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621  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UEFA Nations League 2020/2021 Discussion Thread on: June 13, 2022, 10:08:44 AM
and again something unexpected happened, on paper Portugal should have won the match because the quality of their players was better but the results were different. conceded in the early minutes and Portugal was unable to reply, no goals were created again until the end of the match 1-0 for Switzerland's victory.
I lost my bet again.
I really don't understand why strong teams lose so often in this UEFA Nations League tournament.

Same thoughts. And to be honest, I thought that maybe without Ronaldo, the Portuguese team would show a more relaxed game and win again.
On the one hand, such results allow you to make money on bets on outsiders, but apart from betting, you want to watch intense games of motivated teams, and not friendly games where teams play poorly even if the game is of great tournament importance.
622  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: June 13, 2022, 09:24:54 AM
In my opinion, the only thing Messi is worried about right now is how to perform well at the World Cup. A good performance will once again remind the world of him and allow him to advance to the US Championship on better terms. I don't think he can show anything special at PSG - there are enough selfish players who think about their achievements and they will not help him with his achievements.
It is the last World Cup for Messi and in his career, he got all titles with Barcelona (some Champions League and lot of Ballon d'Or). He already won Coppa America and Conference cup with Arghentina. With his national team, he only does not have World Cup.

World Cup 2014 is the best chance he came to with Arghentina but the goal from Gotze brings the title to Germany, not Arghentina. In the coming World Cup, Messi will have a last World Cup tournament in which he can still be a core of his team. In later World Cup, 2026 or 2030, I don't say Messi won't be there, he might be. However, in future World Cup, Messi will be only a part of team, not the core of team plan. His importance in Arghentina will decrease with time.

Yes, in 2014 Argentina were as close as ever to taking the title, but they played extremely poorly in the final and by the way I remember how Messi went one on one with Neuer but did not score a goal (it was not quite one on one as it was acute angle on the left flank). To be honest, if Argentina gets that chance again at this World Cup it will be a matter of luck as they don't look like the strongest team right now.
623  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Online Casino Trends For 2022 on: June 13, 2022, 09:09:47 AM
All sites have the same set of slots, probably because they do not develop them themselves, but use the services of slot providers? And each site cooperates with all the top slot providers, so the set of games can really be said to be the same. But I don’t know how much time (and money) it takes to play each slot and get tired of all of them, there are too many of them to even remember each one.

I think we are not talking about the graphical interface of the slots, which only brings visual diversity and that it is very rare to find a truly memorable slot, for example having a bonus system that is radically different from what we are used to seeing in other slots. They all look alike, that's why they get bored quickly, even if you move to a new gambling site.

This is true. But this also has its own explanation - it is quite difficult to come up with something new in a field that has existed for decades and has simple mechanics at its core. Whatever slot you come up with, you need to implement: the player must give a certain percentage of his funds to the casino, in the process the player must sometimes win and sometimes lose. This is a rather narrow field of possibilities.
624  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Дно которое все ждали on: June 13, 2022, 07:24:59 AM
Если рассуждать о номинальных ценах, то да, но а если о перспективах? Какие альты предполагаемо будут востребованы в будущем?
Вот список проектов которые запускались через binance launchpad (IEO), с жесткими требованиями к разработчикам, идее, фондам и т.д. В итоге большая часть проектов уже стухла (чем давнее запускались, тем процент стухших проектов выше) и абсолютно все имеют график pump->dump.
Если уж и заходить в такую угадайку, то только в новые проекты в надежде выйти на пампе и навсегда забыть (как все старые альты которые свои циклы pump/dump уже отработали).
при всем моем уважении к бинансу, он со временем превратился в шит-биржу. если в 17-19 годах слова "листинг на бинанс" уже давали иксы, то у более поздних проектов иксы остались только у первых успевших и создателей с бинансом на пару. блин да в этом списке 4 футбольных фан-токена, какая там идея, разработчики и фонды?

