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621  Economy / Gambling / Re: ✅ SwC Poker ♣️ BITCOIN POKER ♣️ Hold'em✅ PLO✅ Mixed✅ MTT✅ ♣️ BBJ🌟 ♣️ BIG BTC🏆 on: July 29, 2020, 08:33:12 PM
Really not a fan of the 500 krill chat requirement; why not put a chat filter instead?
Chat filters? What a new and innovative idea! I don't think SWC can handle that.

lol.

they implemented new chat rules instead---no abusing other players, no racial/sexual slurs etc. the moderator will mute you for the first 2 violations and perma ban you the third time. you'd think this would mean removing the 500 krill requirement, but no.

it's a bitch to quickly earn that much krill playing tournaments. and i'm not grinding cash games just to pay for the privilege of chatting at a table i'm sitting. frankly i'd rather just go back to ACR Poker.
622  Economy / Gambling / Re: #3 Bitcointalk Poker Series (0.05 BTC & BIG BTC Ticket sponsored by SwC Poker) on: July 29, 2020, 07:59:42 PM
you can tell from the 2+2 thread that other people are complaining about the chat policy too: https://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/28/internet-poker/swcpoker-bitcoin-poker-1756316/index74.html

that gives me a little hope that the policy will be fixed. to hear some of the regs tell it, the problem all revolves around "higherhighs" and the recent chat moderation has a lot to do with the dropping on-site traffic.

it's kinda strange that they have a trollbox at all, and it's pretty ridiculous that they apply this policy at tables just because people have been trolling in the trollbox.

it's not enough to make me stop playing the series of course, but it does make me shake my head at SwC.
623  Bitcoin / Press / Re: [2020-07-06] 4th Amendment Does Not Protect Bitcoin Data, 5th Circuit Court Rule on: July 27, 2020, 09:50:55 PM
Does anyone have a Theblockcrypto subscription? Please share the whole article hehehe.

nope, but coindesk reported on this a week ago: https://www.coindesk.com/crypto-exchange-group-eyes-bulletin-board-system-for-fatf-compliance-coinbase-exec

some of the more notable tidbits:

Quote
BitGo and Coinbase are members of the working group.

Participants would share addresses on the board and, if another member claims an address, the two entities could then share data P2P to keep personal information out of the reach of hackers.

The Gemini, Kraken and Bittrex exchanges are said by The Block to also be participating in the Travel Rule working group.

when you dig into the requirements of the rule, the privacy implications seem rather alarming. it sounds like exchanges will be openly sharing customer AML/KYC data with each other without informing customers. maybe this isn't a major issue within the "working group" since they are all exchanges that mandate KYC anyway. if they were to share KYC data in this manner with services where customers haven't verified identity (bitmex, kucoin, binance etc) it would be rather disturbing.

unfortunately, the exchanges are just gonna roll out new privacy policies and no one is gonna bother reading them anyway.
624  Economy / Gambling / Re: #3 Bitcointalk Poker Series (0.05 BTC & BIG BTC Ticket sponsored by SwC Poker) on: July 27, 2020, 09:36:55 PM
That chat nerf really killed 50% of fun for me. It is time to play something and earn some krill. What is the fastest way to do so? Cash games or tournaments? Is it much faster if you play for higher stakes? Does it count all hands or just the ones you played.... Can I simply buy krill?

cash games are faster, for sure. tournaments can be quite time consuming, as we know. it will take a long time to earn it at the micro stakes tables though.

you get paid krill based on the total rake paid at the table, not rake you've personally paid. so you can sit several full ring tables, play very tight like rakeback pros on pokerstars/full tilt if you want, and just collect the krill.

you can't buy it AFAIK.

