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741  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Potential obstacles for mass adoption of BTC on: October 06, 2012, 12:30:46 PM
No. Imagine what will happen if everyone uses clients that don't need full blockchain.

True - but I really don't think there is going to be much alternative for the average person (who is really going to wait potentially days for their software to start working?).


I say we design the "end user experience" around a hardware wallet (that does nothing but sign transactions) and make the vendors house the blockchain. Then the average end user only needs to know/keep the private key, and can use bitcoin at Point of Sale.

First step is to design a low cost bitcoin pos machine - that we can provide for cheap or no cost to the the vendor. If it's marketed correctly, we could see stores hanging bitcoin signs and offering discounts for using it.


742  Economy / Speculation / Re: another hype before halving or not ? on: October 06, 2012, 04:49:35 AM
Honestly - I'm only sitting on about 20 btc --- the rest is cashed out once a month and put towards purchasing new hardware, paying bills and letting my wife shop.

I'm also planning to drop between 40 and 100 grand on more hardware after ASICs are in the wild and we can see what the real world numbers are.

that's cool
I'm sitting on 200.. i bought them... i don't mine cuz i figured i got in the game to late.

Why is EVERYONE so fucking rich!?  Angry

I'm in my mid 30s I work a regular job - I invest in things I both like and think will make me money. I've had some failures and some successes. I've made some good decisions and some bad ones. I've only been in btc since june. I looked at it briefly - mined for like a day back when btc was worth 0.02 usd and decided it wasn't worth the electric cost. Took another look during the bubble and decided I'd wait for it to break. Then I bought some btc (20) and spent about 3 grand on hardware for mining. I've been re-investing about 50% of my mining profits into growing my gpu/fpga farm. I didn't start buying BFL hardware until their ship times came into an acceptable range (between 6 and 7 weeks). But my invest there is on track to earn itself out before asics hit.

I've already paid to have 1 bfl single upgraded - the other 2 will be ordered after I have that one in hand. I'm in the process of getting some bASIC stuff funded (will probably wait until it ships tho). If nothing drastic happens to bitcoin once ASICs hit, I'll be liquid enough by jan or feb to make that investment, it will depend on ship times / real world specs what exactly I buy... but I'm leaning towards BFL SC rig(s) at this point.

I guess the answer to your question is this: If you're diligent with what you have... manage it well, make good goals (like getting debt free and having good savings/emergency funds) then when you come across the 'chance of a lifetime' you'll have to option of investing.

The road to financial freedom is a hard one, but it's worth the effort. But if you're planning on using bitcoin as your vehicle then the best advice I can give you is simply 'invest then reinvest' you've got a keep upgrading your income stream via reinvestment in order to make a long term profit.

If you aren't in mining right now - it's not the time to get into it - you won't hit ROI before things change. If you want to get into it - start small or wait until you can start big. If you look at it like a monthly bill, 150 > bfl for a jally or 100 a month and you buy a bASIC every 6 months... then you've got the right idea. Before you know it you'll have an income stream to rival your day-job (and that's when it gets really hard). Frankly scraping up the desire to goto work every day is a huge problem for me, since I'm making slightly more than my wage from mining atm. I've chosen to keep my employment for the time being, for the simple reason that ASICs and the halving are going to introduce some instability in the next year and I'd hate to have to deplete savings to pay bills.

Bitcoin may or may not be the chance of a lifetime - it might or might not turn out well for everyone involved - but I'm glad the way I live my life has put me into the position to choose how much and how I invest. Because if bitcoin doesn't make my fortune, something else will.


743  Economy / Scam Accusations / Re: Nefario on: October 06, 2012, 04:19:23 AM
So why do people want to hide their identities?

Because if 'the feds' are targeting an exchange, the next step is to go after the users of the exchange, I'd encourage everyone to just take the loss and move on... as that's the only sane thing to do.
744  Economy / Services / Re: Curse/Blessing on: October 06, 2012, 03:46:40 AM
Spoiler alert: I don't think very many people will be seeing money from GLBSE.

As I've said, the effects of the curse are over the forum as a whole, and I did not enact it upon any specific member. As a result, some of you may get off light. And some of you may only THINK you've gotten off light.

The best part about this troll thread is that you haven't gotten a single donation yet! You can't curse a market... well you can, but it'll never stick.

745  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Proposal: Hardware wallet on: October 06, 2012, 03:38:27 AM
I love the idea. I personally would want dedicated hardware. However, if it's honestly about mainstreaming, taking the armory idea mobile is a good bet.

I don't disagree with this.

But I intend to be involved in the usb hardware wallet that includes a biometrics reader.

Plug it into the POS machine, confirm by swiping thumbprint. This would be awesome.
746  Economy / Speculation / Re: Poll - Do you expect a bubble when the block halving will occur? on: October 06, 2012, 03:31:05 AM
I have to disagree with some of what you've said.
1. ASICs will be profitable for a while at least. They draw very little power, and the payouts are relative to overall hash, so it's a self-balancing equation.
2. Many people may be hoarding, but most of those are long-term hoarders, they're willing to wait years for their big payout.

