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6081  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Snipie's gambling investment test on: September 16, 2020, 11:00:37 AM
Updated the table.
We are still in a positive trending with more people joining.
Comparision between 09 and 16 September stats:
Currently invested     182.68532327 BTC - - - > 194.74100876 BTC
No. of open investments  144 - - - - - - - - - - - - > 163
No. of current investors    82 - - - - - - - - - - - - - > 86
That's nice (although there was a drop in our bankroll Tongue )
6082  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2020/2021 on: September 14, 2020, 09:43:31 PM
*Edit* Wolves 2:0 up after 11 minutes that's paid out already, come on Chelsea don't let me down!
2 goals in the first 6 minutes! Sheffield engine didn't warmed by that time!
For Chelsea I don't know but I have a feeling that there will be 3 goals somehow Tongue
So you mean we are going to have 0 - 3 from Chelsea  Wink

Probably because of Chelsea sponsor logo on the jersey. very often they score or get three goals in his net. So, 3 is their number, am also picked 0:3 for Chelsea win  Cheesy
Haha yeah I am referencing to the relation between their sponsor and scoring (or receiving) 3 goals, in today's game Brighton is weaker so assumed 3-0 for Chelsea indeed and lol they did it at the end and scored 3 but received a goal, Chelsea 3 - 1 Brighton Cheesy
6083  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2020/2021 on: September 14, 2020, 06:56:28 PM
*Edit* Wolves 2:0 up after 11 minutes that's paid out already, come on Chelsea don't let me down!
2 goals in the first 6 minutes! Sheffield engine didn't warmed by that time!
For Chelsea I don't know but I have a feeling that there will be 3 goals somehow Tongue
6084  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: September 14, 2020, 07:12:06 AM
One crazy game today was PSS vs Marseille
I din't have much time to post prediction in forum but it was obvious PSG will not win this match.
They had a lot of injured players and out of CL game.
This match had five red cards in total and Marseille won 0:1 with amazing odds.
I hope someone won on this with good profit Wink
Congrats  Wink
Didn't follow it but saw everyone talking about the red cards in that game more than the goal or Marseille winning the game lol!
6085  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Snipie's gambling investment test on: September 14, 2020, 07:07:21 AM
Guys... diversyfication is a must have in bankroll investment.
This is so true, glad someone is repeating it!
It is essential to reduce the investment risks indeed.

Speaking of LTC investment. I just realized that Yolodice reduced commission to 35%.

Quote
We are lowering commission on all LTC investments to 35% till 31st December 2020. This applies to all new and existing investments!

This should help recover loses for LTC investors, but i doubt that guy like this one will recover before 2022.

https://i.imgur.com/dTLmrgf.png
Yeah I saw another guy with old account in the chat 1-2 weeks ago claiming to lose the same or a bigger amount from ~260? LTC to a dozen of LTC...
In the last 10 days there was 300 LTC gained by the site however the fluctuation happening all the time will reduce the final earning of each participant... Normally 195? LTC will be distributed between them, since this guy own 3% of the bankroll then he should get 5.85 LTC (*4.5 LTC before the change*) if I am not mistaken. Well guess this was not the case with the fluctuations...if he earned >2 LTC will be lucky, so to extrapolate this he will be very very grateful if he can recover his initial funds by the end of the 2021 summer considering the actual 35% is only available until the end of this year. Of course this speculation excluded a big whale losing/winning much Wink
For BTC until now the situation is quite stable, no big modification!
6086  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2020/2021 on: September 13, 2020, 06:30:53 PM
I put in 2.5 mbtc for Leicester to win . Thats a solid $25 and I am willing to risk it. I have another 1 mbtc free bet that I put in this game as well so that would be around $35 or more for me. First game of the season is always a risky pick especially when you have to play against a newly promoted team , Liverpool has a hard time yesterday against Leeds but Leicester would probably take this as a lesson on not to underestimate those new teams