Maybe the suggestion they just give some of us 500 krill might be the cleanest solution. If nothing else can change.

wouldn't that be nice? lol. i don't see it happening. based on their rewards structure, gifting 500 krill would give each of us 8% rakeback. so it's not just a write-off to them. https://swcpoker.eu/post/krill-rewards-program

tbh i am just hoping they quietly ease back the requirement (maybe to 100 krill or something) after the chat abuse fiasco blows over. that should be attainable for most people here.
625  Economy / Gambling / Re: #3 Bitcointalk Poker Series (0.05 BTC & BIG BTC Ticket sponsored by SwC Poker) on: July 26, 2020, 07:16:08 PM
out on the bubble yet again. Sad

the last few orbits were really tough. i was totally card dead. @tyKiwanuka was short-stacked to my left but @Hhampuz and @Trofo were bullying preflop so i could never steal from him.

i finally came into ATo w/ ~6bbs left and naturally shoved. @Hhampuz called w/ QJo and rivered a straight.

good game.....

Or, just ban the people who are asshats like every other service would do..

their policy of no chat moderation and no KYC makes that complicated i guess. the abusers just spin up new accounts.
626  Economy / Speculation / Re: A move (almost) no one is expecting: gap at $11795 on: July 26, 2020, 07:01:37 PM
Looks like this scenario could still play out, I confess I considered this one to be invalid a bit too early. With today's move and the RSI reaching a new high, my point (B) (still in a downtrend) could reach around $12k, it is very convenient there is this gap on the exchange market.
After this price there should be a dump at least to $8.5k and my most preferred target is around $6.5k. At that price one should consider to invest big.
My opinion.

i don't see the market hitting $12k+ only to go straight back to the $6000s. bull markets are not ordinarily so forgiving to sellers.

maybe you'll get a retest of $10k---that would be logical. the market will want to see it confirmed as support on the way up. i'm pretty confident that's the lowest you'll see after a move like that though.
627  Economy / Economics / Re: Yearly >Trendy< Crypto Markets, Is Crypto becoming like Tech Fashion? on: July 26, 2020, 06:44:29 PM
With Bitcoin its popular and nearly everybody has heard of it hence its still ranked 1 after still a decade so Bitcoin will never go out of fashion even though the tech its outdated and slower than some alt coins

outdated compared to what? speed (in the sense of instantly settled transactions) was never bitcoin's strength. it's the most secure network in the world, bar none. even if you account for bitcoin's first mover advantage, that's what users are paying for.

Do you think we will see another crypto bullish market cycle where nearly all alt coins get pumped regardless of trend or will there be specific yearly trends from now on?

it's not either/or. we will continue to see both IMO.

you have the long term market cycles like 2013 and 2017 that mimic bitcoin---where altcoins outperform bitcoin at the peak. then within the altcoin market, there will always be some emerging hype like ICOs or DEFI.
628  Economy / Gambling / Re: #3 Bitcointalk Poker Series (0.05 BTC & BIG BTC Ticket sponsored by SwC Poker) on: July 26, 2020, 06:21:59 PM
I am freaking out! There are no one to talk to. Besides just lost a big hand against Hhampuz. SwC really needs to withdraw this requirement of 500 krill to chat. I think if this is continue then I will lose interest to play.

I agree with you, SwC really botched this one... why not just have a different requirement (silly they even feel they need one) like "Have at least $10 in your balance in order to have chat privileges". Fucking 500 krill, who has time for that unless you are a hardcore SwC player??

I'll say it again, way to go swc, love the software but this is stupid.

they first raised it to 50, then 500 a couple weeks later. i really wonder who was abusing the chat so much that they had to resort to this. it'd be nice if they could implement a whitelisting system---for private games like ours if not for specific players. i doubt that's too likely though.
629  Economy / Gambling / Re: #3 Bitcointalk Poker Series (0.05 BTC & BIG BTC Ticket sponsored by SwC Poker) on: July 26, 2020, 05:31:12 PM
Globb0 wtf?!?!?!?!

that was fun, lol. nice spot to pick up KK.

yeah gone again. maybe I have gotten too confident?

those big OOP overbets, double barrel bluffing.....it's a dangerous way to play for sure.

