a serious depreciation as everything will lose value first but as this process begins to recover and improvements are seen in the financial markets Bitcoin may gain value again and reach a value above its before crisis level. This is the only possible scenario because as has been observed in previous crises. In the crisis starting it will be inevitable to experience serious value losses in all financial markets.

In case of a possible economic collapse it would be the best option for us small investors to accurately evaluate the potential high profits in the cryptocurrency markets by closely following the price movements and the recovery process of the general markets.
483  Local / Alternatif Kripto-Paralar / Re: AVAX ağında yeni bir meme doğuyor olabilir. SUBNETS on: September 18, 2023, 08:41:45 PM
Her ne kadar son dönemlerde memecoin furyası sakinlemiş hatta neredeyse sona ermiş olsa da konunun açıldığı günden şu ana kadar iyi sayılabilecek bir düzeyde yükseliş meydana geldiğini görebiliyoruz. Yükseliş süreci daha nereye kadar devam eder tartışılır fakat çok küçük tutarda alım yaparak birkaç kat değerlenmesini beklemek mantıklı olabilir gibi görünüyor. Elbette, memecoin olduğu sebebi ile almak ve unutmak pek doğru bir hareket olmayacaktır fakat çok küçük bir tutar alım ile birkaç gün boyunca fiyat hareketlerini izlemek ve potansiyel olarak birkaç kat değerlenmesi sonrasında satışı gerçekleştirmek mantıklı olacaktır. Elbette, tepe veya tepe fiyata yakın bir yerden bu denemenin yapılması sonrasında satış pek mümkün olmayabilir fakat kendinizi üzmeyecek ufak bir tutar ile deneme yapmaktan pek fazla bir zarar da gelmeyecektir diye düşünüyorum. Birkaç dolarlık bir alım ile birkaç günlüğüne fiyatı takip edip etmeme ve olası bir fiyat katlama ihtimalini değerlendirmeyi düşünüyorum. Tabii ki bunun için öncelike Avax cüzdanı açarak işlem gerçekleştirmem gerekecek.

Avax cüzdana gerek yok hocam trust wallete avax atsan da olur.
Bende 20 dolarlık aldım bakalım neler olur. Patlarsa da patlasın sıkıntı yok. Bir zamanlar Caw'ım yaptığı gibi pat küt 2-3 borsada listelenirse iş yapabilir. Nasip kısmet bakalım.

Doğru, uzun süredir Trust Wallet kullanmadığım için bu detayı unutmuşum. Smiley Yanlış hatırlamıyorsam Trust Wallet cüzdanımda 20-30 dolar gibi bir de para bulunuyordu en son ve kullanmamıştım. Bu tutar ile küçük de olsa bir pozisyon alınabilir ve fiyat hareketleri de bu bahane ile takip edilebilir. Belirttiğin gibi birkaç borsada listeleme haberi gelirse ve birkaç kat değerlendirse de güzel bir fırsat değerlenmiş olur. Eğer patlarsa da zaten kullanmadığım bakiye olduğu için herhangi bir zararım yokmuş gibi düşünerek de kendimi avutabilirim.
484  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Trading bots... do they work? on: September 18, 2023, 03:37:45 PM
Looking to get some real-world feedback on trading bots, the pros, the cons and the most important question... do they work?

So please, only comment below if you're actively using trading bots and how successful they are.

I definitely don't use a trading bots because I tried it once before and unfortunately I learned that it didn't really provide profits. Although there are various trading bots and each of them is of better quality than the others unfortunately it isn't possible to say that none of them work perfectly. The trading bot I used made many erroneous transactions, entering SL and TP orders at values ​​like 0.02% causing many positions to be closed immediately when opened and most importantly it was trading between stable cryptocurrency pairs in case the transaction volume increased between them. In addition, during certain periods these trading bots were opening reverse transactions due to the transaction volume in many cryptocurrency pairs which caused losses for no reason. So, I definitely don't prefer using trading bots because many trading bots don't work stably and can be easily deceived. Also, I don't recommend it.

