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781  Local / Presse / Re: Schweizer Bank bietet BTC und ETH on: November 04, 2023, 01:32:27 PM
~

Stimme Dir in deinem Fazit bezüglich Anonymität sowie in den Kernpunkten zu - gut zusammengefasst!
Allerdings würde ich die Gefahr, dass vor allem sowas
Quote
Selbst wenn einige großen Wert auf Anonymität legen, kann das sehr schnell auf wacklige Beine geraten, wenn plötzlich die Mehrheit im eigenen Netzwerk dann nicht mehr so viel Wert darauf legt.
in absehbarer Zeit eintritt, als eher gering einschätzen. Es gibt dafür nach wie vor genug Staaten, die bei diesem "Fortschritt" nicht mitfahren und ganz allgemein gesprochen weltweit nicht genug Konsens, um den Großteil von Krypto (allen voran Bitcoin) komplett zu transparentisieren.
Mit Sicherheit gibt es diese Bestrebungen von verschiedenen Seiten, ich meine nur, dass es zumindest momentan noch nicht ganz so dramatisch aussieht für Bitcoin. Trotzdem muss über Kurz oder Lang mimblewimble oder ähnliches her.

Naja, es wird schon eine Art Pull-Effekt geben und wenn einige Banken in dieses Geschäft einsteigen, werden andere Banken wohl kaum die Wahl haben, das nicht anzubieten. Damit wächst der Pool an Nutzern im Netzwerk, die zentrale on- und off-ramps nutzen und somit Daten preisgeben. Das ist der eine Aspekt. Der andere Aspekt ist, dass mich nicht wundern würde, wenn es börsenartige Zusammenschlüsse, oder halt generell NYSE / Wall Street / London Stock Exchange die Führung im Bitcoinhandel übernehmen und dann schon allein wegen der Liquidität der Handelsplatz Nummer 1 für den Großteil der Bitcoiner werden. Liquidität ist ein riesiges Thema in Verbindung mit Zuverlässigkeit/Sicherheit und deswegen hat Binance da immer noch die Führung inne, aber auch hier geht es ja längst los, dass Binance der Rang abgelaufen wird. Das wird sich dann über verschiedene Derivate hin zu richtigen Bitcoins erstrecken. Eine Frage der Zeit.

Aber das alles heißt nicht, dass ich jetzt irgendwie pessimistisch wäre generell. Ich will damit nur sagen, dass Bitcoin in seiner aktuellen Form schon einen enorm hohen Grad an Kenntnis verlangt, um das Netzwerk auch mit Hinblick auf den Schutz der Privatsphäre nutzen zu können.

Ich denke, dass Banken auch Cluster ausmachen könnten bezüglich der Nutzerkreise. Wenn also mehrere Leute, die grundsätzlich im Zahlungsverkehr miteinander stehen, Bitcoin oder Kryptowährungen im allgemeinen handeln, dann ist es vermutlich auch wahrscheinlicher, dass andere mit diesem Cluster im Zusammenhang stehende Kunden ebenfalls mit Kryptowährungen zu tun haben könnten. Ist einfach nur ein Blick auf die Dinge, nicht irgendwie ein düsteres Szenario. Dass Daten gesammelt werden sollen wo auch immer es geht, ist ja nun nichts Neues Wink
782  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 04, 2023, 10:52:46 AM
They have a potential promising attacker is only one reason, but the other reason is that there is no reason for Osimhen to go when Manchester United continues to embarrass the Red Devil legacy. When Osimhen has a look at all the offers, there will be several clubs that are far better than Manchester United and that also play in the Champions League and for a player like him, playing the Champions League is certainly one key condition to sign a contract.
Manchester united are in UEFA Champions League and there's absolutely special about the team, their performance are exactly like an average team. It has always been Victor Osimhen dream to play in the English Premier League someday and I think that time is getting closer than expected. Manchester United does fit the Nigeria international but the team already have Rasmus who's outstanding and balance for games. He's representing Manchester united and on a different level in elite tournaments but he's yet to record any stats in EPL.
You meant nothing special about manchester united, right? Im thinking about manchester united was not even playing as average team but it was playing like under perform team. No reason to call a big club that is struggling in the EPL and UCL at the same time.
Manchester united needs to get three points from another two matches that will come soon. Hojlund's perfromance is not that good at this moment. People were over reacting his performance while i was not seeing something special from him.
Hojlund played like average striker at this moment.

