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601  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 15, 2017, 04:51:43 AM
Are you joking about a currency with growing blockchain size to Terabytes then how could normal users run a full node after say 4 years from now?

See how important this point is !

Note that most users don't use full nodes.  There are more than 5000 or so bitcoin users in the world.


Look at the edit at the end of my previous post:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1915733.msg19025925#msg19025925

in order to see what's the genuine utility of full nodes.
602  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 15, 2017, 04:39:19 AM
Nothing stops freedom money from having an issuing mechanism that more or less regulates its value to a constant, and hence can become a much better unit of account

This reminds me of Panama's currency: the Balboa.  Like Venezuela, Argentina, Brazil and other Latin American countries they suffered from high inflation.  So, they pegged the Balboa 1:1 with the USD.  After a while, they figured why print Balboas if they are pegged to the USD.  They now use USD and call it Balboa.

I must have been misunderstood.  I didn't say "peg to the USD".  I did say "regulate to an amount of value" (and I took the amount of value that $1 represents today).   A given amount of hash work represents an amount of economic value.  If one can have a decent estimation of how much economic value an amount of hash work will represent in the future (say, Moore's law and somewhat extra), we can program in advance the amount of hash work that can make a coin at a given moment in time.  If we can fix that more or less to what corresponds to $1 today (say, one fifth of a Big Mac), then people will automatically generate coins if they are worth more than the economic cost of hashing them.  There's no "pegging mechanism" to the dollar ; there's a pegging mechanism to economic cost of hashing.  This curve can be even slightly deflationary (that is to say, the expected hash cost will increase over time, the difficulty will outpace technological evolution).  It doesn't matter much.  There's a value regulation mechanism.

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How does this compare with the elasticity of the USD?  They can print more, but aside from gift cards and similar tokens - which are pegged 1:1 with the USD - you don't have much option.  I've had a difficult time getting anywhere to accept my Quetzales, except in Guatemala  They seem to like them there.

The FED tries to regulate the VALUE of the USD to follow a more or less established inflation curve.

If suddenly, someone dumps 500 billion dollars on the market, the FED will sell assets and buy up dollars to avoid a serious crash of the dollar value.  
You cannot crash the dollar market by dumping it.  You cannot corner the dollar market by buying up all dollars: the FED will print you out of business.

Probably, the European central bank is even more an "automatic regulator of value" than the FED is, because the FED also has political goals, while the ECB doesn't, really.

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But nobody actually wants "internet money" - except dark markets.

I use it as money.  I buy clothes, musical stuff, flowers with it.  I also offer a 20% discount if people pay with BTC or LTC because I know PayPal won't take the money out of my account one day because somebody's account was hacked and they would prefer I pay the cost than they do.

Sure.  I also use bitcoin occasionally.  But I mean, "the general public".   The gains you have by using it don't outweigh the volatility risk.  Apart from special applications, and apart from some geekiness, honestly, doing a wire order to an exchange, buying coins, withdrawing them, paying on the internet, is more hassle and cost than using my credit card for everything which is "open and legal".  And with my credit card, I have some legal protection if I'm scammed.

Putting aside a reserve of bitcoin for future buying (which I did, because of said hassle) and see that it takes a factor of 5 gains, induces me to keep them aside even if that wasn't the purpose.   But it could just as well go down.  So this "money" cannot be stored as neutral value keeper.  If you store it, you speculate (heavily).  Most people speculate on "up", of course, but they speculate.  They end up speculating even if that was not the idea.
603  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 15, 2017, 03:52:21 AM
I think my argument is quite watertight concerning the non-power of full nodes, and I've never seen a LOGICALLY ARGUMENTED rebuttal to it, that doesn't confuse full nodes with users, or doesn't confuse it with the power game of a hard fork.
You've spent too much time arguing with dumbasses and marketroids which caused you to start believing in your own bullshit.

Almost from the inception people understood the importance of distributed node network, even if under centralized control:

1) ability for nearly anyone and relatively cheaply audit (in the accounting sense) the totality of the system.

2) distributed node architecture makes it easy and cheap to hide the actual expensive nodes (either due to mining or transacting/exchanging) from both attacks launched over the network.

3) not currently implemented by Core, but possible, the broadcast architecture makes it possible to use non-Internet methods of communication with super-extreme bandwidth asymmetry (high download but little upload).


