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5601  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Seriously! three times...the individual vs. combined probability. on: September 04, 2021, 11:13:13 PM
Yes, this is a classic example of Probability of Events, we gamblers are so bias that we didn't see this occurring, but when it happens, this kind of favourable outcome is hard for us to grasp and understand. I'e seen this happening when I also played roulette, and I just scratch my head because the way chances and probability works against us in gambling.
5602  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing]: Warrington vs Lara II -Sept 4 on: September 04, 2021, 10:50:03 PM
Final weigh-in video below, go fast forward 39:19.

Both of them have no problems making the weight for this fight. But unlike the first fight, it seems that their are intense in their face off, couple of shoving and Josh is animated to avenge his lone defeat. Hard to predict this fight, yes as I have said, Josh will box his way to win in this fight. But I'm worried that he might be caught with an awkward left again.



Best of luck to those who are going to bet in this fight.

Edit: the fight ended in two round technical draw, damn!.
5603  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing]: Oscar Valdez vs Robson Conceicao - Sept 10th on: September 03, 2021, 01:05:36 PM
Re-opening the thread as Oscar Valdez was cleared.

Quote
BoxingScene.com has learned that Mexico’s Valdez was approved to move forward with his scheduled September 10 clash with Brazil’s Robson Conceicao (16-0, 8KOs), which will air live on ESPN+ from AVA Amphitheater at Casino del Sol in Tucson, Arizona. The bout was previously in jeopardy due to Valdez having tested positive for Phentermine, as discovered through drug testing as contracted through Voluntary Anti-Doping Agency (VADA).

However, a ruling handed down by the Pascua Yaqui Tribe Athletic Commission permitted Valdez to proceed with the fight. The argument presented by Valdez’s team—including the claim that the substance in question was discovered during what is deemed as out-of-competition by World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA) code—along with other undisclosed factors was enough for the unbeaten boxer to receive clearance to fight next week.

https://www.boxingscene.com/oscar-valdez-cleared-by-presiding-commission-move-forward-with-conceicao--160295

So let's see if Valdez is affected mentally by the positive results. But in case that Valdez won, for sure the camp of Robson will make an excuse and point out the argument for the Phentermine drug.
5604  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Welcome to the last quarter of 2021, prepare for the profit coming. on: September 02, 2021, 02:05:54 PM
I can smell new all time high this December, hehehe, but there's a big if, as obviously, we uses TA to predict future price but it is not an exact science, and we all know how volatile the market is.

However, we still have some big change coming and this is the Taproot proposal. It might be comparable to Segwit upgrade in 2017, wherein it was one of the catalyst for the eventual bull run till December. So who knows, this might be the final push to a new all time high of at least 6 digits.

And this kind of news will trickle down to altcoin market for sure.
5605  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 NBA Season on: September 02, 2021, 01:15:31 PM
Capela has nothing to prove anymore, he played his role very well in the playoffs so we can still expect the same if the Hawks will again enter in the playoffs.

Back in Rockets, he also plays a big role why Rockets always end up in a good position every season but the team just lacks at the playoffs run.

With Hawks, I think that was the first time Capela first experience playing in the Conference Finals. Now with a much competitive Eastern Conference, the battle will be more tough and difficult as some teams are working on their lineup improvement.

I want to see them at ECF again but not expecting.

If I'm not mistaken, he was also injured during their playoff run but they did good with him and Trae.

So it is expected that he will be rewarded handsomely with a new contract and the Hawks didn't disappoint as as they keep him and others for another run next season. And as Capela matures and gain experience last playoff, for sure he will up his game. Yes, it will be a tough battle in the East, but they are capable of surprising us again, maybe this time improving their position to 3rd spot at least.
5606  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Credit card bans introduced in Ireland. on: September 01, 2021, 11:40:29 PM
Gamblers will always find a way how to bet on their sports. This is just one way to limit their credit card usage. Maybe, the government is also receiving complaints from these credit card providers so they take action where they have control over with. But I do agree that these regular gamblers, they can go beyond their means if they need to just to gamble.

