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821  Economy / Economics / Re: Money is an imaginary concept, but humanity is enslaved by it on: March 31, 2015, 05:08:19 PM
That is more a problem with this particular monetary system, rather than money in general.

Indeed, today's monetary system greatly benefit money creator and those who are close to money creator. Money creation has become a stronger power than presidents, but this power is purely built on people's imaginary concept of money, if they don't have this concept, then the power will disappear (An example is that you take some Chinese Yuan to England and try to spend it, it will not be accepted except for Chinese people, since in English people's mind this is not money)

However, it is almost impossible for people to get rid of the concept of money, I think it is a very old, government dependent concept

Also, it is very difficult to imagine what is an ideal form of money: You can even use some scientifically accurate unit to measure value, like 1kwh electricity. However since the supply and demand will change based on market condition, 1kwh electricity would worth more during winter and less during summer, thus make it not suitable to work as unit of value

Ideally, an unit of value should keep its value constant regardless of supply and demand change, so it is best it is just an imaginary concept, does not have any demand. But as soon as it has value, it will have demand, and demand can not be a constant, so it is just impossible. That's the reason central banks trying to manipulate the supply to keep up with the demand change, but that is a best effort thing, since the demand usually changed long ago before they react. The reason fiat money have stable value is just because people's consensus that it SHOULD have a stable value, and banks keep majority of people from getting more fiat money, to make sure the demand is close to infinite

So the interest rate, which inversely affects the demand of money, is also set by the central bank.  Artificially low interest rates, cause artificially high demand for money, followed by monetary expansion.  I think that this Keynesian model of central decision making only works when the government makes decisions in the best interest of society as a whole rather than being in the best interest of a select few.  Seeing that the government is not currently capable of making decisions for the greater good, that power to control and manipulate the monetary system should be decreased, and likely with a decrease in the control of money, the corruption will decrease as well.
822  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Please HELP: what is BEST java tutorial / book ?? on: March 30, 2015, 09:55:14 PM
You can code java in a browser shell? Or do you mean javascript?


If this is in response to my post, I'm brand new to this dude, so I'm not sure.

I took a course in Python, where they put together a console online for us to use and code on.  Just wondering what to use for java (is java not the same as javascript?)
823  Economy / Economics / Re: Money is an imaginary concept, but humanity is enslaved by it on: March 30, 2015, 09:19:27 PM
The monetary system is what created the world as we know it. It made a simple way to measure how much wealth you have in comparison to other. The idea of having more than the other, greed fueled by self interest.
I wouldn't have it any other way

But what if how much wealth you have isn't based on how much you have produced vs. how much you have consumed, but also how close you are to the creation of money.  For example, should a bank have first dibs at the money created in a monetary expansion by the Fed?  So they either make a speculative play on it or lend it out at a higher rate and profit from the spread?

You have a company that has done with money, what UPS or FedEx does with a shipment.  Take it from A and get it to B.  Let's say this is a mortgage, and now you'll be paying an annuity for 25 years back to the bank, and they will make a spread on the interest, and they will profit from that.

Now take a farmer, that produces food, an actual good that all humans require.  The profitability likely won't be as high as a bank, if profitable at all, and in fact they may require debt to survive.

Why doesn't the farmer have access to freshly printed Benjamin's from the Fed?

Then in the event that a bank speculates with the money, and loses the bet, like in 2008 when several banks were up for bankruptcy, why do they then get even more money given to them?  When does the bankrupt farm get bailed out?

That is more a problem with this particular monetary system, rather than money in general.
824  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: Please HELP: what is BEST java tutorial / book ?? on: March 30, 2015, 05:23:17 AM
I just learned some basic coding in python, so looking to get started with Java as well.

Do you guys use the google chrome console?
825  Economy / Economics / Re: Money is an imaginary concept, but humanity is enslaved by it on: March 29, 2015, 03:06:30 AM
I don't want to derail this thread too much but (1) they count lease as a sale.  (2) they count ZEV credits towards revenues.  Non GAAP shows revenues inflated like 40% over GAAP

Tesla is an investment banks wet dream.  A charismatic CEO willing to use Twitter to pump the stock and legions of brainwashed investors.

