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4801  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: [WARNING] Save Beirut Relief Fundraising? on: August 08, 2020, 03:41:49 PM
From the information you gave, OP, that certainly looks to be a typical opportunistic scam which preys on people's laudable desire to help.  I don't donate cash or crypto to well-established charities, so there's no way in hell I'd send a single satoshi to this person's address (and I'm pretty sure it's a person and not an organization).  Hopefully people on Telegram and whatever other social media this scam is being perpetrated have good sense and don't donate money to them.

Good thing we haven't seen anything similar on the forum, though I'm pretty sure it would get shut down pretty quickly anyway.  Good looking out, OP.
4802  Other / Meta / Re: Bitcointalk Ranking-up pipeline- Those close to their next rank (lacking Merits) on: August 07, 2020, 08:17:50 PM
Data as of 07/08/2020
Awesome and thank you for updating this thread.  I'm in the process of going through these members' posts and meriting what I can within reason.  And dang, I used up all of my source sMerits so far and am now using my earned ones--no biggie there, since lately the source sMerits have been replenished at a pretty good rate.

Edit:
Holy crap, Paperweight looks to be an old-school member from 2011, and at first I had the feeling that it could be a sold account, but from the posts I can see it doesn't look to be. 
4803  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Average Congressman has nearly 60 years. Can those grandpas regulate bitcoin? on: August 07, 2020, 07:40:55 PM
I'm pretty sure they have advisers even though they are already seated as legislators and regulators. These advisers can explain to them what cryptocurrencies are in a concise manner without overwhelming these grandpas that you speak of.
That was my second thought about OP's post.  These "grandpas" don't really have to understand the mechanics of cryptocurrency for one thing.  They probably know enough of what bitcoin is (a bank-less, government-less currency) to make decisions as far as regulation, and whatever they don't know, they certainly aren't working alone in making decisions.  Every congressman has advisors and teams of information-gatherers, so I wouldn't write them off just because of their age.

My first thought was that being 60 years old doesn't make you ignorant of technology necessarily.  Crypto is certainly a younger person's game, but these people high up in government are generally not stupid people.  They're usually quite intelligent actually.  Your grandfather might not know how to use a cell phone or the internet, but that simply isn't true of all senior citizens--and 60 years old doesn't even make you a senior citizen anyway.

People are not elected to make laws for their expertise in whatever industry, but they are elected because they have the capacity to act on behalf of the interests of the people they represent, and they are fair and objective in their assessments. You can't expect congressmen to know everything about every law they have to examine.
Yep, all of that is true.  I'm not a fan of most politicians, but I don't hold their lack of expertise in various fields that they end up regulating against them.  They're not working totally in the dark on these things.
4804  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Binance.US goes down, assures users funds are safe on: August 07, 2020, 06:51:43 PM
I don't know anything about Binance's US operations, but there was a huge storm yesterday on the east coast of the US that knocked out power and internet over a very large radius.  Just thinking out loud, I'm wondering whether them going down had anything to do with that. 

Hopefully they're telling the truth when they say it wasn't a hack.  My guess is that it wasn't, but who knows.  Binance might be one of the most trusted exchanges, but after seeing all the BS that's transpired over the last few years I don't trust any of them completely.
4805  Other / Meta / Re: Make this forum a better place - part 1 on: August 07, 2020, 06:46:55 PM
Better still - don't post images unless they are essential. Consider posting a thumbnail with a link to a larger image. This doesn't apply to social interaction threads of course.

Even more important - please don't quote an image - we've seen it once, and that should be enough.
Good suggestions, all of them.  There were a few members who were making it a habit to post extremely large, unnecessary images when they created threads, much like mainstream media sites do--images that add nothing to the post and contain nothing useful.  I was so annoyed by this that I created a thread about it late last year.  Some of the members stopped posting those images as far as I know, for which I'm grateful.

And yeah, when someone replies to a post and quotes an enormous image, it drives me nuts--or even when they quote huge blocks of text just to make a short post.

