[...] As-tu l'éducation passe droit selon tes standards pour venir ici parler technique et publier des charts ?
Non absolument pas et justement, toutes les critiques, ou remarques constructives sont les bienvenus, même venant de toi. Sauf que toi tu restes dans ta vision académique, écraser et rabaisser les autres pour avancer seul. Cela-dit je ne suis pas certain qu'il existe à proprement parler des études pour l'analyse technique, tout doit se faire de façon autodidacte, comme j'essaye de le faire présentement. Logiquement en 2021 je prendrai des formations auprès de trader professionnels (technique et fondamental). Une formation pour devenir millionnaire? ![Grin](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/grin.gif) Tiens ça me rappelle quelqu'un... Franchement si il suffisait d'un peu de théorie pour devenir bon en trading, 90% des traders ne perdraient pas de l'argent, sans vouloir doucher les espoirs de quiconque.
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Passe au scalping sinon tu vas perdre la main
Les petites unités de temps cela ne m'intéresse pas, plus ça va et plus je commence à me dire que trade sur du weekly ce n'est pas plus mal. Même si parfois cela nécessite de ne rien faire pendant plusieurs semaines/mois. En tout cas j'ai une pensée émue pour mes camarades de la xrp Army qui ont vendu sur 0,15$, des soldats morts au combat ![Embarrassed](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/embarrassed.gif) Alors là j'aimerais bien voir le track record d'un weekly trader vs celui d'un scalper sur de la crypto... A moins d'avoir de super infos, je vois mal comment tu peux anticiper le marché sur des échelles de temps aussi longues. C'est juste du gambling ton truc.
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This list is for those who win, but there will be a long list of losers. ![Cheesy](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cheesy.gif) Of course, these are the luckiest people who have won such a huge amount of money, I wish my name should also be on this list next time. Although this is a matter of luck, will these people still play gambling? Your name will be on that list if you have lucky, but unfortunately, to win that big money, we must have luck as them. If I were him, I would not play gambling for a while, and I will enjoy the win money with my family. Maybe I will play gambling in the next month or next year when I have a passion for playing the gambling games. Actually, in sportsbetting, the likelihood to win is very high if you know the sport by heart, the teams and the individuals involved. In my experience, I have more luck in winning in sportsbetting rather than playing dice or crash or plinko. For those who won such huge amount, I hope they are enjoying the luxury of it and not use it for unnecessary things. But I am betting, a lot of them are still in gambling. Because in all honesty, gambling is really addictive if you don't know how to control it. What do you mean exactly by "more luck"? You mean you are winning more often by betting or you mean you are winning more money? It's different. It's not very hard to win often in betting if you gamble on small odds, but the gains are very small too at the end, if any... ![Undecided](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/undecided.gif)
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En tout cas les crypto' dans leurs ensembles sont devenues impossibles a trade d'après moi
Passe au scalping sinon tu vas perdre la main
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I don't know where you've found those formulas but they seem more complicated than RHavar's code. - X is uniformly distributed on [0,1] because it comes from the seed
- The result is then divided by 100 to get the crash multiplier
I have derived formula on my own. It's basically the same. What you are showing are the steps to find the result from coding point-of-view. But in compact form it's exactly same as the second formula I derived in the OP, let me show you how: Step 1: Starting point -> 99 / (1-X) Step 2: Inserting the value of X in the formula: -snip Yes you're right X=H/E // 2. r = 52 most significant bits seed = seed.slice(0, nBits/4) const r = parseInt(seed, 16)
// 3. X = r / 2^52 let X = r / Math.pow(2, nBits) // uniformly distributed in [0; 1)
// 4. X = 99 / (1-X) X = 99 / (1 - X)
~
But I don't think that Roobet uses the old algorithm as there are already huge number of players that win a big amount in playing Roobet's crash game. And how are you even sure that they are using RHavar's code and not their own? I think only those famous betting platforms with crash games back then only uses that, and new innovating ones are making their own adjustments with the code. Just because Roobet is growing successfully, that doesn't mean it is a pioneer of Bitcoin Gambling Industry! Stop believing gambling sites blindly. Here's the proof that Roobet's crash game is based on the same algorithm (taken right from the ' Fairness' page of Roobet): ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2Fk2dzd0k%2Froobet.png&t=663&c=ROYNUNZ6qDCojg) Do you see a red box? Can you read the formula inside? Isn't it same to the one in OP? Don't think that I will write random things anywhere on forum without any knowledge. If I was sure enough to include that line in OP, it does mean that I am sure about the fact. Period! You're right it's the v1 version https://github.com/Dexon95/Bustabit/blob/master/gameserver/server/lib.jsBut in this version the house edge is computed like that as far as I understand : // In 1 of 101 games the game crashes instantly. if (divisible(hash, 101)) return 0;
// Use the most significant 52-bit from the hash to calculate the crash point var h = parseInt(hash.slice(0,52/4),16); var e = Math.pow(2,52);
return Math.floor((100 * e - h) / (e - h));While in the Roobet version, 101 has been replaced by 25. It means there is an instant crash every 25 game rounds, ie 4 times out of 100. So we can assume the house edge is at 4% on Roobet...