Im confident on this, 0-3 for Leicester tonight ( Atleast I hope so and this is what I put in for the predictor pool )
The game finished 0-3 for Leicester indeed Grin
A lucky risky bet especially as you said it is very random in the beginning of the season, the best example is Tottenham vs Everton, I thought it will end with a draw but Everton won after all!
6087  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread (EPL) on: September 12, 2020, 08:39:40 PM
Boys let's keep a single topic for the EPL related discussion. Here is the new one https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5271157.0
6088  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2020/2021 on: September 12, 2020, 08:36:21 PM
salah still proves that he will still continue to shine this season. hattrick in the inaugural match this season is beyond expectations.

I originally thought the match would end in a draw but in the 88th minute it turned around and Liverpool won 4-3.

this time West Ham vs Newcastle, I hope Newcastle can win.
Newcastle is leading 1-0 after 75 minutes in the game.
For the Liverpool game I took a look at the score after ~35 minutes of the game and it was 3-2, had to check the score twice to be sure that 5 goals were scored at the first half! It seems to be a good match for Liverpool and Salah!
6089  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Snipie's gambling investment test on: September 11, 2020, 07:43:07 AM
Yes, I perfectly understand this, we can say that by increasing our share, we increase the volatility of our deposit. And events such as that LTC winning can destroy our deposit if we have a large share. But if we discard the "out of the ordinary" cases, then at a distance it is most profitable to have the largest share, I think.
Yeah definitely, since the house is most of the time winning then at the long term (years) having a bigger share will provide a bigger return, especially if whales weren't counted Wink
However in the short - medium In Yolodice this cannot be guaranteed! For example, the LTC investors suffered twice big losses in less than a year leading to more than 70% of their initial investment to disappear, recovering it will be challenging! I tried to estimate the amount won by the bankroll after ethan made the change for them and it seems to be 320 LTC?/14 days. There were like 4k LTC still missing from the bankroll and even recovering it will not make -70% returns to 0%. Most likely LTC investors have to wait for +6k LTC in the bankroll to start winning again without counting another big drop or repetitive smaller ones...
6090  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Snipie's gambling investment test on: September 10, 2020, 09:02:01 PM
If I understand correctly, then the exit of investors provides a great opportunity for income for the remaining investors and for new investors due to the increasing share?
Well it works on both directions actually Smiley
Let's give an example: 100k doge will be shared between investors. If I own 0.01% of the bankroll I will get 10 doge as profit but if I own 0.0001% then I will get only 0.1 doge.
Same goes when losing, if a whale grab 10M doge and I own 0.01% I will lose 1k doge while my losses with 0.0001% of the bankroll will be just 10 doge. [I already deducted the site profit/losses]
So the bigger bankroll share we have when players are losing the bigger our profits, and the smaller the share when a whale is winning the lesser we lose Wink
6091  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: September 10, 2020, 10:29:52 AM
1. Real Madrid - has just won the title, has good squad, very good coach, no internal problems I don't think they will have problems wining another title.
2. Atletico Madrid - this season I think they will be over Barca, but not good enough to win the title.
3. Barcelona - the internal problems that are right now at Barca makes them weaker, also the new coach did not have notable results at club level lately.
1- winning the title or not depends mostly on the other clubs results especially Barca.
2- using the same tactic will guarantee a good spot but not the title..
3- I heard they kept the same defence line with 4-2-3-1, seriously? We will see how far they will go...
6092  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UEFA Nations League 2020/2021 Discussion Thread on: September 10, 2020, 10:25:02 AM
I forgot to mention, that guy who became the youngest debutant in France's history (Camavinga I think - the left footed centre mid from Rennes) will be one hell of a player.

It is so evident from 30-ish minutes that he played, his calmness on the ball, positioning and overall 'feel' for the game is world class already. Never heard of him before, Googled a bit later and the price tag is already 70+ million Grin
Yeah first time I saw him was in that game vs Croatia and he did well. He is still young and deserves to join a better team / league imo.
6093  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Snipie's gambling investment test on: September 09, 2020, 10:35:28 AM
Updated the table.
This week was quite stable with a tiny growth in our investment and a little drop in the bankroll share. Although there was a rise in the investment profit in BTC, the USD price dropped because of the recent ~$1.5k drop from the btc/usd pair.

