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5541  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ Arsenal + Southampton ⚽ Prediction Contest (10/30/21) on: October 28, 2021, 07:29:00 PM
Game 1:  5'  1-1 draw
Game 2:  5'  1-1 draw
5542  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 28, 2021, 07:27:07 PM
I don't see the point in this culture of sacking managers after a bad loss or a run of poor form. I'm not sure what's expected of Ollie/Man U but they're not the best team in the league any more. In fact they're probably not even top 3. Getting into the CL league should be seen as a huge success for them given the quality that's in the league right now and finishing second last year should be good enough for Ollie. Whoever manages them will probably just have the same problems as the last few mangers but I'm sure if a big manger like Zidane showed interest they'd snap him up.
I am also against sacking managers prematurely but I feel like Ole has lost the dressing room. Add to that the fact that united has no game at all plus the most expensive defensive line in whole PL and most goals conceded in PL. Not hundred percent sure previous statement is true but I sort of feel like I read that data somewhere, not feeling like googling it, close to truth for sure Smiley

Second place finish last season was great result and I also agree CL qualification should be their target this season, 4th position is the maximum they can get unless something totally unexpected strikes one of top 3 teams, City, Chelsea and LFC.
5543  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Italian Serie A ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 28, 2021, 03:48:25 PM
I'm afraid I already have Napoli on a martingale to lose, so heh, tonight I have to bet against them. Good thing the odds are actually pretty decent so I don't actually have to double down (martingale to ensure I win my stake and increasing profit is all). 11/1 feels like a bit of a disservice to Bologna with exactly 3 wins/draws/losses each.

I'll hedge with a HT Napoli win. If they win again, they'll do it early.

Don't care who wins as long as they both score  Wink It is even paying @1.95 which sounds like a real value to me. Hopefully the bookies will give something back after the bloodbath yesterday.
5544  Local / Off-topic (Hrvatski) / Re: Kutak za kulturni trenutak on: October 28, 2021, 11:31:49 AM
Meni je Dune bio super, malo su sporo krenuli ali ovo treba gledati samo kao pocetak. Davno je proslo od kad sam procitao knjige tako da me bas lijepo vratilo u taj svijet. Sad cu ponovno procitat knjige, ovaj put na Engleskom, da vidim sta su sve zeznuli u prijevodu. Pola knjiga sam citao na hrv a pola na srp pa je bilo zanimljivo iskustvo.
5545  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 28, 2021, 02:30:10 AM
Barca losing to Rayo was was the last nail, and Koeman finally got sacked. Really hope it is true this time, should be since my local source cites Barcelona official decision.

Not sure who will be willing to take over the bench in this situation. It seems like very risky job with many pitfalls and very small chance of success since success for club like Barca is measured only with titles and they are not ready for that.

Anyway, whole game week full of strange results, bookies will be counting profits for some time  Shocked
5546  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Tennis League All Thread on: October 27, 2021, 03:28:11 PM
Hurkacz's defeat in this tournament will open up Norrie's chances of reaching the ATP Finals

Yes, of course. An early defeat for Hurkacz is the ideal situation for Norrie, as they are fighting each other for the last spot in the ATP Finals. I think Sinner has come back into contention too, but really it's between these three. FAA is too far back, and doesn't have time to make up the points difference.
Here I am, hoping that Murray continues his come back and wins another match today. Funny thing I never liked him when he was on the top and now I am cheering for him to come back to the top Smiley

Alcaraz was in great form earlier this season but he dropped off a little lately. He is also very experienced playing indoors so that should be enough for Murray. I even backed him with ML bet today, it was decent @1.6 odds.
5547  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 27, 2021, 03:14:53 PM
Only thing I can think of now that'll get him the boot is relegation (heh heh).
Damn, you cracked me up with this one. That would be an interesting way for Ole to enter into history books. I don't think there has ever been a team as expensive as United that managed to get relegated Smiley Would be fun to see for sure. English papers are great to crucify people for a lot less so I am expecting some interesting articles if United continues to perform like shit.
5548  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 27, 2021, 03:04:32 PM
I am looking forward to Barca game tonight and I am quite sure it will be another tough game for them. Rayo is in a good form and I expect them to score, Barca should also be good for at least a one goal so my favorite BTTS is in play here.