1) audit, yes, I do not deny this.  You can find out for yourself whether the bitcoin block chain is doing what you thought it was supposed to be doing (that is to say, whether it corresponds to the protocol programmed in the node software).    Now you can learn whether that is a yes or a no.  But that's about it.  
It is like checking a signature.  You can see whether it is right or not.  But that's about it.  You can't DO anything about this.  You can write an article about it here on the forum, or you can write this on coindesk or something.  "hey, guys, the unique block chain is not checking on my node !".   Duh.  
You may use that knowledge to sell your coins (using *another* node that will allow you to send transactions, and does accept the block chain's protocol!) because you may think that bitcoin is screwed now.  But that's about it.  Yes, it will INFORM you.  No, it won't do anything about it.

2) how's that ?  We know their IP addresses.  Why would an attacker bother to attack Joe's node in his basement, when he knows the node IP of BitFury, say ?  But I will agree with you that a P2P architecture has some network advantages if direct internet connections are problematic.  However, you don't need the BITCOIN P2P network for that.  You can use just ANY P2P network, like Tor, to do the network communication between the customer (the wallet user) and the provider (the miner pool backbone).  You can argue: yes, but what if THEIR backbone fails ?  Well, in as much as the bitcoin P2P network finds a way around, just ANY internet connection will find a way around.

3) actually, that would rather be the direct connection between user wallets (customers) and the miner pools (providers).  Note that these miner pools may just as well have a DISTRIBUTED network of proxies (distributed, but centralized under their control) in the same way that google and facebook have distributed but centralized proxy servers all over the world.  What full nodes do, is to provide miners with a free proxy service.  

The point is that non mining full nodes don't contribute to the DECENTRALIZATION (not to the distributedness) of the network.  Decentralisation is about power and politics ; distributed is about network architecture.  full nodes don't have the slightest bit of political POWER.

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Dinofelis, you clearly seem to have some academia background. But it must have been some theology school (or something equally anti-scientific) to be so unwilling to actually refer to the available references and verify your own assumptions.

This is funny, because I'm the only one never to use something else but logical arguments, and try to reason from a given to a result, without thinking about politics, autority, "others say so", etc... but just sheer reasoning.  I'm totally a scientist.  I'm actually the one thinking I came in some sort of church or something, where established dogma may not be questioned.  One of these is "full nodes are important to the decentralization of the network".

Now, given the fact that this in my honest opinion totally flawed statement is so often used to take decisions, I would think it is important to establish its veracity or its falsehood.  You would think that if Pythagoras' theorem is used all over the place, that *there's a solid logical proof* of it.  But no.  If presented with a proof of the opposite, there's no watertight demonstration of the veracity of the theorem in sight.  Only "you're wrong" or "you're a shill" or "you're religious" or whatever.  No mathematician ever would say, to someone that says "I think Pythagoras' theorem is wrong", "you're religious".  He would just give the demonstration of the theorem.  That should convince.  I think I have enough arguments to show that full nodes don't contribute anything to political decentralized power.  Show me the proof of the opposite.

For that, I discussed elsewhere the following Gedanken experiments, which will abstractly show one or the other: full nodes impose their view on miners, or the other way around.

Starting condition: today.  Miners and nodes agree on the same, current, protocol.  I consider two (abstract) cases to come to the conflicting situation, where miners and full nodes are in disagreement: A: the miners change something ; B: the full nodes change something.

A) suppose that the 20 miner pools (>99% of hash power) decide amongst themselves, to start mining blocks of 1.2 MB.  They publicly announce this, and there's also a version of bitcoin node software that can do this.   No non mining node agrees.  They all stop.  The miners continue making the block chain with 1.2 MB blocks.  What happens ?   Do users connect their wallets to the miner nodes, and continue using bitcoin, or does bitcoin come to a grinding halt, no exchanges, no transactions, nothing, all the time these miners keep making the new chain (and no old protocol chain is available) ?

B) suppose that the 20 miner pools keep on working on the bitcoin chain as today, but ALL non mining full nodes want to impose blocks of 0.5 MB as from tomorrow.  For one or other reason, all full nodes agreed upon that.  So they all implement the new software, that doesn't agree any more with the block chain the miners are making.   Do users connect their wallets to the miner nodes, and continue using bitcoin, or does bitcoin come to a grinding halt, no exchanges, no transactions, nothing, all the time these miners keep making the old chain (and no new protocol chain is available) ?