Does that mean some of the investors are already out?
Yeah some investors closed their investments after the good record. I think they are just short term investments.
Maybe it is better to track it from time to time to have a better idea Wink
Today:
Currently invested   182.68532327 BTC
No. of open investments   144
No. of current investors   82
6094  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UEFA Nations League 2020/2021 Discussion Thread on: September 08, 2020, 09:17:54 PM


1st European player to reach 100 goals with his nation, the record is 109

Well, this is already an old story.  Shocked

He also scored the 101st goal -8 to the all-time record history.

GOAT
I think he can make it during this competition and maybe euro 2021 lol.
Those 2 goals scored today were fantastic especially the 2nd one.
There were other impressive goals too in the other games!
6095  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UEFA Nations League 2020/2021 Discussion Thread on: September 08, 2020, 07:56:16 PM


Belgium should be able to beat Iceland relatively easily today, and I guess Belgium should be able to score more than 2 goals against Iceland at the final whistle
It is already 20 minutes in the game and Belgium scored 2 goals after it already received one from Iceland!
For Croatia game, it is interestingly leading with 1 goal vs France  Wink

Interesting match to follow! After 5 min, it was already 0-1 for Iceland  Smiley. There was some real value in BTS (@2.75!).
Other bet I placed: > 2.5 goals for Belgium, which should be reached easily.
Belgium 3-1  Wink
However France made the same scenario as Belgium, after 0-1, it scored 2 goals and it is 2-1 for France. Too bad for Croatia..
Edit: 2-2 now

-snip-
Nice  Smiley
6096  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UEFA Nations League 2020/2021 Discussion Thread on: September 08, 2020, 07:08:27 PM
Belgium should be able to beat Iceland relatively easily today, and I guess Belgium should be able to score more than 2 goals against Iceland at the final whistle
It is already 20 minutes in the game and Belgium scored 2 goals after it already received one from Iceland!
For Croatia game, it is interestingly leading with 1 goal vs France  Wink
6097  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: September 08, 2020, 09:46:45 AM
Seeing Messi's smile on the release of Barca's third jersey, it seems that Messi is not comfortable with his current position. I think this will make a bomb ready to explode for barca
Wouldn't call it a spontaneous smile at least, the photo background can hide many things and modify a little some details imo. They could make a better one... Wink
6098  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UEFA Nations League 2020/2021 Discussion Thread on: September 07, 2020, 11:15:27 PM
What will Croatia do tomorrow against France, that is the question  Grin
Even without Mbappe they can fill our net easily, based on our performance lately  Roll Eyes
Well better to take this opportunity and win the game to keep your chances high or at least get a draw and wait for the next game  Wink
Portugal and Sweden is an interesting too. Portugal will win tho
6099  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin prediction by 2021 on: September 07, 2020, 10:05:41 AM
-snip-
I always look to the bitcoin price in November and December to estimate how good bitcoin can do it the first months of the next year. For now, I think $15k is reasonable but if that price was reached by the end of the year then $20k shouldn't be hard to achieve in 2021 imo.
6100  Economy / Speculation / Re: empire market exit scam = caused the price to drop yesterday? on: September 06, 2020, 09:05:52 PM
Is dumping a few millions of $$ worth of BTC enough to crash the price by 20%? No.

Does Bitcoin market care about some service getting hacked or exit scamming enough to drop by 20%? No.

This is just a coincidence, and Bitcoin market was declining for some time already. This is just normal waves of bullish/bearish sentiment, there's nothing fundamental going on here.
I agree. I doubt about the relation of this exit scam story and the recent crash.
I see it as a normal fluctuation, kind of time to grab some decent profit from big traders.
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