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~
Thank you for these figures. Well you seem to be much more lucky than me ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) I've played 4500 free rolls and won less than 0.0015 BTC till now according to my stats page Are you using a special client seed when you play?No special client seeds, like "777LUCKY777", mate. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) I'm not superstitious. There are always the same chances of winning, with any client seed. But if your browser PRNG is buggy you'll think you're playing with random client seeds while you're not. ![Undecided](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/undecided.gif) Applying this test to the output of various pseudorandom sequence generators is interesting. The low-order 8 bits returned by the standard Unix rand() function, for example, yields: Chi square distribution for 500000 samples is 0.01, and randomly would exceed this value more than 99.99 percent of the times. While an improved generator [Park & Miller] reports: Chi square distribution for 500000 samples is 212.53, and randomly would exceed this value 97.53 percent of the times. Thus, the standard Unix generator (or at least the low-order bytes it returns) is unacceptably non-random, while the improved generator is much better but still sufficiently non-random to cause concern for demanding applications. https://www.fourmilab.ch/random/Can you please explain in simpler terms, what does that mean? Am I wrong then, saying "There are always the same chances of winning, with any client seed."? I mean, let's assume PRNG is "unacceptably non-random". How that can be exploited either by gambling site or by user? And can I improve my chances of winning by changing my client seed? I think I can't, and the site can't exploit this situation either. Am I wrong? You're certainly right, but if you were using a dice for your client seed would you be ok to use a loaded dice? It's the same situation if your browser PRNG isn't truly random.
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Pas mal du tout pour comparer en un coup d'oeil differentes cryptos sur un meme time frame. Moi j'aime bien.
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Rien de surprenant,c'était un shake out et les retardataires en ont eu pour leurs comptes. Il y en aura d'autres des shake out
Y'a eu de la casse visiblement ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2F5BFMRmV%2Fskew-bitmex-xbtusd-liquidations.png&t=663&c=kXWsabveE-JgCw)
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ça ressemble surtout à un gros long squeeze, y'en a qui ont dû s'en mettre plein les fouilles
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+24% sur juillet The monthly update: ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FEX7PLAr.png&t=663&c=VxO3XYkKWHRmrQ) -snip-
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L'essentiel c'est que ça marche de toutes façons. Sinon, je ne parle pas pour moi puisque tu as trouvé ta soluce tout seul finalement mais j'ai l'impression que tu n'as toujours pas dépensé de merits https://bpip.org/Profile?id=157965N'hésite pas à mériter les posts sur le forum quand tu en vois qui t’intéressent, la section en manque.
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Non je n'ai pas utilisé -datadir, j'ai juste indiqué le repertoire où je voulais que la blockchain soit chargée lorsque j'ai installé Bitcoin Core Elle est donc chargée dans un répertoire que j'ai créé spécialement à la racine de mon D:
J'avais fait ça aussi, mais ça ne marche pas si tu installes Bitcoin Core sur le Lecteur D: Il faut impérativement l'installer sur C: désormais pour qu'il accepte d'aller chercher la blockchain sur D: Il y a eu un changement avec la Version 0.20.0. Car ce problème n'existait pas avant. Oui mais ça n'explique pas pourquoi ton d: est en minuscule et ce que c'est ce C:\VTRoot\HarddiskVolume2\ Chez moi il est en majuscule ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.ibb.co%2F9tTBy0K%2Fbitcoincore-rep.png&t=663&c=iFd6VvgczBYZ0Q)
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Ils sont bizarres tes paths quand même 🤔 Pourquoi tu as du \Users\ sur ton D: ? Et puis surtout pourquoi ton D: est écrit en minuscule "d:"? Huh
On a l'impression que c'est une fausse partition ton truc en fait, ce qui expliquerait pourquoi il écrit en fait "dans cet obscure répertoire caché : C:\VTRoot\HarddiskVolume2\Users\ ..."
Perso il écrit bien sur mon D: (alors que le software est installé sur C:)
Par défaut, bitcoin Core a toujours écris dans le dossier [Lecteur]:\Users\[Nom de Session]\AppData\Roaming\Bitcoin Moi j'ai un disque SSD sur C: et un disque normal qui est mon lecteur D:, c'est pas une partition. Mon users se trouve sur D: parce que je voulais pas le mettre sur C: parce qu'il est enorme. Je l'ai donc déplacé sur D: en modifiant la base de registre. Et j'ai jamais eu de problème jusqu’à aujourd'hui avec la version 0.20.0 Il ecrit ou toi sur ton lecteur D: ? tu as mis l'option -Datadir pour qu'il ecrive la blockchain sur D: ?? Non je n'ai pas utilisé -datadir, j'ai juste indiqué le repertoire où je voulais que la blockchain soit chargée lorsque j'ai installé Bitcoin Core Elle est donc chargée dans un répertoire que j'ai créé spécialement à la racine de mon D:
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ça te dit quoi dans Information pour Blocksdir et Datadir?