From these two exercises, what can we conclude about the political power of full nodes over miners concerning bitcoin's protocol ?
604  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Please run a full node on: May 15, 2017, 03:32:29 AM

I must admit, for some reason I had thought that these times would be a lot closer to the 10 min average since pooling is supposed to "smooth out" the times.


Nope, they remain exponential.  The only thing pooling does is smoothing out the GAINS as compared to solo mining for each of its customers (and a bit of economy of scale which is probably lost on the fact that the customers have some overhead to prove their work: trustlessness comes at a price).

If you have a small amount of hash rate that would, on average, let you win a block per month, some times you might only win a block after 3 months and no gains in between ; some times you might win 3 blocks in one month.  This uncertainty of income is smoothed out by pooling together, where the pool will pay you regularly about one block per month minus his fees and margins etc... and the pooling together also removes the hassle to have to constitute blocks yourself, check, have a good network node, etc... (and at the same time, take away your decision power on that).
605  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Please run a full node on: May 15, 2017, 03:27:12 AM
@franky1.  One more trial.

Take an old piece of block chain, say, around block number 200 000 or so, but consider the actual, today's, difficulty, take a given miner setup, with a given hash rate, say, 1/6 of the total hash rate for that difficulty, and compare two different experiments:

A) take the transactions of block 200 000, make your own block of it, and hash on it.  Regularly, you will find a solution, but you continue trying to find new solutions on that very same block.  Do this for a day.   ==> at what average rate do you think you will find solutions for this same block ?

B) do the same as in A, but switch blocks every 30 seconds, that is, work 30 seconds on a block made of the transactions of block 200 000 ; then work 30 seconds on the block made of the transactions of block 201 000 ; then work 30 seconds on the transactions of block 200 002 etc...  Do this also for a day.
==> at what average rate do you think this time, you will find solutions for some of the blocks during the time you hash on them ?

How do the rates in A and in B compare ?
606  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 06:32:09 PM
The replacer inherently CAN'T have the same pricing stability as the currency it is replacing. [/u] The former has to rise against the latter which includes against items priced in the latter.

Of course not.  In Europe, many currencies were replaced by the Euro, and the Euro didn't "rise" against these currencies to replace them.   The Euro got more and more participants, and replaced bigger and bigger markets, as new countries adopted the Euro, but the Euro didn't "rise" against these other currencies.  

Imagine that an imaginary bitcoin was emitted at against, say, $1 in the beginning, and that it had an emission scheme to keep it around $1.  (my proposal is to have proof of work that is about $1 worth, and can do as much proof of work as you want and emit as many coins as you want with that: if you are willing to burn about a million $ worth in proof of work, you own now a million coins ; if you want to burn a billion $ worth of PoW, you now own a billion coins).  Suppose that people like it, and start using it more and more.  Slowly, it starts to replace payments about everywhere.  The extra demand for the currency, to be able to use it (Fisher's formula) would make it rise in value, but that makes it more interesting to mine it, and it costs about the value of $1 to mine it, so people will mine a lot of it until it lowers again to near $1 value.  If it is less than $1 in value, nobody will spend PoW on it to make more of them, and none get emitted.  But if more people use them, more and more coins are in circulation.  The monetary mass, the market cap rise, and they replace soon most payments.  But nobody can get rich with it.  It is a currency.  Its value is stable (the value of about $1 of proof of work).  You can write a contract in it.  You know its value will remain stable (at least, will not deflate like crazy and become a rare collector's item).

607  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 06:23:47 PM
Big Macs are priced in dollars.[/b] See the difference?

No, Big Macs are priced in many currencies, and this is used to find relative over or under-evaluations of currencies.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_Mac_Index

Big Macs expressed in, say, Yen, and calculated in Euro by their conversion rate, can be compared to Big Macs bought directly in Euros.

There are of course differences, which can also be partially accounted for by different *valuations* of the specific item of a Big Mac in different societies, but it gives a rather rough index of "true value of exchange".  They indicate differences on the 10-20% level or so.

Bitcoin went up from 10 000 BTC for one pizza, to about 200 pizza for 1 BTC in 7 years or so.   That's not a unit of account.  In Big Mac terms, that's 6 orders of magnitude.

It is a known economic experience that collectibles are never good units of account: it takes active steering (which can be automatic, as I said before) to keep the value of a currency more or less stable.

In fact, you can measure it in another way: if you can get genuinely rich with it by just hoarding it, it isn't a currency.  It is a speculative asset.