There may be big drops, but there will be people like myself standing there with buckets to catch the cheap bitcoins raining from the sky and increase our own hoards. It'll be all good in the end. Just sit back and watch the fun begin.

That's about the long and short of it.

I'm thinking no big drops, but if it happens I'm ready to go long.
747  Economy / Speculation / Re: another hype before halving or not ? on: October 06, 2012, 03:24:13 AM
the hardest part of doing anything is getting started
now that getting started is about to get a hole lot easier.
you can expect a BOOM of new miners learning to hop between pools and all that.

face it dude, ASIC = the end of your profits

also... bitcoin is about to crash like a bat out of hell... how much BTC are you sitting on, and how much do you think its worth?

Honestly - I'm only sitting on about 20 btc --- the rest is cashed out once a month and put towards purchasing new hardware, paying bills and letting my wife shop.

I'm also planning to drop between 40 and 100 grand on more hardware after ASICs are in the wild and we can see what the real world numbers are.



748  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Jalapeno, who has theirs already? Can we get a count? on: October 06, 2012, 03:14:58 AM
And if they would sell it, they make $20,000 to $25,000 a piece? And how many will they produce a day you think? So, who is floating on a boat now?

I'm totally taking pictures of first order of BFL ASICs on my boat.
749  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Proposal: Hardware wallet on: October 06, 2012, 03:07:19 AM
I like the idea, but why not look at this from an app standpoint? Or, why is the hardware so necessary to the equation?

It's about mainstreaming. A physical device that the average person can use to buy things at point of sale is essential in the mainstream adoption of bitcoin. If dude makes this device that's one step closer to a keyfob for every day use...

750  Economy / Speculation / Re: [Prediction] BTC will be at 19+USD before the reward halving on: October 06, 2012, 02:35:19 AM
The market has already accounted for the halving. It's current price reflects this, and the market won't be surprise a few days before the halving occurs

like fun.

The markets been undergoing a period of steady growth. We can observe the effects of that after the pirate fiasco and the resulting pump&dump, we got down to 9.50 ish before the support kicked in and drove us back over 10... and steady growth resumed.

You won't see the correction (whatever it is) for the halving until after its happened. . . and then, you may not even be noticable for quite awhile.

As a miner I don't sell coins every day, or even every week... sure every now and then I do --- but as my profits increase, I convert less and less of it to fiat. So while we might see some increase in price due to less coins being created - it's just as likely that those higher prices will entice older coins to be sold - in which case we'd just continue to see the steady growth we've been seeing.

751  Economy / Speculation / Re: another hype before halving or not ? on: October 06, 2012, 02:29:58 AM

the skill required for miners right now is.. setup this make shift computer running 100 video cards.
but NO MORE! with ASIC you just 1) buy the unit,  2) plug it in,  3) and watch it make bitcoins!  a 3 step process!

this will lead to wide-spread mining....

the more people mine the less profitable it becomes. if enough people mine... running a 100 Jalapeno can end up costing you, big time!

i would not be surprised to hear next year, that only Mini Rig 'SC' are profitable.

with this sort of thinking... "read a web site" & "sign up for pool membership" & "download and run cgminer" all count as skills too.

anyone who can read directions can assemble a computer or a mining rig. Sure some can do it better than others, but that's not what mining is. Mining is the daily management of your hardware, moving between pools at the correct times and maximizing profits.

Even after ASIC release some of us will still be making much more than others. Actually mining already does what you're describing... just slower.

752  Economy / Speculation / Re: another hype before halving or not ? on: October 06, 2012, 12:01:14 AM
ASIC lowers the barrier to entry to 0.
you plug it in the wall and watch it make bitcoin.
it becomes a matter of how much money you willing to throw at your mining biz. no skills required.
this will lead to mining being more wide spread then ever b4, and profitably going to the absolute minimum.

You've got it exactly backwards.

ASIC is raising the entry barrier because you can't profit from existing hardware. How much fiat will someone be forced to spend before they can start mining.
The only skill aspect to mining has always been programming related... most users aren't writing their own pool software or their own bitstreams. So those skills don't typically belong to the miner.

I hope it will lead to wide-spread mining - that's the point of this, strengthening the network. Profitability will always be in how well you manage your investment- period. This is a different skillset that most miners have already, and it won't be affected by ASICs.

753  Economy / Speculation / Re: [NEWS] Bit4x.com - First FOREX accepts bitcoin! - 1:1000 Leverage!!! on: October 05, 2012, 11:28:53 PM
I'm not quite following the point of all this --- You're basically running a venetfx passthrough. . . since venetfx accepts bitcoins as well, where's our advantage to using your service?

It's not like you're adding btc pairs into the mix (I long for the days of the 'big 7' ) so exactly what value are you adding over us going direct?