But this is really too early to tell whether Hojlund can make it or not in the Premier League. I know you didn't say that and it is true that he isn't performing that well at this moment, but he has scored 3 goals in 3 games in the Champions League and I believe it won't be long until he gets his moments in the Premier League as well. But the problem is that Manchester United doesn't have time. They are about to lose sight of their goals and not even 1/3 of the games this season has been played. They need to get going quickly and this is why Hojlund might be a problem for them.
783  Local / Deutsch (German) / Re: ⚽Bitcointalk Bundesliga Tippspiel 2023/2024 sponsored by sportsbet.io⚽ on: November 04, 2023, 06:21:30 AM
Das waren mal 3 wichtige Punkte für den VFL Bochum und ich muss sagen, dass man die Bochumer manchmal ein wenig unterschätzt, weil sie doch immer mal wieder mit Ergebnissen um die Ecke kommen, die die Mehrheit doch nicht erwartet hätte. Die entscheidendere Statistik, wenn man sich die Bochumer anguckt in der Tabelle, ist die Anzahl der Niederlagen und da sind sie gleichauf mit einigen anderen mit 4 Niederlagen vom Achtplatzierten bis zum Letztplatzierten. Sie verlieren also Mehrheit ihrer Spiele nicht. Ich finde das bei denen immer etwas trügerisch, wenn man so stumpf auf die Tabelle guckt und dann direkt sagt: jo, das werden sie verlieren.

Aber ich war total überzeugt, dass Darmstadt da wirklich alles reinhauen wird, um eine Niederlage zu vermeiden. Enorm wichtige Punkte für die Bochumer und gut gemacht @cygan, @seekah und @5tift!
784  Local / Presse / Re: Schweizer Bank bietet BTC und ETH on: November 03, 2023, 07:14:31 PM
~

Quote
Wieder ein Schritt in die richtige Richtung.

Das kann man jetzt natürlich sehen wie man will, denn im Grunde wird dieser Trend genau dazu führen, dass das Rent-Seeking- und Gatekeeper-System so erhalten bleibt wie wir es jetzt haben. Das wird langsam aber sicher voranschreiten, die etwas rebellischeren Börsen werden durch Regulierung Stück für Stück zerstört und die regulierten Börsen werden Marionetten des Bankensystems. Ziemlich einfach und der Artikel

"On Bitcoin White Paper's 15th Anniversary, Wall Street Threatens to Swallow Its One-Time Challenger"

beschreibt das auch. Sobald also nun Banken und staatlich vollkommen durchregulierte Finanzinstitute die Hoheit im Transaktionsverkehr über Bitcoin haben, geht es dann nur darum, die Innovationen, die von außen noch kommen können, so klein wie möglich zu halten. Damit wäre dann weiteres Rent-Seeking gesichert, man unterwirft sich sämtlichen Regulierungsbehörden und hält die Lizenzierungsstandards so hoch, dass neue Player keine Chance haben in den Markt zu kommen und für Unruhe zu sorgen. Damit wäre dann auch das Gatekeeping safe.

Die Banken waren vor Jahren noch überrumpelt und haben ihre Lobby genutzt, um sich Zeit zu verschaffen. Und jetzt wird man in den nächsten Jahren sehen, dass sie die Barrieren so scheinbar niedrig halten, dass die meisten tatsächlich zum Handel auf ihre Banken zurückgreifen. Durch diese zentralen Knotenpunkte entstehen Datensammlungen, die Teile von Bitcoin in eine Art digitalen Euro/Währung X verwandeln. Das Problem ist nämlich, dass Anonymität innerhalb des Netzwerks exponentiell mit jedem Nutzer sinkt, der seine Daten bei einer Bank hinterlegt. Selbst wenn einige großen Wert auf Anonymität legen, kann das sehr schnell auf wacklige Beine geraten, wenn plötzlich die Mehrheit im eigenen Netzwerk dann nicht mehr so viel Wert darauf legt.

