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801  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Europa League 2023/24 Season on: October 06, 2023, 06:27:01 AM
Union Saint-Gilloise turns out to be a pretty good team. I looked up their history and they finished second in the Belgian championship in 2021/2022, and before that they finished second in 1922/1923. The team has been dormant for almost a hundred years. It's amazing that they've managed to get to such a good level. Liverpool put out their strongest lineup, apparently Klopp did not want to repeat his mistake in the last round, when he put out a reserve team and Liverpool only with Salah could win.

This time Klopp decided to play with the strongest lineup and it is right, because in my opinion, Union Saint-Gilloise still played for one goal, but unfortunately they were unlucky and failed to score.
802  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Новый тренд майнинга 2021(HDD и SSD) on: October 05, 2023, 05:22:02 PM
ну будем честны спор ты фактически выиграл, потому что с 20 до 1000 с копейками (кажется это был хай для чиа) обычно на медвежке не встают.

До 1 681$ вроде как нужно подняться чии. Дедлайн спора - 1 декабря 2025 года, поэтому время еще есть. Не уверен, что медвежка будет длиться еще 2 года, но всё когда-то бывает в первый раз.

Думаю апитиох душой честно болеет за проект, потому что хорошо вложился, но здесь у него видимо произошел случай сознательного самообмана и желаемое он выдает за действительное.

На эту тему мы с ним очень много спорили, но он прям рьяно топит за этот проект, с крайним максимализмом, я бы сказал.
ну я так понимаю денег Апитиох уже прилично грохнул и теперь видимо для него назад дороги нет и может сейчас это даже и правильно.
Если выходить сейчас, то это точно минус, а на дистанции все может быть, правильно говоришь до декабря 25 еще 2 года и всяко может быть (хотя если честно в 2к зелени верится с трудом), но тут еще беда что тренд пока на майнинг на жестких прошел и теперь непонятно кто потенциальные бенефициары проекта, а без этого неясно кто будет деньги в ракету вливать.
Все-таки за битком и другими pow'ами стоят майнеры, трейдеры, производители асиков\gpu, в общем какой-никакой серьезный бизнес.
803  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 05, 2023, 05:13:50 PM
I will never match Newcastle United and PSG, especially if everyone thinks the match is full of competition. Because PSG's defense is so weak that they perform poorly against other teams. Newcastle United had 10 shots on goal, while PSG only had 7 shots on goal. And Newcastle United managed to score 4 goals and PSG only managed to score 1 goal, proving that Newcastle United is definitely a strong team.
After two matches in the group phase, all the strengths of the teams are starting to become clear now because previously there were also those who doubted Newcastle United to be the leaders in group F before the match started. Now Newcastle United could even be the one to win Group F if in the next match Newcastle United can win at home when they host Dortmund. Meanwhile, PSG must be able to beat Milan in the next match in order to secure its position in second place.

Really surprised that Newcastle destroyed PSG so badly. After watching them against Milan i was thinking they werent gonna due good in the champions league but they proved me wrong and won heavily and have a solid chance of qualifing. While Milan was just dissapointing,they killed my parlay and im not happy with them not winning against Dortmund that is currently in bad form.
What was wrong with Newcastle's game against Milan? Newcastle managed to take one away from the Italian champions, which is a pretty good result. Eddie Howe knows what he is doing and he does his job modestly and well. The Sheikhs have got the coach right.

PSG's defeat was also partly logical, because Luis Enrique put out an attacking lineup and PSG did not cope with the pressure of Newcastle players, Marquinhos made mistakes, Donnaruma did not save, Mbappe walked some lost, in general PSG again probably wants to send out another coach.
804  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: October 05, 2023, 05:02:42 PM
Ясное дело, что повышение курса доллара к рублю ведёт к падению уровня жизни.

