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5101  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 07, 2018, 10:19:47 PM
It would be interesting to see whether the Bulgarian BTC have made their way to an exchange.   Very tempting honey pot for a politician. 
5102  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 07, 2018, 10:17:42 PM
I recall a couple of months ago that you expected that you would not do any more  buying below $6k... but then BTC's price performance changed, which caused you to buy some more BTC below $6k (that is what you said), but if you really expect prices to go down to $3,800-ish, then did you prepare by selling some BTC or are you just sticking with a buy on the way down plan?

Good memory.  No, nothing has changed.  I am done trading between $6k and $10k because any trade would make me objectively worse off according to my models.  I can’t sell any because I need all of my current holdings to hedge against a sudden upside move (eg a retail ETF somehow magically gets approved).  

I also can’t buy any because I have gone bearish and am expecting a long grind to 2020.  I bought a small amount when we went sub $6k but it wasn’t deep enough or long enough for me to really engage.

Basically I don’t pretend to know which way the price is going to go but am assuming a long haul and have a plan either way.
5103  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 07, 2018, 10:14:34 AM
The Bitcoin Quiz:

https://hodlhodl.com/quiz_questions

Dammit 29/30.  I object to the wording of the change question !
5104  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 07, 2018, 06:47:39 AM
Its well known that Roger had tens of thousands of bitcoin tied up in Mt Gox (at the least).  He might even have been their biggest customer.

Its hardly surprising he would want to help Mark out.   
5105  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 07, 2018, 06:15:41 AM
Lol that article is full of so many falsehoods and outright lies I don't even know where to begin.

"SegWit means users can prove custody of their coins, but not chain of custody."  Hah like Segwit means the coins aren't on a blockchain?
5106  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 07, 2018, 04:40:13 AM
Current hard floor ~ $3800.



The current price ~$6595 will be the hard floor by 31 December 2018



Hard floor to be over $19k by 31 December 2020



However, previous hard floor was broken during 2014 cryptowinter in late December 2014.  



Hard floor was at $263 when broken.  Best buying was had at $152 about two weeks after breaking the hard floor, marking the absolute bottom of the cryptowinter, being 43% below 'hard floor'.   If hard floor were broken very soon, eg at $5,000, that would make a possible one-off spike as low as $2880 but really no more, which would mark the bottom of this winter on the march towards the 2020 halvening.  

More realistic is that the price will hover around its current level and break downwards through the hard floor in late December 2018.  That would put the absolute bottom of the cryptowinter on a spike downwards to ~$3,800 in January 2019.  

The price would then spend 2019 hovering in the $4k - $7k range, before breaking decisively upwards early in 2020.  
5107  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 07, 2018, 02:28:15 AM
They don’t call it the World Series for nothing
5108  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 06, 2018, 01:37:30 PM



If we are going to have chem trails, at least let them be fabulous. 
5109  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 05, 2018, 12:39:00 PM
Looks like the claim that nobody got fired for hiring IBM is about to be tested
5110  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 05, 2018, 10:17:36 AM

Is he saying use a legacy address just in case?

Nothing to do with segwit v legacy.  He's just saying that the Lightning scaling solution is completely off-chain so its development doesn't risk the main chain.
5111  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 05, 2018, 07:13:37 AM
5112  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 05, 2018, 03:59:55 AM
Here you can have this one

5113  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 04, 2018, 10:18:57 PM
5114  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 04, 2018, 12:01:25 PM
Yeah just like Milo was trolling people to shoot up the Fake News media and then the five Capital Gazette journalists were killed the next day.   Hahahaha that event triggered the stupid liberal cucks.  What an epic troll.  
5115  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 04, 2018, 09:33:02 AM
5116  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 04, 2018, 08:35:49 AM
We are all Bob on this blessed day
5117  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 04, 2018, 08:10:07 AM
5118  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 04, 2018, 04:32:14 AM
All I have to offer right now are these non-spendable, limitless merit tokens.




Trade you some highly liquid Koala assets?


5119  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 03, 2018, 11:06:29 PM
I think it is in everyone’s interest to accept that Satoshi died with Hal Finney.
5120  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: July 03, 2018, 09:11:42 PM
SEC Proposes New Approval Process for Certain Exchange-Traded Funds

https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2018-118

What do these new rules imply? I couldn't make much sense of that terse communication.

It means you don’t need SEC approval to launch an ETF so long as your ETF meets certain conditions.

It’s not clear to me from the statement whether an Bitcoin ETF could meet the conditions.  I don’t need to explain the consequences.
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