Ich glaube deshalb immer noch, dass XMR oder überhaupt Anonymisierungs-Technologien nochmal eine gewichtige Rolle spielen werden in wenigen Jahren. Denn die Finanzbranche kommt erst jetzt so richtig ins Rollen. In Kürze kann man vermutlich sogar bei Volksbanken und Sparkassen Kryptos handeln.
785  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: November 03, 2023, 06:58:13 PM
2. Osimhen linked to the united

Having hojlund is not enough for united as this guy was also injury prone. Manchester united is ready in taking osimhen from napoli but my question is where did united get money to sign him as a new striker?
Rasmus Højlund is yet to prove himself and what he can handle in Old Trafford but he's given more time since he came at the terrible form of United. Victor Osimhen to Manchester United will no longer take place because the Red Devils now have a potential promising attacker in the team. United signed Rasmus Højlund this summer, though their initial plan was to bring the Nigerian to Old Trafford but they changed plan because other elite clubs indulge in Osimhen bids, bringing more competition to gain his signature, and on the other hand, Napoli place a hugh sums as price tag on their ultimate goal scorer.



They have a potential promising attacker is only one reason, but the other reason is that there is no reason for Osimhen to go when Manchester United continues to embarrass the Red Devil legacy. When Osimhen has a look at all the offers, there will be several clubs that are far better than Manchester United and that also play in the Champions League and for a player like him, playing the Champions League is certainly one key condition to sign a contract.
786  Economy / Gambling / Re: 🚀-Sportsbet.io-🚀 Official Partner of Newcastle United Football Club on: November 03, 2023, 02:52:11 PM
~
Hey guys, the package was well received last week already. Big thank you and timing was great as I had a perfect gift for my nephew. He is collecting jerseys like mad and slowly but surely turning into a Southampton fan as well! Wink He is begging me to participate in more Sportsbet promos as he knows he'll be the one to wear it. I know, he still has to grow a few inches until it perfectly fits him Wink But he is happy either way.

So nice! Jersey collection is better and healthier than Pokemon collection hehe Does he have anything signed? I remember a few prizes from SB were signed jerseys, probably worth a lot but probably never to be sold and instead cherished forever. Future Sportsbet user and BSFL participant? lol

It depends with those Pokemon cards I have heard! I have never owned one, but I heard that some people earned a fortune with those things. I could never become enthusiastic about collecting Pokemon cards.

No signed jersey yet, but hopefully that'll change in the future. Good question, I think BSFL would have to be around for quite some time until he could participate. But since nobody announced an end date for our BSFL, who knows, maybe! Wink

I noticed you started into season 3 with 2 losses. This is urgently calling for a turnaround!
787  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 03, 2023, 01:46:07 PM
Hi all. Am I the only one who thinks that Manchester has become a boring and inferior club?

Another thing is how they played in the last Champions League. Either fame influences them that way, or they simply want to waste this season.
They were extremely lucky this time in the group. such poor opponents and they simply lose matches.
I'm honestly upset!
If you are annoyed with Manchester United's performance this season in the Champions League and Premier League, I think you are the wrong fan of that team. And actually Manchester United is not affected by their own fame this season, but Manchester United is only affected by their own way of playing and by several players who are still injured. So the coach must be able to make different strategies to improve Manchester United's performance in order to be better this season because they have experienced a series of bad performances at the moment.

A fan who doesn't get emotional when his team plays bad or does not have any success is not a real fan to me. What's wrong about being upset when the team you support is underperforming all the time. In my opinion this is normal and doesn't make him a "wrong fan", but quite the opposite, which is a true fan.

I can understand every fan who is upset given that Manchester United had a great chance against Copenhagen and Galatasaray to make this a wonderful season and look forward to some great games in the knockout stages of the Champions League, but instead they are losing games that nobody saw coming. I am surprised, I can tell you that I thought this group is Bayern Munich and Manchester United, but it's looking dark for the Red Devils.
788  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: November 03, 2023, 07:46:31 AM

Let's hope all these world war tensions get cool off and we have a peaceful land for our humanity. Only then we can have preparation for the FIFA world cup and the people involved in these tournaments. Just like the sporting events were cancelled due to covid pandemic, the 2026 world cup may be postponed if the world is in the world war crisis. Keeping an eye on political affairs and things unfolding in near future.