Finally, although the option may vary depending on the preferred trading bot such algorithms generally request permission to perform various transactions on your exchange account. In other words, considering that there are various possibilities such as transferring the balance in your wallet to another wallet even though it doesn't appear in the permission list. There is also the risk of losing the entire capital with the aim of capital growth. Although this isn't the case for every trading bot any damage that may occur due to different reasons will be reflected on the user at the end of the day. In summary, for me making money using a trading bot is a very risky thing and it is a method that carries the risk of losing 30 cents in order to make 3 cents of money. (The amount is written for example purposes.)
485  Economy / Economics / Re: 1.34 trillion asset manager Deutsche Bank to offer Bitcoin service on: September 18, 2023, 12:29:59 PM
When one of the world's largest banks offers such services, it gives more credibility to the industry and opens the door for wide adoption. This also shows the increase in consumer demand for digital assets like bitcoin. This will help the regulator provides clear rules and regulations to foster industry growth. Their move towards digital assets is a timely step when other top asset managers are applying for bitcoin ETFs. The demand for digital assets at the consumer end will force the regulator to come up with ideas to announce some clear regulation.




Source: https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/1702325787049984186

Just a few years ago many banks, former economists and regulators argued that Bitcoin was illegal due to its lack of any centralized structure. We have seen that many large investment companies, banks and similar financial institutions have turned to Bitcoin in the last few months as its use by more and more individuals increases day by day. Although all the news is about attempts at this stage I think we will see many financial institutions offering these services in the near future.

I don't really want to express my negative thoughts but since Bitcoin is a volatile asset it may not attract much attention from financial institutions such as banks and customers at the first stage. The reason for this is that although blockchain technology has proven itself, the volatility that occurs due to the decentralized structure poses risks for both the intermediary institutions and the customers of these institutions. Of course, as I just mentioned, just a few years ago many financial institutions claimed that Bitcoin was unreliable but today it is possible to solve this problem or find a way as they continue to work to provide their customer portfolio with easy access to Bitcoin.

On the other hand, I hope that the Bitcoin price will not be taken under control by these institutions and large capital companies/investors and will not cause the vision of decentralization to be eliminated.

Finally, today's market conditions cause us not to see a serious price increase despite such good news coming one after the other. For this reason, we may see significant price increases in Bitcoin price after a possible economic recovery.
486  Economy / Services / Re: [OPEN] Yo!Mix Bitcoin Mixer Signature Campaign| Reward up to $200/w on: September 18, 2023, 09:46:09 AM
Hello dear Royse777,

I want to let you know that I'm accepted for new signature campaign and I'm leaving from this Avatar+personal text campaign.

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487  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Turkish Super League 2023/24 Season on: September 18, 2023, 09:43:26 AM
Beşiktaş showed a very weak performance last night and ended its unbeaten streak with Trabzonspor which doesn't have a very strong squad. Even though I watched the comprehensive summary, it was not difficult to understand that Beşiktaş didn't perform well. The result of the match was a bit of a surprise especially since I didn't expect a result that would end with a difference of 3, before the match. Moreover, it was even more surprising that these 3 differences belonged to a victory achieved by Trabzonspor. With this defeat, there will definitely be a low morale in Beşiktaş fans and players and it will affect Beşiktaş's performance in the difficult weeks ahead. Besiktaş has a difficult time ahead of them both in European matches and league matches.
488  Economy / Economics / Re: Was just watching the big short. Why do the times suddenly feel similar? on: September 18, 2023, 06:56:21 AM
Quote
Could we be on the verge of some crazy market crashes like in 2008?

History always repeats itself and although it isn't exactly the same. All these scenes that repeat each other cause similar scenes to occur. The economic crisis experienced all over the world in 2008 caused many individuals to fall under a serious debt burden, businesses to stop their activities and the economic balance to deteriorate. Considering the economic conditions we're in today I think we're in a much worse economic crisis and the consequences will be worse.