Необязательно. Если бы другие показатели были хорошими, то мог бы быть опережающий рост зарплат, например, тогда курс бы снижался, а реальное благосостояние росло. Плюс в прошлом году курс рубля к доллару существенно укреплялся, но разве цены снижались в той же доле, что и укрепление курса? Полуправда здесь в том, что в теории курс и правда может не быть показателем общего положения дел в экономике, но сейчас это всё вместе взятое.
К сожалению, как правило обязательно. Читал про одно исследование, там сверяли по времени, как фактор девальвации работает на средней и длинной (!) дистанции и оказалось что по итогу все 100% девальвационного эффекта "ложаться" в цены. Вначале, в период до 3-х месяцев эффект почти незаметен из-за запасов, но по мере их истощения происходит кратный рост цен, растет логистика, потому что в долларах, страховка и прочие расходы, которые переносятся на потребителя и потом в течение года 30% от девальвационного эффекта "ложится" в цены, а потом происходит самое интересное, по мере роста цен на импорт, местные производители тоже повышают цены вслед за импортом, причем даже те, где эффект девальвации минимален (своя база, трудовые ресурсы за рубли итд) ,  но они тоже хотят себе откусить свой кусок пирога и потом все остальные наблюдая за ценами производителя, переносят всю тяжесть на плечи потребителей.
По итогу в течение 2-3 лет, весь девальвационный эффект ложится на плечи потребителей, причем разница в росте з/п разных отраслей тоже разная и у кого-то получается хоть немного обогнать инфляцию, но большая часть трудовых ресурсов занята на внутренний рынок, который не успевает или не хочет повышать зарплату до уровня роста цен, отсюда дальнейшее снижение уровня жизни.

Как сказал кто-то из экономистов "рост доходов это не про рост заработной платы, а про рост потребления" и если за зарплату , которая пусть и вырастает купить товаров ты можешь меньше, значит твой уровень жизни падает.  
805  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 04, 2023, 06:23:58 PM
I can't say that Atletico are stronger than Feyenoord, because they play at home and Griezmann was able to equalise in the last seconds of the first half. Feyenoord's goals are not random and very technical, especially the first one. Atletico have serious problems in defence and I think they can lose today.
if Simeone realized his team's shortcomings in the first half and corrected them in the second half, I think Atletico could still get the win. This clearly requires hard work because I noticed their midfielders were also having problems sending the ball forward.
Atletico didn't create many chances. if they can win the midfield battles very comfortably, perhaps they can create more chances for their strikers.
It's still quite difficult, both of them performed well in this match.
Start of the second half is impressive for the Simeone's Atlético Madrid as they take early lead through Morata second goal of the game now they need to keep game's momentum at this level and try to keep pressure on Feyenoord which is also doing good job and will try his best for the another equalizer of this game if they are able to have another equalizer this could be perfect for them because this point is going to be important for them if they want to have spot into next round of this season Champions League.

In second match, Antwerp is having good performance in first half now after start of the second half we have first goal from the Shakhtar Donetsk through Sikan with both teams are looking for the first win of this season in this event, hopefully things will be interesting near the end of this match.
It is very strange that when Feyenoord scored, bookmakers almost did not increase the odds, even after both times Feyenoord led in the score. The odds on Feyenoord scoring were over 3, I think, but even after Feyenoord's second goal it looked like Atletico would still win.

Antwerpen is formally on paper the favorite in this game and they had odds of 1.7 to win, which I think is not enough, because Schatcher is a worthy opponent, which they proved in this match by equalizing and scoring 2 goals, but I think this match will end in a draw.
806  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Новый тренд майнинга 2021(HDD и SSD) on: October 04, 2023, 08:00:16 AM
И кажется Ratimov выиграет спор, он кажется по цене около 20 как раз предсказывал.