But I think the current war will have an impact on the 2026 World Cup. Even though the Middle East conflict is between Palestine and Israel, this war also brings the names of allied countries such as the United States. I think this war will have a lot of influence geopolitically. It is possible that the 2026 World Cup will be postponed if this war spreads and becomes a global crisis.

That is self-explanatory, isn't it? If a world war breaks out, like a serious world war with tens of millions of soldiers being involved and artillery firing all over the planet, of course there won't be any major events like a World Cup or the Olympics and maybe not any sports events at all. But if it is as it is, there have been wars during all the World Cups and Olympics, but the difference now is that media is more involved and these wars exhibit more proximity to people who haven't been as involved in wars before. But if it goes on like this, the Qatar World Cup took place despite Russia reducing Ukraine to rubble and ashes and the same way the World Cup 2026 will take place when there is war in the Gaza Strip. Unless there isn't a second Pearl Harbor, the World Cup is going to take place.
789  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⭐⚽⭐ Sportsbet's Bitcointalk Sports Fanatics League (BSFL) – 10000$ rewards ⭐⚽⭐ on: November 03, 2023, 07:21:15 AM
Since also German newspapers are going crazy about something that I would have never paid attention to, I wanted to share with you that BSFL questions got me learning about how these NBA drafts work and I think one question was about Victor Wenbanyama.

The article says "Victor Wenbanyama's 38 points craziness in the NBA". I remember doing my research back then and literally every single article said that he is going to be the only one monster that every other generation in basketball brings forth. I guess it was right! Wink
790  Economy / Economics / Re: SBF-Denies Improper use of Customer Funds in a 1 on 1 Interview on: November 03, 2023, 04:59:59 AM
There is a very real risk that SBF may attempt to kill himself, for someone like him that was so proud about his achievements and about the material gain that he has gained by deceiving his investors it is going to be almost impossible to accept the incredibly difficult conditions he will find at prison, and as such it is possible he will take the easy way out, and as much as I do not like him I would not want for that to happen as there are many investors that need answers about what happened.

He won't do it. He'll want to wait for the verdict first and this will take at least a year. Then, if he gets 30 years or more, there's a chance he'll do it.

For a young guy, getting out at his 60s or 70s is like a death sentence, especially that he's a weak looking guy. If he got into a prison camp he might survive, but in a normal federal prison he won't make it with all those street thugs around. He'll end up as someone's girlfriend.

Should we care about him? It wasn't a mistake that he made. It was years of stealing before he got caught. He knew what he was doing.
I'd be more willing to release Ross than SBF and Ross is in for life.

Since this is now experiencing actuality, your guess that this may take about a year until SBF knows what's going to happen with him, here we go!

"Sam Bankman-Fried found guilty in FTX crypto fraud case"

He has been found guilty on all seven counts, the maximum sentence here is 105-110 years, but they assume he will get a little less than that, but will be in prison for a very long time, especially because he messed up his defense and his testimony so hard that the jury didn't take very long to come to the conclusion that this is blatant fraud and not to the slightest extent a little stupid guy who accidentally slipped into something he couldn't handle. Deleting messages, manipulating balance sheets, shifting assets to his parents without consent of the company (except for him as the boss), the list is very long.

And to come back to OP's title: my lord, yes there was improper use of customer funds! Wink

They also said that his PR tour giving interviews on like 50 occasions after FTX crashed also broke him the beck. The prosecutors slapped his own words right into his face from the beginning till the end. Classic case of remaining silent is golden. But they have also said that this was so obvious that no defense strategy would have saved him, but it might have saved him a few years of his life outside prison.