Although today's economic conditions seem to be better compared to the 2008 crisis. When many data are examined in detail it will not be difficult to determine that we're actually in a much worse scenario. Individuals who constantly live their lives in debt, companies that are experiencing serious financial difficulties and whose profit margins are decreasing, living costs that are increasing day by day and the property sector that has reached a bubble status again actually indicate that a very bad economic crisis period has begun. Basic reasons such as higher debt amounts and unresolved inflation compared to the 2008 crisis will cause us to go through a much worse crisis period.
489  Economy / Economics / Re: Tim Gurner wants Unemployment to increase. Employers have lost their power. on: September 17, 2023, 10:37:45 PM
Not only Tim Gurner, also many country administrations and central bank members want the unemployment rate to increase within the scope of the fight against inflation. This is due to the expectation that if there are more unemployed people, individuals will be forced to restrict their spending and consumption, will decrease making a positive contribution to inflation. Unfortunately, today's economic conditions have reached a full crisis threshold and for this reason many people are losing their jobs every day. Individuals who haven't yet lost their jobs are now left under a workload that exceeds their job description and perform as much as possible due to the fear of losing their job.

Unfortunately, the increase in unemployment rates and the fear of individuals losing their jobs will not end unless the fight against inflation is fully taken under control and many country governments stop increasing the unemployment rate in order to combat inflation.
490  Local / Alternatif Kripto-Paralar / Re: AVAX ağında yeni bir meme doğuyor olabilir. SUBNETS on: September 17, 2023, 07:19:58 PM
Her ne kadar son dönemlerde memecoin furyası sakinlemiş hatta neredeyse sona ermiş olsa da konunun açıldığı günden şu ana kadar iyi sayılabilecek bir düzeyde yükseliş meydana geldiğini görebiliyoruz. Yükseliş süreci daha nereye kadar devam eder tartışılır fakat çok küçük tutarda alım yaparak birkaç kat değerlenmesini beklemek mantıklı olabilir gibi görünüyor. Elbette, memecoin olduğu sebebi ile almak ve unutmak pek doğru bir hareket olmayacaktır fakat çok küçük bir tutar alım ile birkaç gün boyunca fiyat hareketlerini izlemek ve potansiyel olarak birkaç kat değerlenmesi sonrasında satışı gerçekleştirmek mantıklı olacaktır. Elbette, tepe veya tepe fiyata yakın bir yerden bu denemenin yapılması sonrasında satış pek mümkün olmayabilir fakat kendinizi üzmeyecek ufak bir tutar ile deneme yapmaktan pek fazla bir zarar da gelmeyecektir diye düşünüyorum. Birkaç dolarlık bir alım ile birkaç günlüğüne fiyatı takip edip etmeme ve olası bir fiyat katlama ihtimalini değerlendirmeyi düşünüyorum. Tabii ki bunun için öncelike Avax cüzdanı açarak işlem gerçekleştirmem gerekecek.
491  Economy / Economics / Re: Entrepreneurship and women on: September 17, 2023, 03:54:34 PM
I want to start a discussion highlighting some points I read online regarding women as compared to men in entrepreneurship and the chance of success.

As a result of the difficult economic times, do you consider that there will be more women entrepreneurs competing with men in this field which it so looks like they currently dominate?

https://www.intotheminds.com/blog/en/entrepreneurship-differences-women-men/

Since entrepreneurship is a matter of vision I think it isn't right to evaluate gender differences here. If we examine the successful enterprise that have taken place in the last few years we can see that both male and female entrepreneurs are quite numerous and successful. Of course, in order to obtain statistics we can separate these entrepreneurs into men and women and examine the rates but I would like to point out that the number of women entrepreneurs is not very small.