Do you own a TSLA or know anyone who owns one?  

How do you think they raised $3B of debt recently?  CEO misleading about Panasonic investment, big China push timed w a pump upgrade from Morgan Stanley.  Did you know they already burned through half of that money only actually spending $50M on factory?

Now investors imagination run wild about pivot to home battery biz??

CEO says production constrained while drop in Q4 deliveries due to bad weather and people on vacation?? WTF??  I would not call him a liar, but you cant take anything this guy says seriously.

Its your money but IMO TSLA is a short.  It took long enough for the momo to wear off

I dont like GOOG technicals short term either if that means anything

We have derailed the shit out of this thread dude.

Leasing should count as revenue, because it is revenue, just not all upfront.  EV tax credits are from the government, but Tesla should still count that as revenue.  If they didn't count it as revenue, then they wouldn't be liable for paying tax on that income.

I don't own a Tesla, but my friend has a P85.  I used to live in the suburbs where I had a very car/motorcycle-centric life, but I'm in the core of downtown near the subway line and can work from home, so I barely drive these days.  But if I had a lifestyle that required a lot of driving, I'd love to have a Tesla.  Price tag is pretty steep for me though.  I'd rather put that money towards my home.  The Model 3 will be interesting though, as it will be significantly cheaper.

I'm not sure about the loans or spending that you're referencing, so can't comment on that.  Which factory are you talking about though?  The cost gigafactory is around $5 billion.

Tesla is a different type of investment for me, but I don't have a whole lot invested.  I trade Canadian banks and telecoms taking into consideration technicals, but I like the concept of Tesla more than I like it as a vehicle for returns.  I like that they're making a push on EV and have some consciousness towards the environment.  I like that they're making that push through technological innovation rather than propaganda.  I like that they're taking a stand against having dealerships force themselves into the auto industry to take a cut, whether or not you need their help with sales.  I don't see any other automakers doing anything remotely revolutionary.  They've committed free lifetime charging via the supercharger network.  Elon's end goal isn't profitability, and I like that. 
826  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How/where to earn bitcoins? (not faucets) on: March 29, 2015, 02:31:02 AM
Good point on the gambling, as with any gambling risk/reward but the game odds have to be at least fair (expected value and all).

Didn't even realize there were so many signature campaigns that reward activity and posting, even for newbies and Jr. Members.
Going to look into that now, cheer fellers.

Any downside with these signature campaigns aside from pimping out your signature block and also revealing your bitcoin wallet address?

I think you've accurately summarized the downsides lol

But I think the signature campaign concept is understood on this forum.
827  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Q re Android wallet security on: March 29, 2015, 02:20:46 AM
Can someone outline the potential security risks associated with a wallet on Android?

Like all OS, it has many risks. Java is worst in most languages.

1) What are the risks if the phone is in my possession the entire time (non-rooted Nexus 5)?

If you don't install any suspicious app, you are safe.

2) If the phone is stolen - there is still a password lock on the phone, so Bitcoin can't be sent out unless the phone is unlocked.  But in this event, can I not just access my Bitcoin account online via website on my laptop?

Thief maybe able to do a brute-force attack and also, if you have enabled 'Android debugging', thief can easily remove the lock. I highly recommend you to lock your phone and Bitcoin wallet. An additional app locker will be great too.

No, you can't. If you use Android app of an online wallet like Blockchain.info, Coinbase etc..., you can access your wallet from anywhere. I suggest not to use such wallets as many problems are there. If you really want to use one, Blockchain.info is the best.

You should always make a backup of your private_key/wallet, so that you can recover it if your phone is lost or damaged. If your phone is stolen or lost in a public place, you should move all the BTC to a new address ASAP.