Tu as un fichier de configuration? Si oui l'as-tu modifié?
Il me met bien mon lecteur D: alors que tout s'ecrit sur C: je comprends RIEN. ![Shocked](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/shocked.gif) ![](https://ip.bitcointalk.org/?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.imgur.com%2FP8b6WLK.png&t=663&c=65dq4mM9R9CiPA) Non j'ai pas de fichier de configuration, j'utilise l'option -Datadir au lancement de bitcoinCore, mais il veut rien savoir. Meme, normalement j'ai même pas besoin d'utiliser l'option -Datadir puisque j'ai installé bitcoin Core sur le Lecteur D:, il devrait donc écrire sur D: la blockchain Mais non. Jusqu'a maintenant toutes les version jusqu'a la V0.19.1 fonctionnaient sans problème avec mon lecteur D:. J'ai aucune idée pourquoi il crée la blockchain sur C:. ![Huh](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/huh.gif) Ils sont bizarres tes paths quand même 🤔 Pourquoi tu as du \Users\ sur ton D: ? Et puis surtout pourquoi ton D: est écrit en minuscule " d:"? ![Huh](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/huh.gif) On a l'impression que c'est une fausse partition ton truc en fait, ce qui expliquerait pourquoi il écrit en fait "dans cet obscure répertoire caché : C:\VTRoot\HarddiskVolume2\Users\ ..." Perso il écrit bien sur mon D: (alors que le software est installé sur C:)
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ça te dit quoi dans Information pour Blocksdir et Datadir?
Tu as un fichier de configuration? Si oui l'as-tu modifié?
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~
Thank you for these figures. Well you seem to be much more lucky than me ![Cool](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/cool.gif) I've played 4500 free rolls and won less than 0.0015 BTC till now according to my stats page Are you using a special client seed when you play?No special client seeds, like "777LUCKY777", mate. ![Smiley](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/smiley.gif) I'm not superstitious. There are always the same chances of winning, with any client seed. But if your browser PRNG is buggy you'll think you're playing with random client seeds while you're not. ![Undecided](https://bitcointalk.org/Smileys/default/undecided.gif) Applying this test to the output of various pseudorandom sequence generators is interesting. The low-order 8 bits returned by the standard Unix rand() function, for example, yields: Chi square distribution for 500000 samples is 0.01, and randomly would exceed this value more than 99.99 percent of the times. While an improved generator [Park & Miller] reports: Chi square distribution for 500000 samples is 212.53, and randomly would exceed this value 97.53 percent of the times. Thus, the standard Unix generator (or at least the low-order bytes it returns) is unacceptably non-random, while the improved generator is much better but still sufficiently non-random to cause concern for demanding applications. https://www.fourmilab.ch/random/
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I don't know where you've found those formulas but they seem more complicated than RHavar's code. - X is uniformly distributed on [0,1] because it comes from the seed
- The result is then divided by 100 to get the crash multiplier
So we can understand that we need to have (1-X) below 0.5 to get a crash multiplier above 2 99/0.5=99x2=198 =>CM=198/100=1.98 So we can conclude that less than 50% of (1-X) values give crash multipliers above 2 and thus less than 50% of X(ie seed) values. Or more than half of game rounds give crash multipliers below x2
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I've read they are licensed in Costa Rica. Has anyone else heard of that?
At the moment it does not matter whether they are licensed in Costa Rica or others. This site is dead already and there are some players with balance on the account are unable to do something with their money. The official representative of betbit is not active for more than 2 months now and high possibility that he ran away with good amount of money from the players. It is turned to a scam site already, time to move to other sites with better reputation. If they are really licensed in Costa Rica, people should contact costa rican authorities. They certainly know the owners identity.
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Yeah! That's obvious. Since we are hashing same number again and again and we have final hash with us, we can easily check if correct server seed is used by hashing server seed of the round times the number of rounds played so far. It has to be same with the final hash, no rocket science in that. But verifying server seed alone doesn't guarantee that result is correct. One has to calculate final result by following all steps and match with the card shown to make sure casino doesn't play any dirty in later calculation.
I agree with you that's not rocket science, but many players don't know/realize it. But I want to add it's better to play on casinos having "seed events" thread on bitcointalk because malicious ones could use different hash chains with several final hashes included in different blocks or even blockchains... On bitcointalk you can easily find their thread, and well trusted members usually quote and archive those seed datas. But I don't find any thread or even post of this kind for tower.bet...
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I've read they are licensed in Costa Rica. Has anyone else heard of that?
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