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5301  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ Southampton + Arsenal + SPFC ⚽ (Saturday + Sunday) on: April 14, 2023, 11:33:15 AM
Game 1:  44, 28'
Game 2:  44, 33'
Game 3:  44, 69'
5302  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: April 14, 2023, 10:07:06 AM
Getafe is an easy opponent for barcelona. Bookies were just giving

barcelona 1.62

getafe 6.00

Barcelona will be playing away against getafe. The problem is barcelona may not able to perform without some important players. Gavi may still be able to play with number 30. barcelona was not able to win in the last two matches but xavi is lucky enough caused by real madrid was also getting bad results in la liga. The gap still remain the same at this moment.

In another match, real madrid will be also facing cadiz. Real madrid may face the same difficulty when it will be facing cadiz. The performance of real madrid is hard to predict caused by it's always going up and down but it seems like that taking the safe bet (barcelona and real madrid) is a wise decision a this moment. The chance to win is even bigger.

Real madrid was getting 1.57

Cadiz 5.8

I also think that these choices are correct. I even consider betting on both games with a -1 goal handicap. Barcelona should not lose points for the third game in a row, and Real is in a good mood and, in fact, the result is not important to them, which means they will play "for their pleasure" (and if Ancelotti rotates the squad, the players will try to prove themselves). The combination of these factors should lead to an easy win with a solid goal advantage.
5303  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | Champions League Pool ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: April 14, 2023, 10:02:51 AM
Bayern can't win 3-0, that's a fact. When was the last time City conceded 3 goals? To very very good teams.

Bayern is not that good Smiley
~

But if Newcastle was not in the best shape and managed to score 3 goals (if I remember correctly that game ended with a score of 3-3), then why can't Bayern do it?  Roll Eyes Although, seriously speaking, a reciprocal victory with a dry score looks like fantasy, so there is no chance. Bookmakers are ready to make x21 to your bet if Bayern still wins and advances.

To Qualify

Bayern Munich 21.00

But I'm not sure if that's a good deal. It seems to me that the benefit should start from the figure of 45-50 no less.
5304  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A Thought On Gambling Strategies on: April 14, 2023, 09:57:09 AM
Yes, if you take a large number of bets (distance), then the result will always be equal to the casino margin. Even if we put two players at roulette, for example, and one will have the task of winning as much as possible, and the other, on the contrary, will have to lose as quickly as possible, then if they have an adequate limit on the size of the bet (so that they cannot go all-in), then at the end they end up with roughly the same result. It may even turn out that the one who wanted to lose will have a better balance than the one who tried to win.
I used to use this strategy with my friends in live roulette or roulette in my city. my friend is in charge of putting up to lose and me to win so that the results are certain and still get a profit by calculating all the bets.
but unfortunately this strategy will still lose to the dealer when one day the ball stops at a number that I didn't choose and my friend didn't choose either.

any strategy in the real casino is still based on luck alone and you have to be brave to take risks.

No offense, but it was a very stupid strategy - didn't you know that if you bet on every number that is in roulette (including zero) you would still lose? The payout amount will always be less than the bet amount (by about 3%, depending on how many zeros are in the roulette). In some cases, this may make sense (using bonuses or increasing the wager in order to receive a bonus), but this may be against the rules of the casino.
5305  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: April 14, 2023, 09:50:50 AM
I'm not sure Chelsea will be able to turn things around in the second leg later, Real Madrid is a team that is strong enough to focus on the Champions League. Nothing special was done by Lampard in the first leg. Chelsea will be an easy opponent for Real Madrid if Chelsea game like the first leg will provide a great opportunity for Real Madrid to steal victory at Stamford Bridge.

On the other hand, I believe that Real Madrid are already in one place in the semifinals because a 0-2 advantage would mean a lot to them and it would be difficult for Chelsea to do the same.

Manchester city also has a place in the semifinals as a 3-0 win convinced me to say that.

Chelsea's problem is that now they have to concentrate on the game against Brighton. Brighton are strong this season + they have a huge motivation to score points as they are in the European Cup zone and clearly do not want to leave it. Chelsea can't afford to lose or draw this home game as it will make another bottom break. Therefore, despite the fact that in the tournament sense this game is not important, Chelsea must play it to the maximum. And after that, they will play with Real Madrid, which already have a two-goal lead.
5306  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: April 14, 2023, 09:42:29 AM
Yes, I think it is one of the mistakes that Erik Ten Hag should not make. He looks very confident when United are 2-0 lead, this 1st leg should be played at Old Trafford must be completely put to good use, if they are able to score as many goals as possible to secure the place to the semifinals. In addition, I also saw that the change of several key players because Erik wanted to save the energy of his players to return to focus on the Premier League. But his decision was very careless that made a big loss against his own team.

