I'm keeping an eye on the alt coins rates as well and I've noticed an interesting thing: there is no substantial fall of the alt coins values against btc, as would be expected, if the recent btc price growth would be real. Am I missing something in my reasoning?
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What you propose is that a user is registered on a site, which basically adds no extra security, unless you do verification, which may take quite the while, to establish with a certain degree of certainty that a user is who he says he is, and then the ease of use is gone, and he might just as well have exchanged cash for btc, or sened money to an exchange.
It's true, the site would need a verification of the person and the ease of use is a bit gone in this way but once registered the user would have an additional channel for the quick trading, and the service provider would have more security sending BTCs, but the paid phone call/short messages provider with the low surcharge would be needed. It is true that once registered, the user would have a channel for getting easy and fast bitcoins. But if the user at all plans to buy any sizeable amount of bitcoins, he would be better off exchanging locally for cash or sending money to an exchange. There may be cases where someone have the cell bill covered by their workplace and starts buying coins, but not sure if employeer will be too happy if bill start to get too high! And there may be other cases where users will dumpt phone credits for whatever reason, and rather have bitcoin (leaving the country, having no use for their prepaid phone service any more), or emptying credits if they are expiring (?). But frankly, I think sms purchase would mainly be for those just wanting to dabbling into bitcoin, but of course I could be wrong. I guess some people would not care if prices was twice that of an exchange, but I would think most people would find that price too high. If I remember correctly, it was impulsepay that I implemented the sms service with, and everything worked fine, it's just that the possibility of scamming seems to be too high. And when chargebacks can occur as long as 90 days after the sale, then that doesn't give the operator much room for stability in regards to the finances. You may be churning along quite happily, and then one cell operator sends along a batch of chargebacks, and suddenly you're out a sizeable amount, that's not fun. It's also the same reasons why all operators selling bitcoins for CC's are very short lived. Here, you just have a middelman, the phone operator as a proxy, so the risks are basically the same. Also, I don't know quite how it works in the UK, but in some countries you can have a phone subscription on credit, and pay the bill after usage, so you could actually rack up quite the large bill the first month, and if the account was fraudulently aquired, there's no recourse for the phone company, and they surely will not pay the payment operator, which again will not pay you, and you're again out of bitcoins. This will happen, trust me. Once there's a way to get 'free' money, someone will exploit it. Interesting. So let us see how this guy will be able to manage the thing, we both have thought before, but have found being too risky.
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What you propose is that a user is registered on a site, which basically adds no extra security, unless you do verification, which may take quite the while, to establish with a certain degree of certainty that a user is who he says he is, and then the ease of use is gone, and he might just as well have exchanged cash for btc, or sened money to an exchange.
It's true, the site would need a verification of the person and the ease of use is a bit gone in this way but once registered the user would have an additional channel for the quick trading, and the service provider would have more security sending BTCs, but the paid phone call/short messages provider with the low surcharge would be needed.
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The prices are that high not because the guy who is running the service want them to be so high. I guess he is using the operator like txtnation which offers the insane surcharge for the service they are offering (at least from the point of view of the final user in this case).
Yes, and by the time some hacker breaks into a cell operators homepage and starts sending messages from their web interfaces to pay for the coins, the wallet will be just empty. :\ I wouldn't be too much sure it would be such a simple task to accomplish, but the charge-back problem is quite big for the guy that is running this service. In any case, his service would be very useful in the moments when the BTC are suddenly very low and there is no way to send money quickly on mtgox (for instance at the weekend). Bitcoins over mobile phone is surely a killer app, it it could be made safely. Never said it was easy to pull off a mass heist, and there will most likely be safeguard in place with the provider. Another problem is that for a service to be sustainable, it must also turn a profit. If the time is spent avoiding fraud, and it turns no or little profit, then there's no incentive for running it. I've thought of many schemes about how to verify a purchaser, but the whole point of purchasing coins with the phone is ease of use. Once that ease of use vanish, for instance if it will take days to verify a user, then the whole idea of ease of use goes out the window, and using traditional methods seems to be a better bet. From the operators point of view, what he really needs to know is whether the payments are really legit or not. Not knowing this until months have passed by, makes for a very unpleasant experience. If ringtones were sold, even if 5% were fraudulently obtained and never paid for, the operator would still be in great profit. The same would not necessarily be true with a bitcoin operator. Also it's possible to send text messages that seems to be from someone else, with the right access to the network, whether or not this could be used to scam the operator into giving away bitcoins is a good question, I'm not technical familiar with all the steps involved, but if there's money to be made from it, it will be done. Anyway, although I sound very pessimistic, I really wish a service like this would be something that could flourish and be a nice addition to the community. But it's hard to have nice things, when there's always people scamming. I thought about this kind of service as well. It might be organized in the following way: the user sends a request to a short number and receive an sms with code for which he is billed (something like 1$ for instance). To receive btc he has to access a site where he is know and registered and to put his code there. The problem is that the provider of the short messages service charges a very high surcharge (something like 70% or more). The service might be offered to those countries where is difficult to operate through the bank.
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The prices are that high not because the guy who is running the service want them to be so high. I guess he is using the operator like txtnation which offers the insane surcharge for the service they are offering (at least from the point of view of the final user in this case).
