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6661  Other / Off-topic / Re: Money as Debt on: December 01, 2010, 02:20:09 PM
Basically when a banker makes a loan, he does indeed creates money out of nothing but the promess from the borrower to repay this.

I call it "legalized fraud".


Why ?  The creation of money comes both from the borrower AND from the lender.  It's an association.  The borrower gets the money he asked for, and the lender gets the interest, which is the reward for the paperwork and the risk.


It doesn't matter who is participating in the fraud, or who is taking risks, which banks don't as the past two years should have highlighted.

It's legalized fraud because it was fraud before 1913 when it was legalized.  A pretty straight forward logic, really.
6662  Other / Off-topic / Re: Money as Debt on: December 01, 2010, 02:17:14 PM
As I understand it, whether I got this from books or web or whatever, capitalism is a vision of economy based on the possibility of ownership of means of production.

And beyond that, it's also the idea that this property can be divided into shares.  Those shares can be exchanged as any property, and they are used to divide the power of decision concerning the capital, amongst which is the distribution of profits via dividends.


You understand incorrectly.  Capitalism (the economic principle) says nothing at all about the actual ownership of the means of production (i.e. capital) as we understand it in the modern world, but the possession of that capital is central.  In the former Soviet Union, the truck drivers didn't own the trucks, but they did hold possession and were often known to make sidetrips to transport things off the books in exchange for cash (or mafia favors, black market items, etc).  That's capitalism because the important distinction is that who keeps the 'fruits of labor', not who owns the capital.  Capitalism, the political ideology, does say much about ownership, property rights and contract laws.
6663  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: continuous function for generation ? on: December 01, 2010, 02:02:25 PM
No one can say for certain that no one died due to Y2K, only that not a lot of people died.
6664  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Long Term Investment: Teenagers on: November 30, 2010, 09:28:27 PM
He may live in Netherlands and be unaffected by certain drug laws.

He might, but it's still best not to make verifiying that too easy for the feds.  I want them to spend as much time spinning their wheels as possible.
6665  Other / Off-topic / Re: Political Assessment on: November 30, 2010, 09:24:57 PM
I chose left-libertarian, but I'm thinking I'm really an anarcho-capitalist in practice. My understanding (incorrect perhaps?) is that they're basically the same thing, except that left-libertarians actively pursue counter-economics as their strategy for achieving anarchism. Am I confusing this with agorism?



Sounds like it.  An agorist is a 'revolutionary' libertarian who uses counter economics to undermine the government by starving it of it's sources of support, but largely without initiating violence.
6666  Other / Off-topic / Re: Political Assessment on: November 30, 2010, 09:21:53 PM
I like anarcho-capitalism, but I don't believe in anarchy, for I can't ignore the paradoxical idea of forbidding the use of force without using force.  And to me, "no rule" is still a rule.

I could consider myself as a minarchist, since I think the state should not care about economy, and that it should only focus on the monopole of force.

I'm considering objectivism and individualism.  But it's kind of new for me, I still have to think it through.


Once you have thought it through, you sound like you might be an agorist.
6667  Other / Off-topic / Re: Money as Debt on: November 30, 2010, 04:49:04 PM

If you're tired of repeatedly explaining yourself, then by all means link to some (not overly complex, please) websites or pages where my erroneous understanding can be rectified.  Otherwise leave me to wallow in my blissful ignorance!

Read books, not websites.  Start with Whatever Happened to Penny Candy by Rich Mayberry and followed by Economics in One Lesson.  Both should be available at the public library.

In the modern world, Capitalism is a political ideology that is separate from it's economic definition, but the US hasn't really honored the political ideology for at least 40 years.  It's just taken this long for the public to begin to realize that something is amiss.  Capitalism, as an economic principle, is a description of economic reality.  It is this definition that Marx understood, and desired to overcome.  When people are free to exchange without interference, there is capitalism, which existed even in the Soviet Union on it's darkest day.  When the society is intentionally set up to encourage this, it is Capitalism.
6668  Other / Off-topic / Re: Political Spectrum on: November 30, 2010, 07:05:04 AM
Apparently, this is where out left-right political continuum comes from: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legislative_Assembly_(France)

Lol.  I'm french and I thought that was common knowledge.  But indeed I realise now that it is not obvious for non french people.


It seems that according to the article, that anyone who is anti-statist is inherently left, which i find rather ironic

Even more ironic is the idea that a political spectrum based upon the physical make-up of any national political body could reasonably represent anti-statists anywhere.  Almost as ironic as hearing a political candidate refer to himself as an anarchist.
6669  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Wikileaks contact info? on: November 30, 2010, 06:57:03 AM
Protests are weak and least likely to do anything.