Not sure if "Android debugging" is enabled or not.  I use Coinbase on Android - what are the problems you're referring to with this setup?
828  Economy / Economics / Re: Money is an imaginary concept, but humanity is enslaved by it on: March 29, 2015, 01:46:52 AM
I misread your post.  I thought you were saying tech guys should make economic policy or that they will somehow more important than finance.

I hope you realize Tesla only exist because of the finance industry.  They sure arent selling any cars to that that valuation.

They don't calculate their margins like other car companies so their numbers are misleading.

BTW TSLA closed $185 on Fri.  Hope your not long

I was responding to another post about theoretically having automation of labour, that would only require 5% employment.  That would require a huge push in R&D, which would need to be driven by tech guys, because who else can do it?

Tesla was privately funded until 2010 I believe.  So throughout the financial crisis, when they came very close to bankruptcy, the government didn't loan or grant Tesla anything.  In 2010 they received a government loan, which has already been repaid in full, with interest.  Then I believe they received another loan to expand their production capacity, and tax cuts from Nevada from building the gigafactory over there.

So the problem with Tesla right now, is their production capacity.  They were only able to do ~33,000 cars in 2014, and will approximately double that in 2015.  But still, they are a drop in the bucket in global car sales.  So it's going to take a few years at the current momentum to be a big player in the industry.

Their GAAP financials will be normal COGS subtracted from revenues...what are you speaking of that's misleading?  They have a lot of automation, and literally form the body out of raw sheets of aluminum, so their production facility is pretty efficient.  Check out the videos if you're interested.

Yeah, I'd like to pick up some TSLA shares at this point, but all my USD are invested right now.  I'm Canadian, and I don't want to convert CDN to USD right now because the exchange rate is ridiculous.  I'll need to sell off some GOOG shares to free up some USD, but I missed the boat at $570+ a couple days ago.  TSLA is a super volatile stock, because it's valuation is based on bets about the company well into the future - so very speculative. 
829  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Which is your strategy on dice sites? on: March 28, 2015, 03:31:14 PM
Isn't the potential to lose a large amount high during martingale sessions? Small profits but chance to lose massive. I would rather make consistent small bets and walk out of there a small winner/loser

Yeah there is a small probability to lose your entire bankroll, and a high probability to win small bets multiple times.  The long-term odds are that you will lose your entire bankroll before you can double your money with small bets.
830  Economy / Economics / Re: Money is an imaginary concept, but humanity is enslaved by it on: March 28, 2015, 03:14:33 PM

I trade TSLA regularly and I know their financials well.  Elon Musk is not someone I want anywhere near our financial system.

First if all the guy is a stock manipulator.  He might be a brilliant engineer and maybe even a great showman/ marketing hype man.  But all he does is pump his stock before a debt raise and dump it when it gets too frothy.  You know he did a $3B convertible w Morgan Stanley for his so called "gigafactory". They timed a pump where MS did an upgrade w a $300 price target.  And like a few days later they announced the raise and dumped the stock from $265.  If I was an investor, I'd be pissed.

I'm not sure what the relevance of your response is.  The thread is criticizing the financial system itself, and I brought up Tesla as an example of great technological innovation. 

LOL if you believe Tesla has 25% margin w NON-GAAP

Please share your source and non-GAAP margin numbers for Tesla with us instead of using analogy.  For the past 6 quarters, Tesla has had >25% margin reported.  You do understand that non-GAAP allows more flexibility in reporting than GAAP does right?
831  Economy / Economics / Re: Money is an imaginary concept, but humanity is enslaved by it on: March 27, 2015, 02:45:36 AM
Oh please.  Elon Musk can't even make Tesla profitable.  Have you ever looked at their financials?  Terrible

On a thread where there is criticism given to a our monetary system and money itself, and your input about an example for technological innovation and automation is about money and profits, then you likely missed the point.

Tesla is not profitable and doesn't plan to be profitable for the next few years.  They are having to invest in infrastructure to grow production capacity and distribution, which Tesla has explicitly mentioned takes precedence to being profitable.  He mentioned they're making about 25% gp, which is very profitable for the auto industry.

