It's so quiet. Perhaps people have the time to vote!

What products do you want to see in a new alt-money depository?

Wow - nobody want to ask "what is this"? I though there was no votes 'cause no posts.

It is borderline possible that the "big crash" just started, but even if this is the case, BTC is not going below $250 and it takes no more than 4 months to surpass the old highs.

I just don't see the reason for big players to move just yet. Even I haven't moved or sold a single bitcoin during 200->600, because it is just too difficult to buy back in quantity. At 1500 it will be different, because there is money to be made after it crashes to 500.

By playing only big moves and playing them right, you gain much more than by worrying every 25% change in price.

When Gox was down in 11th April, I personally walked around the town buying goxbux and bought at $62-$90 next day. I think I made hundreds of BTC profit that week. I haven't made any profit since. This is not to underline how good I am. Just that you (collectively) would spend more time thinking and only execute the plan when you have one + the circumstances are right.

All those bitcoins came from the pockets of those whom I try to educate

In "optimal" circumstances, it will drop the market to about its trendline, at most 25% below it. In other words, now it would go to $250-$350 area.

I would not waste my coins just yet, if I were a market manipulator...

Oh, craps, you are right. When I started, kilo was the basic unit and 10k was called a wall.

LOL government does not even need to endorse bitcoin in order to kill it, they just need to say they would  

samson has something against me. We were above 500 in the most reliable exchange (Bitstamp) for only 3 hours. So how could I be serious?

The idea of sub-500 coins horrifies me. Who could have ever thought we would descend so low?

Yes. The selling was according to my divestation plan, but the timing was unforgivingly bad. Following the plan with clear head and analysis, I would probably be selling right now. Instead I sold way too early (in monetary terms, even though it's only a few months) and therefore don't have a new house for Christmas  

Typical wannabe smart traders sold in February, held in March, bought in early April, held during May and June, even during July drop, and sold in September. Bought back in October, are now holding or perhaps already sold. Losing in every stage. No plan whatsoever.

If we take the population who had any bitcoins in the beginning of 2013, do you honestly think many of them have more bitcoins now? The oldtimers can remember what was their greatest number of bitcoins, and how many they have now. Not many can increase their stash, except by buying and refusing to sell. That way it is slow, but actually very easy

LOL what a dump: 1.5kBTC -> 12% down 

I would like to be in the bubble-pricking team when the time comes after a few weeks 

I think that neither was the "first crash of 2013". It was a bubble, it deserved to pop. It popped. Here we are. Soon we have a bubble. Then it will pop. Etc. etc. Circumstances have their role but they do not change the fundamentals nor the technicals.

Tell me when you have it. Dreamer. There is no one in the whole forum who has succeeded in that, however easy it sounds.

I started online trading 15 years ago and have twice in my life been able to increase the number of BTC by more than 2%. Even that beats the average.

Do the wallets support this (when will they)?

If you are still accumulating, don't sell! Easy as that.

Also since you are accumulating, when the crash hits, just refresh your wallet balance every 5 seconds. As long as it stays the same, you are doing good. If you scrape some cash to buy some more, you do even better.

WTF is wrong with this generation that sees a purpose in selling all that they have.. Why buy in the first place if you don't want it...

How much did you make daytrading (y-t-d), and how much could you have made doing something else? 

Depends on so many factors. I think, first of all, you decide whether you have already had your maximum number of bitcoins or are still accumulating.

If accumulating, buy all the time and especially on dips. Now is not a 'dip', but it still qualifies for 'all the time'.

If divesting, sell on peaks. If you are sitting on good gains, it might be good to start selling already. Sell a total of 20% in this peak that we will be having soon.

Whether it is a peak or a dip, construct a rising exponential trendline and follow it.

Do not swing-trade or daytrade unless you know. I don't know any successful bitcoiners who daytrade.

What is nonsense regarding backwardation? (My guess - markets are so rigged that nothing just matters)

Rampion was correct that $300k did not happen this year. The psychological mechanisms that I outlined are however still there, it just did not trigger yet. I currently consider that 2015-2016 is the time when we cross $300k on our way up. Of course parabolic growth is unsustainable I never said that it would be a smooth ride or that it would not end in a spectacular bubble before finding the stable valuation which takes years.

Maybe my greatest contribution was to actually make the $300k figure mainstream. I remember it was met with suspicion and ridicule back in late April, when I introduced it. Now it seems that everybody is content with the idea.

I disagree on the technology side. It would help tremendously to have Bitcoin ATM's in every corner, and a way for the early adopters to repatriate their gains effortlessly. But the price rise can happen regardless of that, and the ill-functioning infra just steepens the rise, because by restricting the fiat flows it squeezes the exchange rate up quicker than what would happen in perfect market circumstances.

The weekly change 2 weeks ago would be on top-10 weekly moves chart