A young guy becoming a billionaire under 30 within months, and crashing within days ending up in prison essentially for lifetime. Impressive... This guy could have had it all.
791  Local / Deutsch (German) / Re: Jetzt TV schauen on: November 02, 2023, 06:32:22 PM
Ich weiß nicht, wer von euch sich die eine oder andere Zusammenfassung von den Verhandlungstagen grad anguckt, aber SBF schießt sich mit unglaublichen Aussagen direkt für immer in den Knast. Keine Ahnung wer ihn da strategisch berät, aber es ist zum Fremdschämen. Er behauptet z. B., dass er nicht mehr weiß wie er zum Super Bowl gekommen ist. Er sei so viel geflogen, dass ihm nicht mehr klar ist, wie genau er da angereist ist. Oder dass er ehemalige Präsidenten zu sich eingeladen hat wüsste er auch nicht mehr, da fehlten schlicht die Erinnerungen. Das ist teilweise so heftig, dass ich mich frage, ob der sich ganz brutales Zeug geballert hat, was ihm die Erinnerungen wirklich genommen hat. Who knows... Auf jeden Fall verliert er grad alle Sympathien auch bei der Jury, weil dieses Bild vom unschuldigen, eigentlich mit guten Absichten handelnden SBF extrem bröckelt. Ich glaube, dass der sehr lange hinter Gitter geht.

Entweder hat er sich mit illegalen Substanzen weggeschossen oder es ist eine psychische Beeinträchtigung bei SBF. Letzteres wohl auch mit Beeinflusst durch seine Kindheit, das Verhältnis zu seinen Eltern und deren Erziehungsmaßnahmen.
Mitte November wissen wir mit, wenn die Urteilsverkündung verlesen wird.

Ja, ich glaube morgen bzw. heute entscheidet die Jury bereits über schuldig oder nicht schuldig in den sieben Anklagepunkten und dann halt später das Strafmaß.

Ich habe noch ein paar Zusammenfassungen von dieser Prozessbeobachterin geschaut und grad in dem hier verlinkten Video fasst sie noch einmal ein paar sehr harte Fakten zusammen und ich muss sagen, es wird immer düsterer für SBF. In diesem Teil ihrer Prozessbeobachtung berichtet sie nochmal von vorsätzlicher Bilanzmanipulation, was natürlich ganz übel ist und wo die Amerikaner echt "keine Gefangenen" nehmen, also ihn möglicherweise mehrfach lebenslänglich einsperren. Und zwar war Genesis wohl der größte Kreditgeber und die haben zwischenzeitlich ihr Geld zurückgefordert bzw. auch Bilanzen gefordert, weil die einen "open term contract" hatten, also jederzeit Geld abziehen konnten. Deshalb die Bilanzen, damit sie ihre Entscheidungen treffen konnten. Daraufhin hat SBF seine Finanz-Tante beauftragt, die Bilanzen auf den neuesten Stand zu bringen. Hat sie gemacht, dann hat er gesehen, dass die schlecht aussehen, weil da der ganze Schlamassel mit Alameda und noch anderen Verstrickungen aufgefallen ist. Daraufhin hat er sie beauftragt, Alternativen, also manipulierte Versionen zu erstellen. Sie hat ihm dann 7 Alternativen erstellt, damit er eine überzeugend wirkende davon auswählen konnte. Im Gericht wurde ein Excel-Spreadsheet mit den Reitern "Main" und dann "1", "2", ... gezeigt, auf dem dann die gesamten Alternativen eingesehen werden konnten durchs Gericht und die Jury. SBF hat sich dann für eine Version entschieden, die mit dem realen Zustand der Firma und vor allem dem Risiko nichts mehr zu tun hatte.

Tja, also ich bin jetzt wirklich gespannt, weil wenn der lebenslang in den Knast muss, dann ist da echt eine Existenz vom Milliardärshöhenflug in die Bedeutungslosigkeit in Rekordzeit abgestürzt in so jungem Alter. Ich glaube, der ist selbst noch gar nicht in der Realität angekommen.
792  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: November 02, 2023, 06:08:01 PM
PSG consistently wasting so much money in filling its ambition to win UCL but this is the last chance of PSG to play in UCL with the help of mbappe. Mbappe may not play in there again starting from the upcoming year.
The PSG chairmain is very ambitious in bringing UCL trophy to the its base. Billions wasted for nothing and probably the PSG chairman is preparing so much money for winter transfer season. I saw some players of PSG targeted by other club.

This may also decreasing the power of PSG at this moment. It's likely the chance to win UCL is very small for PSG. It was competing in the toughest group but it doesn't mean PSG can beat some perfect club like real madrid and bayern.

