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5041  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Euro 2016 on: June 12, 2016, 06:08:47 PM
Germany play poorly in a friendly match, if today they played very well, I will pick Germany my favorit as champions.
Germany is opposite of England, which England played well in friendly match, but sucks in official tournament. In the other side, even though Germany didn't play good in friendly match, but they are superior in group stage of every tournament, and usually they at least could reach semi final. So, Germany still is the most favorite team in Euro 2016 Smiley
because germany is the last champion of the world cup, I'm sure they have a good mental. so true what you said, germany will always be a favorite. germany, france and spain will be in semifinals sure with it.
So do I, those three teams have good chance to reach semifinal, but I'm bit doubt about Spain. Their last performance in World Cup could be a sign that their era has been ended, but surely I hope not. It will be determined in their first match against Czech Rep.
5042  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Copa america 2016 dicussion on: June 12, 2016, 05:59:35 PM
My predictions for tonight matches
Brazil vs Peru
- Brazil win
- Over 2.5 goals
- Both team to score
It will be tougher match for Brazil than their first game against Haiti, but I think Brazil still can win and even I guess they could score at least 2 goals

Ecuador vs Haiti
- Ecuador win
- Over 2.5 goals
Based on bad performance by Haiti in first match, Ecuador will win imo.

Total Odds : 2.46

I will try to take both into a parlay, I see it's pretty safe Smiley

Although it seems as a good prediction, it still doenst guarantee those prediction are really safe, especially in Brazil vs Peru match. I was wrong when I predicted Colombia would beat Costa Rica, but in fact Costa Rica won.
Edit: Anyway good luck Smiley
5043  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Just another example of Martingale lose on: June 12, 2016, 05:56:02 PM
This actually happens all the time. I have seen people betting like 0.00000100 sats on martingale and they end up losing like 2-3 BTC because they hit huge losing streaks. Its very dangerous.
With that amount of his bet and how much he lose, then I guess the problem is he took high multiplier, maybe over 2.0, so thats why he hit big losing streaks. Like I said before, martingale isnt suitable for bet on high multiplier and those who dont have enough balance to cover it.

No matter how much is the multiplier, martingale is still martingale that may give you such losing streaks. With that amount above, someone may lose 3btc in 26 losing streaks with 2x multiplier and 100% increase on lose.
The same if you choose lower multiplier, because when someone choose low multiplier and do martingale he will increase more than 100% on lose.
Overall, martingale is not suitable for any multipliers if you ask me.
Sorry I want to correct my post, 2x multiplier is still safe for martingale, I haven't seen many losing streaks over than 10 in a row, so with .000001BTC, if you lose 10times in a row, you still lost at least 1mBTC. Then I realized that guy who lost 2-3BTC made multiplier higher than 10.
5044  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Soccer Transfer Market 2016/2017 ! on: June 12, 2016, 05:48:47 PM
Modric = Premier League title for MU? Oh come on buddy, football is not only one player game, is it?hehe. MU needs more than just Modric if they want to compete with other teams for the next season's title.
Indeed they need a good playmaker but it is not the only problem on MU last year. They need to improve all sides except the goalkeeper.
I'm not a Man United fan, but I watched almost every match of them in few last seasons. The biggest problem for Man United is midfielder imo, and thats why they forced Rooney to get the role. We know that Rooney is one of Man United top scorers, but now with his new role, its hard for him to score a goal. Carrick is good, but he can't handle all of midfield area, since he has been old and no one as good as him, even Schweini and Schneiderlin can't be better than him. So based on that, if Man United could sign midfielder as good as Modric, then winning Premier League isnt a delusional thing.

Rooney got too much confidence from Van Gaal. Van Gaal though he would outperform and be a leader for the team. And he was wrong Rooney did not deliver in any front, nor would other players Man United come forward. It was this naieve thing that cost Van Gaal it's job.
Rooney has spent much time in defending, you could see how he got many yellow cards because stopping the counter attack by opponent. So thats why Man United have to seek a good player who very suitable with this position. Matic is a good option, but I dont think Chelsea will let him go easily.
5045  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread (EPL) on: June 12, 2016, 05:43:19 PM
One big reason why EPL teams have a hard time getting to the semi finals in the CL is because their league games are already very tough.  Their cup games are also tough towards the end.  Top clubs from La Liga, Bundesliga, Ligue 1 and Serie A find it easier to get to the semis because they're leagues are so damn easy and relaxing for them.

Edit:  And on the topic of Falcao...  During 2014 (the same time he was with United) he appeared for Colombia only 3 times and scored only 1 goal.

I dont think the tough competition could be a reason why they played bad in European tournament, there was Sevilla as a not big team in Spain and struggling in La Liga, could won Europa League, even 3 times in a row. Sir Alex has proven that Man United could went to UCL final few times with tough competition in Premier League. So, I dont think the tough competition as the problem why Premier League team bad in UCL.