@BitcoinGirl.Club we're all silent at the table because you now need 500 krill to chat. you and @iv4n are the only ones at our table with enough krill. i'm hoping they bring the requirement back down---haven't had much time to play lately and am still a couple hundred short. it kinda kills the atmosphere!
630  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: D.C. Financial Services Law: Bitcoin is a form of money on: July 25, 2020, 11:14:52 PM
Wow, those are some great news, i hope my country adopt bitcoin as money soon too, that way the business can charge BTC and give a tax ticket. Right now they can't do that because in México bitcoin is considered a 'digital active' and not money.

it's not great news. it just means unlicensed bitcoin exchanges can be prosecuted under existing money transmission law.

i wouldn't read much into it either. it's considered "money" in relation to money transmission law---not necessarily in terms of securities, commodities, tax, or other laws.

this is also just a district court ruling---the defendant will probably appeal.
631  Economy / Exchanges / Re: Coinbase is not safe! on: July 25, 2020, 10:31:01 PM
Most exchanges require KYC, it’s just the way it’s gone. We really can’t have it both ways, if we want full mainstream adoption & acceptance by banks etc we’re going to need to play by the rules, pay our taxes etc.

here is a better approach---learn to compartmentalize your activities.

what most people do is consolidate all their coins from different sources into a single wallet and then blindly spend them, exposing all of their funds and blockchain history to adversaries like coinbase. these people do nothing to hide their activities from third parties, making themselves low hanging fruit for AML algorithms and probing exchanges.

this leads to 2 polarized conclusions: 1. "play by the rules" or 2. "coinbase is the devil!!!1!1 #deletecoinbase!!!11!1!"

neither of which is correct IMO.

keep in mind that virtually all exchanges are deeply analyzing all of your blockchain activities. yes, binance and bitmex and bittrex and gemini are doing it too, not just coinbase. your funds are always at risk. fixating on coinbase only serves to lead noobs astray, making them think that other exchanges are safe from these things when they simply aren't at all.

back to my initial point. users need to approach third party services with all of this in mind, knowing any outputs deposited or withdrawn will be analyzed several hops out. coinbase is perfectly usable as an exchange---they have awesome liquidity, good UI, free USDC/USD conversion, lightning fast bank withdrawals---but you need to be very aware of their legal/tax obligations and their AML policies.

this is where compartmentalization comes in. if you know how to separate your coins based on source, you do not need to "play by the rules" with all of your bitcoins---only the ones that can be linked to your identity. pay your taxes on coins you sell on coinbase, surely, but your off the book activities where there is no KYC and no tax reporting? paying taxes on that is for suckers! so is getting your accounts closed for withdrawing from casinos and sportsbooks and things like that.

if you're gonna be lazy and reckless about your privacy, stay away from coinbase---you will fall into the typical AML/KYC pitfalls. on the other hand, if you are smart about how you use your bitcoins and interface with coinbase, there is no problem at all with using them.
632  Economy / Gambling / Re: #3 Bitcointalk Poker Series (0.05 BTC & BIG BTC Ticket sponsored by SwC Poker) on: July 25, 2020, 09:56:37 PM
i've just registered. see everyone at the tables tomorrow!

Since it shouldn't be much of a challenge to finish higher than efialtis, I will bravely re-invest my expected bounty into another WILDCARD for todays tournament. Same rules as before:

1) You are a newbie to our series.
2) You are not a newbie in this forum.
3) First come, first serve.
4) You will not suck me out Grin jk

Just post your SwC name in here and I will send you the buy-in via P2P transfer on SwC and the password via PM here.
No wildcard was given out for today, so it's available for next Sunday, if anyone is interested.

if i'm not mistaken, nobody claimed this free entry yet. if any new players wanna play with us tomorrow, that's a free 0.0014 BTC buy-in for you, courtesy of tyKiwanuka!

all you gotta do is post your SwC handle here and show up to play.
633  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Poker games that are providing free plays to earn real money on: July 25, 2020, 09:42:46 PM
According to the data on the network, poker stars held a $1,000,000 freeroll in 2016. Of course, to participate, it was necessary to fulfill certain conditions, but nevertheless it is a freeroll.
Thus, hypothetically, anything is possible.