Нет, я цену не предсказывал, я утверждаю, что ни в следующем, ни в 25 году никакого ATH не будет. Я верю в то, что проект может стрельнуть на некоторое количество иксов вверх, 5-10-20, не важно. Apytioh же утверждает, что это будет чуть ли не единственный утилитарный проект, наряду с тоном, стоимость чиа скоро взлетит в небеса (после IPO), а биткоин ждёт крах и забвение в ближайшем будущем. Я с этим не согласен, в этом и заключается наш спор на 1000$.
ну будем честны спор ты фактически выиграл, потому что с 20 до 1000 с копейками (кажется это был хай для чиа) обычно на медвежке не встают.
к тому же у тон свой мессенджер и понятная бизнес модель с будущей монетизацией, а у чиа не совсем понятный майнинг еще и с кучей всяких мутных форков, а также туманные перспективы с увольнением сотрудников.
Думаю апитиох душой честно болеет за проект, потому что хорошо вложился, но здесь у него видимо произошел случай сознательного самообмана и желаемое он выдает за действительное.
807  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 04, 2023, 07:53:54 AM
Napoli and Madrid played a good game and the chances to win were really the same, but Madrid were luckier... Today I think there could be a similar game between Leipzig and City... City have a defeat in the last two games, while Leipzig are very strong...
It was a really great game and Napoli certainly didn't deserve to lose. If Osimhen had realized his moment when he hit his head almost point-blank, Napoli would not have lost at least, but unfortunately Real were really more lucky. we should note the actions of Bellingham in the moment of the first goal, when he fought for the ball and gave a pass to Vinicius, who realized his moment.

Valverde's goal in the final minutes was also beautiful, although with a ricochet, but a great shot under the crossbar and from the goalkeeper into the goal.
808  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 04, 2023, 06:55:06 AM
I was one of the people who thought Fulham would be able to beat Chelsea again, but my expectations seemed wrong and Chelsea was able to win this match. Maybe Pochettino has found a new strategy for his players to be more coordinated and the results are quite satisfying. I think they have to maintain their performance in other matches and if that is successful then Chelsea will be able to quickly climb to where they should be and not stay at the bottom of the table. It's true that scoring two goals is very difficult, especially since Chelsea had so much difficulty scoring goals a month ago. It is hoped that Mudryk can prove his quality at the price paid by Chelsea and start working harder with the other players in order to get what Chelsea has targeted later.
There were too many speculations about the Fulham vs Chelsea before start of this match with current form mostly were feeling things could be favorable for the Fulham because they were doing good job and Chelsea having serious troubles but Pochettino done good change in his strategy and it works for them as well which allow having early lead, and then they were able to keep things on good level with Fulham try his best but fail to break the deadlock and score any goal which is good for the Chelsea.

Mudryk score his first goal as Chelsea fan which is surely good for this exciting player because after paying huge amount for his transfer there was too much talk about him and his quality hopefully now after having this winning goal his confidence level will improve, and he will be able to score more goals and his team at better spot.
Pochettino is basically doing what he can given the situation Chelsea found themselves in after last season, so the win over Fulham was partly natural. Chelsea's squad is much more expensive than Fulham's, and in general, they had to start playing at some point. Mudryk broke his curse and managed to score in his 21 games it seems. So it will be easier for him psychologically for a while, as well as the rest of the team.

I hope Bowley will not give in to emotions and let Pochettino work until the end of the season, so that at least next season the team will be able to fight for prizes.
809  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: October 04, 2023, 06:32:55 AM
Manchester United actually didn't have a bad performance. They were very effective offensively throughout the match, but if there is a problem with something, it could be Casemiro's penalty and the red card he received. Everything in Galatasaray's favor became more evident after that red card. Before that, Galatasaray, which scored 2 goals with 2 counter attacks, found strong positions against ManU, which was missing. As a result, they scored the third goal and won the match. ETH may now need to be questioned in Manchester United.
In terms of play, Manchester United were indeed able to perform well and create dangerous attacks, but the carelessness of their own players made everything fall apart. Casemiro's red card gave Galatasaray more freedom, but Onana's poor performance was also the main cause of the defeat. Erik Ten Hag is really quite confused about the problems plaguing his team. I think Ten Hag must have the courage to make decisions for players who cannot make a big contribution to the team. Now Erik Ten Hag's fate is truly on the brink.
Casemiro's red card happened because Onana made a mistake when he passed to him under pressure, while it was clear that Mertens was pressing him and when it became clear that Mertens was likely to score, Casemiro basically had no other option but to foul. So if it wasn't for Onana, Casemiro wouldn't have gotten a red card. It was lucky that Icardi didn't score a penalty right away, but then because of the Manchester City defender's mistake he still managed to bring Galatasaray the victory.

