Not the first time I've read about dead man's switch being touted by guys like him, and unfortunately, we've not really had any kind of treasure trove of information released -- so either the switch never works out, or the receiver of information doesn't quite do what they're supposed to.

Either way, not sure any information he's able to give out would make any sense or would stand up to inspection. He may have been a good coder at first but his latter products never quite passed the mark apparently.

Pity he never amassed much Bitcoin for himself to do a dead man's giveaway.

I actually already do have my own daily thread on my picks but I'm just a value gambler, and with Sunday gambler sized bets =) I can't pretend to be an expert but I do like backing the underdog.

But sure, I'll remember to check back in here to put my picks. I bet on Inter Club d'Escaldes on both the Prelims, won the first one around 8/1 but lost last night.

The league has almost equal cash to Europa in terms of prize money. It's going to be big for those who never get the chance to watch their teams in Europe. I think this might just have its own appeal.

Ooo, like an exchange-traded market on Sportsbet, where we can buy and sell each other's bets, and SB takes a commission? Ala prediction market flavour? Yeah, that would be cool.

Also happy with the BJ special yeah, which I see as a semi-hedge against the 120-goal special (only needs 13 to hit btw). In fact, all the specials are hedging each other kind off =p Denmark sort of blew things out of proportion now though, but let's see how things pan out;)

You, me, and the rest of the footballing world, including even Austria fans haha. I mean, ugh, this goal doesn't really help me at all except to advance Italy to the next round (got an outright on them). Every parlay I had with Italy in it had them at FT win. The odds actually climbed higher towards the match, and I added a couple more ha, serves me right. A bit annoying, but...

At least no penalties, right? =p


Right? What on earth are you saving him for?

Thank you duderino, haven't played this in a long time (and thanks for the tag Loyce, that's precisely how I saw this, via notification!). Can't squeeze any more merits to give, but I won't forget!

I've always played this with a bit of overestimation, but

Box 269. $102,345 -- edited from Box 270

is my pick. And here's my pretend-expert analysis.

1. There's been a big bet floating around on one of my bookies on Dec 31 price to be over $100k. It even pays out a cheeky 1/100 if it wins. So if a big bookie believes in it, who am I a mere mortal not to?
2. Death crosses leading to the real rally? We've just had one and 63k ATH has got to be such a downer that I'm gunning for a "true rally"... en route to the "true winter".

 

^^^ Yeah, like I said, Wales started ok and then descended into darkness, and then just saw red in the end. Fairplay Denmark.

Italy's bossing the game, as usual, lots of smart touches and silky play. Getting quite a lot of joy from Insigne on the left flank but a few tries from outside the box and that post/bar touch from Immobile's effort is all they've been able to show so far for their attacks. Should still get a goal at this rate, just surprised not many corners gained from all those potshots.

Um, thanks Wales, now we're headed for a bust on EURO Blackjack cause you lost your heads late on haha. Oh well =)

Only missed 1 special that I'd have taken (money back) but skipping almost everything that's either too low odds or just uninteresting. Usually for a special anything below 5/1 is not fun for me, unless it's massively over the normal odds, of course (like Italy 25/10 special on the opening day!).


I skipped this one too, I also skipped the penalties one. I don't think any penalties, and I think at least one or two ET but yeah, odds too low to back for me as well.

Ah well. What can I say? It was an unnecessary yellow, and then a brilliant curling effort that just bent and escaped everything in its path. Have to say I liked that goal, and the lead is every bit deserved. Maybe Wales turn up the heat in 2nd half? A bit hard now with Roberts looking like he pulled something. Maybe my boy Neco Williams gives them something better. They started brightly really, and then for some reason just piped down after the goal. Bale a bit too deep and he's not so sharp on passing at the moment. 45 mins to go, plenty of time for something!

You guys went crazy with the specials yesterday, didn't you, Steve?

Took most, but going to hold off on them for now until I settle some winners heh heh, anyone here actually managed to take that Round of 16 Hot 5 @12.5? Denmark, Italy, Netherlands, France, Spain -- Money back if only 1 lose.

Wales didn't help me much except to win in a friendly, as I missed their group upset. Let's see if it's joy for them again today? Come on, Bale, earn your next golfing holiday!

Yeah, those kind of stats are monster, but of course, a KO tournament is a different proposition altogether and yeah, they were irresistible in group stage I have to say, but let's see them meet one of the big guns first after this and then we'll know their true worth. That said, the same can be said of any of the big teams (except Germany, France and Portugal who've had to tough it out early!).


Wales have to be expected to lose this, but there's a funny sense of freedom a team gets when they've already overachieved and have no expectations, while Denmark still has a lot to prove -- I still think it's tighter than the bookies think, but if we get loads of goals, I'm happy.

If I had to choose, and only because I'm betting like this: Wales 2-0.

I had to scroll back up on the Special Offers to see this and you're right! That was early! These specials also just last for less than an hour, judging from the ones I managed to catch -- always the clock running down on them ha! 125/10 for those are incredible value for the money back, damn.