I think that our perception that PSG is wasting money could also be totally wrong because they might have an agenda in their heads that is different from what we think it is. No doubt, they wanted to win the Champions League all the time, but people like Nasser Al-Khelaifi also pursue other objectives with their strategy to diversify money into sport clubs. When Messi was signed two years ago, I think the rumor was that the cost for that transfer was covered by merchandise sales and other revenue generated because of Messi going to PSG. But I think that these new spheres we are getting used to, like the salaries and transfer fees these days, can merely be recovered through merchandise sales. Maybe they are wasting some money as per the balance sheet, but the effects these activities have on their entire portfolio may not be easily discernible.
793  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Sportsbet.io ⚽ Bundesliga ⚽ Football Pool Discussion Thread 2023/2024 on: November 02, 2023, 05:24:38 PM
@all participants sportsbet.io sponsors 5x 20USDT free bets due to the top match dortmund vs. bayern. these 5 free bets will be credited on the next monday to the 5 participants who score the 5 highest points (after the matchday winner). if there are participants who have the same number of points, first the 4-pt matches, then the 3-pt matches and finally the 2-pt matches will be evaluated.

example: player a and player b both reach 14 points. player a has 3 correct results and player b only 2, then player a is the winner.

Great news! Thank you! By the way, I think it will be quite difficult to get into the top 5 since it coincided, but in this round almost all the pairs are very even and the result will be as random as possible. The only bets that look reliable are Leipzig and Bayer, but even here there is a catch since these are away games, plus will Bayer really remain unbeaten for that long?

And just as you mentioned RB Leipzig, I did not think they would lose their game against Wolfsburg although that is still a loss that is not unthinkable, but what about the draw they had against Bochum when they played at home? I think there is always some variance and given the problems Bayern is having as we speak, I am seriously considering whether this is the one moment when it makes sense to bet against them, or at least against them to win the game. A draw is quite possible as they have to deal with a lot of pressure against Dortmund. Finally a very exciting game to watch in the Bundesliga.
794  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Sportsbet.io ⚽ Champions League ⚽ Dortmund v Newcastle ⚽ (Tuesday, 7 November) on: November 02, 2023, 04:46:44 PM
a. Dortmund
b. 2-1
c. Dortmund
d. Dortmund
e. Yes 
f. Newcastle
g. Dortmund
h. 30'
795  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⭐⚽⭐ Sportsbet's Bitcointalk Sports Fanatics League (BSFL) – 10000$ rewards ⭐⚽⭐ on: November 02, 2023, 03:36:40 PM
I was pretty damn sure that Manchester United and Arsenal would both not win their games.

Agreed on this, I got a point in my H2H there as well. Shame that I was a smartass and went the 'safer' way with my tickets, betting on BTTS on both games instead on the actual outcomes.
I'm losing the tennis question due to a mistake I've made for sure, so it's good to be in the lead early on.

_______________________________

Baseball world series ended earlier than expected, with Texas securing a 4-1 victory. Cricket went the expected way, with SA securing an important win against NZ.

But you name it, I said I was pretty damn sure about those outcomes, yes, but I was a big fat coward at the same time as I didn't have the guts to place a bet on those games. I didn't check the odds and I am quite sure that a combination bet of Arsenal not winning and Manchester United not winning would have been a pretty decent outcome. But there is of course still a big difference to bet on "X not to win the game" instead of "Y to win the game". The odds for the combo West Ham + Newcastle would have nicely been in the double digits.
796  Local / Off-Topic (Deutsch) / Re: Gewinnspiel: Nächstes Bitcoin (Zwischen-)Tief in 2023 ? on: November 02, 2023, 01:49:07 PM
Psychologisch würde das so kurz vor dem Halving eine massive Bärenstimmung auslösen, die uns womöglich sogar unter die 20k spülen würde.

In den verbleibenden 2 Monaten also sehr, sehr unwahrscheinlich aber ja, nicht unmöglich.  Cheesy

Ach ich weiß nicht... Würde mich nicht wundern, wenn nen paar dicke Wale vor dem ETF launch nochmal kurse drücken um selbst nochmal zu akkumulieren und dann die Rakete zu zünden.... Roll Eyes

2 Monate mit jeweils -17% bzw. -32% in Summe wäre jetzt auch kein mega Schocker hatten wir Mai 2021 und Juni 2022 schon schlimmer....

