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4881  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 22, 2023, 02:13:42 AM
🏦Banks have a serious problem🏦

Why hold deposits in a bank and receive 0.48% on your money when a money market mutual fund pays 4.45%?

On the hunt for yield, deposits are leaving and forcing  banks to sell assets at a loss to provide liquidity.

If the Fed hikes rates tomorrow, the issue only gets worse.

Unlike the Fed, the monetary policy of #Bitcoin    is 100% predictable.



https://twitter.com/BitcoinNewsCom/status/1638308960355643392?t=9YVHHBgwMy8DONEvJcDjow&s=19

my sources say +0.25% on weds is pretty much set in stone and certain.

I will see if he is good.
4882  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 21, 2023, 11:02:38 PM
you have enough discipline to do CrossFit you can hold enough to make good coin you can take this self administrated test correctly.

Or he could just quit. There's almost zero chance that vaping is beneficial to one's health, so why even bother testing how harmful it is.
Plus, vapers are in the top 3 of most insufferable people, right after cyclists and vegans. Don't be one of them.

If he quits he needs to do it on his own time.

I quit smokes on Feb 29 1996 (always wanted a feb 29 date to have a real meaning for me)

I was 39  I know smoking was hurting me at 28.  It was an 11year process for me to quit. Hoping the dude can decide on his own for himself what to do.
4883  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 21, 2023, 09:09:29 PM
A very very very
Off topic thing…..

I do not smoke….. I do sport (CrossFit a lot), but I also like my fine dinner and parties from time to time…. Some in here will know…
Now this party thing goes accompanied by things not always good for health but I’m aware of those….
Question what I don’t know …………. I did some “vape” use on the Parties which evolved to using vape’s in normal weeks as well…. Is this damaging or not “grey area” imo ….
Who can tell me something more about if vapes are bad or not (could easily quit them)


Try this simple cheap test.

Buy this meter

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B000ORVXPA/ref=ox_sc_act_title_1?smid=A8YXBQ7YB5YFQ&psc=1

Do not vape for seven days in a row.

then test your self
1) waking
2) before cross fit
3) after cross fit
4) before bed

do these tests for a week. write down the numbers


then vape for a week every day but a little.

do the tests after a week of vaping continue vaping while you do the test week.


If o2 is off say 97 no vape 93 vape

if heartbeat is 75 no vape 85 vape

vape is affecting you now. forget when you are my age 66 it is doing it now.

I am an ex druggie. long list including smokes (cigs)

I am off smokes since 1996. Cigs hurt me.

Never vaped ,but my test is cheap and you will have a good idea in 3 weeks if there is a major difference .

5% on o2 is major
10 on heart beat is major.

you have enough discipline to do CrossFit you can hold enough to make good coin you can take this self administrated test correctly.
4884  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 21, 2023, 05:57:28 PM
Seems to be resistance at $28,4xx

The FED releases CPI tomorrow, they might have to pause rate hikes due to the mess the banking system is in. If they pause or increase rates by 25 bps, I expect us to break $29,000 and who knows, maybe break $30,000 for the first time in what feels like forever. If they increase by 50 bps or more we might dump, stocks would tank too.

Obviously long term meh, who cares, the $ is trending to 0 & bitcoin is the future but short term we like to pump so hoping for a good day tomorrow.



I have a source that swears it will be +0.25%

He is a recently retired banker.

Ie smart enough to leave his bank in 2022 as rates rose.

I would agree with +0.25% if if wasn’t for the bank debacle unraveling…
Get your popcorn… things are gonna get nuts whatever happens imo

Part of me wants them to make a bold ballsy +0.5% or even a +0.75%. and wait for it

" it fails bigly."  It would be a wild time indeed if that happens.

4885  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 21, 2023, 05:37:02 PM
Seems to be resistance at $28,4xx

The FED releases CPI tomorrow, they might have to pause rate hikes due to the mess the banking system is in. If they pause or increase rates by 25 bps, I expect us to break $29,000 and who knows, maybe break $30,000 for the first time in what feels like forever. If they increase by 50 bps or more we might dump, stocks would tank too.