608  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 04:32:19 PM

(*) it is obvious because bitcoin is not a good unit of account, there's no mechanism in it that adapts the emission of bitcoin with its value with the aim to stabilize it, and bitcoiners are even proud of that.  Something that is not a good unit of account (volatile value) cannot be generally used as a currency in a payment system.


Bitcoin has perfect stability - it has always maintained a value of 1BTC = 1BTC.

Oh, you meant its price in USD? Why would that be relevant to its stability? You are using a very unstable currency (USD) as a measuring stick. Any currency that replaces fiat must be volatile, because it has a lot of growing to get to that point, and its not going to chart a straight line on the way.

No, I mean in Big Mac of course.  How many Big Macs could you buy with 1 BTC in November last year ?  And how many big macs can you buy now with 1 BTC ?

How many Big Macs could you buy with $1000, in November ?  And right now ?
609  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Please run a full node on: May 14, 2017, 04:27:24 PM
Orphaning makes up a small percentage of blocks.  This is known both from actual data and common sense:  If it takes milliseconds to validate a block and seconds to propagate one, compared with the fact that the entire network solves a block every 10 minutes, its a very small ratio.

So its better to ignore orphaning to simplify the conversation.

Franky1 is still locked in thinking that a mining pool that had 1/6 of the hash rate, and hence 1/6 of the blocks when he was in consensus with the others, is going to make 6 times faster blocks if he forks of on a hard fork, pleasing the full nodes and leaving his peers behind with their 5/6 of the hash rate.

Of course, he will make all the blocks on his own new forked chain ; but he will make them 6 times slower too, so concerning "winning rewards", he's not going to make any more profit if his chain gets adopted in the end, than when he was remaining on the consensus chain.  Franky1 thinks he will make 6 times more rewards because now "all the blocks are his", but he doesn't understand that our miner will make 6 times less blocks in the same time.  

(back to square one....)

Caveat: at least, if our forking miner is not MODIFYING the difficulty or reward of the chain, but that's not very probable that the full nodes would be running code that has this changed...
610  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Please run a full node on: May 14, 2017, 04:22:50 PM
because a miner with 10% of the hash power has NO INCENTIVE to step back from remaining in agreement with the other miners, simply because he's then hard-forking all by himself, and will make a 10 times shorter chain.

Your erroneous understanding of mining made (probably still makes) you think that that betraying miner is going to mine all by himself a fork of just the same length as the chain of the rest of the miners, and hence "reap in all the rewards, orphaning the 90% chain" because full nodes agree with him, and not with the miner consortium.  

But this is not the case: our dissident miner will make just as many blocks on his own little fork, than he would have made on the consortium chain (*), with just as many rewards: so there's no incentive for him to leave the consortium,

(facepalm)

im starting to see where you have gone wrong...

you at one point say
"then hard-forking all by himself"
"going to mine all by himself"

 but then you back track by bringing him back into the competition by talking about orphans.

if a pool went at it alone.. there would be no competition. no stales no orphans no giving up..

now can you see that it would get every block
now can you see that if he only got 1 block out of 6 in the "consortium competition", he will get 6 out of 6 "on his own"
now can you see that instead of timing an hour and dividing it by how many blocks solved in competition.. you instead of look at the ACTUAL TIME of a block from height to height+1... not height to height+6

I know you still think that.  See above. 

But it is still just as wrong as before Smiley

611  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 04:17:58 PM
8MB right now is not safe, it's too much, nodes will drop likes flies. Im dumping my node for sure at 8MB.

Do you understand the importance hence of a serious logical and rational (not rhetorical) argument of why these non-mining nodes are essential ?

You are going to make a decision upon restricting the use of a system, maybe based upon an argument (we need lots of non mining nodes for "decentralization") that doesn't hold water, and of which one cannot give, visibly, a strongly argumented proof ?
612  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 04:10:39 PM
Fact: If you raise the blocksize up to a point where people can't run their own nodes, you cannot call it a peer to peer network anymore.

get the "gigabytes by midnight" script out of your head. the rises of blocksize can grow at a natural progressive rate that nodes can cope with.
core already admit 8mb is safe..
with all the code efficiencies since 2009 (libsecp256k1=5x efficient for instance),
the fact that we are not average homeline of 512mbit/s(38mbyte/10min) ADSL, but alot more as an average now
the fact that hard drives ar cheaper
the fact that the baseline raspberry Pi is now raspberrypi3

all show that 8mb is safe and admitted as such, but even so just going to 4mb is also ok. with a few tweaks ONTOP to further becoming extra safe such as limiting txsigops to 4k per tx or less forever...
all would show that there is nothing technically hindering the ability to run a full node at home


No amount of tricks can overcome the importance of a full validating node, so forget about SPV. The moment people can't have full validating nodes the whole concept of "peer to peer cash" it's game over.

and i now hope you see why the whole filters(gmaxbuzz) bridging(lukeJrbuzz) to create a cesspit of a TIER network by going soft is something i have hate of.


