What? Low interest rates make it harder to compete? Really? Last time i checked having a lower cost of capital is good thing, and any failing business is at the very least spending money and employing someone. You are a danger to yourself and others. Throwing away capital by pouring it into a failing business makes things worse because all the resources tied up in that business are being pointlessly consumed instead of redirected into something successful.
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I only make estimations of expected exchange rates to even powers of 10 because I don't actively trade.
Based on the estimations of the amount of bitcoin-denomimated trade and the assumption that the velocity of bitcoin used for commerce is similar to the velocity in the larger economy I expect the exchange rate to be between $1 and $10 while the amount of annual bitcoin commerce is between $10 million and $100 million.
Likewise if the exchange rate ever reached the $100 and $1000 values that some people are hoping for I would consider it to be a bubble unless the bitcoin economy was supported by $1 billion and $10 billion respectively in annual commerce.
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Data is data, but the conclusions he draws are far from self evident. From my 15 minutes of listening to the guy, he seems to think he knows everyone and their motivations better than they do, which is simply ridiculous.
Ignore the inflammatory headline. The important part is the graph and its interpretation: http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?post=210976&findnew#new
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There's alternative way to achieve the desired seperation - instead of moving the business subforums leave them here and move tech support and development forums to bitcoin.org
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How do these 'accidents' happen! ![Huh](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/huh.gif) Do people just not realize they are dealing with money? If I ran a bank, would I accidentally forget and leave the vault open and the doors unlocked? Personally my assumptions have changed since last year. Accidentally losing money due to bad security practices was plausible before the first set of hacks that happened right after Bitcoin started to gain mainstream awareness last summer. Now my default assumption in the case of a large depositor loss is theft on the part of the operator, unless evidence to the contrary shows up.
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Denninger has some inconsistencies with regards to political philosophy but with regards to macroeconomic analysis he's very good.
Some people don't like him because he generates his graphs from verifiable sources, so it's possible for anyone to recreate the same spreadsheet he made the graph from to check his work.
It's hard for establishment apologists to call Denninger wrong when he uses the data published by the Federal Reserve on its own website to make his points so they typically resort to ad hominem attacks instead of addressing the data.
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I personally doubt there will be an economic collapse. It's just math. When obligations are growing exponentially faster than the growth rate of economic output then it's obvious that eventually the obligations will eventually require more than 100% of economic output to fund (impossible). Predicting exactly where the breaking point comes isn't possible with any precision but I will confidently state that transfer payments will never reach, let alone exceed, 100% of economic output. Before that happens something is going to give.
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If we can't trust the website giving commands into the hot wallet, [edited:]how can we trust that same website to collect and offer the hot wallet valid and intended commands to pull? You never fully can trust it, but you can make it more difficult for an attacker by having the hot wallet independently check the incoming commands for deviations from normal patterns which could indicate the website has been compromised. At the cost of requiring more manual human action you can add more safeguards, like requiring customers to pre-register their withdrawal addresses and transferring a list of valid addresses via sneakernet to the hot wallet every 8 hours. Now an attacker can't break into the website and send the hot wallet a command to withdraw all the bitcoins to some arbitrary address because that address won't be on the authorized list.
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@World - Thanks for the link. That's the great overview. I'm thinking more technical like an Information Security Policy type document or even PCI-type standards.
A simple example - I'm a merchant. I've rolled my own bitcoin payment gateway. Because I'm paranoid, I send most of my btc offline. Now a customer wants to return an item. He sends me the item and I need to send btc.
Assume for the above example you want this to be automated - because your store is really really big (like bigger than your bedroom) you want the return / credit process to be automated.
1. What percentage of "hot" btc reserve should be kept? It seems to me that with all the statistical types around these parts a formulaic answer could be created.
2. How does the merchant application (the store) access the hot wallet to credit the btc back to the consumer? Is the wallet on the same machine? where is the passphrase stored?
BONUS QUESTION
Should the merchant encrypt the customers btc address as private information?