Das würde aber nur im Orchester klappen, weil Bitcoin für Alleingänge selbst für einen richtig großen Wal ein extremes Risiko wäre.

Aber ich frage mich schon eine ganze Weile, ob die größten Wale wirklich bekannt sind und wie wahrscheinlich es ist, dass es Börsenbesitzer sind wie beispielsweise CZ von Binance. Denn ich würde fast sagen, dass denen risikoreiche manipulative Aktionen, um mehr zu akkumulieren, gar nicht wichtig sind, weil sie oder so durch die Handelsgebühren in jedem Bruchteil einer Sekunde Bitcoin aus der Zirkulation entziehen. Die sind hauptsächlich an ordentlich Action interessiert und egal wie der Kurs sich entwickelt, deren Wallets wachsen halt immer.
797  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - 2nd Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 02, 2023, 01:32:58 PM
Schalke is getting hammered this season and now I am asking myself what their plan is to save the season. They are now out of the DFB Pokal and thanks to their last win have some advantage over Osnabrück and Braunschweig in the table, but I wouldn't be surprised if they remain in the relegation zone until the end of the season. This would be a very fast degeneration of what once was a well-established 1. Bundesliga club with a hardcore fanbase and decent money and a huge stadium. 62,000 visitors is the capacity. I don't think there are many teams with such a stadium in the 3. Bundesliga. Wink

Hannover was the better team in the match against Schalke. But Schalke scored the goals in the right moments. Schalkes problem last year was the defence. At the moment, we can not say how the next games will be like under the new coach and if they will be relegated at the end of the season. The next game is against Nürnberg. That will not be easy because Nürnberg is only 3 points away from place 3.

Yes I know I have seen some parts of the game, but really this win was key for them to not completely go bust so early in the season. They have the second weakest defense in the 2. Bundesliga, but some hope might still be there as they are doing ok when it comes to scoring goals. It is not fatally bad. But measured against their main objective for the season, which was the promotion into 1. Bundesliga, this season is already wrecked and I would bet pretty much everything against Schalke coming back from this and fighting for promotion. It reminds me St. Pauli last season and even they failed after this incredible run they had. I believe it was like 9 or 10 wins in a row.
798  Local / Deutsch (German) / Re: ⚽Bitcointalk Bundesliga Tippspiel 2023/2024 sponsored by sportsbet.io⚽ on: November 02, 2023, 06:41:59 AM
Saarbrücken führt 2:1 nach 90+5.  Cheesy

/edit: Drittligist Saarbrücken schlägt die Bayern mit 2:1. Haha, damit ist es dann dann das dritte Jahr in Folge ohne Pokalsieg für die Bayern.

Damit dürfte es ab heute im Saarland einen neuen Feiertag geben.

Lass mich hier doch eine kleine, aber wichtige Korrektur einbringen: Es ist das vierte Jahr in Folge ohne DFB Pokalsieg für die Bayern. Es ist das dritte Scheitern in der zweiten Runde in vier Jahren.