And 8MB is shit compared to mainstream payment transactors. You will never achieve mainstream adoption onchain.

Bitcoin will never go mainstream as payment system, that's obvious (*), so one shouldn't aim for something that will never happen.  Bitcoin is a speculative asset, it is not a currency.  Of course, it is a speculative asset that can be transmitted, and hence, can be used somewhat as a payment in those cases where normal payments don't work well (such as dark markets, bribing, murder on command, financing prohibited political activity, doing business away from taxes, and many other applications where fiat can only go with difficulty).  But it is not a stable currency that can be used as a general payment system so that's not necessary.

It only needs to carry the load of these niche payment applications, and of course, its main application, which is speculative trading.  Now, 1 MB is maybe a bit low for that, but I would be surprised if bitcoin needs orders of magnitude more for speculation transactions.  After all, they essentially serve to go to exchanges, and back to wallets.

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Could you argue with text please ?  I'm sure you can give a logically constructed argument on which we can reason, instead of some or other video.  I can't reason with videos.  I watched the beginning of it, and it sounded like some rhetoric about the analogy with the internet, but rhetoric doesn't cut it.

I think my argument is quite watertight concerning the non-power of full nodes, and I've never seen a LOGICALLY ARGUMENTED rebuttal to it, that doesn't confuse full nodes with users, or doesn't confuse it with the power game of a hard fork.

(*) it is obvious because bitcoin is not a good unit of account, there's no mechanism in it that adapts the emission of bitcoin with its value with the aim to stabilize it, and bitcoiners are even proud of that.  Something that is not a good unit of account (volatile value) cannot be generally used as a currency in a payment system.
613  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 03:22:40 PM
I understand PoW used for both insuance and consensus... still, i think its kind of pointless to say "PoW not as good as DSA".  You can't solve the double spend problem simply with digital signatures.  That's why they invented Bitcoin Wink

Of course you can, it is called proof of stake (for instance).  Some call it "check points" (which is signature of the dev).  Proof of stake has a known problem which is "nothing at stake", but ONLY because one combines proof of stake also with block rewards.  Proof of stake as a non-rewarded consensus mechanism doesn't suffer from that.  

Bitcoin could not really start with *rewarded* PoS, because then Satoshi was the only one who could "stake" in the beginning, so he would be the only one receiving new coins, and the only people obtaining bitcoin would be people getting them directly from Satoshi, which would look too much like Satoshi printing an infinite amount of money that he would then sell.
However, Satoshi could have had the idea of using PoW for coin CREATION, but keeping the consensus mechanism with PoS, non-rewarded.  At that time, it probably seemed a good idea to reward people doing the consensus signature thing ; but it turned bitcoin in a "mining industry" where the users are now "external customers".  If the consensus mechanism had been based upon staking signatures (with no reward) then "miners" would only be people making new coins, but would have had nothing to say about the protocol, the block size, or whatever, which would have remained in the hands of the bitcoin owners (the stakers).
It seemed a good idea to do everything in one go, but it turns out it probably wasn't.
614  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin is useless or is it? on: May 14, 2017, 10:27:51 AM
Without utility Bitcoin use is limited to speculation only and even further what is there to speculate about?

A lot !  Namely how much other speculators will speculate more than you do !  That's how you can make money out of that !
615  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What will happen with Bitcoin if it never scales? on: May 14, 2017, 09:27:59 AM
Your claims about money supply are interesting. Is it possible that your views about current inflationary economics cause you to regard such systems as normal and stable?

One should distinguish between inflation/deflation (= the change in real world value of a token) on one hand, and debasement (= creating monetary tokens) on the other hand.