Obviously long term meh, who cares, the $ is trending to 0 & bitcoin is the future but short term we like to pump so hoping for a good day tomorrow.



I have a source that swears it will be +0.25%

He is a recently retired banker.

Ie smart enough to leave his bank in 2022 as rates rose.
4886  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 21, 2023, 05:13:08 PM
https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/floridas-ron-desantis-wants-ban-110907693.html



Florida's Ron DeSantis Wants to Ban CBDCs from the State




Interesting article.











@ Lainta

5.5 earthquake is not massive

I have been in a 5.8 in California.


found an article for todays earthquake

https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/earthquake-in-jammu-and-kashmir-tremors-felt-4-times-in-2-hours-2156576


4 Medium Intensity Earthquakes Hit Jammu And Kashmir
The first quake with a magnitude of 4.7 hit at 10:42 pm, followed by one measuring 5.5 six minutes later.
4887  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2023 Diff thread now opened. on: March 21, 2023, 04:51:30 PM
So if it makes 100$ in 3 epochs with scenario one, it nets only 50$ in profit
in Scenario 2, technically, it makes only 95$ but pays 12.5% less power so only 43.75 for the power which is 51.25$ net profit
50$ vs 51.25$ is  2.43% more profit by playing the diff game.

But, this also must include the fact that available gear stays idle or you bust continuously the power of your farm. Of course, yours it's just an example and it doesn't mean they are doing the same numbers but
- in scenario A you have  10,20,20, so you must raise double the hash power every 1 and a half months to keep the game going
- in scenario B you have  10,(10-20), and (20-5), so you both raise the hash power and also idle 18% of it for the other month.

Of course, if you have a ton of unsold gear just waiting in the warehouse and which you could sell as new for just 10% discount after you trash it for a few months it's not a problem, but what if you don't and you have way cheaper power that was already paid in? I find the scenario a bit unbelievable, even though one might see a really fishy pattern in the block time in the first days of the adjustment.

Meanwhile

Quote
Latest Block:   781784  (7 minutes ago)
Current Pace:   105.9230%  (1593 / 1503.92 expected, 89.08 ahead)

Still more hashrate added than Riot has in total or what Mara is planning to deploy till the end of Q1, and that in just two weeks.
Weird that I don't see Bitmain asking already $10k for their XP, still on sale for $5k.




The first 75-150 block pattern is nuts.

We have had -20% to  +20% and while I am a believer in variance when the network has 330eh or 3.3 million s19's running  the variance swings just seem too big for the first 75-150 blocks.


Quote
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   781828  (a few seconds ago)

Current Pace:   105.3064%  (1637 / 1554.51 expected, 82.49 ahead)

Previous Difficulty:   43053844193928.45                            
Current Difficulty:   43551722213590.37                            
Next Difficulty:   between 45789422052947 and 45875780372920
Next Difficulty Change:   between +5.1380% and +5.3363%
Previous Retarget:   March 10, 2023 at 4:43 PM  (+1.1564%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Friday at 12:47 AM  (in 2d 11h 59m 1s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Friday at 1:23 AM  (in 2d 12h 34m 55s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 13d 7h 4m 8s and 13d 7h 40m 2s
Copy stats to clipboard


about 3 days to go  maybe 2 days and 20 hours

Maybe we drop to +4 or go up to +6

time will tell.

I added 2 s19's on thurs and may get 2 m50s from mikeywith.

we will be just under 3ph in 10 days or so.


Oh we are at 8.49 cents a th


so a 3kwatt 100 th machine earns $8.49 burns

10 cent $7.50                  99 cent profit    daily
  9 cent $6.75                 $1.74 profit daily
  8 cent $6.00                 $2.49 profit daily
  7 cent $5.25                 $3.24 profit daily
  6 cent $4.50                 $3.99 profit daily
  5 cent $3.75                 $4.74 profit daily
  4 cent $3.00.                $5.49 profit daily
  3 cent $2.25                 $6.24 profit daily



So 6 cent power looks pretty good at the moment
4888  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 20, 2023, 07:41:28 PM
Don't know what F these Californians have done over the years. Food used to be very cheap there from what I remember from my visit. You could literally live weeks off $100 and that was at restaurants.