While he was a Man United player in 2014/15 season, if I'm not mistaken he has made 5 goals, even he broke the record of Arnoldo Iguarán and became the all time Colombian top scorer. Unfortunately he played bad in Copa America and his position replaced to Jackson Martinez.
5046  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Euro 2016 on: June 12, 2016, 03:51:56 PM
got lucky just betted on over 0.5 goal for turkey vs croatia match on odd 3.2 and saw that croatia made goal at 42' min and i won the bet. now i had my next bet under 2.5 goal think now croatia will try to defend it in next half so that they can win this match.

Which site had you bet on Over 0.5 at 3.2 odds ? All I was getting for over 0.5 was 1.07x before the match begin.

I think he have live bet over 0.5 goal in the first half. Next match is Poland vs N.Ireland, Poland is the favourite on this match, the odds is quite low though. i pick over 2.5 goals.
Even though it still first half, I think it still risky for the house to make the odds so high like that. It remains over 45 mins, so anything still can happen. It's only possible for house to make that high odds if the match has been injury time with 0-0 score.
5047  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread (EPL) on: June 12, 2016, 03:46:40 PM
I disagree.  Falcao had a knee problem when Monaco loaned him to Man United.  Also, sure the top teams in La Liga sometimes lose to lower tier teams, but at the end of the season, Barca and Real are way above in points compared to the rest.  In the EPL the top 4 are closer together in points.  Even the top 4 - 6 spots are worth fighting for because the league is so tough.
Yeah he was being injured at that moment, but after he recovered, he played well with Colombia and scored many goals while he didnt make good performance in Man United. So based on that, we should know that he wasnt suitable with LvG, even van Persie leaved Man United because he couldn't made many goals. Yeah with tough competition, it should make Premier League team play well too in European tournament, but in fact they don't, even Bayern Munchen and PSG from other leagues are better.
5048  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Euro 2016 on: June 12, 2016, 03:37:50 PM
Germany play poorly in a friendly match, if today they played very well, I will pick Germany my favorit as champions.
Germany is opposite of England, which England played well in friendly match, but sucks in official tournament. In the other side, even though Germany didn't play good in friendly match, but they are superior in group stage of every tournament, and usually they at least could reach semi final. So, Germany still is the most favorite team in Euro 2016 Smiley
5049  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Copa america 2016 dicussion on: June 12, 2016, 03:30:02 PM
My predictions for tonight matches
Brazil vs Peru
- Brazil win
- Over 2.5 goals
- Both team to score
It will be tougher match for Brazil than their first game against Haiti, but I think Brazil still can win and even I guess they could score at least 2 goals

Ecuador vs Haiti
- Ecuador win
- Over 2.5 goals
Based on bad performance by Haiti in first match, Ecuador will win imo.
5050  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling crying thread on: June 12, 2016, 03:17:17 PM
I think we do not deserve to cry over the loss in gambling, if you are willing to take risks to bet, you should be able to accept defeat without feeling sad
Yeah I agree, except for those who using their whole salary into gambling. Sometimes I also feel regret with my losing, but no need to cry it since it just a small part of my money and I still can afford it.
5051  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Just another example of Martingale lose on: June 12, 2016, 03:09:05 PM
This actually happens all the time. I have seen people betting like 0.00000100 sats on martingale and they end up losing like 2-3 BTC because they hit huge losing streaks. Its very dangerous.
With that amount of his bet and how much he lose, then I guess the problem is he took high multiplier, maybe over 2.0, so thats why he hit big losing streaks. Like I said before, martingale isnt suitable for bet on high multiplier and those who dont have enough balance to cover it.
5052  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Soccer Transfer Market 2016/2017 ! on: June 12, 2016, 03:03:29 PM
Modric = Premier League title for MU? Oh come on buddy, football is not only one player game, is it?hehe. MU needs more than just Modric if they want to compete with other teams for the next season's title.
Indeed they need a good playmaker but it is not the only problem on MU last year. They need to improve all sides except the goalkeeper.
I'm not a Man United fan, but I watched almost every match of them in few last seasons. The biggest problem for Man United is midfielder imo, and thats why they forced Rooney to get the role. We know that Rooney is one of Man United top scorers, but now with his new role, its hard for him to score a goal. Carrick is good, but he can't handle all of midfield area, since he has been old and no one as good as him, even Schweini and Schneiderlin can't be better than him. So based on that, if Man United could sign midfielder as good as Modric, then winning Premier League isnt a delusional thing.
5053  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread (EPL) on: June 12, 2016, 02:53:38 PM
That's true.  There are players from La Liga that did well when they switched to the EPL.  But that doesn't mean that the EPL isn't tougher than La Liga.  The EPL is the toughest league in Europe, especially this coming season where there are more good managers at good clubs.  In La Liga, there only two clubs fighting for  trophy, well now 3 with the recent emergence of Atletico.  But historically, in La Liga there's only Barca and Real.