In general, a good currency has only very mild inflation or deflation, and what's more important, this mild inflation or deflation is *predictable*.  This makes that the currency is a good representation of value as a function of time, and hence a good "unit of account".   Whether the deflation or inflation is 2% or 3% ... doesn't really matter.  If you KNOW that on average, a currency has an inflation rate of 2%, say, you KNOW that 10 years from now, a given sum represents 20% less value than that same sum today, so you can take this into account in every long term agreement.  If you know that the currency is mildly deflationary, you know that a given sum will represent about 20% more than today, so that too, you can take it into account.
As such, mild inflation or deflation, for a currency, doesn't matter much, as long as it is predictable.

But in order for a currency to keep its inflation or deflation rate close to the "programmed" one, the currency OFFER needs to adapt as a function of its value.  If the currency is too expensive (that is, if the deflation is too severe), more currency needs to be put on the market.  If the currency becomes too cheap, (that is, inflation is too severe), currency needs to be taken out of the market.

A currency with a given production rate, worse, a currency with a decreasing production rate, and an increasing adoption, will be explosively deflationary.  That's exactly what we saw with bitcoin.  Everyone is cheering that bitcoin went up from $0.1 to $1700 or so in about 6 years, but that is a catastrophic deflation.  

Imagine that 6 years ago, you signed a contract with me that I would clean your room for 100 BTC (say, $10) per day, with an indemnity of breach of contract of 5000 BTC (say, $500) if you decide to stop the contract without me failing to clean your room.  Then I'm rich now, and you will be working the rest of your life to pay off the contract !
You cannot do business in such a "currency".  

If that currency would become in general usage, then the economy would fall in a deflationary spiral: as hoarding currency instead of spending it would lead to higher wealth, and as the increase in value of the hoarded currency would outpace any reasonable true economic return on investment (look at bitcoin: what real world economic investments allow a factor of 10000 ROI in 7 years !), nobody would spend, nobody would invest, and everyone would hoard more and more currency, having less and less currency running around, increasing even more the value of the few coins that are available and not hoarded yet, inspiring people to hoard even more.
616  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 09:02:54 AM
If we are talking about the purpose of Bitcoin, we should remember the context of its inception and the message encrypted in the genesis block:

"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks"

This was probably intended to comment on the instability caused by fractional-reserve banking and to provide people with another option:   peer-to-peer cash.  

This is in fact extremely ironic.  The banking crisis of 2007-2008 was NOT caused by any failure of the fiat currency system.  It was caused by reckless speculation of financial institutions on "virtual assets" ... not any quirks in the issuing of fiat money, as can be seen by the relative price stability of most fiat currency in that period.

Jajajaja ... it's totally ironic.  I think it provides people with another option.  Andreas Antonopolis told a story in an interview about how he convinced his mother to put all of her money into Bitcoin in 2011.  She finally did.  Shortly after, the government took 20% from everyone's bank accounts.  There is nothing wrong with fiat currencies, except politics, and that's also true with Bitcoin.

Sure, it is another option.  That said, when government wants to take assets from people, they will always find a way, especially when the assets become "publicly accepted" (and hence also "declared"). 

But there's a difference between "freedom money" (of which I'm fond), and "sound money doctrine" (finite set of assets).   Nothing stops freedom money from having an issuing mechanism that more or less regulates its value to a constant, and hence can become a much better unit of account than an inelastic amount of assets which will always turn into speculative items, because of their volatility (and especially, if "growing", by their greater-fool potential).

In as much as bitcoin was a great idea to have a decentralized monetary token, its economic policy is very naive and bound to failure (as an ideal monetary asset), especially because it has no elasticity.

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Do you think maybe it was to mimic gold, as some have suggested? Perhaps it was to say "DON'T PRINT MONEY TO BAIL OUT BANKS!" We'll never know [hopefully] and that's the fun part.  Probably some of both.

But gold never was a great money, and gold is special, because of its historical ground.  Rare stuff just becomes speculative, and when it is speculative, it has not stable value, and when it has no stable value, it is not a good unit of account, and when it is not a good unit of account, it is not a fluid currency.

Also, gold "always existed" in a certain way, and the only thing that new gold sources did, was a "gold rush" which was always an economic disaster, from the demise of the native American civilisations to the disasters elsewhere ; but gold never faced the problem of extremely severe seigniorage, making huge fortunes of a few. 

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It will be interesting to see where it goes.  It has a lot of benefits by being the first, but other currencies are able to adapt.  DASH has seen the Bitcoin scaling debate and built it into their Masternode.  They also have 100 DASH limit to vote.  ETH is exploring proof of stake, which is a flaw with BTC; people can say all they want without having a dime invested and it takes time to distinguish on these sites.