Although the status is superior but the steps of the Red Devils will be even heavier even though the opportunity is still open.

Ten Hag doesn't have that much choice because United have a tight schedule and he has to do some sort of rotation even at the expense of results. In general, yesterday's game did not change the balance of power in this pair much, and bookmakers evaluate the return game as follows:

3.85 - 3.45 - 2.02

The final result is estimated like this:

To Qualify

Sevilla FC 2.50

Manchester United FC 1.50

Sevilla will try to fight but I think United should win. I must say that I have a great desire to bet on a simple victory in this game. +102% against an obviously weaker opponent looks attractive.
5307  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 13, 2023, 08:45:09 PM
At this time Lens is right below PSG in the standings while second in Ligue1 and yes PSG must be able to win the game this weekend so that the gap in points can continue to be created even though PSG can still be at the top of the standings if they lose this weekend's game. However, PSG must be able to try to win at home in this match besides having to get full points in the match because Lens is not far behind PSG in the standings.

Despite the fact that PSG is a miserable swamp and players are having a hard time forcing themselves to play in Ligue 1 (dreaming of bigger tournaments), I find odds for the upcoming game attractive:

1.69 - 4.30 - 4.80

It seems to me that PSG will be able to find some motivation in themselves, because after all, formally, this is a game of two leaders. In this variant, plus the game at home, PSG should confidently win, I think with an advantage of at least a couple of goals.
5308  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: April 13, 2023, 08:39:03 PM
Marcel Sabitzer just had an incredible performance just few minutes into the first half, he got 2 goals that gave Manchester united the lead in the first half of the game. Sevilla performance in this game is so poor and not playing up to expectation. Usually Sevilla used to be the king in Europa league and have had the most winnings in their previous encounters with Manchester United, But this time around Man United has shown super strength in the game.

When Casemiro is on the field, even Zabitzer easily makes a double. I continue to think that Rashford is overrated (at least his successes, since the prerequisites for these successes largely do not depend on him).
Roma lost minimally to Feenoord (and I was close in my anticipation of a draw), but I think Mourinho is not too upset because at home Roma will be able to at least bounce back.
The main sensation is brewing in the game Bayer - Union, where Union leads away 1-0 and there are 15 minutes left to play.
5309  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: April 13, 2023, 08:31:46 PM
I don't know what's the reason behind why Qatar wanted to host World Cup because it's probably not the money they are after because they are already petrol nation which economic doesn't need some more boost as with or without World Cup, their nation is already rich enough. And I doubt if they after the tourist because from my perspective, they aren't much of a tourist friendly nation.

When you have endless money, then you want something intangible like fame, world recognition, etc. Otherwise, why are these sheikhs competing in crazy projects (including buying up European football clubs)? It was something from the same area. It's not economics, it's closer to politics where rational considerations don't work.
5310  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2022/23 Season on: April 13, 2023, 05:00:38 PM
Maybe yes, maybe no. Since rashford will not play against sevilla and so many dubious questions were appearing. Sevilla will be playing away and it will become a disadvantage for sevilla but remember that how big the impact that already made by rashford. It's even bigger than weghorst as united's striker. I can't even expect a lot of goals to happen without rashford. Weghorst is a very bad striker. Rashford can even become a better striker rather than weghorst. This is bad to see that MU will be playing without one of its best player this time.

Martial will be replacing rashford as rashford was absence due injury. The question is whether martial will be able replacing rashford's role? Sevilla may be able to force the result to be drawn. As far as can see if martial is not as good as rashford. Martial's stat is far below compared with rashford. This is one of the reasons why MU fans are feeling worry.

Rashford is good to have Casemiro on the field (today he is because his suspension does not apply to the Europa League) so I don't think United will have problems in attack.
From what is happening right now, it seems to me that the following choice is beneficial:

Draw or AS Roma 1.50

It seems to me that the game will most likely end 0-0, but betting on the exact score is not always the best choice.
5311  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2022/23 Season on: April 13, 2023, 04:54:26 PM
Chelsea gave it their all in the match, but it wasn't enough to earn them a victory over Real Madrid. When playing against a team like Madrid, you don't want them to get too comfortable with the ball and have a lot of possession; if they do, they can easily break through your defense and win..

