If you're using the prior increases to prove this point, it's not necessarily because of predicted factors. Although the price has jumped dramatically, it's still too hazy to say anything about $1200-$1300.

I doubt that it'll happen.

I bit my own words. Although Germany today didn't do too bad (if they lost, I'd have been even more annoyed) it's still a little bit disappointing. I didn't bet too much on Germany fearing the possibility of defeat, and I guess I was right to do so.

Euro for me has been disappointment after disappointment.

Firstly, it was England v. Russia (where they tied, and I was so pissed)

And today you have Austria losing 0-2 against Hungary, and Portugal tying 1-1 just like England?
Ugh.

Hoping Germany doesn't see any problems!

There's been a lot of disappointment recently. Looks like there will be more people betting on higher odds perhaps these days

Shame. I also wagered a good sum on Austria winning. How did they manage to lose like that?

The website looks sleek overall but if there's one complaint that I have it's the Bitcoin icon in the logo: it looks a little bit squished horizontally. I'm pretty sure that it's been free transformed to do that. It doesn't look quite right to me, but it's a minor complaint.

(Though, as I look at it again, there's three different fonts in there that don't match completely right. Maybe have a couple small changes for consistency?)

So this is basically a lottery system sort of game. Kind of risky given that you don't even know how much has been invested in the game. All you have to go on is the fact that there are x other players.


Probably will turn scam at some point soon (if it hasn't already).

The shot into his own goal must've caused a wild ride of laughter all across the stadium. I imagine that he'd be scolded extremely harshly for that mistake. Euro has seen some interesting things thus far - England v Russia and in this game. I'm pretty sure if Ireland didn't lose that point that they might have had a high chance to carry it towards a victory. Shame - I bet on 1X2 (either team victory)

No strategy is particularly better than the others [considering probability] and thus even hit and run (over a long time) will eventually have the same chance of losing as going all in.

Or perhaps consider this:

You bet $100 on a 1.98x payout, with a 50% chance of winning. The house edge is 1% and takes $1 from you.

You bet $10 ten times on a 1.98x payout, with a 50% chance of winning. The house edge is 1% and takes $0.10 every time you bet [let's say you win every time], which adds up to $1.

It's the same and albeit you may last longer the more you bet the more you give to the house edge.


Let me quote from The Wizard of Odds: "All betting systems are equal to flat betting when compared this way, as they should be. In other words, all betting systems are equally worthless."

What's the "trick" and "strategy" of dice games? There is no skill involved in them. You're literally betting on random numbers and seeing if it's going over or under a certain amount. There's no strategy in dice (apart from gambling strategies, which always approach a high risk of ruin).

You can't beat the system and profit [statistically].

Do you have a screenshot for this wager?

Also, which sportsbook were you using to bet on this?
It might help with clarification.

OP has been inactive since May 29 (a week after the account creation)

I don't think anybody else would really do this kind of thing. Perhaps it was a failed scam attempt? I'm unsure. If this deal is offered by anybody else, I'd be interested in it. However, I don't think many people would be willing to give a 50% discount. That's pretty ridiculous for a fee (especially since OP wanted to avoid high fees in the first place)

I also remember dadice! I managed to twist a pretty profit off that site as well. It's a shame that it closed down - I would've liked to continue my streak and made more money off of it. I was ready to invest a couple weeks before it closed, though, so I guess I'm pretty lucky in that regard.

What is the way that he thinks? From my point of view, all he's saying is that the Chinese Yuan is going down in value and thus to save their assets, many of the people are buying bitcoins which in turn drives the price up. What are we getting wrong here?

This is true. Regardless of whether you can read their faces or not, you can discern which actions to take if you are able to recognize their playstyle. However, against an erratic opponent who conforms to no principle, it's difficult and you must hope for luck on your side.

Obviously though, the more you play against a person, the more you start to form patterns on what they do, but it's the same both ways (so you must be careful in how you play)

Congratulations on the marriage and the bet.

I managed to twist that into a pretty 100 mBTC by parlaying a win by Poland and Germany.

Tomorrow, most likely the important one to look at is Spain's game. They should be pretty strong against Czech Republic and so I'm willing to strike a good amount wagering towards Spain to win.

I was just gazing through the prices (as I do occasionally every week) and as soon as I saw 600+ I couldn't believe my eyes. I thought it was in a different currency, but no. $670+ USD.

Incredible.

Perhaps there will be a large dump coming after the currency devaluation stops. After all, I don't expect that they'll be able to use all their bitcoins

Don't mine with your laptop now. You spend so much money on electricity and get pretty much nothing in return.

Anything can happen, though I would agree with your bets. They seem reasonable, and Haiti looks fairly weak when we're placing Ecuador vs Haiti.

And it's a victory! Fantastic - now it's only Germany to win. Hopefully they don't screw up badly like England did. That was a terrible upset for me.

I'd be interested in this offer (possibly with a small amount, 0.05 BTC) and I'll see where it goes. Please PM me with details.

I gamble infrequently, and thus usually I stop on my own when I'm done. Whenever I win a significant amount of money on a site (usually ~2x the deposit) I withdraw it.

I have a limit on deposits, though. This is usually based on a variety of factors, but I have enough self-control to stop when I've deposited too much. Cut your losses before they turn into bankruptcy.