I understand that supporters are pissed but it is not ok to harass Koeman. Man paid couple of M from his own pocket to get out of his previous contract so he could come to Barca. If that is true and I believe it is, he deserves every cent of his contract.
5549  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io 🏈 Week #8 Thursday Night Football Giveaway 🏈 (10/28/21) on: October 27, 2021, 02:47:33 PM
1.) Who will receive the ball first?  Packers
2.) Will the Cardinals cover the -6 point spread?  Yes
3.)  Game total 51?  Over
4.)  Highest scoring Quarter?  4th
5.)  Packers total points?  Odd
6.)  Cardinals total points?  Odd
7.)  Aaron Rodgers to throw for 240 yards?  Over
8.)  Kyler Murray to throw for 240 yards?  Over
9.)  Davante Adams to score a TD?  No
10.)  DeAndre Hopkins to score a TD?  Yes

Final Score prediction: 31-21 Cardinals
5550  Local / Hrvatski (Croatian) / Re: Porez na bitcoin i kriptovalute 2018-2019 on: October 27, 2021, 07:26:25 AM
@aginagalde100
Sorry sta sam ti uzeo vremena, nisam strucnjak ali sam procitao cijelu ovu temu kako je nastajala, podijelio sam svoje miseljene na osnovu informacija koje sam zapamtio, a buduci da nas nije zanimao isti slucaj ja sam zapamtio djelove koji su meni interesantni.

Sretno s trazenjem odgovora. Od mene ih sigurno vise neces dobiti.
5551  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 26, 2021, 08:56:11 PM
Honestly, if they haven't sacked him after losing to their biggest rivals by the biggest margin in their history, I doubt he's going to get sacked anytime soon. I'd put money on him lasting the season at least, if you take a look at Gary Neville on the post match discussions, he's trying his hardest not to throw Ole under the bus, and I'm wondering if the Glazers are trying to be cautious about sacking a Manchester United icon, after the back lash they've received recently.

Though, to be honest most fans would probably support him getting the sack despite being a icon.
You have a point here, if they have not sacked him after loosing 5:0 to Liverpool at home, they don't plan to do it anytime soon. This was a perfect opportunity and I don't think any fan would give them problems after performance like that, no matter him being an icon.

It is not just the result, United simply does not have a game to play against top clubs and with the players and budget under Ole disposition that is unforgivable. There is no shame in loosing to LFC, but loosing 5:0 almost without a fight...
5552  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Italian Serie A ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 26, 2021, 04:14:36 PM
Don't forget we have 3 games tonight, gents. Anyone think Torino has a chance against Milan? They've been able to score and look like are playing for their lives here (and not so much in UCL). Trofo's BTTS always looks good and they're some fantastic specials on Sportsbet I've taken... as well as a Superboost that could take you almost 6/1 on the away win.

I'm watching cup games tonight though =)
Milan should be both to score but that is not my main game for goals tonight. My game of the night is Spezia vs. Genoa, there should be plenty of goals here and I am taking BTTS for a high stake.

I will be either climbing big or falling big on pool table tonight. I have put in draws on almost all games in Italy and Spain for tonight.
5553  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev on: October 26, 2021, 04:08:34 PM
Also sprinkled some on the o1.5 team goal for AC Milan and Villareal @2.70, AC Milan averaging 2 goals in their last five SA matches, and Villareal's opponent Cadiz conceded 2 goals in their last two.
Villareal should score 2 goals but I am a little afraid for Milan. They don't have a strong bench and i am expecting fatigue or rotations to limit their potential tonight.