In the EPL on the other hand, big clubs like Man United or Chelsea can lose on any given match vs smaller clubs like Stoke or Southampton.  The league is really unpredictable, especially now that Tottenham and Liverpool are showing signs that they want to be in that top 4 too.  Also Leicester showed us that anything is possible in the EPL.

As for Falcao and Di Maria.  Falcao had a bum knee, I don't know why LVG signed him on loan.  That was a stupid move.  As for Di Maria, he just flopped.  You can say that he didn't gel well with the team, or maybe LVG just didn't use him strategically well enough.  But bottom line, and using the matches he played as evidence, he obviously didn't adjust well in the EPL.  I'm not saying this happens with all La Liga players, but it happens to many of them.  The defense in the EPL are bigger, tougher, pacier and more physical than what they're used to in La Liga.
Premier League has many good managers every year, not only next season, so no need to be surprised for that. And yeah, Premier League is tougher than La Liga, I admit it Smiley But they should perform well in European tournament to prove that they are the best.
Not only in Premier League, but also big teams in La Liga got lose by mediocre team, we could see how bad Real Madrid playing in the early of season and Barca's struggling in the end of season.
Actually Falcao was being on his top performance when LvG signed him, thats why Man United fans celebrated that signing and assumed that Man United would win Premier League. They became more sure when Man United succeed brought Di Maria. Unfortunately the ending was not good. Yeah maybe Premier League has good defense, but La Liga has speed and skill.
5054  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Euro 2016 on: June 11, 2016, 08:29:37 AM
England vs Russia, i think both teams to score should be nice choice to place bet on this match, odds @2.22 looking very nice and i will go with both teams to score as this game has very potential to go over 2.5 goals easily.
I'm not sure Russia can make any goal in this match, thats why the odds is pretty high. And England is known as a team that always struggling in Group Phase in every competition, so I guess the score will be 0-0 or 1-0.
5055  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Copa america 2016 dicussion on: June 11, 2016, 08:24:28 AM
I think Colombia @1.62 has pretty good chance to win this match, at the moment it looking unstoppable because it is competitor Costa Rica is on bad streak and looking very bad there, i am pretty sure about ML it will be nice choice for sure.
Colombia is one of the best Latin America's teams, so yeah I'm very sure they can beat Costa Rica easily. Even I guess they will win in first half, and James will scored. And the odds sounds pretty high for a team as good as Colombia, I think thats a good chance to bet on them.
5056  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling crying thread on: June 11, 2016, 08:20:55 AM
When I saw this thread I laughed lol. Anyways, currently my negative profit on a dice game is 0.1 so far, every time I see this negative profit, I really really want to get it back,  but every time I gamble to get it back, I keep on losing and that is the worst. I really don't know why, is it time for me to stop gambling? Or continue gambling? I wasted a 0.1 btc. I want to get it back. Undecided
Its time for you to stop thinking that you can get it back, or you wont get any profit from gambling. If you still force your luck to just get it back, your loss will be higher than 0.1 btc. I'm sure you have won few times, but you let greedines drove you so you didnt stop until you get profit more than your loss, thats why in the end you keep losing.
5057  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Just another example of Martingale lose on: June 11, 2016, 08:13:24 AM
That would be more risky IMO. Your betting big amount in exchange for small amount. Would be better if he bet on a higher multiplier like 2.5x or 3x with big amount.
Martingale is not really safe for higher multiplier imo, it could make the risk become bigger and you will lost much more money. Also, with higher multiplier you have to prepare pretty high amount balance to cover it, or lowering your bet.
5058  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Copa america 2016 dicussion on: June 11, 2016, 06:28:41 AM
Argentina will win for sure against Panama, I guess it will be over 3.5 goals

Like I said before, Panama isnt a suitable team for Argentina, so it was an easy winning for Argentina. But Higuain hasn't scored any goal yet, I guess he would be replaced with Aguero in next match.
5059  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Gambling crying thread on: June 11, 2016, 05:42:40 AM
I have lost 100$ worth of bitcoin in dice even with only two possible outcomes loss in dice is so much. Even with small bets i lost 100$ within 3 hours at midnight time. Angry Embarrassed
I got this loss few month back.
Playing dice for 3 hours sounds too long for me. In dice game, everything can happen even in just 5 mins. And with small bets, you should realized your lose and didn't continue your bet after you have lost around 50$.

You get reeled in because of the emotions. You get tempted to "win back" what you have lost, and that often worsens the circumstances.
With small bet and after lost around 50$, you should know its hard to recover your loss again, and the only way is you should bet with higher amount. But if you still using small bets to recover it, then I can say it can't be happened easily.
5060  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Just another example of Martingale lose on: June 11, 2016, 05:37:59 AM
This is not a problem too much. but if I were in his position, I would probably do the same thing when using the martingale. but honestly, it was a bad day and was not lucky.
Its a common thing when you using martingale for your bet, which you have prepared enough balance to cover it. If you will do the same, then you also will face the same result. Even though lucky is an absolute thing in gambling, you should know other ways to reduce its risk.
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