Not very clear In the last round of the Champions League Manchester missed 4 goals, now only 3, so there is progress here).

Otherwise everything is bad, Onana is nervous and he should be removed, the defense understands that the goalkeeper can make mistakes and also plays unreliable, in the attack is a crisis and given the spending on transfers under 500 million euros, Ten Hag needs to quickly show results, otherwise it is unclear why they keep him.
810  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: Новый тренд майнинга 2021(HDD и SSD) on: October 03, 2023, 06:05:18 PM
У разработчиков есть нафармленные монеты, но если у них 2 миллиона из 8 то по моему по этой цене не очень выгодно лить. 40-50 миллионов проект не спасут а только увеличат агонию перед смертью, или они избавились от ненужных расходов. Я читал что им проще эти деньги привлечь у инвесторов, чем так сильно опускать цену монеты.
Apytioh в это вложился большой суммой и рискует остаться с ненужными НДД и дешёвыми монетами.
Может проект никто и не собирается спасать, а уже в кэш выходят. 10-20 мультов вполне хватит на старость в какой-нибудь недорогой стране.
Вообще чиа прям идет по пути раптореума (хайп на старте, необычный майнинг, быстрая отбивка вложений, необычно, модно, интересно) с той лишь разницей, что на чиа возлагали большие надежды.
Почему производители не поддержали порыв неясно, но без внятного майнинга будет сложно, можно глянуть доходности по GPU после перехода эфира на пос, более менее живой проект типа динекса, на котором около нуля будет, имеет капу всего 50 мультов и это при том, что занимает около 15% всей gpu мощности, так что непонятно как чиа будет возвращать привлекательность на таком рынке.

И кажется Ratimov выиграет спор, он кажется по цене около 20 как раз предсказывал.
811  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: October 03, 2023, 05:11:40 AM
Опять как-то неправильно "соскамили" доллар, учитывая, что сегодня на открытии торгов произошел очередной заход на сотку. И, судя по всему, сейчас есть хорошая возможность закрепиться выше этого уровня, поскольку на графике уже сформировался соответствующий паттерн, да и минфин с ЦБ что-то затихли в последние дни. К тому же следующее заседание по ключевой ставке запланировано только на 27 октября.
Они не затихли, они сосредотачиваются. Думаю что придется выходить на свет раньше, чем 27 октября.
У них по сути мало инструментов осталось чтобы остановить падение. Из крупных возврат валютной выручки, жесткий валютный контроль и отказ от свободной конвертации рубля, как говорится "оба хуже", так что все затаились, ждут политического решения.
Те, кто прячет валюту весьма непростые люди и что-то заставить делать (например вернуть валютную выручку) может только пара человек, а то и один, а пока таких политических решение нет, видимо спокойно ждем с попкорном куда позволят зайти тем, кто хорошо наваривает на валютном экспорте.

812  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 02, 2023, 08:39:41 AM
Man United is having too many problems under Ten Hag this season, and the pressure on him is getting bigger and bigger. They are in crisis after losing consecutively in important tournaments. Coach Erik Ten Hag is at risk of being fired if he cannot improve the team's situation. He has no excuses for Man United's worst start in the Premier League. The home crowd booed Old Trafford throughout the match, suffering a bitter 0-1 defeat to Crystal Palace.
Maguire doesn't start, who will be the scapegoat for Man United fans, coach Erik Ten?