All you do is put up signs and gather in a large rally.....that does nothing.

Mostly, but not quite.  Rallies also help to combat the first meme that I mentioned above by dispelling the belief that those who quietly oppose the ruling class are part of a impotently small minority. 
6670  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Loans for goods on: November 30, 2010, 06:49:22 AM

Just because there is a wikipedia entry, doesn't it make it so, necessarily.  That's a classic logical fallacy, I believe it's often called the "appeal to authority".

Not that your opposition offered much of a rational argument either.

Hmm, I really would like to see this question debated.   "Is economic (wage) slavery actually slavery?"
6671  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Wikileaks contact info? on: November 30, 2010, 06:42:49 AM

The same money they pay in taxes will get them killed if they oppose the government too much.

Young man, you seriously overestimate the power of an unpopular government.  The greatest tool of control available to any government is the meme that the government represents the will of the people, followed closely by the meme that the government's collective force exceeds that of those who would oppose it.  Vary rarely has either of those conditions actually been proven true once put to the test.
6672  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Long Term Investment: Teenagers on: November 30, 2010, 06:35:25 AM
If you wish to succeed, delete the above post, and refrain from making such direct statements on openly accessable forums that otherwise archive your statements.

Really, someone needs to put up a simple machines forum as a hidden service in TOR, and then PM me the address.
6673  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What will keep transaction fees up? on: November 30, 2010, 06:26:44 AM
@creighto, in general thank-you for sharing your excellent understanding of economics!  It is well appreciated, by myself, and I'm sure many others on this forum.


Oh, thank you!  And your quite welcome.

Quote
On cartels:

There will never be a problem with a cartel that has less than 50% of the generation power.  The problem lies with a cartel that has significantly more than 50%.  Any block that accepts transactions that the cartel rejects (i.e. low fees), would be orphaned by the cartel, and in a short time later, the cartel will have developed a block chain much longer than the chain developed by the so-called 'scabs.'


Although there is nothing wrong with anything you said in this post, bear in mind that the act of securing 50% of the generation is no small task even for a cartel with nation-state resources, and maintaining that majority is vastly more difficult.  I won't say that it is impossible, but I would say that the odds that any single nation or private group acting in concert could maintain such an escalating 'generator war' against not only the existing and/or future bitcoin community, but also the generating capacities of nations or other private/political groups who have something to gain by opposing the desires of the cartel/nation attempting the takeover would be somewhere close to the odds of a verifiable bitcoin address collision within my lifespan.

Which is to say, slim to none.
6674  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: November 30, 2010, 06:11:29 AM
The trend down was one that I was not expecting... My gut feeling still says that it won't be long till we have a strong resistance of 0.80c.   Roll Eyes  I'm buying accordingly, glad that the price is going down!  Grin

It's just the Bitcoin Cyber Monday Fire Sale, happens every year.  Didn't you get the flyer?  It'll probably come in the mail on Tuesday, you know how the postal unions work.
6675  Other / Off-topic / Re: Money as Debt on: November 30, 2010, 06:06:37 AM
The most important feature that the digital coins have is that you never have the "we won't do this project, because there is no money"-problem, which was what happened in 1929. There were workers, people wanting to eat, and factories, but no money.


That's not really what happened in 1929, or 1932.
The banks stopped increasing the money supply, did a few tricks (called back margin loans) on the stock market to make it fall faster and probably shorted the entire economy. What's wrong with that? The end result was that normal people were not able to pay with labour for their living expenses.

The only reason that I don't go to greater lengths to correct your misunderstandings of economic history is that I grow weary of doing so on online forums without due compensation.

I actually don't see much difference between the way you describe it and I do. You label the government as intervening, but AFAIK it was the Federal Reserve which decided to act essentially against the interests of the population. By shorting against the national economy they could get even more money. They do this trick every few decades and are speeding up the process.


The Federal Reserve did what central banks always do, which is manipulate the monetary base to favor a very small minority insider class.  That's not at all special to the Great Depression.  What was different was that Congress & the Executive Branch operated under the (particularly damaging) idea that the markets were something that were 'broken' and could be fixed by the right kind of adjustments.  Some even operated under the (false) assumption that those who managed the Federal Reserve were there to actually help.  There were tariffs imposed upon imports from China (sound familiar?) to protect domestic producers, and programs to destroy livestock in order to support prices.  In the end, however, the will of the market can only be delayed, not avoided outright; so the deflation (the direct result of the destruction of credit outstanding due to defaults, not the deliberate reduction of the monetary base by the Federal Reserve) continued; but the suffering of the public was exacerbated by the misguided attempts by members of the political class to fix a socio-economic problem with political solutions.  In the end, most historians credit WWII with pulling the US out of the depression, but that was just because the political class was largely too busy with the war effort to continue to screw with the economic system.  It is the uncertainty of political intervention that delays a recovery more than anything else, because if investors don't know what claptrap Congress might try to pull next, they tend not to risk their capital.  Political uncertainty adds much risk to the markets, which is part of the reason that most 3rd world nations have real difficulty attracting investments, even when their dictator is known to be particularly friendly to business interests.