I recently started a thread about my experience with using a bitcoin ATM and included images.  Initially they were huge, but I got advice from o_e_l_e_o about resizing them:
Edit: Change your [img] tag to [img width=500] (or a different number) to resize your massive images. Wink

Not being very proficient in coding, I wouldn't have figured out how to do that without a little help and some constructive criticism from a helpful member.
4806  Economy / Economics / Re: Exclusive Tax Proposals On American Billionaires on: August 07, 2020, 04:27:04 PM
Looks like it's only three senators who are proposing this bill, so it's far from a done deal.

I've been seriously wondering how the US government is going to pay for all of this stimulus money they're giving to the plebians, and it looks like some of the lawmakers are starting to work out who's going to.  I don't think targeting billionaires is necessarily fair, though you won't catch me shedding a tear if they have to pay higher taxes.  The rich have been kicking the poor's asses since time immemorial.

This seems to be related to profits made during the COVID-19 pandemic, though I'm not sure about the logic being used by these senators who are proposing the bill.  Eh.  It'll probably never become a reality, which is the case of most of these stories about lawmakers who come up with wacky bills.  They make for a good story and that's about it.
4807  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Forecast John McAfee $500,000 on: August 07, 2020, 12:35:09 AM
That forecast is likely to be given for the next 30 years maybe.
My own tired, cynical opinion would probably be exactly like the above except that I betcha bitcoin will hit $500k within the next 30 years.  McAfee is nutty for making a prediction and bet like this, but he's just got the time frame wrong.  And honestly, I wouldn't want to see bitcoin hit a ridiculous price like $500k in just several years.  Any rational investor would realize that those kinds of gains aren't sustainable.

But we're all grown up after 3 years and understood that he has said it for attention.
Yeah, just like all the other prominent bitcoiners with large platforms who make extreme predictions--they might believe what they're saying, but it's far more likely they're making a prediction in order to keep their name relevant.  I tend to just tune out crap like this.

But let's all move forward and go to a more realistic scenario for bitcoin which is being talked lately for the price of $100k.
Hate to say it, but I think that price is even too high to hit unless we're talking about a ten-year time frame.  Remember, the state of the economy is far from certain and it isn't looking too healthy.  In order to get bitcoin up to $100k, there would have to be a ton of buying.  If people are still out of work, that just isn't going to happen.  But we shall see.
4808  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Covid crisis & evolving phases on: August 06, 2020, 10:57:57 PM
So far, it looks like the pandemic is here to stay. Countries are apparently trying to adapt to e-studying through online classes.. There are also lots of people who've adapted to credit card payments instead of cash as well. which means we're clearly going the digital way.
All of that is true except the first statement, that the pandemic is here to stay.  It isn't.  Like any viral outbreak, it will eventually run its course and/or we'll find a vaccine or an effective treatment for it.  People have gotten used to wearing masks and maintaining their distance from each other, and that will probably be a habit which will last but this isn't going to last forever.

I've not no problem with universities moving toward online classes, but I don't think that should be a permanent thing either.  Going to a classroom and interacting with peers and professors is important.  One thing I think will last is people's shopping habits and the way they pay for things.  Cash will probably phase out quicker than it has been, and people will continue to order things from sites like Amazon.

I wish I could say that cryptocurrency will benefit from this, but I don't think it will.  It certainly doesn't seem to have thus far, although people seem to be buying bitcoin and altcoins like crazy--they're just not spending them as far as I know. 

E-commerce is now getting bigger as we adopt to change. Perhaps, instead of cash, we are slowly transitioning to cashless and digital transactions.
Oh, that's definitely true and has been for some time now.  I know some people who never carry cash on them and use debit cards and/or smartphones to pay for everything.  Right now I'm just waiting for the US government to stop minting pennies and nickels, which would be a smart thing for them to do.
4809  Economy / Economics / Re: Pray for Our World (Pray for Lebanon) Another Economic Crisis on: August 06, 2020, 07:13:02 PM
The explosion itself is horrible but the whole economical and political situation in Lebanon looks dire. The Lebanese pound lost about 70% of its value against the US dollar and the national debt is enormous. A national bankruptcy is looming. Besides this, there is also an energy crisis.
I don't follow world news much, so thank you for that summary--I didn't realize things in Lebanon were so bad, and this explosion couldn't come at a worse time. 