Sacked or not, I think Manchester United will still find it difficult to recover. Because after all, competition in the Premier League is becoming more difficult and it seems, to build a better team again it seems that bigger funds are needed to be able to bring in better players. Because after all, it seems that it is not only Manchester United about the big teams that have bad results this season. Although in reality, Erik ten Hag succeeded in his first season last season and thus, then I think it would be too soon to fire Erik ten Hag because Manchester United are not as broken as Chelsea in this moment.

Regarding the decline of Chelsea Club, we cannot wholly blame coach Pochettino. Pochettino's desire to recruit more experienced players needs to be resolved. Instead, Chelsea spends money to welcome many young players.
Pochettino apparently can only be sorry, because when he signed the contract apparently he did not think in what condition the club will be caught. It can be seen that he tries to make the players believe in themselves, lets them on the pitch, trusts those who show a desire to play for the club, but the goals are not coming. Bowley, instead of trying to stabilize the squad, is really buying more and more new players and letting old players go who could still play, like Coulibaly or Pulisic.

I think Pochettino still has 3-4 games to try to correct the situation, because it will be more and more difficult to explain to the management and fans why there are no victories with such a squad.
813  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 02, 2023, 08:28:37 AM
Mourinho has eased up a bit this week, but things still don't look good. He could only collect eight points and this is not enough at all, as you know, Mourinho is a coach who has always played for good teams and good achievement. I think the team he has is not very suitable at the moment, especially Lukaku slows down their offensive organization.

I think Inter got rid of him, yes, he might have scored one goal today. He controlled the goal well and finished it, but I think it is quite slow compared to Morinho's playing style. There is one year left on his contract and he has to give a good result to the club if he wants to stay.
Romelu Lukaku has currently played 5 matches with AS Roma. But the contribution can still be said to be very minimal. But even so, he can still be expected to experience improvement from now on. He has scored at least 3 goals in those 5 matches. It could be said that this is a fairly standard achievement and not too bad.

Mourinho will definitely do something to make Roma continue to maintain the positive trend that they can probably start from now on. Beating Frosinone cannot be a matter of high enough pride.
I think 3 goals in 5 games isn't such a bad result considering the pressure Lukaku has been under. Lukaku is a great forward, but he is not psychologically stable and probably worries when he is criticized.
Otherwise, Mourinho is doing what he can with the squad he has. Injuries have been haunting Roma for a long time and one can constantly hear that another player was injured during training. Maybe they have some problems with the training field or with the doctors, but they have a lot of injuries.

The victory over Frosinone was important to restore the players' confidence and break the bad series at the start, so here Roma got more than just 3 points.
Well, that's not a bad achievement. I think he is still at a standard level. In other words, Lukaku is still not at his best performance. But he can still carry out his duties as a striker quite well. But slowly Lukaku continues to get better from every match he plays with AS Roma.

And when they face Cagliari next week, the Roma squad should have better confidence. But before that, AS Roma will first compete in the European League against Servette. And I'm sure AS Roma will get 3 points again in this match. Because previously AS Roma had managed to beat Sheriff with a score of 2-1 in the European League. So it could be said that the opportunity for AS Roma to qualify from the group stage in the European League is very large. I hope the positive trends in European leagues will also carry over to Serie A.
Mourinho has always been good at setting up teams for international tournaments and Roma are still following his tradition.
Lukaku needs time and trust and he will cope, he can score, and he can score in different ways, the forward is versatile and his age allows him to show good results.

Roma should easily beat Servette. Servette is still in 9th place in not the most difficult Swiss championship, they have not scored any points in the European League, so Roma should not have any problems h
814  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: October 02, 2023, 06:39:44 AM
Mourinho has eased up a bit this week, but things still don't look good. He could only collect eight points and this is not enough at all, as you know, Mourinho is a coach who has always played for good teams and good achievement. I think the team he has is not very suitable at the moment, especially Lukaku slows down their offensive organization.

