So if it makes 100$ in 3 epochs with scenario one, it nets only 50$ in profit
in Scenario 2, technically, it makes only 95$ but pays 12.5% less power so only 43.75 for the power which is 51.25$ net profit
50$ vs 51.25$ is 2.43% more profit by playing the diff game.
But, this also must include the fact that available gear stays idle or you bust continuously the power of your farm. Of course, yours it's just an example and it doesn't mean they are doing the same numbers but
- in scenario A you have 10,20,20, so you must raise double the hash power every 1 and a half months to keep the game going
- in scenario B you have 10,(10-20), and (20-5), so you both raise the hash power and also idle 18% of it for the other month.
Of course, if you have a ton of unsold gear just waiting in the warehouse and which you could sell as new for just 10% discount after you trash it for a few months it's not a problem, but what if you don't and you have way cheaper power that was already paid in? I find the scenario a bit unbelievable, even though one might see a really fishy pattern in the block time in the first days of the adjustment.
Meanwhile
Latest Block: 781784 (7 minutes ago)
Current Pace: 105.9230% (1593 / 1503.92 expected, 89.08 ahead)
Still more hashrate added than Riot has in total or what Mara is planning to deploy till the end of Q1, and that in just two weeks.
Weird that I don't see Bitmain asking already $10k for their XP, still on sale for $5k.
The first 75-150 block pattern is nuts.
We have had -20% to +20% and while I am a believer in variance when the network has 330eh or 3.3 million s19's running the variance swings just seem too big for the first 75-150 blocks.
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimatorLatest Block: 781828 (a few seconds ago)
Current Pace: 105.3064% (1637 / 1554.51 expected, 82.49 ahead)Previous Difficulty: 43053844193928.45
Current Difficulty: 43551722213590.37
Next Difficulty: between 45789422052947 and 45875780372920
Next Difficulty Change: between +5.1380% and +5.3363%
Previous Retarget: March 10, 2023 at 4:43 PM (+1.1564%)
Next Retarget (earliest): Friday at 12:47 AM (in 2d 11h 59m 1s)
Next Retarget (latest): Friday at 1:23 AM (in 2d 12h 34m 55s)
Projected Epoch Length: between 13d 7h 4m 8s and 13d 7h 40m 2s
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about 3 days to go maybe 2 days and 20 hours
Maybe we drop to +4 or go up to +6
time will tell.
I added 2 s19's on thurs and may get 2 m50s from mikeywith.
we will be just under 3ph in 10 days or so.
Oh we are at 8.49 cents a th
so a 3kwatt 100 th machine earns $8.49 burns
10 cent $7.50 99 cent profit daily
9 cent $6.75 $1.74 profit daily
8 cent $6.00 $2.49 profit daily
7 cent $5.25 $3.24 profit daily
6 cent $4.50 $3.99 profit daily
5 cent $3.75 $4.74 profit daily
4 cent $3.00. $5.49 profit daily
3 cent $2.25 $6.24 profit daily
So 6 cent power looks pretty good at the moment