2020 is a year that will be remembered by the whole world because of the various disaster that have occurred.
No kidding.  The effects of this explosion are relatively local, but there has been so much shit going on in 2020 that every day I get the feeling that the world has been turned on its ear.  This is a bitcoin forum and I'm happy bitcoin is doing well in the face of all this horrible stuff that's happening, but man....I just hope 2021 is a better year for all of us, all around.

Also I find hard to believe the body count that officials are giving, it doesn't seem possible to me that such a huge explosion that has left hundreds of thousands without a home has produced a number of victims that is so low.
I tend to agree with you there, though as I stated in another thread I'm not sure how dense the population was in that area at the time of the explosion.  Four thousand wounded sounds about right, but less than 100 dead?  I find that a little hard to believe.
4810  Economy / Economics / Re: Richard D Wolff: Democratize the Corporations on: August 06, 2020, 06:48:25 PM
There is a difference between justice and equality. All people are equal in terms of their rights and duties, but they are different in terms of their qualifications and capabilities and therefore they must be distinguished on this basis.
Agree fully, but I think the state of our society currently is having a problem with this, and instead of working toward a meritocracy corporations are being strongly influenced by those so-called diversity quotas and other left-wing political ideas.  The net result is that companies are not always hiring the right person for the job, and I find that to be a shame.

I haven't watched the videos OP linked to, but I have to say that socialism has been tried and it doesn't work.  It's not going to ever work.  There certainly are problems with capitalism, but I think it is far superior to socialism/communism/anything else currently in operation. 

Oh, this time it will work! Of course, this time we have the perfect plan!  Grin
It will certainly not fail like the other quadrilion times we tried!
That about sums up my feelings--socialism sounds so great in theory, but when put into practice it always falls apart into various abuses of power, unrest, and ultimately becomes a system which is inferior to capitalism.
4811  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: Thoughts on Straight HODL vs Trading on: August 06, 2020, 06:34:58 PM
I’m usually more on straight HODLing, especially Ethereum. Been holding my Ethereum since it was between $200-$210 because I’m so hyped with Ethereum 2.0 and DeFi.
When is ETH supposed to go PoS?  I thought it already had for some reason.  And as far as any PoS coin goes, holding long-term is probably your best bet anyway, as the real advantage in any of them is the income they generate.

I've never been into active trading, not in stocks and definitely not in crypto, which is far more risky IMO.  I get that traders can make enormous profits because of the volatility of altcoins (especially the crappier ones), but I don't have the balls or the stomach for it.  I'm all for holding bitcoin for the long-term, as I think we're going to see a new ATH within the next couple of years.  I thought bitcoin might even get there in 2020, but the whole COVID-19 thing kind of derailed its momentum.

Another reason I don't actively trade is that I think technical analysis is a bunch of voodoo witchcraft nonsense.  The only time it makes any sense to follow charts is when there's a very obvious bull run, and in that case you just follow the momentum.
4812  Other / Meta / Re: [Request] Stats on: August 06, 2020, 04:27:13 PM
I'd like to see this graph overlaid with a bitcoin price chart--I'm not a statistics geek and am not really interested in member activity, posts, registration, and so on, but it's interesting to me that it looks like activity and registration of new accounts booms and busts along with how bitcoin is performing.  That's probably obvious to a lot of members, but I don't think I've ever seen any statistical correlation between btc price and bitcointalk variables.