I take care of all VenetFX/Bit4X Bitcoin clients.

Yah that's what I thought - so you're basically adding no service level at all --- and running a passthrough. Nice  Roll Eyes
754  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Proposal: Hardware wallet on: October 05, 2012, 09:06:07 PM
About the update-ability: I was considering it in case the bitcoin network should somehow change (maybe the signing method was proven insecure or something like that). If the device was not updateable, that would render it completely useless.

How about this: You can only update the device if you delete all wallets on it. That way you'd have to reinstall your wallets (that you had a paper backup of, anyway, right?) in case you updated.

I like the e-ink idea, it had crossed my mind. I hadn't thought about the QR code (although that could also be solved with a sticker).

I am going to rewrite what I said in this thread and post it in Dev & Tech over the weekend.

I wouldn't worry about the update-ability - if something drastic changes, you get to sell new hardware. If you make it cheap enough it shouldn't be a problem (and sha2 isn't going anywhere anytime soon)
755  Economy / Invites & Accounts / Re: Selling Mturk Account (Over 5500 approved hits) on: October 05, 2012, 08:58:05 PM
The disadvantage is that it's an amazon account and very easy for the original owner to reclaim.

756  Economy / Goods / Re: Oddest item sold for BTC on: October 05, 2012, 03:28:32 PM
I actually tried to buy human blood on #bitcoin-otc after the Silk Road launched (just to see, if it would be possible to buy anything with BTC), but I couldn't find someone with a reasonable price back then....

How much you need? I have a gallon or 2 available in a few different bags, they can go cheap because the labels do not indicate what blood type is in the bag.

 Huh Huh Huh

hope he works at a blood bank...

I'm thinking probably not.
757  Economy / Goods / Re: Accepting BTC for surplus technology on: October 05, 2012, 03:27:17 PM
I'll look around tomorrow, actually. 'Enterprise Grade USB' is probably a shitton of high end usb controller cards in a server with a backplane covered in ports. A 'usb hub' is some scrub-tier consumer garbage that I wouldn't count on for my livelihood at any cost. Boggles the mind!

Another thing ya'all might be into, we have literally thousands of power supplies. I'd sell most of em for 1btc each. Get a few bigger power supplies, you don't want to run 'em over 70% (hell even 50% is kinda crazy) capacity consistantly. (PS, Server power supplies are awesome)

Also, does ANYONE do powerline monitoring? I've got a 208 powerstrip that actually has a webserver with an rj-45 port, this allows network monitoring of power draw from each outlet. Even remotely. I'd almost say that if I owned any amount of a serious mining operation I'd want power monitoring available.

dang it - you keep sucking my back in with your 'real hardware' arguement.

Yes Quote me on that 208v w/management and one of those massive rack cases. And some weight in patch cables or cable fragments...


758  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Proposal: Hardware wallet on: October 05, 2012, 03:18:11 PM
I'd consult with yubi-key on this one. A couple of key points however.

1. You don't make the software update - you put that on a rom and that's that. This protects the end user. (and you from liability).

2. I like the idea of not having to feed it a block chain information, so it's simply a dumb device that does one thing and one thing only. And that thing is takes a req for payment from the computer it's attached to, verifies it via LCD screen, yes/no/whatever buttons. then signs the transaction.

3. you'd need a very large / high res screen on it, since I'd want to see the entire address it's sending to, also BTC amount (and probably a conversion to usd/eu/cad/whatever).

4. number 3 might make the cost fairly high, but I still think people would go for the idea.

5. in this scenario the only 'settings' needed would be the private key (which there wouldn't be a way to read from the device) and a location currency setting (that's if you're showing btc & fiat).


Good idea let me know when you've got them for sale =P

759  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Do you think that there is something funny about BFL's new ASIC on: October 05, 2012, 03:05:56 PM
Do some research, he spent time in prison............ Says a lot.

It basically says "he paid his debt to society"...

Just because someone had a conviction doesn't mean they can't change. Anyway - if you'd rather not take that risk, there are plent of others who will.

760  Economy / Speculation / Re: Are we in another bubble? on: October 04, 2012, 10:48:52 PM
So, will ASIC's affect peoples behavior when it comes to buying and selling bitcoins? I expect it will. I know it will for me.

Ok, in what way? More apt to hold or more apt to sell?

This will be my first venture into mining and I plan to sell everything I mine until my initial investment is paid off. More supply without shifts in demand will mean lower. I'm sure I'm not the only one thinking that way.

That's the perspective of the small-time miner, recoup costs quickly so he can grow his operation... those of us who are more established - will likely hoard more coin. I sell between 18% and 22% of my mined coins just to pay ongoing costs (inet+electric) another ~20% goes back into buying new hardware so my income doesn't decrease. That leaves about 60% that I'll hold.

Of course if I see massive price swings in btc/usd then I'm just as likely to pay my monthly costs with fiat and hoard even more coin --- with the intention to sell it slowly once the price calms down.
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