Chelsea will try their best to do a come back in the second leg of the game but that won’t be easy for them even though they’ll be playing in Stamford Bridge in the second leg. Most champions league games by Madrid in the knockout stage does not necessarily give them disadvantage even when they play outside their stadium. They could still get a win at Stamford Bridge again.

Now Chelsea's victory in the return game is estimated at about 35%, but as you understand, just winning will not be enough. To survive and go into extra time, Chelsea need to win by two goals. Overall, Chelsea's chances are clearly low:

To Qualify

Chelsea FC 9.60

Real Madrid 1.07

But I must say that 1.07 looks like too small odds even to include this outcome in multibets.
5312  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [CHESS] FIDE Candidates Chess Tournament 2022 on: April 13, 2023, 04:46:03 PM
Match for the title of world champion - 2023. Fourth game:

Ding Liren 1:0 Ian Nepomniachtchi

An unexpected victory for Liren which equalizes the position of both players. We can say that everything was decided by Nepomniachtchi's single mistake, but that doesn't matter anymore. Nepomniachtchi is very lucky that tomorrow is a day off and there will be no game - he is famous for his emotional instability and I would not be surprised if, after one lost game, he lost the second. Now he has time to recover.
5313  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A Thought On Gambling Strategies on: April 13, 2023, 04:40:27 PM
There is a strategy but I think what you are trying to say is there are no strategies that can work 100% in gambling but if it can increase our winning chance by some percent then why not make use of it? There are different types of strategies and maybe there are some who are useless because the game fully depends on luck.

When I am playing those types of games, I don't usually apply a strategy because I think the result will still be the same. I will only waste my time and it can cause some disappointment if I lose while I'm using a strategy. To play for fun or profit, indeed that we must only spend money that we can afford to lose so that things are not going to be hard later on.

Yes, if you take a large number of bets (distance), then the result will always be equal to the casino margin. Even if we put two players at roulette, for example, and one will have the task of winning as much as possible, and the other, on the contrary, will have to lose as quickly as possible, then if they have an adequate limit on the size of the bet (so that they cannot go all-in), then at the end they end up with roughly the same result. It may even turn out that the one who wanted to lose will have a better balance than the one who tried to win.
5314  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: April 13, 2023, 04:33:12 PM
If I remember correctly, the bookmakers rate Sevilla's odds of winning the Europa League as about 1 in 12 (which, by the way, is very generous in my opinion). Interestingly, odds of Sevilla to leave La Liga are almost identical - 11. Thus, the chances that these two events will coincide are approximately equal to 11x12 = 132, that is, if converted into percentages, then this will be a probability of 0.7%. You have little chance of seeing such a funny event.
Even though last season it happened to Frankfurt which was indeed surprising by succeeding in becoming a champion but indeed for Sevilla now it is really very difficult and it is clear that the possibility is small.
btw thanks for calculating their probabilities but even if they don't count it's all pretty clear Cheesy

Indeed, all possibilities can still happen, but for Sevilla, with their current condition, which is quite apprehensive and with the condition of their internal problems, which are always changing, it is clearly becoming more difficult, one cannot even imagine it.

I think already today odds of Sevilla to win the Europa League turn into something like 1 to 30 or even worse. Quotes for today's game are as follows:

1.35 - 5.40 - 9.40

It turns out that most likely United will win with a score of 2-0 or 3-1, something like that. This will leave some chances for Sevilla in the second leg but not many. Today Casemiro is in the squad and United will dominate in midfield - no matter who the striker is (Rashford is out) he will have plenty of opportunities.
5315  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Odds, units advantage | Sportsbook | +87282 units on: April 13, 2023, 04:22:42 PM
Pretty cool that I avoided betting on Champions League so far (for this thread anyway, heh), as favourites have generally smacked down.

But I cannot possibly ignore Sevilla, kings of Europa, can I? Rashford out injured is a blow, and he was honestly the only thing holding that team together. Only problem is Sevilla are at the lowest they've been for a while. So.

100 units at Sportsbet on Sevilla to WIN vs United @9.36. Other odds: 8.80
Units advantage: 56
Bet ID: 6437fd71edad45000164fc1a

Running advantage after 49 bets: +4505 (+56)
All-time cumulative: +87,585
Running units after 48 bets (8W|40L): +2628 (-200)

