My picks. Again worked out after hours and hours of research (read: guessed) from a friend of mine.

Brescia Calcio - Parma Calcio 1913 DRAW
Genoa CFC - FC Inter Milano
SSC Napoli - US Sassuolo Calcio
Southampton FC - Sheffield United
Newcastle United - Liverpool FC
Manchester City - Norwich City
Leicester City - Manchester United
Everton FC - AFC Bournemouth
Crystal Palace - Tottenham Hotspur
Chelsea FC - Wolverhampton Wanderers
Burnley FC - Brighton & Hove Albion
Arsenal FC - Watford FC
West Ham United - Aston Villa
AS Roma - AFC Fiorentina
Juventus Turin - UC Sampdoria

He said, he only picks the draw, when he is unsure, so I can expect 14/15 here, lol. Too many favourites for my liking, but lets see.

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Arsenal-Watford is really hard to predict, but could get interesting for live betting. If I was Aston Villa, I would just sit back, look not to concede and watch what happens at Arsenal. If Watford takes the lead, I can still open up more. If Arsenal takes the lead, I can stay with a more passive approach and go for 0-0.
If Villa takes the lead, then Watford will have to score some goals and this could lead to a crazy game.

I am wondering, if he can be proud of it, if he does and if it would be an enjoyable moment for him. He will be in the history books, but for me it would be with an asterisk next to it, if the best players are missing.
Even with all the money involved and to be earned, these guys are sportsman and competitiors by heart and I wouldn't feel too proud, if I win the US Open this year under these circumstances. But maybe thats just me. It's still an achievement, but would leave a bad taste in my mouth nonetheless.

It's a bit like Federer finally winning Roland Garros in 2009. He completed his personal Grand Slam, but he didn't beat the clay GOAT en route to it. So for me this win has a little asterisk to it as well and I wonder if Federer feels a bit the same. When I win something, I want to do it against the best of the best and not against a weakened field to be 100% proud and able to enjoy it. 

Well, it was a live bet and the odds look reasonable, but I agree with the rest you said. Posting live bets is a bit meh, since you can barely follow them (with the same odds/value).

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This looks very martingale-ish and/or chasing losses with making bigger and bigger bets, until you hit and have good "stats" again to show to people. Not very sustainable and I expect these $1000 to be lost soon, unless OP changes his staking And probably the bets too; hard to find pre-match value in the bigger leagues and singles are better than parlays. Slow and steady wins the race

I think we have entered phase 2 with this "plan" now As everyone might have heard, Trump is now advocating wearing masks etc. and he did his first Corona briefing since late April again. Now with the numbers getting possibly (artificially) lower in the upcoming weeks, he can brag about it. At the point HE started telling people how to handle things, the numbers have improved tremendously.

I would be curious to see, what would happen, if Trump did a complete 180. Like telling: I was wrong, this is no hoax, wear masks, do more local lockdowns, I should have taken this more seriously, I am sorry etc. Now this will never happen, but would still be interesting to witness the reactions to it and if it could help him for his ultimate goal of getting re-elected.

Na ja, was soll er schon sagen^^ Ja, ich bin CfB, aber David will ich als Hund absägen Er selber will ja Nullkommanichts von seiner Identität preisgeben und das sagt schon was aus.

Wenn es nicht ein und dieselbe Person ist, dann ist es mMn zumindest ein Freund von CfB. Man darf ja nicht vergessen, dass CfB zumindest ein Mitwisser ist, aber diese "Untersuchung" konzentriert sich fast ausschliesslich auf David (und CfB/David hassen sich mittlerweile, wie man weiss): https://www.notion.so/Misconduct-744d792770c748dd9e02aefc9e60848e

In diese Tabelle kannst auch locker noch ein paar Mal öfter Sergey Ivancheglo reinschreiben - macht derjenige aber nicht und CfB ist dann zweimal bisschen alibi-mäßig mit drin. Und der Hund ist ziemlich genau dann aufgetaucht, als CfB aufhörte auf seinem Twitter Account diverse Sachen zu leaken. Diese wurden dann von Hund geleakt ab da. Wäre ja nicht das erste Mal, dass CfB ein bisschen mit seiner Identität spielt (BCNext).

Hast du zufällig Screenshots davon ?

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Verfolgt jemand diesen Hund (auf Twitter) ? Was der da raushaut, ist schon nicht ohne und stellt David wirklich in ein sehr schlechtes Licht. Man kann auch nicht sagen, dass der einfach nur ein Dampfplauderer ist, weil der von CfB immer schön "belastende" Sachen zugespielt bekommt (wenn nicht sogar Hund = CfB).