20/21 gegen Holstein Kiel im Elfmeterschießen
21/22 gegen Gladbach mit 0-5

und dann jetzt gegen Saarbrücken. Gott sei Dank haben sie Nagelsmann vor dem Spiel gegen Freiburg im Viertelfinale rausgeschmissen, damit Tuchel das auch noch in Ruhe vergeigen konnte. Die Entscheidungen, die da getroffen werden, sind mal wieder ordentlich Hollywood. Und während ich von Tuchel immer rein fachlich recht viel gehalten habe, wird mir so langsam klar, dass ich mich komplett geirrt habe. Klopp hat den Sprung von Mainz nach oben wirklich geschafft und hat es bewiesen. Das misst sich nicht nur an Titeln, sondern an der Art und Weise wie seine Liverpool-Mannschaft teilweise gespielt hat. Tuchel hat zwar auch einmal die Champions League abgesahnt mit Chelsea, wobei er da auch mitten in der Saison übernommen hat. Aber das hat sogar Roberto Di Matteo geschafft und ich glaube hier wird keiner behaupten, dass der ein Weltklasse-Trainer ist. Ich war übrigens bei Di Matteos Sieg in der CL in München im Stadion! Cheesy Hab sogar noch Aufnahmen und Videos von Manuel Neuers Elfmeter. Absoluter Horrorabend. Das war krass wie die gesamte Gastronomie in München sich auf die Sause eingestellt hatte und dann war vielerorts fast Totenstille. Enorm wie so lokale Gastronomie von dem Ausgang eines solchen Spiels abhängt, das ist mir da zum ersten Mal so bewusst geworden.
799  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: FIFA World Cup 2026 :Canada/Mexico/United States: Discussion Thread on: November 02, 2023, 04:54:35 AM
It is really incredible to see the amount of money being poured from Saudi Arabia to sports like Football.

The world is clearly changing and Football will not look the same in the next decade.

Money talks.

Well.. Qatar set the example and obviously Saudi Arabia can't be left behind. The Qataris are swimming in wads of cash, thanks to sky high prices for their LNG and they took around $300 billion out of it to host the 2022 FIFA World Cup. We can expect Saudi Arabia to spend a similar amount in 2034. The crown prince (Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud) has grand plans for Saudi Arabia and he wants to cut dependence on crude oil exports. He believes that whatever amount that is being spent on events such as the World Cup will pay back itself in the next few years. And I agree with him.

Very well said and I think Saudi Arabia will take it to the next level despite what Qatar has already done. In financial numbers, what Qatar has done is insane and at first glance you could think no other country would take it to this extreme. But as you said, MBS has plans that go way beyond just hosting the World Cup 2034. They are conquering the sports world and this, one can imagine, is Saudi Arabia's incentive to let Qatar's World Cup look like a mediocre bar party:



MBS wants Saudi Arabia to not only host the World Cup, but to also become a hub for sports in general. I am sure that over the course of the next ten years we will see changes in the landscape of how international football is organized. Not necessarily fundamental changes, but growing influence for Saudi Arabia and also participatory rights in a somewhat adjusted Champions League format. Winning over huge fanbases is one of the primary goals for Saudi Arabia to gain global influence with soft power, while oil remains their hard power in international political economy issues.
800  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: November 02, 2023, 04:08:00 AM
Unlike you, I don't think if this can change anything to see Dortmund playing at home or away against Bayern Munich because we know the chance for Bayern Munich to beat Dortmund is much higher. Checking the last five meets these two teams had before against each other, I can see Bayern Munich won four games while they had one draw and Dortmund could never beat Bayern Munich in these five meets they had, this can make it riskier to bet on Dortmund.
looking at h2h history, Bayern Munich is indeed superior with 4 wins which Munich often gets, even though Dortmund is a rival team to Munich which always chases Munich for points, but if they met to compete on the field, Dortmund would not be able to beat Bayern Munich and on the one hand, there was a draw in In the past, Dortmund still had Bellingham who could still make the best contribution to his team, but now Dortmund has lost this player so it will be easier for Munich to win this match because even though they are playing away, this does not mean that Bayern Munich will have difficulties, plus they now have the best striker which was once owned by Bayern Munich.

betting on this match is very interesting to make a profit so there is no doubt to choose to bet on Munich.

And now I am asking myself whether you totally ignore what's happening with Bayern Munich right now as they just got eliminated from the DFB Pokal by a team from the 3. Bundesliga! They also lost de Ligt due to a knee injury and now they are in dire straits to find a strong line-up for the game against Dortmund that is mentally ready to take on the challenge. I really think that Dortmund could now be the shark in the water who is smelling blood on the weekend. Bayern will be more nervous than usual as they know that this could be the first truly devastating week of their season.

The DFP Pokal is gone, now they have to play against Dortmund in the Signal Iduna Park, they lost de Ligt, and if they lose this game and Leverkusen wins, the situation is looking bad for them and I believe Tuchel is also at risk. They sacked Nagelsmann when they were able to win all titles, now 2.5 months into the season one important title is already gone and they are not leading the Bundesliga. Any improvements? I don't think so.
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