I think Inter got rid of him, yes, he might have scored one goal today. He controlled the goal well and finished it, but I think it is quite slow compared to Morinho's playing style. There is one year left on his contract and he has to give a good result to the club if he wants to stay.
Romelu Lukaku has currently played 5 matches with AS Roma. But the contribution can still be said to be very minimal. But even so, he can still be expected to experience improvement from now on. He has scored at least 3 goals in those 5 matches. It could be said that this is a fairly standard achievement and not too bad.

Mourinho will definitely do something to make Roma continue to maintain the positive trend that they can probably start from now on. Beating Frosinone cannot be a matter of high enough pride.
I think 3 goals in 5 games isn't such a bad result considering the pressure Lukaku has been under. Lukaku is a great forward, but he is not psychologically stable and probably worries when he is criticized.
Otherwise, Mourinho is doing what he can with the squad he has. Injuries have been haunting Roma for a long time and one can constantly hear that another player was injured during training. Maybe they have some problems with the training field or with the doctors, but they have a lot of injuries.

The victory over Frosinone was important to restore the players' confidence and break the bad series at the start, so here Roma got more than just 3 points.
815  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: October 02, 2023, 06:16:54 AM
А такая штука как война в перечне причин у вас полностью отсутствует? Я там выше приводил примерные прикидки что около 70% бюджета будет просто сгорать, вы считаете что на курс рубля это никак не влияет?
Ну год назад курс был 60 и даже не особо шелохнулся после изюма, так что исключая первоначальный шок февраля, когда доллар взлетал под 100ку, в остальном курс держался ровно и даже лучше, чем в 14-15 году, когда он тоже подходил к 100р.
~
 

Да что там год назад, я помню еще бодрое "Искандеры санкций не боятся!" и "Нам санкции только на пользу", а потом почему-то уголовку ввели за оправдание санкций. Странно да?
Что было в отдельный год не особо важно, вы тенденцию не видите?

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Россия планирует в 2024 году резко увеличить военные расходы — до 6% ВВП против 3,9% в 2023 году, сообщает Bloomberg. По данным агентства, расходы на оборонную отрасль вырастут с 6,4 триллиона рублей — сумма на 2023 год — до 10,8 триллиона рублей, что равно $112 млрд. Bloomberg указывает, что по сравнению с 2021 годом, когда расходы были равны 3,6 триллиона рублей, финансирование оборонной промышленности утроится.
https://news.ru/russia/bloomberg-rossiya-v-2024-godu-rezko-uvelichit-voennye-rashody/

Как бы через год при 150-200 курсе не вспоминать что "а вот в 23-м курс сотка был, а мы лишь крепнем!"  Grin

Про военные расходы вопрос тоже дискуссионный. Вон у сша мало того, что самый большой бюджет на оборону в абсолютных цифрах 800 млрд долларов, так еще это получается почти треть всех расходов бюджета. От ввп это около 4 % , а если смотреть в процентах от расходов бюджета, то это 47% от всех дискретных расходов (1.7 трлн) или 15% если считать от всех расходов в принципе (5.6 трлн).

Про дефицит бюджета сша вообще молчу, тут лучше справятся леонтьев и соловьев, но тем не менее факт остатется фактом, что расходы на оборонку никак не мешают сша развиваться, а возможно даже наоборот.

"К примеру, расходную часть в ряде источников оценили в $1,7 трлн. Но в данном случае речь идёт лишь о дискреционных расходах – то есть тех, которыми распоряжается действующая администрация. В таблице S-1 из документа, приведенного выше, расходы оценены в $5,8 трлн, в S-2 – в $5,68 трлн. И это уже полные расходы с учетом прямого финансирования:
Источник: https://bankstoday.net/last-articles/byudzhet-ssha-2023"
https://bankstoday.net/last-articles/byudzhet-ssha-2023