Quote
Win your share of $1,000,000 for free

We’re giving away $1,000,000 in the next $1 Million Poker Freeroll - one of the biggest free-to-play poker tournaments ever hosted - and all real money players are invited to take part.

The latest $1 Million Poker Freeroll takes place on Sunday, October 9, and will award a staggering $1,000,000 - including $10,000 for the winner.

https://www.pokerstars.com/poker/promotions/one-million-freeroll/?no_redirect=1

it's pretty good value all said, but it's a lottery---a real long shot.

the last time they ran it, entries were capped at 100k. playing against 100k other players gives an expected value of $10, and given the size of the field it is incredibly high variance.

do you have any idea how many coin flips you need to win to run deep in a field like that? Cheesy
634  Economy / Speculation / Re: gigamegablocks on: July 25, 2020, 09:27:23 PM
one thing ive done in case of miners bombing the difficulty (or vice versa) and the occasional mempool problems is park a bit of coin on exchanges (yes not your keys etc) but at least its there to sell on a moments notice. yeah it can be confiscated, stolen by aliens, all that.

this is actually the purpose of leverage for me. i keep a small fraction of my coins split between bitmex and kucoin futures. i always keep enough coins on deposit that i can hedge 100% of my stash in a "shit hits the fan" type scenario, like this past march.
635  Economy / Economics / Re: Loans in a Bitcoin world on: July 25, 2020, 12:11:42 AM
bitcoin holders do love to see a return on their holdings though---as a group, they love to invest. maybe we'll see the emergence of savings & loan type institutions, which bring together lenders who want a return and borrowers who need loans.
Yep, that would be basically the P2P lending business. It could be perhaps refined, if banks would take care of risk management and could give a pseudonymous rating to those who want to borrow money, according to the securities they show as collateral.

a savings & loan would usually be organized like a credit union, where the institution is mutually held by the depositors and borrowers, who have voting rights re how it is run. i think that's much more attractive in terms of liquidity vs p2p lending, since depositors pool their money together in a joint venture. creditworthiness would probably be handled similarly to financial institutions today.

Quote
maybe we'll return to the days of wildcat banking, where bank notes are inherently risky.
I don't think this is a desirable scenario. At least, there should be some possibility to invest in an asset that is at the same time secure and simple to understand, like money now. This perhaps could be commodity-backed currencies like those I outlined in the previous answer.

it comes down to a question of free markets. the wildcat banking era (also known as the free banking era) came to be because of a lack of regulation or enforcement mechanisms around banking. what was the ultimate solution? creating the fed!

pick your poison, i guess. Cheesy

At the end the economy always boils down to a trade of goods (including work and services) for other goods, the intermediary "glue" (which is fiat money, in the current economy) is the interesting part where the mechanism would work.

the problem is it's not just fiat money that is the intermediary glue, but robust systems of credit. interbank lending, collateralized lending, central bank QE, fractional reserve based retail lending etc etc. i dunno how robust these systems would be in a bitcoin-based economy.

that hard cap on the bitcoin supply really lends itself to hoarding.
636  Economy / Speculation / Re: What's going on with crypto market? on: July 24, 2020, 10:57:25 PM
What is the purpose of all these so-called projects based on a lot of false promises and almost certain loss of money for investors? I think we need to change the paradigm that crypto is something that allows anyone to start a project, without any permission from the regulator and responsibility for the success or failure of the project.

Such an approach only hurts BTC, it turns out that any fool can start a project, scam people for a few million dollars and then disappear - and everyone else pretends like nothing happened.

meh, that's the free market for you. caveat emptor. you don't wanna lose money on a risky investment? don't invest. i prefer that to a nanny state that places excessive burdens on startup companies. i want more anonymity and less red tape in crypto.

what you're talking about isn't particular to crypto either. it's just the natural cycle of technology-based startups.