Все познается в сравнении - остальные то площадки/проекты были как минимум не менее скамными в среднем. Фан токены, кстати, вполне релевантные проекты для нынешней волны хайпа - ничем не хуже NFT, поддержка от официальных владельцев бренда уже что-то стоит. А то, что всё это принципиально ничем не отличается от pump/dump схем, это возврат к вопросу какие альты имеют перспективу.
625  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: TERRA on: June 13, 2022, 06:32:38 AM
SEC "специализируются" везде, где было нарушение законов США. А в случае с terra есть большая вероятность того, что в luna/ust вкладывались граждане США и, очевидно, что их права были нарушены во время того краха. Собственно говоря, на основании этого SEC и могут начать расследование против terraform labs и Квона, поскольку данная ситуация уже в их юрисдикции.

Для того чтобы этим вопросом занялись США в целом (не только SEC), согласно Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, достаточно использование доллара или его "заменителей", что здесь и выполнялось.
626  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The Pros and Cons of Bitcoin Gambling on: June 12, 2022, 01:29:16 PM
The thread has already indicated the controversy of the listed points, I will add my opinion on this:

5. It is not subject to inflation.

Let's say you played in a casino 10 (or 5) years ago and as a responsible player you lost only the amount that you could afford. But now, in terms of dollars, this amount is hundreds/thousands of times more than then, and you will probably regret those expenses very much. And that will stop you from playing with bitcoin again.
627  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Sports Betting vs Online Casino Games: Which do you prefer? on: June 12, 2022, 01:21:42 PM
I have a friend who used to be so crazy about sports betting. He would bet on live sports and simulated leagues. On some days, his strategy will be to bet on a specific outcome within the game. While on other days, he'd bet on overall outcomes within the game. Sadly, he has lost more times than he won. One day, everything changed when he discovered online crypto casinos. It was as if a new world had opened up. He would spend most of his time on slots, dice, table, and games...

When I asked his reason for abandoning sports betting for online crypto casinos. He told me that aside from being able to receive payment in bitcoins, he loved the instant winnings that the online casinos offer. Secondly, online casino games are less stressful than sports betting.  He explained that sports betting requires knowledge of the sports and sophisticated strategies to win.  I cannot tell if he is better off in terms of winning in his online casino games than he did in sports betting. So between sports betting and online casino games, which do you prefer?

It seems obvious to me that your friend has a severe gambling addiction, so you should not listen to his rationale for his behavior. He chooses options that allow him to play here and now without any waiting as in betting or the mental cost of analyzing the situation.
Personally, I prefer betting because betting on sporting events is more random than roulette or slots - the house edge is known there and there are no surprises. In betting, it's different.
628  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Something Like This Happen To You on: June 12, 2022, 01:07:29 PM
It was a moment I will never forget. I have continued to play even though I have won in a row in the end I still lost everything. Just like I stopped playing after winning streak and continue it another time. Stupidly I still lost everything. Actually, I realized that it would be difficult to beat the house but I kept doing it over and over again.

Even if the casino did not have an advantage and it would be on your side, then you would lose everything if you bet on all the money you have. Based on your story, that's pretty much what happened. The idea of increasing the bet with the money won and winning more each time is bad because sooner or later you will lose and lose all the money. Bank roll management is needed to avoid this.
629  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Дно которое все ждали on: June 12, 2022, 11:47:14 AM
То, что происходит сейчас с рынком, я ждал еще с прошлой осени, когда запланировал создать разносрочный инвестиционный портфель из битка и альтов. Для альтов сейчас шикарное время покупок, лучше не придумать, многие проекты рухнули даже ниже цен IEO
-skip-

Если рассуждать о номинальных ценах, то да, но а если о перспективах? Какие альты предполагаемо будут востребованы в будущем?
Вот список проектов которые запускались через binance launchpad (IEO), с жесткими требованиями к разработчикам, идее, фондам и т.д. В итоге большая часть проектов уже стухла (чем давнее запускались, тем процент стухших проектов выше) и абсолютно все имеют график pump->dump.
Если уж и заходить в такую угадайку, то только в новые проекты в надежде выйти на пампе и навсегда забыть (как все старые альты которые свои циклы pump/dump уже отработали).
630  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Online Casino Trends For 2022 on: June 11, 2022, 12:08:42 PM
Dice was the big thing forever. Seems every new site the popped up had dice. Now days what you see is slots. All the casinos offer basically the same slots. It's really quite boring.