К тому же весь мир вооружается и расходы у всех растут и абсолютные и относительные.
Быстрее всех как обычно вооружается "мирная" европа и сша "страны Центральной и Западной Европы, потратившие на оборону в прошлом году 345 млрд долларов, по затратам не только вернулись к уровню холодной войны, когда противостояние с СССР было особо напряженным, но и превзошли в реальных показателях уровень 1989-го - последнего года холодной войны. Сильнее всех (в процентном отношении) повысили свои оборонные расходы непосредственные соседи воюющих стран: Финляндия (рост бюджета на 36%), Литва (27%), Швеция (12%) и Польша (11%)."
https://www.bbc.com/russian/news-65376234

У катара, саудовской аравии, омана вообще 7% от ввп военные расходы и вроде живут нормально и на все хватает. 
https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A1%D0%BF%D0%B8%D1%81%D0%BE%D0%BA_%D1%81%D1%82%D1%80%D0%B0%D0%BD_%D0%BF%D0%BE_%D0%B2%D0%BE%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%BD%D1%8B%D0%BC_%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%85%D0%BE%D0%B4%D0%B0%D0%BC



816  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2023/24 on: October 02, 2023, 06:05:08 AM
Best game of Betis so far in LaLiga and by all means Valencia is not a team to mess with this year but somehow tonight they do perform like last year when they barely missed relegation zone.

Cadiz almost snatched 3 points from Atl.Madrid but big comeback from Madrid after being down 2-1 in 1st half and overall , pretty great weekend in LaLiga with a lot of goals and great games Grin
In this round the teams in the middle of the standings showed excellent matches. At the beginning Betis did not leave no chance to Valencia and beat it 3:0 on their field. Isco played a great game, hitting the crossbar and giving a goal pass and generally looked great. It is strange that being a free player there was not much interest in him. You can see that he has potential and if he was not walking on the field, but running, it would be great.

Almeria and Granada played a terrific match. First Suarez made a hat-trick for Almeria, and then Granada managed to score 3 goals and still did not score a penalty. The game was just great, goals for all tastes and so twist the intrigue of the grands can not always.
817  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: October 01, 2023, 03:09:26 PM

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С рублем все и просто и не очень. Виток его обесценивания был связан с 2 рукотворными проблемами - 1) сознательный отказ от возврата выручки экспортерами (зачем до сих пор загадка) и как следствие дефицитом долларов и евро, которые и привели к росту курсе 2) какой-то мутный, я бы сказал рукотворный кризис с бензином и как следствием ростом инфляции и обесцениванием рубля.

А такая штука как война в перечне причин у вас полностью отсутствует? Я там выше приводил примерные прикидки что около 70% бюджета будет просто сгорать, вы считаете что на курс рубля это никак не влияет?
Ну год назад курс был 60 и даже не особо шелохнулся после изюма, так что исключая первоначальный шок февраля, когда доллар взлетал под 100ку, в остальном курс держался ровно и даже лучше, чем в 14-15 году, когда он тоже подходил к 100р.
Про сгорание спорный момент, потому что по размерам экономики был рост до 5го места и это кажется рекорд. Экспорт как шел, так и идет, только теперь в другом направлении и в российский бизнес адаптировался ко всему, дефицита нет и я думаю никто не ожидал такого, но российский бизнес очень даже ничего вывез всю экономику и судя по стройкам и движу что вокруг, видимо бизнес продолжает развиваться и расширяться.
 
818  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: October 01, 2023, 03:02:32 PM
We can say that it was quite a disappointing performance for PSG, how could 10 shots on target but not one of them was a goal, how inconsistent their attack was which could play well but instead was very poor in finishing when facing the weakest team this season.
Clermont being able to get a point when facing PSG was certainly beyond their expectations even though it was only one point, and PSG had wasted the opportunity to have the same points as Monaco.

PSG continues to surprise with results in Ligue 1, losing points with Clermont is a very bad result, but I can’t say that PSG played poorly, they attacked a lot and took a lot of shots on goal, but Clermont was able to hold out. Monaco managed to beat Marseille in a difficult match and topped the table, and today Nice will have a match with Brest, each team will have a chance to get ahead of Monaco if they win, I think that Nice can win.
It's very strange that of the 2 points Clermont earned, he took one in the PSG match.