You've made it clear that you're not a fan of Tesla, but no one needs you to be one.
832  Economy / Services / Re: ★☆★ 777Coin Signature & Personal MSG Campaign ★☆★ Newb to Hero [RE-OPEN] on: March 26, 2015, 10:21:55 PM
If we did not meet minimum do our posts get rolled over into nextweek payments or do they never get credited?

Only for the first week. So if you join on a Wednesday, you will have until about a week and a half to reach the 20 post minimum limit. From your second week onwards, any posts that don't reach the 20 post limit will cease to roll over.


Do you know what time time frame/range is and when the weekly total is calculated?

(Eg. From Monday to Sunday, calculated on Sunday at midnight.)

Im usually start counting on Sunday 10 or 11 morning GMT +7 then I give the report to LightLord

Sometimes it tooks 2 hour less, sometimes more depend on my mood Grin

haha alright cool, thanks for the info Smiley
833  Economy / Economics / Re: Money is an imaginary concept, but humanity is enslaved by it on: March 26, 2015, 09:08:30 PM
We are still quite far from the type of automation that will allow for 5% employment.  Even if the majority of production is automated, there are still many other components of a goods producing business that may not be automated if they are competing in a relatively free market.  Procurement, logistics, marketing, sales, support, R&D, etc. would still require a human component without AI right?  Then there are service industries.

True, automation require a lot of R&D, and when complexity raised above certain level, the cost will be higher than the gain. In a highly  complex system, a small bug will cause days of delay in automated system, which could trigger a chain of reaction.

But anyway that is the trend, maybe not 5%, but 20%, there should be a framework that can be adjusted based on how much labor is needed to re-allocate the resource to those redundant people. Current solution is printing lots of money to create lots of useless job just to make people get something to do, not a bad idea but far from efficient

So there are a few issues keeping us from going towards this automated economic model.

1) We don't have enough people on the tech/r&d/engineering side currently, so we would need many more people to be educated (in or out of school) in coding, software development, robotics, engineering, etc.
2) What happens to the rest of the people that are useless in the new system?  They are the majority.
3) In this system, only companies that actually produce or optimize goods/services are useful - so things like financial services, which don't really produce anything but take a cut from everyone that does produce, will need to
4) How are resources distributed for production?  Ideally it should go to the most productive and beneficial options.  Then once goods are made, how are they distributed if the majority of the population doesn't make income?

We are currently so primitive compared to the type of world we're dreaming of...I mean like you said, we have the money printer going and engage in war.  Could you have any stupider people leading the world?  Once you've conditioned an idiot to think he's doing good by killing another person that he's never met, something's very wrong.  In the new world, that idiot would need to be programming a manufacturing robot. /end rant.

For the transition, I think the tech companies will have to set the stage and compete solely based on technological innovation.  Elon Musk is making a huge push for tech companies to expand into other industries, and I really think when you have brilliant minds, they can take over whichever industry they please. 
834  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: How/where to earn bitcoins? (not faucets) on: March 26, 2015, 07:55:00 PM
The best choice would be, what doesnt go out of your way to earn those bitcoins.

People are listing way too many choices, and some will pay out pennies and comparing to whats been paying them great. I`d stick with signatures for now, then move on to a buy and sell thing.

I wouldnt want to waste my time in other areas, unless you have a lot of time in the day.

Yeah, I agree.

From my introduction into Bitcoin, the easiest way if you work and have disposable income, is to just convert $ to Bitcoin.  I'll assume that some people are asking because they either don't work or don't want to invest their personal $.

Without having any unique skillset, so really just based on participation, the signature campaigns are your best bet from what I can see.  Aside from that, there are faucets and Android games that will pay a few hundred satoshi, which will build really slowly over time.