Thanks, and good luck with yours too! I honestly don't think Wales can win but I feel there's gotta be 1 upset at least and this is the most likely? As long as we hit goals, I don't care =)

a)  11  b)  2:22
a)  14  b)  2:33

Yikes, it was a mess. Started brightly and even managed to draw a yellow from a desperate lunge from Prishtina in the beginning, if they had only held on til HT it might have worked out, but home team scored a draw in the precious injury time of first half.

Some long specials which I normally don't share but because I'm really confident in these. 100 units each at Sportsbet:
Over 1.5 goals in each of the Last 16 games: 16/1. Bet ID: 60d5ca0b2e71b2542404f29e
Depay, Ronaldo, Benzema, Lukaku to score in Last 16: 30/1. Bet ID: 60d5ab36be3cd485970555bb

Let's do a massive boosted 6-legs on all the favs save Germany to win in regular time:
Italy, Netherlands, Spain, Germany, Portugal, France @53.59. Other odds: 50.12
Bet ID: 60d5ab36be3cd485970555bb
Units advantage: 347

None of these bets settle tomorrow unless they lose:)

So let's do Italy and Wales to WIN @7.88. Other odds: 7.66
Units advantage: 22

It shows fine for me:) been specials all day pushing out on ClubTalk (just check Special Offers tab, every few hours!)

Exactly 21 Goals Scored In The 8 x Round Of 16 Matches (Inc. E-T) (Money Back If Under 21, Bet Loses If Over 21)

https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/sportsbet-specials/daily-specials/soccer-blackjack/euro-2020-multi-bet-60d5e32182aceb4ea3e6e0d5

I've taken all the Specials on the favourites (outrights) so I have to bank on all of them to progress. So for me that would be:

Belgium vs Portugal
England vs Germany
Croatia vs Spain
Italy vs Austria
France vs Switzerland
Netherlands vs Czech Republic

In fact, putting a nice multi on all of them already all on regular time, even though England and Belgium are the slight favourites here: https://sportsbet.io/sharebetslip/2a08e9b2-8cb4-43c4-835e-0d249d9d1740

No reason to think it'll turn out different judging on Group Stage form, but I'll be hoping for upsets in these:
Wales vs Denmark
Sweden vs Ukraine

No penalties, please;)

Austria, Switzerland, Croatia, Wales are the biggest underdogs, odds-wise. Expect one upset;)

Thank you cygan for the update of teams, I'll add it into OP for that, and what's strange for me in fact is that I actually recognise at least 1 name from each group;) Maybe Europa League has crept into my mind, or betting on those games that played on during Covid lockdown!

My personal picks: Batumi (Georgia), Wroclaw (Poland), Yereven (Armenia) -- all have been very good to me in betting haha:)


You're welcome:) I was asked to, and well, maybe we get a unique breed of supporters in here from countries not normally in Champs League? I know if my country were in a popular thread I'd be even more active! Where are you from?

I had no idea we wouldn't be seeing Greece or Switzerland in Europa, which sounds strange but absolutely right now I check the qualification routes! Imagine Basel and Young Boys out of Europa? Panathinaikos, wow. But prize money wise, it's almost the same and these "big" teams might feel they have a better chance to win in Conference? Maybe they don't argue as much.

A single bet today on the club that won me my first bet in the new season of Champions League: de Escaldes. They fight Prishtina today for the rights to qo to Round 1 Qualification. I took it and by the time I did odds jumped right after haha, so please find better odds than me, it's a disadvantage today.

100 units at Sportsbet on de Escaldes to WIN vs Prishtina @7.20. Other odds: 7.40
Units advantage: -20



Dud on both. Santos actually did get a draw (2-2) but yeah, Copa proving to be tricky as hell. Even didn't take the Uruguay win + Cavani score at SB yesterday which was 2/1, impossible to sniff out anything!

And yes, you should be worried about my Copa picks. I did really well on Conmebol betting during WC qualifications but this Copa has been an absolute mess betting AND predicting.

13)  Alexander Volkov 
12)  Tanner Boser 
11)  Raoni Barcelos
10)  Daniel Pineda
9)  Nicolas Dalby
8 )  Renato Carneiro
7)  Kennedy Nzechukwu
6)  Shavkat Rakhmonov
5)  Warlley Alves
4)  Marcin Prachnio
3)  Julija Stoliarenko
2) Charles Rosa
1)  Yancy Medeiros

111 total strikes

@icopress I don't think I've ever won any of the pools, any prize places, so you can be assured if you're even a bit above average you've got a good chance as plenty of people like me giving free money for pools haha. Freebets since SB started sponsoring have been great though.

Brazil do look like they're inevitably going to the final don't they?

Tempted to watch Uruguay match tonight, they've got to be scoring now surely?

Man Bobby Firmino is loved by Brazil but even Casemiro's last gasp win wasn't enough, as France and Sao Paolo both drew. Nice that I didn't take a big French ML, but phew, two penalties? Portugal will feel lucky they squeezed through, seriously.

Santos upset today in Brasileiro please, plus a Chilean COPA victory, only two legs but I like the odds.

100 units at Sportsbet on Chile and Santos WIN @11.64. Other odds: 11.22
Units advantgae: 42