Quote
Peak of Inflated Expectations: Early publicity produces a number of success stories — often accompanied by scores of failures. Some companies take action; many do not.

Trough of Disillusionment: Interest wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver. Producers of the technology shake out or fail. Investments continue only if the surviving providers improve their products to the satisfaction of early adopters.
637  Economy / Speculation / Re: gigamegablocks on: July 24, 2020, 10:19:17 PM
The alternative is to dumb down the entire system to 3 to 7 transactions per second. The notion of such a system working as world money is so ludicrous that it beggars the imagination that anyone would so think.
i agree here. work is needed. it is being done. i may not agree with some of it but stuff is happening regardless.

i've scaled back my hopes for bitcoin as some sort of global currency for this reason. i don't think we were being realistic in the early days about the security trade-offs of high transaction throughput.

my biggest concern is actually not the decline of full nodes, but that the hard cap on money supply combined with insufficient mining fees will break bitcoin's security model. miners are in an arms race to accumulate the mining subsidy. that subsidy is quickly dropping. without a block size limit to drive fee revenue up (to replace the mining subsidy) i don't understand how the incentives prevent massive future declines in hash rate. this exposes the network to attack by previous generations of mining hardware, not to mention the chaos it could cause due to congestion and delayed difficulty adjustments alone.
638  Economy / Economics / Re: Loans in a Bitcoin world on: July 24, 2020, 09:53:18 PM
This is even aggravated by another problem: in a Bitcoin world bank accounts are not really necessary because you can use always a wallet, so there would be less deposits on banks.

the emergence of CBDCs is interesting to me because it would do the same thing---people have their own wallets so they can cut out the banks.

bitcoin holders do love to see a return on their holdings though---as a group, they love to invest. maybe we'll see the emergence of savings & loan type institutions, which bring together lenders who want a return and borrowers who need loans. maybe we'll return to the days of wildcat banking, where bank notes are inherently risky.

From all I understand this would mean that less availability of loans would mean much higher hurdles to build up businesses, but also for consumers to finance their houses and cars. Economy would suffer a slowdown (at least if the other Capitalist mechanisms stay the same).

Do we have a solution for that?

you can't have your cake and eat it too. austrian economists say perpetual growth as a goal is ridiculous, and that we should get used to economic stagnation as the normal course of things.

if you want to build a global economy on a currency with a completely inelastic money supply, you better prepare for a big slowdown in growth. austrians welcome that. if you want bitcoin to replace fiat money, then you should too. Smiley
639  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: US Presidential Election 2020 on: July 24, 2020, 09:17:48 PM
Odds and statistics play too little in politics. Do you remember Hillary had 98% winning chance and Trump only 2%?

only the dumbest of the dumb ever believed that. bookies had odds ~75% in favor of hillary, with polls tending towards the 80% mark---some higher, some lower.

for all we know, 75-80% chances was correct. that means trump would have won 1 out of every 4-5 times. and maybe that's exactly what happened.

keep in mind that biden only has a 6-10 point lead in the polls. there is no comparison to 98-2 in 2016.
640  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Russia Temporarily Drops Plans to Criminalize Bitcoin on: July 23, 2020, 10:19:36 PM
But as per article:
Quote
That said, Russian legislators are planning to introduce another “special law” this autumn that could reinstate harsh penalties on Bitcoin dealings, as initially intended.

classic russia---"nope, we're not gonna ban bitcoin, but we might ban it in a few months!" Cheesy

when crypto legislation is finally passed, i think it'll be relatively tame, like it was in china in 2017 after years of prohibition threats from the PBOC. they'll probably just codify the existing implicit ban on exchanges. maybe they'll whitelist some, or start regulating miners. there is lots of opposition in the government from multiple ministries towards criminalization, and frankly putin doesn't seem too concerned either way.
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