I doubt that the credit card providers are going to complain to the governments because some holders are not paying or can't pay. It's not a lost for them, banks are big, it won't put a dent on their business, on the contrary it's a win-win for them. The only reason why governments are going this far is that they want to control gamblers, or at least not to get them addicted but I don't think it will work in the long run as gamblers will always go and beyond and find another way to continue playing with cold cash.
The other way to get around this measure could be by using cryptos. Then I like this kind of regulations against fiat gambling because it benefits to cryptocasinos and cryptosportsbooks at the end, and to crypto adoption more broadly speaking.

Yeah, it could be, but not sure if there are credit card providers that will allow you to buy crypto though (I tried once, but it didn't go through, besides I hear members saying that the banks are not allowing them). Maybe the best option is to buy crypto p2p.

Anyhow, the point is that they can't put a stop on this gamblers per se. They are 'invented' and will always  find some loophole and exploit this ban and continue with their gambling.
5607  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin might be ready to pump similar to December 2020 on: September 01, 2021, 11:18:59 PM
Everyone is expecting a big pump at the last quarter, so yeah, we could see similar pump or even in the higher end come December. And many of us have predicted a $100k or more price this 2021, and so it seems that there is a positive sentiments about it. Also we have Taproot in November, I think this one will be huge for the market as this will be the catalyst for the eventual run to 6 digits, so it's very exciting year end run again.
The story is repeating itself, during the 2017 bull run we had the activation of segwit and this was one of the main reasons why bitcoin grew so much at the end of the year since this allowed developments like the lightning network to take place and which are slowly gaining popularity.

Right, who can't forget the 2017 bull run? Segwit and then we have the bitcoin future contract offerings (CME and CBoE) that really fast charge the bull run to almost $20k ath that time.?

Now we are seeing the same, after an early growth during the year we saw a correction and then the price remained stable for some months preparing the stage for another update on the network and a huge bull market at the end of the year, it is better that people prepare themselves as I think bitcoin could reach even 200k during that time and if many institutional investors reveal they have been accumulating coins in secret the price could go even higher than that.

Hopefully, history repeats itself at the end of the year. The prediction is at least $100k minimum, so hopefully we can reach it with many institutional money coming in and of course retail investors who doesn't want to miss the bandwagon with FOMO in the last quarter.
5608  Economy / Gambling discussion / [Boxing]: Warrington vs Lara II -Sept 4 on: September 01, 2021, 10:47:07 PM
This coming weekend we're going to see another exciting fight, Warrington vs Lara II. Josh lost to Mauricio in the first fight, but at that time, he is 30-0, former champion and the huge favourite to win that fight. But clearly he was beaten in his own soil by Lara from Mexico.



For sure, Warrington went into hell but it seems that he can recovered mentally as he requested a rematch and wants redemption. On Lara's part he wanted to proved that it was no fluke.

You can watch the highlights of the first fight here.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZUKdjN9OUxg

And here is the betting odds, Lara is no longer a huge underdog, but Warrington is still the slight favourite.



I think Josh will box his way through a decision win here. He can't go brawl with Lara this time as the Mexican has the power and a tough chin as well.
5609  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing]: Oscar Valdez vs Robson Conceicao - Sept 10th on: September 01, 2021, 02:30:01 PM
It is looking likely that this fight will get cancelled. Valdez tested positive for the stimulant phentermine. It was out of competition so the local boxing commission doesn't necessarily have to suspend him but he will probably lose his world title since he is being tested as part of the WBC Clean Boxing Program.

Valdez is using the excuse that the substance was in an herbal tea and he took it unknowingly. That is an incredibly weak excuse so it is likely he was using it for something prohibited. In my opinion he should be stripped of the world title and suspended for the next six months.

Thanks for the update so I'm going to lock this thread for good as obviously, this fight will not happen.

For those who ware asking why it is considered a ban substance, maybe this explanation from Victor Conte (who himself was a drug peddler), can help:

Quote
ESPN quotes Victor Conte, who once did time for planning to distribute PEDs before becoming a clean sport activist. “You know why it’s a performance-enhancing drug?” He asked rhetorically of phentermine. “Because it’s a central-nervous stimulant…it accelerates your heart rate. It gives you energy. It gives you endurance. It gives you stamina. It makes it easier to breathe. Your training time to exhaustion would be much longer.” Clearly, such things as stamina and endurance can help a fighter in the ring. In short, Valdez may have ingested a substance which might give him an advantage when facing Conceicao.