Luis Enrique's PSG have had a poor start to the league so far, with only 4 wins in 8 games and for the first time in many years there is intrigue in the league. The departure of Messi and Neymar has so far affected the results for the worse, although everyone expected that without them PSG will immediately play, but it turned out differently. I wonder if the PSG management will have the patience to keep Luis Enrique as head coach until the end of the season with such a game and results.
819  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2023/2024 on: October 01, 2023, 02:40:53 PM
One of the most interesting results of the week was in the Aston Villa - Brighton game I assume. I was expecting Aston Villa not to lose. However this was just too much. I don't know how they managed to win this game by a score like 6-1. Brighton gave up on the game very quickly and it was just a destruction later.

Ollie Watkins was the man of the match clearly. He made a hat-trick and attracted the attention to himself. Maybe he isn't the top scorer but he is one of the best versatile players in the league currently with 4 goals, 3 assists.
It was a great match and I think Ollie Watkins deserved to be named player of the tour made a hat-trick in a match against a very difficult opponent. Ollie Watkins is a great striker in general. Last season he scored 15 goals and this season he has already scored 7, so I think he should score at least 15-20 goals this season, which will make him one of the main scorers of the English Premier League.  
Prior to this match Brighton had 3 wins in the league, including wins over Newcastle and Manchester United, with Manchester United being beaten at Old Trafford. Although Manchester United are now beaten by almost everyone, Brighton's win was nonetheless a landmark victory.

The fact that Aston Villa had won 9 matches in a row at home, but no one probably did not expect Brighton defeat with 6:1 score .
If not for the defeat of Manchester City and Liverpool, I think it would have been the most significant victory of the tour.
820  Local / Трейдеры / Re: доллар соскамят on: October 01, 2023, 08:48:12 AM
Мне от этой дамы никакие рекомендации не нужны. С ней уже давно все понятно. Кто и для чего она находится в ЦБ. Ещё дает какие-то советы про долгосрочные операции. Тут не знаешь, что завтра страну ожидает, о она с таким оптимизмом живет. Ещё бы не хватало сплясать для полного счастья. Хотя это могло остаться за кадром.

Ну да... Такие меры однозначно помогут укрепиться рублю. Ага, как же. Прям вот так возьмет и начнет. Может быть её назвать одну главную и основную причину падения курса? Вдруг председатель ЦБ ни о чем не догадывается и живем в мире розовых пони, где все настолько прекрасно, что и волноваться не нужно по этому поводу. Рассосется все само собой. До выборов что-то поделаем для того, чтобы народ не бурчал по углам, а там как пойдет.
А что не так с ее предложением? с точки зрения развития финансовой системы все здраво. тянешь деньги на финансовый рынок\банки, а не держишь под матрасов вот тебе пирожок (проценты по вкладу) , а если еще и надолго вкидываешь деньги в систему возьми большой пирожок (повышенные проценты). Тут как раз все правильно и надо бы по идее расширять и вычет по ИИС, это тоже привлечет деньги в фин сектор.
Ничего зазорного в этом нет, если деньги белые то 13% вычета плюс 12% по ОФЗ (или вообще процентов 17-18 по корпоратам) и будет тебе 25% годовых, еще и в развитии экономики поучаствуешь.
И если это помогает простым людям хоть немного увеличить свой капитал, то почему нет?

С рублем все и просто и не очень. Виток его обесценивания был связан с 2 рукотворными проблемами - 1) сознательный отказ от возврата выручки экспортерами (зачем до сих пор загадка) и как следствие дефицитом долларов и евро, которые и привели к росту курсе 2) какой-то мутный, я бы сказал рукотворный кризис с бензином и как следствием ростом инфляции и обесцениванием рубля.


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