I have took another special today: Arsenal, Chelsea & QPR all to win in regular time @5. Odds are a bit better and I am expecting Chelsea to pass easy while Arsenal and QPR could have tough matches.
5554  Local / Hrvatski (Croatian) / Re: Porez na bitcoin i kriptovalute 2018-2019 on: October 26, 2021, 02:36:59 PM
U banci sam digao...jasno mi je sve samo ne znam da li moram prijaviti to, tj prikazati da sam na 0
Bez puno ulaženja u detalje, za početak mislim da si osnovu promašio. Dizanje i vraćanje kredita u banci je jedna operacija dok je ulaganje u kripto i izvlačenje novca iz kripta druga. Što si ti napravio u banci nema veza sa našom pričom o čuvanju dvije godine.

Ne moraš platiti porez ako si uložio u kripto, držao dvije godine i onda isplatio. Ako si dignuo i vratio kredit iste godine to je znatno manje od propisanog razdoblja i mislim da si trebao platiti porez 10% + prirez ovisno gdje živiš a tek onda od te love koja je ostala podmiriti kredit.

Odmah da se ogradim, nisam nikakav stručnjak, dapače sve što znam o porezu na kriptu pročitao sam u ovoj temi. Čekaj da ti se javi stručnjak domchi Smiley
Možda postoji neka osnova po kojoj ne moraš platiti ništa budući da si na 0 kada se uzmu kredit i kripto u obzir ali mislim da to tako ne funkcionira.
5555  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io Betting discussion thread rev on: October 26, 2021, 08:10:31 AM
I checked the sheet yesterday and today and this guy: MTu****r has come back into the list. Weird?
While I was in the competition and I was doing those checks I noticed that lists are sometimes incomplete. I guess it depends on time when we are fulfilling out 5 mBTC wager and list is probably generated at least twice a day. There was a day when most of participants had 6 days on the list and maybe 10 of us including me had 5. I thought we screwed something and got eliminated but it was business as usual next day with all of us on 7.

Could be an error from SB part as well and user complaining and manually getting back in the competition.
5556  Local / Hrvatski (Croatian) / Re: Mjesečna Analiza za Hrvatsku Lokalnu Zajednicu (Bitcointalk Croatian) on: October 26, 2021, 08:05:42 AM
Red je spomenuti i one koji su zasluzni za odrzavanje naseg boarda aktivnim (ja sam tu gadno podbacio sa samo 6 napisanih postova, sto mi je negativan rekord). Ne treba uopce sumnjati tko je na vrhu liste, ni tko ce biti na vrhu slijedece, pogotovo jer je open upao u kampanju. Cheesy
Bome si gadno podbacio s brojem postova ovaj mjesec, ali ako ti je tih 6 otprilike iste dužine kao i ovaj možda imaš isti broj rječi kao i mi smrtnici s vrha liste, tu naravno ne brojim alfu i omegu slackovica Smiley

Stvarno je lijepo vidjeti tako visok merit ratio, šteta što ga nismo imali dok je puno nas lovilo rankove, bilo bi postova i merita na bacanje.
5557  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 26, 2021, 06:37:02 AM
All season long predictions by default favor conservative/safe picks, it all evens out in the long run and favorites are favorites with reason. Upsets can get you weekly yellow cap but in the long run they will cost you. That being said, correct scores are a lottery and it comes down to having luck to convert a couple of those close scores to correct scores. That is usually the step that kills my rank. I get decent amount of results and more than average close scores but I never get those correct scores.

But shouldn't you always reward the aberration? Even in fantasy football, the winners tend to be the ones who saw value and form more than the ones who have the Ronaldos and Messis in the team. Return to the mean is one of the laws of football (one I believe in slightly anyway heh) but I do feel like if Superbru implemented a weighting system for points -- e.g. the more unexpected your prediction, the more points they're worth, then it'd encourage a little bit more risk-taking. With the current 1, 1.5 and 3 points being the multiplier for the points.