In order for an entrepreneur to be successful, he/she needs a good idea, supporters and hard work but it should not be forgotten that country is also a very effective thing at this point. Since there are many countries in the world that don't put on importance to women and women's ideas, unfortunately many potential female entrepreneurs cannot put forward their ideas. This also affects the fact that the statistics we mentioned are not produced exactly correctly. Although there are various assistance for women entrepreneurs in some countries today, unfortunately, there is no such assistance in many countries. In other words, it may be difficult for a woman to turn her idea into an enterprise in some circumstances depending on the country she is in.

Finally, if we examine the current statistics and consider the many advantages provided to female entrepreneurs it is of course possible that the number of female entrepreneurs will increase in the coming years and become more than the number of male entrepreneurs. However, considering that many successful enterprises have been made by men I think that it isn't possible for female entrepreneurs to prevail in dominance in the short term but in the long or medium term this balance can be achieved and even female entrepreneurs can achieve dominance depending on the conditions.
492  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Turkish Super League 2023/24 Season on: September 17, 2023, 01:52:58 PM
Today we have to go and stab to Trabzon. Beşiktaş hasn't been able to beat Trabzon for the last 5 matches. This series must end now. While we found Trabzon so weak, any other result is unacceptable. We are entering a difficult period now, the fixtures will be intense. There are European matches. We need to continue a good winning streak. We already have a perfect unbeaten streak, but now we have to focus on 3 points, not 1 point, both in the league and in Europe. A win in this match will raise morale.

It wouldn't be correct to say that Trabzonspor has been a successful football team in nowadays because we haven't seen any success in recent matches. Although Beşiktaş hasn't been able to win against Trabzonspor in the last 5 years, it has a very successful performance and a better squad against Trabzonspor this season. Therefore, Beşiktaş will definitely appear before the viewer with a good performance today in order to be more comfortable in the difficult process ahead, to make its fans happy, and to break this winless streak. Moreover, with a possible defeat today Beşiktaş will not only break its invincibility streak but will also lose the fans trust and morale with this defeat. For this reason, I think the only possible outcome of this match for Beşiktaş should be a win.
493  Economy / Economics / Re: If the global economy collapses what's the first thing you do? on: September 17, 2023, 11:55:37 AM
when the global economy collapses, people's purchasing power will weaken and the wisest way is to maintain assets while currently there are not many investment assets that can be trusted like bitcoin (even the value of property assets is shaken when the global economy collapses), but when we make bitcoin the main focus of investment, we must have a stable income to be able to keep our bitcoin investment maintained even when the global economy collapses.  As time goes on, people are increasingly interested in investing in Bitcoin to maintain the value of their assets, so don't waste the opportunity to collect as much Bitcoin as you can when the price is still very cheap from ATH.

If the global economy collapses or is shaken of course people's purchasing power is seriously weakened but at the very beginning of this process many people panic and try to turn their investments into cash. For this reason, we see very serious price declines in the financial markets in the short term. Cryptocurrencies are considered riskier than many other financial investment instruments. For this reason, in the event of a possible global economic collapse or shakeout I don't think that individuals will prefer Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies at least at the beginning of this collapse. Of course, the trend may be like this over time but I don't think that any individual will choose a risky investment instrument after such a major economic collapse.

As investor who regularly buys Bitcoin with a certain amount of my salary every month and keeps most of my savings in Bitcoin, I can recommend saving by purchasing Bitcoin at today's prices before the collapse or shake-up of the global economy. (I trust Bitcoin and I'm not one of those individuals who are very skeptical about cryptocurrencies as I just mentioned.)
494  Local / Alternatif Kripto-Paralar / Re: Tipcoin on: September 15, 2023, 11:22:09 PM
Poloniex ve bitrue'ye girdiler ( daha al sat başlamadı ama) şimdi de Twitter'da mexc'yi etiketleyip listeleme gibi bir şey demişler.
Sosyal medya tokenleri seri bir şekilde listeleme yapıyor. Hype o tarafa kayacak gibi