I don't think Bitcoin will go away.  I think it's great, but I am diversifying my portfolio (along with many others) and am mostly interested in LiteCoin and DASH.  Having said that, I think any cryptocurrency that has a public blockchain can be legitimate and competes with BTC.  If it's an internal blockchain, then, it probably has less value.  I'm thinking Ripple.

My take on it is that bitcoin will stay, of course.  But I think bitcoin has so many flaws, is based upon so many misconceptions, that it will never be what it was said it was going to be ; and bitcoin has been withholding serious crypto competition until recently, by its de facto monopoly of the market. 

That said, my idea is that most of crypto, as of this day, is heavily speculative, and that this will only get worse, not better, because almost no token has self-regulating systems, and if they are, nobody is interested in it.  Bitcoin has killed the dream of free money by being a get-amazingly-rich-quickly scheme like rarely has been seen before, and by having many imitators of that same scheme.  DASH, for instance, even amplified the deflationary spiral with its master node scheme. 

It is very easy to make a speculation-capped crypto asset, that will never fall into a deflationary spiral, but nobody would use it, because, exactly, the get-rich-quickly dream would not be included, and all the deflationary bullshit of bitcoin's monetary theory would be baffled: the simple thing to do would be to have PoW without automatic adaptation, but with a slowly rising curve.  As such, a coin would never be worth more than the economic cost of the PoW of its creation, and the monetary mass would adapt to its market value to keep it essentially constant (the rising curve would compensate for the improving technology) ; exactly like central banks do.  But nobody actually wants "internet money" - except dark markets.  People want "digital gold on steroids" to become rich quickly in a greater fool game.  My idea is that this is what kills crypto's soul, and that we're just seeing the crypto version of a huge "complex derivatives" market on which people speculate.

617  Other / Meta / Re: Lauda has Broken the GuideLine of the Trust System by theymos own words, ban her on: May 14, 2017, 07:36:18 AM
Four wrongs do not make it right, rather it is a clusterfuck.

1. Centralized de facto trust list for most users.
2. @Lauda knows this thus can abuse @kiklo.
3. @kiklo is told to accept this abuse, so he lashes out.
4. You guys have the wrong of blaming the clusterfuck on @kiklo accusing him of being a hypocrite.

Big mess all made by very poorly contemplated design of a forum system.

Humans are social animals, which means they are designed to abuse, or be abused, to dominate, or to be dominated, to rule, or be ruled.  The abused, dominated and ruled want others to be abused, dominated and ruled too, apart from their abusers, dominators, and rulers.  That's the essence of social behaviour: if you're beaten up, you want others to be beaten up too.

Social behaviour is perpetuated, because it is in the advantage of the deciders for it to be perpetuated (the progenitors, the rule makers, and the economically privileged), and they keep the speculative dream alive of the dominated, to be one day the dominant (which almost never happens, but it is the belief that counts).  As such, the dominated, too, want this to be perpetuated, waiting for the moment (in vain) when they will be the dominators.

In other words, social behaviour is locked in by a consensus mechanism that became immutable.  You can always try to fork off, you will get a 51% attack on your nose.

So all this is in perfect agreement with human nature.
618  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 06:59:51 AM
If we are talking about the purpose of Bitcoin, we should remember the context of its inception and the message encrypted in the genesis block:

"The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks"

This was probably intended to comment on the instability caused by fractional-reserve banking and to provide people with another option:   peer-to-peer cash.  

This is in fact extremely ironic.  The banking crisis of 2007-2008 was NOT caused by any failure of the fiat currency system.  It was caused by reckless speculation of financial institutions on "virtual assets" which were the toxic complex derivatives, of which the backing in real economic terms was totally unfathomable by their complexity and hence became unbacked assets, and which essentially crashed, exposing these financial institutions with worthless paper.  This SPECULATION is what was at the cause of the crisis, not any quirks in the issuing of fiat money, as can be seen by the relative price stability of most fiat currency in that period.

Now, as a reaction to that, bitcoin's creator invented an asset, bitcoin, that has a severe deflationary spiral built into it, and hence is entirely designed to be a heavily speculative asset (as is observed in reality), exactly of the same kind as the kind of hollow derivatives speculation that caused the crisis.

So, bitcoin pretended to fix a problem that wasn't one (namely the pretended problem with the fiat payment system), while inventing an asset that was of the same speculative type as the stuff that DID cause the problem.