Like you said, problem now is correct scores are pure lottery (and anyone who thinks otherwise is kidding themselves). So that's all we're encouraged to do. Pick the favourite outcome so we're not left out of the pack and leave it to chance to see who's got the closest to the mark.
Yeah you should reward those bigger odds somehow but it is not that simple. If you reward them properly, meaning multiplying with the odds in some way, you end up almost with betting. You could reward it like one extra point if your ML choice has odds over 3, and 2 extra points if it has odds over 6 but it complicates the game even further and i have a feeling Superbru is about ease of use and attracting the masses.

Disregard about Fantasy, there is almost no team in PL Fantasy that is without Salah, you can get few differentials correct and if you did not captain Salah you would still be behind. Fantasy rewards template teams and getting on bandwagons early. That way you are always close to the top and your team value is constantly growing. Time for differentials is in last couple of game weeks when you try to clinch that top spot in your mini league.
5558  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Spanish La Liga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 25, 2021, 06:34:33 PM
nevertheless, do not forget that we have a mid-week round from Tuesday to Thursday, and there are some interesting matches, Barca visiting Falcao's Rayo, that will be interesting after losing El Clasico, Rayo is playing better than expected this season, and BTTS could be a pick, whereas Barca to win is under question
And on that note, there is also new free bet challenge up for those mid week games. Go make you predictions on time. I opted for Atletico Madrid game this time since it is played on Thursday (more time to put in your predictions) and we had Barca-Real last time around. Would not want to make Atletico supporters feel left out Smiley

Did you guys realize how unfair is Barca treatment of Coutinho contract clauses? There is clause that says that Barca has to pay 20M to Liverpool when Coutinho plays 100 games. He has played 99 games and there is fine print that only games where he plays more than 45 minutes count. Now you know why he gets in on half time Smiley I know they are short for money but this is just throwing away last crumbs of great club image.
5559  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io La Liga and Serie A free bet challange on: October 25, 2021, 06:22:49 PM
Winners of last challenge:
morvilez - 1 mBTC free bet
leea-1334 - 0.5 m BTC free bet

Some grading explanations, and I'll add some of this in the rules.
I counted Roma game as 5 yellow cards since 3 were to coaches, not on the pitch
There was no goal in our tie breaker game, I am seeing this as winner for the person closest to 90 min mark, if nobody enters no goal.



New challenge is up, put your predictions in and be careful first game is on Wednesday:
Markets and prizes are the same:
1. Match line - Home/Draw/Away
2. Both to score - Yes/No
3. Number of yellow cards in the game - 3 and under/4-5/6 and over

Prizes:
First place: 1 mBTC free bet on your Sportsbet account
Second place: 0.5 mBTC free bet on your Sportsbet account

Games for this challenge:
Lazio - Fiorentina
Levante UD - Atl.Madrid

Tie breaker: first goal in Atletico



My predictions and template:
Lazio - Fiorentina
1. Match line - Draw
2. Both to score - Yes
3. Number of yellow cards in the game - 4-5

Levante UD - Atl.Madrid

1. Match line - Away
2. Both to score - No
3. Number of yellow cards in the game - 4-5

55' minute
5560  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sportsbet.io's English Premier League Football Pool Discussion Thread on: October 25, 2021, 03:24:48 PM
~snip

Superbru's designed to reward conservative picks... the slam points especially, just grind out results and get slam points and they add up. Last 3 seasons I had high exact scores, high upset picks, but huge deficit of slam points.

That said, we're barely 25% into the season and it's a slippery slope once you have a bad week. I agree. Finding the draws are what's going to make the difference. And this pool's only getting more and more competitive!

agree, Superbru, but also all other predictive pools are suited for conservative picks
you cannot get enough upsets to be in the top, but being constant during the season will keep you in the upper part

nevertheless, congrats on 0:4 prediction, I did not expect that from Manchester, but it happened, they need new coach, we will see if that happen right now, or after few more rounds
All season long predictions by default favor conservative/safe picks, it all evens out in the long run and favorites are favorites with reason. Upsets can get you weekly yellow cap but in the long run they will cost you. That being said, correct scores are a lottery and it comes down to having luck to convert a couple of those close scores to correct scores. That is usually the step that kills my rank. I get decent amount of results and more than average close scores but I never get those correct scores.
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