Quote
You are free to reference books that claim the government intervened.

I am free to do anything that I wish, including nothing.  It's not a concern of mine if you believe me or learn anything.  In fact, it's better if you don't believe me.  feel free to prove me wrong, if you can, and you will learn vastly more on your own than I could teach you on an online forum; whether you succeed or fail.
6676  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Long Term Investment: Teenagers on: November 30, 2010, 02:04:05 AM

If you want prosperity, global trade is the way to go. Global trade encourage division of labor and specialization, which lead us to still more economic productivity.

And global trade forge interdependency. Interdependency mean that if you attack your trading partners, it will be harmful.

Indeed...

desertislandgame.com

That is not to say that global trade is always the way to go.  In a post peak oil world, the 1000 mile salad is unlikely to be able to continue to compete with the 20 mile alternative.  Yet, traders consider the costs of trading.
6677  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: continuous function for generation ? on: November 30, 2010, 01:58:48 AM
This is a pretty fundamental change, but I don't see any downside. I'd be interested to hear why Satoshi chose such a lumpy function.


Simplicity, most likely.  I do like the elegance of this proof, but the problem that I see is that it is hard enough for the average new user to wrap their heads around how bitcoin works at it is without adding this function.

Also, I can see a potential problem with this in the midst of a network split, and those problems could introduce a new attack vector.  The continuous function would certainly help with the distruption of the network at the fourth year intervals, but that is a short term disruption for which we have no evidence that it would be more disruptive than an attack on the network.  The last thing that we need is increased false block rejections.  Perhaps such a gradual shift could be done with each difficulty adjustment point, rather than every single block.
6678  Economy / Marketplace / Re: Loans for goods on: November 30, 2010, 01:42:23 AM
I think that it's too vague an idea to judge the risks.  Details are neccessary.  Perhaps you could develop it into a system that adjusts for risks to the lender, but I don't think anyone else is going to help unless you can prove the validity of your idea yourself.
6679  Economy / Economics / Re: Price vs. Difficulty Graphs on: November 30, 2010, 01:36:18 AM
I'm sure that I don't really need to remind the members of this thread, but to anyone who doesn't already know...

Corrolation is not causation.

In all likelyhood, both these variables are responding to the same unknown.  That unknown is likely the number of people who are interested in bitcoins at any particular point alont the timeframe noted.  But that is just an educated guess, since there is no really proxy for the number of users in the network.
6680  Other / Off-topic / Re: Money as Debt on: November 30, 2010, 01:22:39 AM
The most important feature that the digital coins have is that you never have the "we won't do this project, because there is no money"-problem, which was what happened in 1929. There were workers, people wanting to eat, and factories, but no money.


That's not really what happened in 1929, or 1932.
The banks stopped increasing the money supply, did a few tricks (called back margin loans) on the stock market to make it fall faster and probably shorted the entire economy. What's wrong with that? The end result was that normal people were not able to pay with labour for their living expenses.

The only reason that I don't go to greater lengths to correct your misunderstandings of economic history is that I grow weary of doing so on online forums without due compensation.  Not just for yourself, as economics is a widely misunderstood subject even among those who consider themselves well educated.  This is something that I've often viewed as strange, considering it's not really a complicated subject to understand from a scientific perspective; but too many try to view it from the macro side and then overcomplicate it.

The contraction of the money supply in that general time period is not what caused the Great Depression.  The contraction of the money supply was the concurrent remedy to the malinvestment that was rampant in the decade that preceded the Great Depression, which was itself caused by excessive expansion of the monetary base by the Federal Reserve banking system from it's conception in 1913 to 1929, but mostly after 1924.  Most of the human suffering during the Great Depression was the direct result of attempts by the US Government to intervene in the natural corrective process of deflation, rather than simply stay out of the way and let the nation take it's hard medicine and move on.  The Great Depression was, largely, a political event as opposed to an economic or fiscal event; and the parallels to the current state of things is striking.  For a wonderful counter example, look at the Panic of 1920, and the similarities and differences in how that was handled by the two administrations.
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