Source: https://twitter.com/Hund_cleanIOTA/status/1285523793587437568

Und hier hat Rottmann recht, der mMn eh sehr gut für die IF war. War so der ruhende Pool mit ordentlich Business-Erfahrung und als "Externer" unbefangen(er):


https://twitter.com/Hund_cleanIOTA/status/1285523795495858176

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Bin wirklich hin- und hergerissen was IOTA betrifft. Da ist die technische Seite, die anscheinend große Fortschritte macht (mit offenem Ende) und dann die IF/David mit wohl einigen krummen Dingern, was in einem Desaster enden könnte, wenn sich da mal jemand "Größeres" für interessiert als der Hund himself only. Auch wenn derlei Sachen natürlich Standard sind, was es aber nicht besser oder legaler macht

I would do Paypal, since it's more convenient for me in the end all things considered. But especially with what @o_e_l_e_o mentioned regarding maybe wanting to stay kind of anonymous, I could also see me going the BTC route. Really hard to give an one fits all opinion, with the few information you provided

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I think your service will have something to do with gambling/betting and if thats the case, then you should look into Skrill/Neteller/ecoPayz as well, Paypal is not that common with gambling.

As @suchmoon hinted, fiat is still the elephant in the room in general and it's the same with betting/gambling. Don't get fooled by the gambling section, where there seems to be a huge hype around gambling with crypto. Gambling is still a fiat business; but it's getting better

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This survey in general is probably not very representative in a Bitcoin forum. If you have 50/50 here, you will have 10/90 in a non-crypto forum - or even less. Not offering any kind of fiat payment, will cost you a lot of potential customers imo.

Beijing - Fujian ML Beijing @1.76 7/10 (FJ)

Beijing needs this win badly to secure a spot in Top4. They even rested their best player against Sichuan in last game to have him fresh for this game. Fujian has not a lot to play for - they will finish in Top12 and if it's better to finish #12, #11, #10 etc. is yet unknown. Beijing is the way better team overall and I could even imagine Fujian giving some rest to their players.

Edit:

FJ copied the odds from Marathon/1xbit without Bet365 having published their odds yet (they are benchmark). Bet365 opened like 30min later with 1.34 for Beijing and it's down to 1.25 now even. I won't count this bet for the stats, since there is no point in just pimping the stats, without anyone being able to follow the bets. And I doubt anyone was able to follow.......

I think you overplayed your ace a bit, also considering the flop was AQX, where AQ beats your AT as well and I did a 2.5BB pre-flop raise, which you then re-raised to 5BB. But tbf it's always super hard to spot a set - one of the hardest things in Poker (for me ?). On lets say a AJ3 flop, that 3 looks like a blank, but can actually mean a super strong hand for your opponent. In the end it comes down to all this again:


I think even the best players are struggling to spot sets, but they are doing much better in anticipating the possible danger, be it via analyzing pre-flop raises, post-flop bet sizes, experience or pure gut feeling.
Problem is, when you concentrate too much on possible sets, you will just see them everywhere on any given flop They are curse and blessing at the same time - and if I was asked to do new rules, I would eliminate them

No good bets in the past days. It doesn't mean that I don't play anything, but there is nothing that I can really recommend with clean conscience for people to probably follow. For today I placed a bet on Shandong ML, when the odds came out with medium stakes:



Getting up this morning, I checked the odds movements and saw this :



I tried to search for information, why these odds were going so heavily against me, but have no idea. I only know, that Shandong will not win this match. This is probably fixed or lots of Shandong players got sick, which is not made public and only certain people know of. Lets see what the line-ups will look like.

Yep, remember now as well My bad (memory). But as cryptofrka said, it was maybe more due to lack of proper matches and they had to fill up things. There should be enough football in the coming weeks.


Would like that too, but won't happen imo, since football is still the sport that is the most interesting for the majority and where everyone thinks he is the most knowledgeable person ever A mixed MM with Tennis, Formula 1, Basketball, Baseball etc. would be fun though.

"I" finished with 7/15, which is kind of standard for me, but I will give my friend another chance this weekend. 11/15 is an unbelievable performance from the winners with all these random games.


Don't see this. Afaik they never had a mixed MM, but it was always one sport only and I can't imagine them doing a MLB edition, as long as there is football going on. And 3-way markets are a bit safer for them

I think we will see 1 or 2 chinese football matches in the upcoming MM.

In general I think a 1% house edge is fine, unless we know the turnover a certain casino has, because 1% can be huge or tiny profit. Since no casino will publish their turnover, I would then assume that it's not a rip-off, until I get those numbers. So to answer your question: Do we know for sure that it's not a rip-off ? No.

The house edge is so small, because casino will always win longterm - risk-free. Could it be even lower ? Probably, but without numbers hard to judge. I have no idea what it costs to run an online casino and what turnover you can generate. The sheer number of casinos popping up suggests they are making good money though; in a market that never seems to get saturated.