4813  Economy / Economics / Re: Since jobs are unlikely to return, Do u think there will be a 3rd $1200 stimulus on: August 06, 2020, 02:10:34 AM
Thats not the issue that causes jobs to not return... Its change of behavior. You get used to cooking at home, your diet changes, routine changes tend to have a longer lasting effect on restaurants ect. But even bigger is the work from home change. Many jobs are saying hey this work from home thing worked for a few months, we can do it permanent and save money on office rent. This for sure kills the restaurant next to the office, the gas station on your way to the office, and more. And then lastly, they once a job is remote work, they can outsoruce it to India.
Yep, those are all good points and I have in fact heard that some workers are continuing to work from home.  I'm not sure if that's a good thing or not, either for the worker or the employer.  But I guess we'll just have to see how this whole thing transpires.  I've seen a lot of restaurants start delivery service, and pharmacies as well.  I have doubts as to whether these changes are permanent or not, though I hear what you're saying about changes in behavior and so forth.

As far as outsourcing jobs to India, I don't suspect that's going to happen to a great extent.  The US has already outsourced so many services to India and other spots in Asia that whatever remains probably has a reason to stay in the US. 

Nope. If they were just to print out money after money, they'd only be making their doom fall faster, and I'm pretty sure even the government realizes that.
I'd agree that they do recognize the danger of printing a near-unlimited amount of money, but I question whether anyone in the government has a plan to pay for all of this stimulus money, which is on top of all the quantitative easing they did a few years ago.  As I've said before, someone has to foot the bill and that someone is always going to be the taxpayers.  I'm wondering when the bill will finally arrive.

4814  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: 4 US Congressman wrote to IRS to ease tax on POS rewards on: August 05, 2020, 11:34:26 PM
Will this encourage more investors to get on-board if the IRS will somewhat heed this call?
That's a damn interesting letter, and I thank you for posting it here OP. 

I've been interested in PoS coins for a while now, though I don't own any at the moment, and I'm kind of shocked that congressmen are actually aware of their existence, much less concerned with the fair taxing of rewards from them.  It's also interesting to me that they proposed that taxation occur only upon the sale of the staking rewards.  I don't have any idea how PoS coin rewards are taxed now, but I'd assume they'd be considered to be income if they're taxed at all.  Maybe someone with some knowledge could clarify that.

Although it's an interesting letter, it remains to be seen whether anything comes of it.  A lot of these suggestions don't lead anywhere, and I'm not sure how much influence these four congressmen have.  I'll have to keep my eyes on it.
4815  Economy / Economics / Re: US economy suffers worst decline as GDP contracts by 32.9% in the second quarter on: August 05, 2020, 10:37:37 PM
WOW.  32.9% is no joke, and that's scary to me. 

What I'm hoping is that these numbers temporarily reflect the consequence of the COVID-19 shutdown and that the contraction eases in the upcoming quarters as people start getting back to work.  I also do think that's going to be the case, because I'm seeing my local stores and restaurants reopening--the odd thing is that I'm not seeing a lot of people around in the stores and such.  I'm assuming that might be because people are getting stuff delivered from Amazon and the like. 

So that's the US.  I'm curious as to how the rest of the world is faring in terms of their economies. 

There are still some establishments who are closed permanently or temporarily.
That's true, although I haven't seen many in my area that have closed up shop for good.  But keep in mind that I don't own a car and I generally don't travel too far from home.
4816  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Why can exchanges freeze account. on: August 05, 2020, 07:48:11 PM
I like no kyc exchanges, please do not advice me to use any kyc exchange. I prefer exchanges that do not demand for kyc or the ones that makes kyc not mandatory?
Here's the thing: the no-KYC exchanges that are left are likely ones that exist in countries where they're not regulated, which means they can essentially do whatever they want.  Yobit comes to mind immediately, but I'm sure there are others.  And if you have an exchange that makes its own rules and isn't accountable to anyone, they can freeze your account for whatever reason they like.  The KYC exchanges which are regulated can't get away with anything they want to, and they'd have to have a valid reason to freeze your funds.

Usually I read complaints about gambling sites freezing accounts and not exchanges, but I know the latter do it as well.  I've never used hitbtc (never even heard of it, either) but my guess is that they're unregulated. 