Every hear of a drought?

You can only live so long without water and then you have to ship everything in.

Thats what happens when you allow special interests use your precious resources when they are not being renewed.

Even with all the flooding and snow cap building they are still in drought conditions.

That's how big a hole they dug for themselfs.

Literally Arizona is trying to ship in water from the colorado river to support new industrys that should never have been built in a desert to begin with.

The retarded decisions I see on a daily basis make me not give a flying fuck about anything or anyone any more.

Humankind is digging its own grave and I for one have given up giving a shit about it.

Every day I used (edit sp) to wake up angry all my kids died via miscarriages.

Now I am grateful I won't need to worry about them at all. I figure at 66 I may be lucky enough to simply die before it all falls apart.

No male in my family lived past 93  only 1 lived past 85. So a good chance I am under 20 years to go this means I may not see the

collapse.  If indeed that is what is going to happen.

4889  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 20, 2023, 05:57:19 PM
Found this image on Reddit, this really shows the thoughts of people who buy it when price has reached its at that moment highest potential.



So you are anti crypto and we are crashing correct?

So in under a month we are under 20k and sink to 10k eventually correct?




and JJG don't quote this and fuck with context.

As I am still buying BTC weekly and adding btc gear.








Oh still waiting to see fed's response to the bank crash.

I personally think they are so fucking stupid they will try to boost +0.50% to crash out inflation for sure.

4890  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 20, 2023, 02:41:27 PM
I am starting to lose hope that banks will collapse. Even if when fiat goes belly up, There will always be sheeple who need others to take responsibility for holding their money.



"For some reason those people think that if they lose their money, it's over. But if someone else loses all their money, they will pay them back someday, because they are "obligated". Roll Eyes"





you do realize that actually is kind of true.

Hey JJG +0.25% or +0.50%. what do you think?
4891  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 20, 2023, 02:10:42 AM
...

Central banks to boost flow of US dollars amid market unease
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-65010255

...



Feds to make move on March 21/22

The boldest move they can make is +0.50%

I personally think they simply will do 0.00% or +0.25%



If they go neg it shows a fail so they won't do neg.

Get your popcorn folks.
4892  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 19, 2023, 05:34:51 PM
Twenty-eight thousand.
Double that and we're in range
Of helicopters.

56k = helicopter

 I will buy that.

We added 2 more miners to the mine 200th more hash power.
4893  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 18, 2023, 11:19:53 PM
What happened to buddy? Wheres the hourly post? Buddy? BUDDY!?  *hyperventilating* Shocked

he got tired so he took a break.
4894  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 18, 2023, 11:01:03 PM
buddy
4895  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Mining (Altcoins) / Re: Grin Mining; Hosting Thread on: March 18, 2023, 10:56:47 PM
Been using the 3 I got from you in house I am over 4400 grin mined . They work well thanks again.
4896  Other / Meta / Re: OgNasty is hacked!! on: March 18, 2023, 10:53:29 PM
I will be changing mine in a month  or two or three.

It is ? characters long next one will be longer.


Hey what is max  character size I can do anyone know?
4897  Bitcoin / Mining speculation / Re: 2023 Diff thread now opened. on: March 18, 2023, 10:50:33 PM
but people turning off 10% of the world hash rate, while the price has gone up about 30% since the start of this diff change seems a rather wild guess as what is happening Smiley

This what I always thought, on the other hand, some people claim that this could be the case, something like what NFW mentioned and phill further explained it, and this patterns seem to be consistently repeating which is why I became interested in them, of course, we can always assume that it is just luck making average block time shorter in the first half/third of the epoch, but if it keeps happening on every epoch, the luck theory starts to lose it's weight against the former.

 Look it has to be to some degree.

I am 300 kwatts  of really good power deal.

and maybe another 500 kwatts of good power deal.