https://www.boxinginsider.com/headlines/oscar-valdez-reportedly-tests-positive-for-banned-substance-phentermine/

I'm so disappointed with Valdez, so there's no one to blame here but himself.
5610  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Credit card bans introduced in Ireland. on: August 31, 2021, 10:05:28 PM
That's very strict in my opinion, nevertheless, the government has the total power to control everything so gamblers in Ireland can't do anything about it. But gamblers will be gamblers, this is just one step, but they will always find a way to bet on any sports regardless of this credit card bans. So I don't think they can really curb upon gambling in their country, on the contrary it might get worst as those gamblers will find a way to continue their activity or worse their addiction through loan sharks.

Gamblers will always find a way how to bet on their sports. This is just one way to limit their credit card usage. Maybe, the government is also receiving complaints from these credit card providers so they take action where they have control over with. But I do agree that these regular gamblers, they can go beyond their means if they need to just to gamble.

I doubt that the credit card providers are going to complain to the governments because some holders are not paying or can't pay. It's not a lost for them, banks are big, it won't put a dent on their business, on the contrary it's a win-win for them. The only reason why governments are going this far is that they want to control gamblers, or at least not to get them addicted but I don't think it will work in the long run as gamblers will always go and beyond and find another way to continue playing with cold cash.
5611  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Jake Paul vs. Tyron Woodley on: August 31, 2021, 12:11:39 PM
Jake Paul is now claiming that he is retired from boxing. I'm not sure I take him seriously but if he is telling the truth then I hope this is the last we will see of these freak show fights. He has made more than enough money to retire comfortably and now he can focus on more serious business endeavors.

Nope, I don't think that this will be the last of them, as long as they can make money and fans are willing to buy their tickets, then this will continue. And sports network stations are now willing to invest on them like Showtime, most likely the money grab will continue as this is business.

Those money are not enough for them, their lifestyles have change because of the millions they make. So they need to sustain this lifestyle through fighting or entertainment.
5612  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Inoue vs Donaire II discussion on: August 31, 2021, 10:45:01 AM

For power then Donaire isnt someone that you should underestimate off but i do agree that Inoue is a good technical fighter.He do knows on when to throw out punches on particular condition.
You can see Donaire to punch up in wide swings and heavy blows which undeniable but Inoue could throw some straight and penetrating heavy blows too which is more i can say
to be more accurate for landing up punches which i could say that he had really the edge but he should really be careful into those good counter punches.

That the fight happened in which it was the comeback fight of Donaire,

But look what damages he made to Inoue and those solid punch that landed in Inoue face that's all been taken, though that time Donaire got short in stamina, and in the last few rounds we've seen that he's no longer moving that much. Inoue takes that advantage and starts throwing his own versions of solid punches. Inoue already understands how Donaire fought and he can review and master everything that he needs in case that he faces Donaire.

Same as Donaire, he will adjust definitely and will work out things, specially the footwork that somewhat has been missing in the first fight because he is head hunting, not very successful strategy.

As he is getting older, not sure how he can improved his stamina, what he can is to retain his speed and timing because that will be the game changer here. If he caught Inoue early when he is still fresh and the power is still there with his checkered left hook, then the second fight might be in his favour but it's going to be very difficult for him.
5613  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 NBA Season on: August 31, 2021, 08:52:33 AM
Interesting rumors on Ben Simmons while the training camps of the 30 NBA teams are just around the corner and he's still a Sixers player. There are many NBA executives who believe that the player will leave Philadelphia. As reported by The Athletic, for many insiders it's no longer a question of if Simmons will be traded but rather when.

It's all over the news actually, Simmons wanted to be traded, there are reports that he is not responding to anyone from the Sixers team including Joel Embiid.

According to the same source, the Sixers have their eyes on Lillard. A dream that until some time ago could be considered impossible but that could become more defined and credible in the next months. Let's keep an eye on the Philadelphia-Portland route.