Gambling has the potential to generate bitcoin, but the odds are against you and you need to be comfortable with losing.
835  Other / Beginners & Help / Re: Q re Android wallet security on: March 26, 2015, 07:04:03 PM
Can someone outline the potential security risks associated with a wallet on Android?

Couple example questions:
1) What are the risks if the phone is in my possession the entire time (non-rooted Nexus 5)?
2) If the phone is stolen - there is still a password lock on the phone, so Bitcoin can't be sent out unless the phone is unlocked.  But in this event, can I not just access my Bitcoin account online via website on my laptop?

Just trying to better understand what to do in these situations.
836  Economy / Services / Re: ★☆★ 777Coin Signature & Personal MSG Campaign ★☆★ Newb to Hero [RE-OPEN] on: March 25, 2015, 05:57:46 PM
If we did not meet minimum do our posts get rolled over into nextweek payments or do they never get credited?

Only for the first week. So if you join on a Wednesday, you will have until about a week and a half to reach the 20 post minimum limit. From your second week onwards, any posts that don't reach the 20 post limit will cease to roll over.


Do you know what time time frame/range is and when the weekly total is calculated?

(Eg. From Monday to Sunday, calculated on Sunday at midnight.)
837  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Does martingale really works? on: March 25, 2015, 05:45:52 PM
Short term,maybe. It is possible to do well with martingale over a short number of trades.
Long term, account destruction. Eventually, you will hit a losing streak that will wipe you out. It may happen in the first week, or it may take a few months. Rest assured, it will happen. It is a mathematical certainty.


Do people resist so long with martingale, months? Honestly ive never survived more than 1 day using it

It makes more sense to compare based on # of bets than days/weeks/months or measure of time.

I'd be interested to know how many times people were able to double their initial bankroll before either quitting or losing it all.

The most I've been able to do is double 27.5 times initial bankroll before going bust.  The transition in feeling invincible to a mere mortal was pretty sad lol.  I actually withdrew a little more than the initial bankroll before losing, but that's when I started thinking of periodic withdrawals.  After doing the math, the odds are still against you long-term.
838  Economy / Economics / Re: Money is an imaginary concept, but humanity is enslaved by it on: March 25, 2015, 03:12:35 PM
Those opposed to welfare are Fucked. We are headed towards a future where automation will allow for 95% of people not needed, and 5% of human labour will be all that's needed to generate the world's GDP. When we get there... you either give the people that "aren't needed" a welfare or prepare for a total catastrophe.

We are still quite far from the type of automation that will allow for 5% employment.  Even if the majority of production is automated, there are still many other components of a goods producing business that may not be automated if they are competing in a relatively free market.  Procurement, logistics, marketing, sales, support, R&D, etc. would still require a human component without AI right?  Then there are service industries.

I consider Tesla to be one of the most technologically advanced companies, where a large portion of their production is automated, but they still need to employ a ton of people, not only in production, but for the other components of running a business.

To your point, there would need to be a better way of distributing resources aside from time-based income though.  Almost sounds communist.
839  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Which is your strategy on dice sites? on: March 25, 2015, 04:55:03 AM

 I like playing %33 and triple when lost. It does end your bankroll quickly in a hurry if it goes bad in a row but it also makes good return if it goes well.

Doesn't every strategy make a good return if it goes well? Wink

Absolutely not! Classic martingale makes a ridiculous return of just a base bet. It doesn't matter how many times you double your bet (at 49-50%), even though you may win in the end (which is not given as, I hope, you understand), you just recover the amount lost in the previous steps and earn only the amount that you started with (that is the base bet)...

Well the key part of that statement is "if it goes well".  If martingale "goes well" you make a great return.  It's not that you just recover the amount lost, it's that every time you don't lose it all, you win.
840  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Which is your strategy on dice sites? on: March 24, 2015, 11:43:48 PM

 I like playing %33 and triple when lost. It does end your bankroll quickly in a hurry if it goes bad in a row but it also makes good return if it goes well.

Doesn't every strategy make a good return if it goes well? Wink
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