Poloniex her ne kadar eskisi kadar popüler bir borsa olmasa da böyle bir projenin burada listelenmesi iyi bir işaret olabilir. Elbette, sadece bu kriteri göz önünde bulundurarak yorum yapmak veya bu projenin iyi olduğu hissiyatına kapılmak pek doğru olmayacaktır fakat bunun sadece iyi bir işaret olabileceğini ifade etmek istedim. Bir önceki yorumumda da belirttiğim gibi henüz proje hakkında pek fazla araştırma yapmamış olmamdan ötürü kötüleyici bir yorum yapmak istemiyorum fakat Twitter hesabımdaki yorumlarda çok ca bunun hakkında yorumlar görmeye başladığım için projeye biraz nefretle bakanlar arasına girmiş durumdayım.
495  Economy / Economics / Re: Food Crisis - Improved, Worsen or still the same in your country (No Change)? on: September 15, 2023, 10:03:53 AM
There is no food crisis yet in the country I live in or in my country. Of course, what I'm talking about here is being able to find the food products in markets because food prices have increased significantly in both countries. Although it isn't difficult to access many foods and meals unfortunately the prices have increased significantly. Especially since the currency used by my country has lost serious value it has been much more serious price increases compared to global prices.

In the country I currently live in it is very easy to access food just like in my country but unfortunately even though it is a European country the prices have increased considerably here as well. Although the prices of some food and food products are at an acceptable level today unfortunately this is difficult to say for some. In other words, these consumer products which are quite easy to access are unfortunately no longer easily accessible to individuals from all walks of life.

In summary, it would not be correct to say that there is a food crisis in terms of stock for both my country and the country I live in but if we have to comment on the prices of these products it is also true that we are faced with a price crisis.
496  Economy / Economics / Re: for anyone interested in how much their personal data is worth on: September 15, 2023, 08:19:30 AM
It was already known to all of us that our personal data was not protected but the fact that this data was used and priced in certain categories meant that we were in a less secure environment than we expected. Especially in this period when there are many free applications, of course, application developers also sell this data in order to generate income. For this reason, we understand that we need to be more sensitive about the applications we use and the information we provide to these applications.

Although it is not included in this attachment we can be sure that this data is grouped in more detail and many businesses can reach potential customers more easily with higher fees. Who knows how many different classifications are made in this way, including our own data.
497  Local / Alternatif Kripto-Paralar / Re: Coinmarketcap verilerine göre ilk 20 kripto paranın 10 yıllık serüveni on: September 14, 2023, 03:20:39 PM
Aslında ilk olmalarından ziyade orijinal bir şey yaratmış olmaları, problem çözmüş olmaları daha değerli. Sıralamalar elbet bir gün değişebilir ama bu sıralamaların değişebilmeleri için ortaya daha iyi çözümlerin konulması gerekiyor. Sebep sadece ilk olmak olsaydı b-money, eCash, bit-gold gibi daha eski örneklerin daha değerli olmasını bekleyebilirdik ama bitcoinin çözdüğü problemleri çözemedikleri için biraz da doğru zamanda doğru yerde bulunma hikayesi sebebiyle bugün yoklar.

Merkeziyetsizliği biraz değersel anlamda küçümsenmiş hissettim ki bence bu piyasada en önemli unsur ve etkisini ethereum'un onca kullanım alanına ve yarattığı ekosisteme karşı halen güçlü bir şekilde sürdürebilmesinin altında yatan sebepte bu. Ethereum'un en büyük sınavı da merkeziyetsizlik, eğer bu sınavı geçemezse aldığı tüm yol boşa gider.