Yes, and by the time some hacker breaks into a cell operators homepage and starts sending messages from their web interfaces to pay for the coins, the wallet will be just empty. :\ I wouldn't be too much sure it would be such a simple task to accomplish, but the charge-back problem is quite big for the guy that is running this service. In any case, his service would be very useful in the moments when the BTC are suddenly very low and there is no way to send money quickly on mtgox (for instance at the weekend).
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The prices are that high not because the guy who is running the service want them to be so high. I guess he is using the operator like txtnation which offers the insane surcharge for the service they are offering (at least from the point of view of the final user in this case).
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I agree, the pirateat40 crash was caused by the false believe that he would pay back all he was holding and promising, which were a huge amount of 500K. The collapse of BFL will cease the false believe that the price of bitcoin is about to crash (because of the always very "eminent" release of ASICS, since months). So once it's clear there is no ASICS existing in the nature the price of BTCs will go up where it should be already (about 22$ for BTC, from my point of view) You are both not gullible enough to preorder with BFL yet not sceptical enough to know that get-rich-quick isn't something that comes when you want it. oh, yes For naima53 and ElectricMucus: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zpajoF4Uyew (You may say I'm a dreamer but I'm not the only one )
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Does that apply even if you drop your consignment off/pick it up at their airport service point (I've actually done this on public holidays here)?
Not sure about that - and am not buying into any conspiracy theory stuff (and tip my hat off to the Avalon team). Also things in Shenzhen and especially Hong Kong would be quite different to Beijing (will be heading down that way later this year). I understand your point of view, and perhaps I'm too much pedantic, but from my point of view there is some difference between just saying "we are shipping" and actually to ship.
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DHL in China works even at 9 pm of Sunday?
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So technically speaking nobody is shipping anything right now?
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I was asking myself, and maybe there is somebody who knows exactly: are the Chinese post offices open at 9 pm on Sunday? Because if they aren't it would mean that the Avalon asics wouldn't be shipped anywhere today in any case, except for those who are queueing in front of Avalon's gates
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And where is Obsi right now with my BTCs I invested on him through GLBSE?
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Let me still doubt they will deliver anything....
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Please what is your BTC address? I want to buy it so badly!
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Although I shouldn't be saying this, because I'm holding mah btcs, I have to say : guys, you're fucking stupid.
Some of the you claim to not see any link between potentional BFL failure scam and a price crash. You obviously don't understand how markets work. Trust is the single most important thing on financial markets. If people are upset that they got scammed (again!), they quickly get the feeling that bitcoin is doomed. Yes, it is strongly exaggerated, but investors tend to exaggerate. Also, since bitcoin is an emerging market it needs new investments. Bad publicity = close to no new investments.
And before you start saying : 'hurr durr, real life scams don't make dollar price fall' let me say that you can't compare bitcoin to dollar.
Also, for those of you who say that bad news in 2012 didn't affect the price at all, please go see a doctor. There's something wrong either with your memory or eyes.
If When BFL managers hit the road with gullible people's money in their pockets, the price is going to go down for at least a few days. The only reason why I'm holding btcs right now is to exploit the recent discrepancy between Bitstamp and MtGox prices.
Your point of view make sense as well. But the qualities of BTC are above this little scammers. See the situation with pirateat40, which caused the market to go down for some months and now we are near to have recovered the highest point before pirateat40 default. The people who invested into BFL are much less than into pirateat40 and after pirateat40 there was a huge default of GLBSE and still we are up. The BFL default could give some impulse downstairs, but in the same time the impulse upstairs it would give should be much more powerful. Of course someone might be turned down, by his loss from the BFL investment, but going away those people the market will became more mature. I wouldn't paragon BTC market with the standard joins-stock exchange market or forex market, because there are a lot of political and macroeconomical manipulation there, while BTC market being smaller in a way is much healthy (personal opinion).
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I agree, the pirateat40 crash was caused by the false believe that he would pay back all he was holding and promising, which were a huge amount of 500K. The collapse of BFL will cease the false believe that the price of bitcoin is about to crash (because of the always very "eminent" release of ASICS, since months). So once it's clear there is no ASICS existing in the nature the price of BTCs will go up where it should be already (about 22$ for BTC, from my point of view) You are both not gullible enough to preorder with BFL yet not sceptical enough to know that get-rich-quick isn't something that comes when you want it. oh, yes There is no evidence that the market adjusted itself in advance to the recent halving. I'd rather consider it's not, and that's why the price is going up now. If the mathematics are not an opinion, the price of btc must reach 22$, sooner or later. The only reason it hasn't yet are all this rumours about ASICS and the Christmas pause the main players of the market has done. Make sense?
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I agree, the pirateat40 crash was caused by the false believe that he would pay back all he was holding and promising, which were a huge amount of 500K. The collapse of BFL will cease the false believe that the price of bitcoin is about to crash (because of the always very "eminent" release of ASICS, since months). So once it's clear there is no ASICS existing in the nature the price of BTCs will go up where it should be already (about 22$ for BTC, from my point of view) You are both not gullible enough to preorder with BFL yet not sceptical enough to know that get-rich-quick isn't something that comes when you want it.
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I agree, the pirateat40 crash was caused by the false believe that he would pay back all he was holding and promising, which were a huge amount of 500K. The collapse of BFL will cease the false believe that the price of bitcoin is about to crash (because of the always very "eminent" release of ASICS, since months). So once it's clear there is no ASICS existing in the nature the price of BTCs will go up where it should be already (about 22$ for BTC, from my point of view)
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