I would put the hot wallet on a different machine, hosted at a different physical location than the main site. The hot wallet machine could poll the site (to determine when a refund is needed) via a Tor connection to make it even more difficult to find its actual location. The amount that should be kept in the hot wallet should depend on the average amount of refunds . Decide how often you want to manually move funds from the paper wallets to the hot wallet and move that much on the chosen interval (if a site is refunding 20 BTC/day on average, twice per day = 10 BTC every 12 hours).
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Your moral argument is a pure contrivance. That's the problem. You seem to think that there actually exists the concept of ownership outside the boundaries of a society which acknowledges it. Whatever society you are in might acknowledge that concept within the context of its own paradigm. Within the context of, say, the United States, or perhaps Germany, or some other nation, ownership has one meaning, and it might have another in your fairy tale world.
This violence you speak of, which weakens your case considerably because it demonstrates a lack of critical analysis, is no different than the violence you would speak of if in your fairy tale land, if you choose not to abide by the various contracts that exist, as per the method of living within your fairy tale world.
I personally would not want to live in your fairy tale world precisely because of all the potential coercive violence. My suggestion to you is to use the other half of your brain and realize how silly and weak your use of the term coercive violence is with regard to your rants. It's not original at all, and doesn't indicate any critical thinking on your part. ...and that's what pure, undiluted evil looks like. Unfortunately for our aspiring O'Brian there is no room 101 yet.
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There had been a few cases That's quite the understatement.
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People are relatively safe so far but if you have a dog just pray a cop never gets within shooting range of it. The last few years have been especially deadly for pets that get attached by vicious animals.
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After all, remember that the Internet was first a playground for child pornographers and sex predators before the government got their act together and cracked down on these practices. I wonder what other fairy tales the author believes. Has anyone told Andrew Lu that the tooth fairy isn't real yet?
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I think I still have a CueCat or two laying around somewhere. I wonder if it could be repurposed to read QR codes?
No, CueCat is strictly a 1D scanner In theory this is not an insurmountable problem (hand-held document scanners are also 1D) but in practice it's probably not worth the trouble. The only reason I ever had one of those things is because Radio Shack gave them away for free.
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How do you make sure you don't have a trojan that's reading the scanned keystrokes?
If the QR code is used to transfer an entire transaction instead of just an address then the transaction can be generated on a computer with absolutely no network access. Then someone would need physical access to the computer containing the cold wallet in order to steal bitcoins.
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It is possible to fractionally reserve Bitcoins, but what is not possible is printing new currency at will to cover unbacked credit.
This means the institutions which currently benefit from the ability to issue unbacked currency/credit will probably never adopt Bitcoin. How much longer those instutions will continue to survive is an open question.
If "success" is defined by the ability to repay all the debt that currently exists in the world, as well as make good on the unfunded obligations which government have promised to their citizens then no monetary system will be successful. The unpayable debts will be defaulted, either outright via repudiation and/or dissolution of governments, or via inflation. The consequences of these defaults are not avoidable but Bitcoin represents a way to prevent the situation from happening again.
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I think I still have a CueCat or two laying around somewhere. I wonder if it could be repurposed to read QR codes?
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I have to admit I agree with his. Near zero commnication, not answering simple and cordial questions from his trusting lenders... I just don't understand why he is acting like this. Maybe because he is a scumbag? He has a half dozen lawsuits, criminal charges, and foreclosures. I mean this isn't coming out of left field. He probably isn't acting now, this is Tredon Shavers. The friendly Pirate was the act but that only lasted while you had something he wanted. Now he has your coins there is no need for that anymore. Twisting the knife is just payback for all the times he had to be nice and patient to the marks. Hint: you aren't an investor, you aren't a creditor, you are the mark. It would be like asking why the guy who mugged you wasn't more cordial. There is more than one act going on. "I just don't understand" is also an act. Of course BrightAnarchist understands why Pirate isn't communicating, but the act helps to hold the knowledge at bay.
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If anyone wants to test their ability to connect to a hidden service they can use this one: cciyjmmmmbg2mri3.onion
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