I don't think Rashford means anything without Casemiro (who's playing today), so it's a very dangerous bet  Wink
In general, I have a desire to bet on United, since Sevilla annoys me a little - the bookmakers rate it quite solidly, although it crawls along the bottom in La Liga. But United have a grueling schedule, so they can really unpleasantly surprise you at any given moment.
5316  Local / Майнеры / Re: Донеси на майнера в РФ on: April 13, 2023, 03:17:35 PM
Выходит, что, прежде всего, суд что угодно может квалифицировать как имущественный ущерб = воровство. Хоть в носу ковыряйтесь, сидя на диване, но можете в тюрячку как вор загреметь - ведь могли бы делать что-нибудь, потреблять ЭЭ - и приносить прибыль энергетикам. Ну а раз не приносили значит нанесли "Имущественный ущерб включая упущенную выгоду (неполученные доходы)"  Grin
Ну а если потребляли то тут тем более 100% воровство, даже нет смысла обосновывать.
ну это уже передергивание. в любом случае упущенную выгоду надо обосновывать. то, что я кондиционер не включаю летом, а зимой обогреватель - на упущенную выгоду в вашей трактовке тянет, а по факту не помню таких громких дел.

Ну понятно что я утрирую, но и мое мнение о папуасиях вы знаете. Тут все термины вроде "воровство", "налоги" лишены практического смысла (по краней мере сильно отличаются от этих терминов в условиях цивилизованных стран) так что даже если вы бы захотели платить налоги в рфии, то вы бы не смогли этого сделать так как здесь их нет. Оброк/дань/и т.д., но не налоги.
5317  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 🦊 Betnomi.com | Champions League Pool ⚽️ Discussion Thread on: April 13, 2023, 03:12:52 PM
Yes, my team is definitely winning a trophy this season, and it's not just about a rival fan bants like it is with everyone else, it's just me done making excuses for them while losing more on they dumb asses.

I'm not speaking from a point of rival or an hater, but from someone who had high expectations of the club at the beginning of the season, but have lost quite some unnecessary stake on them week in week out, when the stakes are tempting.

When I look at Chelsea results I always think "it can't get any worse", but it turns out it can (good thing I'm not greedy enough to bet on Chelsea expecting good times to come). As a Real Madrid fan, I hope Chelsea win against Brighton (preferably by a big score) because at the moment it looks like Chelsea are "stockpiling goals" to surprise  Cheesy I don't want a surprise in the Chelsea - Real game.
5318  Other / Archival / Re: Таблица Подписных Кампаний за Bitcoin on: April 13, 2023, 11:16:52 AM
Покрасил представителя казино и предлагаю всем поддержать флаг в их отношении https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=trust;u=3502111;page=iflags

Понятное дело после такой херни подписуха возобновлена не будет. Репутация зарабатывается долго, а теряется за одну минуту.
Отсюда все больше вопросов к Royse777 - зачем оправдывать очевидных скамеров (если можно как минимум стоять в сторонке "этот вопрос не в моей компетенции я баунтименеджер")?
5319  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2022/23 on: April 12, 2023, 05:43:05 PM
Can you imagine if Sevilla ended up somehow magically win the europa cup, but also got relegated into second division? I am sure it must have happened in history of football before but I truly do not remember a team that won European competition but also relegated in the league at the same season, has that ever happened?

I am pretty sure that Sevilla will not win the europa this season, there are many better teams than them and they are going to lose to United, that's what I think will happen. However, even the slightest chance of this situation makes it so entertaining to watch. I am not Spanish anyway so I don't really care if they relegate or not, but if they do win Europa and relegate, I would love to see that.

If I remember correctly, the bookmakers rate Sevilla's odds of winning the Europa League as about 1 in 12 (which, by the way, is very generous in my opinion). Interestingly, odds of Sevilla to leave La Liga are almost identical - 11. Thus, the chances that these two events will coincide are approximately equal to 11x12 = 132, that is, if converted into percentages, then this will be a probability of 0.7%. You have little chance of seeing such a funny event.
5320  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: A Thought On Gambling Strategies on: April 12, 2023, 05:36:51 PM
Generally, there's a strategy in anything that two or more people can do and be successful at, which gambling is one of them. There was a report of some set of individual that use a strategy to win whenever they gamble and didn't get caught until a very long time.

Although gambling has to do with much of been lucky but you can also find a way to come out successful most times.When gambling just consider yourself having fun and not get pressured into wanting to win whenever you bet or you'll always encounter bad lucks.

Been luckily is one of the ways to always win your bet and there has been ways of making yourself lucky and been prepared is one of those ways, always be prepared.

 Grin I have never read anything more funny about gambling. Just be lucky - here is a unique strategy that will bring you success!

As for the presence of strategies in gambling in general (as in any activity), it is obvious that when gambling strategies are discussed, it is understood that they must be profitable. Losing strategies are of no interest to anyone and everyone knows them.
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