All sites have the same set of slots, probably because they do not develop them themselves, but use the services of slot providers? And each site cooperates with all the top slot providers, so the set of games can really be said to be the same. But I don’t know how much time (and money) it takes to play each slot and get tired of all of them, there are too many of them to even remember each one.
631  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The UEFA Nations League 2020/2021 Discussion Thread on: June 11, 2022, 11:54:31 AM
The situation in the group with France and Croatia changed even more interestingly. France are now in last place and Croatia have managed to beat leaders Denmark. I don't understand why the two favourites, who played in the last World Cup final, are now in the relegation zone.

Either Deschamps is thinking of returning to first place in the group in the second circle, or he regards this entire tournament as practice games. Even though Benzema had a couple of very good chances yesterday to score a goal, in the first 80 minutes the impression that the French team was just waiting for the game to end, the last 10 minutes they were transformed but it was not enough to win. Now I will bet on France in every match - I think they will try to continue the fight because at the moment their results are simply indecent for a team of this level.
632  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: June 11, 2022, 11:46:53 AM
I'm sure Messi will try to show improvement in his performance at PSG, after his first year with PSG was not satisfactory. After all, Messi's role
at PSG is not as heavy as when he played for Barcelona, so Messi should be able to show his best game next season. Moreover, Messi has also been
given a high salary by PSG, so Messi will be professional by increasing his contribution to PSG next season. I'm sure Messi can still show his quality
next season, and hopefully Messi can help PSG win the Champions League trophy next season. Although I myself doubt that PSG can win
the Champions League trophy next season, because to be able to win the Champions League trophy it is not enough for Messi to play well,
but PSG players must be able to work well together. Therefore PSG need a coach who can make PSG players work well together, which Pochettino
cannot do.

In my opinion, the only thing Messi is worried about right now is how to perform well at the World Cup. A good performance will once again remind the world of him and allow him to advance to the US Championship on better terms. I don't think he can show anything special at PSG - there are enough selfish players who think about their achievements and they will not help him with his achievements.
633  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar - UEFA Qualifiers on: June 10, 2022, 06:50:22 PM
I think so. I'm surprised that Australia has a 4.6 odds of winning and a 2.9 overall odds of qualifying. Despite the fact that Peru is a strong team, these are too pessimistic estimates for Australia. I think that in such circumstances betting on Australia would be a logical move because winning looks more likely than the bookmakers show us.

Great! Then I'm definitely putting in a small bet on that -- Aussies and Kiwis both have always almost been put at high-value odds because they do end up losing/drawing a lot against UEFA and Concacaf teams. I should know, I pick them quite a lot when odds are above 5/1 on ML heh.

But they play in hot Qatar so I wonder is Australia might prefer that... if Peru play at home, the high altitudes always suck the life out of opponents but elsewhere their inferior height is a problem.

By the way, yes! I completely forgot that the play-off will be held in Doha and at least it does not give any advantage to Peru and perhaps gives some advantage to Australia. In any case, the result will be more random than if these teams played at home, so in such conditions, betting on a formal outsider looks like the right decision.
634  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Rakeback and promotions for limited time on: June 10, 2022, 06:11:03 PM
Not really to offend anyone but personally I feel that cashback offer like feature is more of a trap to make increase your spending on their products or casinos or whatever it could be so I am not really attracted to it but is is a successful strategy from business perspective even though they are giving away 10% as rack back they are not losing anything because they will atleast make those people to spend 10 to 50% more on average spending amount for betting.

Yes, I agree with you, all these tiers, cups, "bronze, silver, gold" levels bring an RPG element to gambling and this affects many players so they start playing more to reach higher ranks. And even though such features are introduced to the casino mainly in order to increase player loyalty, this is undoubtedly a trap for some gamblers.
635  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Minor Protection From Gambling on: June 10, 2022, 06:02:56 PM
So the minors are smart enough to fake their online identity? Really? This seems suspicious to me.
So they use their parent's debit/credit cards to gamble? Can't their parents view the transactions on their bank accounts? Can't they reverse unauthorized credit card transactions? If your kid is using your credit card to gamble, you are a lousy parent.
This new KYC regulation won't solve the problem. The real problem is the unregulated casinos that don't require ID verification. Who is going to stop those casinos from accepting underage gamblers? Another part of the problem is the aggressive advertising of casinos and sportsbooks.