Most likely this will not be the case, I doubt that Portland will let go of Lillard next season. Trailblazers will be short handed in this trade, specially in a straight up trade. Probably Simmons will land on a team that is rebuilding.
5614  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin might be ready to pump similar to December 2020 on: August 31, 2021, 08:00:04 AM
Everyone is expecting a big pump at the last quarter, so yeah, we could see similar pump or even in the higher end come December. And many of us have predicted a $100k or more price this 2021, and so it seems that there is a positive sentiments about it. Also we have Taproot in November, I think this one will be huge for the market as this will be the catalyst for the eventual run to 6 digits, so it's very exciting year end run again.
5615  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Inoue vs Casimero Bantamweight Unification Fight on: August 31, 2021, 07:26:27 AM

After all, it's not just about the odds but since most people in this thread are Pinoy, a pick mostly for Casimero is likely to happen here.

Sometimes, we are disregarding the real strength of any PH opponents because of solid support. As in my case, I really see Inoue winning over Casimero for a 70% chance but of course,  since I want to support Casimero I will disregard that. Besides, I really like to take a risk on high odds even at any other sports so will put some bucks for Casimero to win the fight.

But before that, this match doesn't have any progress until now. Currently, what we just read is rumors and speculations.

Yeah, most of here knows by heart that Casimero might lose the fight. But in our mind we wanted him to win as well, hehehe.

But we knows, maybe Casimero can still a big upset, he has the tools to do it, power in both hands and the self-believed that he can win every fight as he has travelled many times before and defeat his opponent in their own country.
5616  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Next US president pro-bitcoin? on: August 31, 2021, 07:03:17 AM
The United States has always supported Bitcoin, including some American celebrities and companies that support Bitcoin. Musk has made an example of using Bitcoin as a payment method, allowing many people in the world to understand and recognize Bitcoin. But his move to give up the US dollar, I think it will not be recognized, which shocked me.

That's different though, you are talking about celebrities. The OP is asking about potential candidates that are going to be pro-bitcoin. But in any case, not going to happen, US will still push their beloved US dollar to the world economy, so I don't think any US elected or running president will hinge everything on bitcoin as their "rallying" call.
5617  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Credit card bans introduced in Ireland. on: August 30, 2021, 10:39:12 PM
That's very strict in my opinion, nevertheless, the government has the total power to control everything so gamblers in Ireland can't do anything about it. But gamblers will be gamblers, this is just one step, but they will always find a way to bet on any sports regardless of this credit card bans. So I don't think they can really curb upon gambling in their country, on the contrary it might get worst as those gamblers will find a way to continue their activity or worse their addiction through loan sharks.
5618  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: Trends for altcoins in September on: August 30, 2021, 03:06:24 PM
The same who are in the top 10-20. September tends to be a very good month for crypto, or at least this is the final push for whatever bull run we are going to have before the end of the year.

There could be some surprises, a diamond in the rough, needle in the haystack, but it's very difficult to predict which one. So just stick to the regular altcoins, one who are stable and possible to hit another all time high in December.
5619  Economy / Speculation / Re: Will $50,000 be the resistant price? on: August 30, 2021, 02:03:24 PM
The next resistance price is above $64k, anything below that price is just another price that is waiting to be broken. And bitcoin have shown in the past many times already, that the last all time high can be reach again it's just a matter of time.

And I'm also one of those who wanted to see the price getting into the $100k range. Not only me that there are a lot of positive sentiments towards this price. I suggest that the OP read this Stock-to-Flow Model: Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity by @fillippone why everyone thinks that 6 digits is possible this year.
5620  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: [Boxing] Canelo Alvarez vs Caleb Plant on: August 30, 2021, 12:41:56 PM
When Golden Boy was planning for the trilogy fight in 2019, Canelo opposed it. Why a sudden change of heart now? GGG is no longer in the same shape as he was 2-3 years ago. And since the second match against Canelo in 2018, he has participated in only three fights (Steve Rolls, Sergiy Derevyanchenko and Kamil Szeremeta). If there was a trilogy match, it had to happen in 2019 or 2020. Now it is too late. For GGG, the next fight is scheduled for December this year, and that is going to be against Ryota Murata (WBA middleweight champion).

Maybe if he doesn't have any options left, or at least big money fight in the future, then maybe he will give GGG his trilogy for a huge pay. I agree, if he fights GGG in the next couple of years, then GGG might not be in his prime so there's no more reasons for Canelo to fight him as it might be a mismatch and the fight should happen right after the second fight because it is controversial decision. It will be good in paper, but in the actual fight, it might be like a Pacquiao performance.
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