I know I want to be able to play with the 300 kwatts I am creating this ability as I buy gear.

My goal is to be able to flip-flop scrypt with sha 256 at will.


The 500 kwatt done the road build I will deal with when I get there.

I can't bet the only person creating this easy peasy arbitrage idea.
4898  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 18, 2023, 07:09:50 PM
Frankly if we go to 100k in may JJG will be right and I won’t be ready for uppity.

I believe that it is NOT very likely that we would be going up that fast.. but surely, you never really know.

Personally, I have my thoughts that it would be difficult to just go into "no man's land" without having some kind of a correction first, and I expect that "no man's land" is currently somewhere in the $55k to $92k price territory.. and sure perhaps the starting point for no man's territory could be a bit higher than $55k  - yet my point is that it seems that there are pretty decent odds for some kind of a decently and meaningful and perhaps somewhat time-consuming correction prior to getting into noman's land.

I hate for you not to be prepared.. and to be fucking around with various non-btc thingie-ma-jiggies... .. .. and yeah, of course, you have your reasons....

On the other hand, it may well be possible that we are just describing our various numbers including what is needed to be "prepared" differently, because if you have an investment portfolio that has a decent quantity in BTC.. even in the supra 25% levels (and you had already asserted that your BTC constitutes more than 60%, and I surely have my doubts given some of the other nonsense that you had been spouting), but whatever, various portfolio distributions (allocations) that are in the 25% plus territory should be sufficiently good for BTC prices to go up.. why does anyone need to have more?

On a personal level, I did suggest that my own BTC allocation is also more than 60% in BTC, which I had already admitted and outlined in the historical changes in allocations chart at the bottom of my June 2022 post, and surely each of us would be determining the extent to which we might be prepared for various changes in asset valuations (including the valuation of dee cornz compared with other assets that we might hold) based on aspects of our own history in terms of how we might have gotten to any allocation that we are "playing" and perhaps how much we might be tweaking around our various assets held in our investment portfolio rather than mostly just taking some positions and mostly just letting our positions and our approaches ride (perhaps within some kind of a systematic way of dealing with relative changes in values that might happen from time to time.. if we believe that the relative changes in values need to be addressed by some kind of change in our practices in some kind of an action-oriented way?  which I tend to limit the amount of my involvement.. but hey?  maybe I am doing this wrong?  hahahahaha).

As to being ready for uppity. We kid. But I would sell every digital coin I have if the 3 I hold all did all-time highs this may.

you know the 3 I hold.

BTC and bla/bla

I would say that dumping does not make me coinless or a no coiner as I would be still mining

BTC and Bla/Bla and I could hold them. Using the sales in fiat of current holds I would not have to sell any freshly mined coins for years to come.

But I am more of an outlier for this board due to mining the coins.

I am bringing the 2 s19 pros to the mine today.

amazingly prices is almost high enough for them to earn money in my house at 14 cent power - 3 for heat benefit

200th is $16 bucks a day earned

power is 150 x .11 = $16.50 a day

it is a big rally for mining.
4899  Bitcoin / Development & Technical Discussion / Re: Bitcoin developer James O’Beirne has proposed a new Bitcoin pruned node. on: March 18, 2023, 06:09:23 PM
synching is slow.

but used dell hp lenovo

tiny pcs abound on the cheap.

https://www.ebay.com/itm/Dell-7040-Micro-Tiny-PC-i5-6500T-Quad-Core-8G-Ram-256GB-SSD-Win10-Wifi/354260980620?

add a 1tb ssd
bump the ram.

run linux or windows.

200 maybe 250 and a quality node with a decent pc.

clone the drive and you are backed up.


When I read people that want a shitty rasp pi and a 1 tb hdd to do this it hurts.


I also recommend fast internet this is a big issue as 200 down with 30 up speed is not worldwide.
4900  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: Which Old Miners did You Like? on: March 18, 2023, 06:06:18 PM
I think;

The BEST Quality miners ever made = Spondoolies...

Bitmain s3
spondoolies sp10
avalon a4

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