Teenagers can use cryptocurrencies and buy any fake identity (or deal with adult acquaintances) on the black market. Therefore, it doesn’t matter if the casino is regulated or not, you correctly noted that the main task of raising children lies with the parents. Shifting this responsibility to the casino or the state will not lead to anything good.
636  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Slots is More Likely to Cause Gambling Problem on: June 10, 2022, 05:39:14 PM
It seems to me that slots are more addictive and more dangerous, even without these studies. You can play slots in any condition and at any time of the day, while if you are a bettor, it is unlikely that you have a round-the-clock opportunity to bet on the sport where you are well versed. In addition to this, when you lose in betting, you feel a blow to your ego (your analysis was bad) and thus it somewhat cools your ardor to continue betting right away.
637  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: High Rollers on: June 09, 2022, 03:42:51 PM
Yes, it is undoubtedly very difficult to find employees who are honorable and have professional ethics. I had a friend who owned an inn, and he put simple tricks on his workers to see who was honest and who was not.

One of the traps was that when some guests left, he went to the room and threw a bill on the floor, and when one of the workers went to clean some of them, they grabbed the bill and very few called to report that the bill was gone. had fallen, he there knew who was the most loyal and with the most ethics.

Employee loyalty is highly dependent on working conditions. For example, if the workplace is good (salary, conditions, team, etc.), then the employee values this workplace and will not take risks for the sake of small profits (however, he may risk for the sake of a million dollars, but this is different). Therefore, if a large percentage of employees commit small violations, it does not always mean that they are bad, maybe this indicates poor working conditions.
638  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Can You See Or Tell If A Fight Or Event Is Fix ? on: June 09, 2022, 03:35:52 PM
the most irritating thing in the world is for a person to pick a game, spend hours analyzing the game, then spend money posting it in the game and then spend hours watching the game for days or weeks or months to find out that the game was rigged, this is definitely something very irritating, yesterday I watched the game of my country's team, the referee seemed to be in favor of a certain team and watching that game makes me angry because I bet on the game, even though I knew that the referee was favoring the team that I bet on them I couldn't help but feel irritated by that referee's behavior, winning a bet like that was close and in the end I lost the bet because the team I bet on lost the game

So you placed a bet on the team that the referee favored but ended up losing your bet? I do not see any logic in this, because if the game is fixed, then the result should be as it was intended by those who fixed it. Maybe it was a fair game and you just exaggerated what you saw? If it's not a secret, tell me what kind of game it was and why do you think it was rigged?
639  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Rakeback and promotions for limited time on: June 09, 2022, 03:15:23 PM
Some casinos give gamblers the opportunity to earn extra satoshis by rewarding them a small percentage of the total sum of money gamblers have wagered on the platform. It's a kind of cashback feature which greatly varifies in values from one casino to another and depending the game (poker offers the highest rakeback percentages I've seen). Besides this feature, from times to times, special promotions with similar rules and benefits to players may appear aiming to raise the popularity of the website, and incentivizing people to spend more time and money at the casino.

Do you take advantage of these features or do you think they don't worth? Do you have any strategies to play and increase your profit through rakeback or do you just ignore it? By your experience, have rakeback ever been profitable for you?

Any personal experiences you can share are appreciated!

I try not to use these features because of those who misuse (or try to abuse) them draw too much attention to me from the casino. Much safer not to use them. But I heard that the situation in poker is completely different and many professional online poker players live from rakeback, that is, it is their main income. Therefore, their main task is to play as many hands as possible and not go into the red.
640  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Your Mantra After, while playing And Before You Gamble on: June 09, 2022, 03:04:18 PM
It is true that ignoring losses can be a problem but it also depends on the nature of the loss, for example in the game of poker it is quite common that even if you played a hand as you should and your opponent has only one card they can draw to beat you they just happen to draw that card and you lose, in that case even if your losses are significant there is not a reason to get alarmed as you did not lost because you did something wrong and instead your opponent just got lucky.

In my opinion, in poker, the results of individual draws (loss/win) do not matter at all, since only the result at a distance matters. And I heard that now in poker the distance that clearly shows the strength of one of the players over the other is more than a couple of tens of thousands of hands (if we are talking about no-limit poker). At shorter distances, the random factor can distort the picture.
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