That said, bitcoin did pave the way for a "freedom currency", that would allow people to win back their economic freedom, from law, state and tax.  So the fact that a freedom currency could exist, is an interesting aspect of bitcoin.  However, in my opinion, it contains too many fatal design flaws to become such a large scale currency (if even there's a demand for it) ; but for a smaller community of people, it can have this usage on occasions even though its overall design makes it into a speculative asset.
619  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 06:53:44 AM


It is here that proof of work is a terribly BAD cryptographic security.  You can't find worse.  In as much as consensus FINDING can be done with just any sufficiently fair and random way, past consensus securing should be done with better cryptographic means than proof of work.

Options are limited when it comes to distributed consensus obviously.  What's better?

In bitcoin, and in several other crypto, one has confused several different functions, to bring them together in one single thing, and I think it is quite obvious now, with hindsight, that this was a bad idea.

The different functions that PoW has been assigned to, are these:

1) burning seigniorage for new coins.  The ability to print "money out of thin air and get its value" (seigniorage) has always seen as a bad trait of any monetary system ; in fact, it is the sole justification of "sound money doctrine", namely that NOBODY should be able to print money because of seigniorage.  The Austrian school considered gold, that came from "long ago" as an acceptable sound money, because nobody could "print" gold - and mining gold was about as costly as what it was worth.  If you make a new currency, of course you have to "print" it, and bitcoin's way of killing the seigniorage was exactly, mining with PoW: you got bitcoin's value, but you had wasted about the value you obtained in hardware and electricity.

==> this is a sensible use of PoW

2) allowing new users to compete for coins without being in the "old boys network".   PoW allows just anyone to create coins, without permission or acceptance or whatever.

==> this is a sensible use of PoW

3) consensus formation.  This is already somewhat more doubtful.  NORMALLY, all transactions that are transmitted over the network, should simply be part of the consensus, apart from double spends, in which case, one has to decide "arbitrarily" which of the two double spends, if any, should be part of the consensus.  One should also include, in the consensus, who had the right to win coins through PoW.

==> this has nothing to do with PoW a priori.  In case there's a doubt, a random, but agreed-upon decision should simply be taken.

In fact, consensus formation is almost trivial apart from double spends close in time so that they arrive in different orders at different parts of the network, which is the "hard part" to solve, but which could in fact be solved easily: if ever there is a double spend in a relatively close interval of time, the spending address is blacklisted, and the coins are lost for ever, which would be a serious disincentive to double spend.  Without double spends, the consensus formation is trivial: it is the full list of all transactions, and the order doesn't matter.

4) cryptographic securing of the consensus formation.  In as much as the consensus is "the biggest set of transactions", there's in fact not much securing to do.  It is the possibility of *excluding* transactions that needs cryptographic securing, so that nobody *excludes* old transactions.  In as much as it would be "the biggest list", no cryptographic securing is in fact needed, but if the list has special requirements, it needs to be secured once the list is accepted generally.

In fact, it is the severe consensus mechanism, to put everything in a block chain, that needs cryptographic securing, and here, PoW is really bad.  Just any digital signature scheme would be better because cryptographically more secure. The whole of bitcoin's drama comes from the fact that the PoW, which was meaningful for coin creation, was also used as a very severe consensus decision mechanism, and as a cryptographic securing of this very severs consensus decision, leading to the mining industry and the uselessness of network nodes.

620  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Why Bitcoin Core Developers won't compromise on: May 14, 2017, 06:14:40 AM
As of today. But that "20" will continue to shrink until someone can control 51%. It's inevitable assuming "all things" stay the same.

Even if someone was having 51% of the hashing power, that wouldn't mean that bitcoin was not functioning - only, we would now have a "CEO of bitcoin".  That said, the relationship is somewhat more complicated, because that 51% power is mostly outsourced to hardware owners.  There hardware owners cannot decide directly, (they only sell their hash rate), but they are part of the "block chain producing industry" and wouldn't want to see the system destroyed in which they are hardware-invested.   So even if a single pool had more than 51% of the hash rate, I don't think it would mean that bitcoin was compromised.  The day that that pool owner "goes beserk", the hardware owners might decide to jump to another pool if the jumping of the pool owner is not seen in their lucrative advantage.

There's no reason for a big pool owner to go beserk ; however, all miners (hardware owners and pool owners) will want to find the most lucrative way of running bitcoin for them, that's for sure.   My idea is that the current protocol is actually very lucrative to them. 
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