I like no kyc exchanges, please do not advice me to use any kyc exchange. I prefer exchanges that do not demand for kyc or the ones that makes kyc not mandatory?
Then you're going to get screwed at some point.
I agree, because I don't think there are many non-KYC exchanges out there with solid reputations that you could trust not to freeze your account for some arbitrary reason.  So OP, just watch out if you're going to go that route.  Don't keep a lot of funds on an exchange for long, and I'd probably advise that you trade in small amounts--and read their rules, too.  You don't want to end up breaking one of them and run into a problem that no one can help you with.
4817  Economy / Economics / Re: Since jobs are unlikely to return, Do u think there will be a 3rd $1200 stimulus on: August 05, 2020, 05:27:12 PM
How many times will this do this?
Not sure, but it looks like there's going to be at least one more. 

Regarding the title of this thread, I don't agree with the premise "since jobs are unlikely to return".  People are starting to realize that this strain of coronavirus isn't some second coming of the black plague, and businesses are starting to reopen (at least in the US).  People who were out of work are starting to return to the workforce, so I don't think the situation is anywhere near as bleak as, say, 2008-2013 when unemployment was astronomical and wasn't due to a temporary shutdown.

But yeah, as far as that money printing press goes, it worries me.  Someone is going to have to pay for all of these stimulus checks eventually, and we all know that someone is going to be the taxpayers.  If I do get another check from the government, you can be damn sure I'm not going to blow it on frivolous stuff.
4818  Economy / Currency exchange / [H] 0.017 btc [N] PayPal at preev 1:1 on: August 05, 2020, 04:20:06 PM
As stated in the title, I have 0.017BTC and need PayPal funds at preev 1:1.  I can sell less than the full amount if you don't need that much.

I will not send first unless you have significant green trust or if I've done business with you before.

This will be a neutral feedback transaction.

Send me a PM if you're willing to help me out, as I might miss seeing this thread if you post here.

Local rule:  Please do not post here unless you're interested in doing this deal.  PayPal is very risky because of the chance of chargebacks, but I have never done this and won't ever.  Also, I won't deal with anyone under Full Member unless they're willing to send first.

Edit:
sent pm bro
I'm not dealing with newbies, period.  I should have made that clear.

Edit 2:  Deal done with DaveF.  Locking thread now.
4819  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Beirut explosion - Lesson to learn from this. on: August 05, 2020, 04:17:18 PM
There's never going to be 100% safety when storing your private keys, or with anything else for that matter.  I saw the video of the Beirut blast, and you'd have to have your HW wallet or flash drive or piece of paper with your seed words on it buried pretty deep if you were storing any of those things near the blast zone--and even then, what's to keep rescue workers or the cleanup crews from stumbling across your stash before you do?

This is definitely one of the disadvantages of crypto, that you truly own your own money.  There's not a bank that's insuring it, and it's not stored on some corporation's server like stocks and other digital investments are.  If your private keys get blown up or lost or stolen, you're screwed. 

As an aside, I can't believe there were only around 100 casualties in that blast.  It looked like it would have killed a lot more people than that, though I don't know how dense the population was in that particular area at the time.  Scary stuff.
4820  Economy / Economics / Re: Virgin Atlantic Goes Bankrupt, Bailouts? on: August 05, 2020, 04:03:12 PM
It doesn't sound like there's any real plan for a government bailout based on what that article says.  Even if Virgin Atlantic took bailout money, the amount would be nowhere near what the banks took in 2008-09, so I don't think this is a huge deal. 

Airlines are suffering right now because of COVID-19, but as I keep saying this is a temporary situation.  Bankrupt airlines can still remain in business without taking a penny from the government.

The fact that those sectors would likely not return to normal operations soon could also be an argument for not bailing then out.
They're not going to get bailed out IMO.  What I'm more worried about is how the US government is going to pay for all of these stimulus checks.  Somebody has to foot the bill for those, and while I haven't heard many complaints about them, they're still an issue that's going to have to be addressed somewhere down the road.
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