Merkeziyetsizliği sağlayan noderlar, topluluk. Onlar toplu bir şekilde daha inovatif bir bir zincire geçse aynı denklikteki güçlü merkeziyetsizliği yine ortaya çıkarırlar. Bitcoin'den daha hızlı, Bitcoin'den daha güvenli ve Bitcoin'den daha ucuz varlık transferi imkanı sağlayan bir sisteme geçseler bu hepimiz için daha iyi olur. Fakat kimse bir yere geçmiyor ve herkes Bitcoin zinciri üzerinde işlem yapmaya devam ediyor. Ben de kendime bunu soruyorum, Bitcoin'de kalmalarını sağlayan şey ne diyorum, sonra ilk olması dışında iyi bir cevap bulamadığımı fark ediyorum.

Bitcoin ilk çıktığında birçok problemi çözmüş ama bugün birçok probleme karşı yetersiz kalmasına rağmen hala en çok tercih edilen zincir çünkü çok kısa bir açıklaması var: ilk. Bu kısa açıklama bazılarına göre yetersiz veya anlamsız gelebilir ama cevap bu. Biraz döngüsel bir mevzu. 'Soru'nun cevabı, 'soru'nun kendisi gibi ve her şeyi açıklayan en makul açıklama 'ilk olmak' benim değerlendirmeme göre.

Bitcoin, ilk çıkan kripto para değil başarılı olan ilk topluluğun kripto parasıdır dostum. İlk çıktığı zamanlarda hiçbir kripto para iyi bir topluluğa sahip olmadığı gibi maalesef Bitcoin gibi birçok soruna çözüm olabilecek niteliğe de sahip değildi. Bitcoin, birçok soruna karşı çözüm ürettiği için bir topluluk tarafından kabul görmeye başlamış ve başarılı olmasından kaynaklı olarak kripto para piyasasını domine edecek duruma gelmiştir. Her ne kadar günümüzde bazı sorunlar ile karşılaşıyor olsa da oldukça güçlü bir topluluğa sahip olmasından dolayı Bitcoin piyasayı domine etmeye devam etmektedir ve birinciliği de başka bir kripto paraya kaptırmamasının sebebi budur. Kripto para topluluklarınca oldukça güçlü bir destek görüyor olması aslında Bitcoin'den daha iyi bir zincirin olmadığını veya yaratılamayacağı algısını yaratabilir fakat durum böyle değildir. Elbette, şu an kabul edilmese de bazı iyi projelerin altyapıları Bitcoin'den daha iyi bir duruma gelme potansiyeline sahip olduğu gibi elbette bir gün daha iyisi de çıkacaktır fakat asıl mesele topluluğun bunu benimsemesi ve kabullenmesidir. Eğer toplum bunu kabullenmezse Bitcoin tüm piyasayı domine etmeye devam edecektir.
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500  Economy / Economics / Re: Are you risking investment in other things? on: September 14, 2023, 01:30:50 PM
What else are you risking the money you should to invest more in bitcoins on?

I don't have a very strong capital and unfortunately I don't have a house, land or similar investment other than cryptocurrencies. For this reason, I don't have the option or thought of converting another investment to Bitcoin by taking a risk. However, according to my own investment strategy, which is relevant to the question I can comment the following;

I'm a investor who generally prefers to buy cryptocurrencies with the money I increase from my current savings and salary and to keep my savings as cryptocurrency. Especially considering that the halving process will take next year, in addition to the money I increase from my salary I also add a little from my cash savings and take care to add Bitcoin and a few other cryptocurrencies to my investment portfolio as much as possible. After the halving gets closer I'm considering taking long positions using 5-10x leverage in order to determine the appropriate price range and increase my risk ratio and earning potential. Of course, while doing this I plan to use my Bitcoin or a different cryptocurrency as collateral in an amount that will not cause me any liquidity problems depending on the leverage. In this way, I will protect my positions from price movements that could potentially cause the position to become liquid.

Even though I don't have a capital that can buy a high amount of Bitcoin with a spot balance or another valuable investment that I can convert into Bitcoin but I believe that by making a plan according to my budget I will maximize my earning potential.
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