With this higher bankroll thing (link doesn't work btw), I already told you that it's too far from reality for me. Yes, you have your street games example, but everyone is free to have a higher bankroll than the house and you can't call people rip-off artists just for that.

Gratz @Iv4n

The rankings after 4/8 tournaments played:

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I jinxed that one perfectly, sorry

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Sorry for getting lucky as 62.5% favourite, won't happen again

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No. The user is no scammer (I think), just unreliable and careless, so I will get the money back sooner or later.

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No wildcard was given out for today, so it's available for next Sunday, if anyone is interested.

The problem with Poker is: You always need a big pool of players to make it attractive for other players to join your site. If there are only few players and it takes ages for tables to fill up, this turns nearly all people off. You can bet at a bookmaker, where you are the only customer, you can play at an (online) casino, where you are the only player - you are not dependant how many other players there are to make it more fun.

In Poker you have this big powerhouse called PokerStars, where you find more or less perfect conditions for everything you need and want when playing Poker. All kind of tournaments, cash games, sit'n go's for every size of bankrolls and never short of players - 24 hours for 7 days a week. All other sites don't have this and are struggling in this department. Not only crypto Poker sites, but also other fiat ones. And when you have a place, where everything is perfect, you won't leave that easily. Since there are no limitations like in bookmakers, you are also not urged to look for other possibilities.

In general Poker has been on the decline since years imo, with some spike again during this pandemic, because people spent/spend more time at home and were bored

Man sieht bei efialtis aber auch, wie schwer es ist, eine gut zahlende Kampagne mit halbwegs vernünftigen Postern zu füllen - kannst ja mal die post history von den Leuten durchgehen und so tun als wärst du der Manager Nach 3,5 Tagen sind gerade mal 3/6 Plätze vergeben. Und es gibt auch recht wenige Berwerbungen wie ich finde - diese s.g. Shitposter, die hier oft ausgelacht werden, sind mMn gar nicht so dumm, wie man denken mag. Die wissen schon sehr genau was sie machen und haben auch Antennen dafür, was möglich ist und was eben nicht. Bei den schlecht zahlenden Kampagnen (aus unserer Sicht), wird ja nahezu jeder genommen, der halbwegs geradeaus schreiben kann und dort bewerben sich diese Leute auch dann. Bei Kampagnen wie der von efi sieht man diese Leute sich nicht bewerben; die wissen schon, dass keinerlei Chance besteht.

Die Gosu-Kampagne ist natürlich auch etwas unsicher, was die Dauer betrifft, kann lange laufen aber auch jede Woche vorbei sein. Jemand, der in einer lang-laufenden Kampagne ist, wird nicht für $10 mehr zu Gosu wechseln und damit seinen halbwegs sicheren Arbeitsplatz^^ aufgeben.

Und bezüglich der "Klugheit" der Shitposter kann man sich auch die selbst-moderierten Threads in gambling angucken. Dort verirren sich die Leute seltenst hin, weil sie genau wissen, dass ihre Posts dort gelöscht werden. Im internationalen GER Bundesliga Thread hingegen kann man fast jeden zweiten Post löschen; da unmoderiert und keiner reported, können sich die Leute dort austoben

Man schaue sich mal diesen User aus der Bitvest-Kampagne an Auch auf die Zeitangaben achten. Und das ist kein dummer Mensch imo, einfach nur ein cheater und Egoist.

I would be interested in joining too. Community games are always fun, although I am not that much into Serie A and generally poor with my pre-match predictions. But at least none of you guys will finish last, if I join

Not familiar with Superbru and I wanted to know, if there is a restriction (possible and/or planned) on how often you can pick certain scores for a round ? In some private pools I joined in the past, you would always have people picking 2-1/1-1/1-0 for all games, so the most common results in football. This is kind of lame I think and always turned me off.

For escrow I am fine with you @Trofo or any other established member.

Rofl, your A-Game is still worse than everyones C-Game

Proof:

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The finish-higher-than efialtis bounties are easy to track afterwards.

For the beat-me-with-this-hand bounties, I would suggest to make a screenshot of it and post it immediately in this thread with a list, where you strike out the hand. Like this:

2-7
2-8
3-8
2-9
2-6
T-2
A-4

Since it shouldn't be much of a challenge to finish higher than efialtis, I will bravely re-invest my expected bounty into another WILDCARD for todays tournament. Same rules as before:

1) You are a newbie to our series.
2) You are not a newbie in this forum.
3) First come, first serve.
4) You will not suck me out jk

Just post your SwC name in here and I will send you the buy-in via P2P transfer on SwC and the password via PM here.

@efialtis I have sent 400 chips for this wildcard.

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The extra chips from that one wildcard, where the user never bothered to show up, I have put into the pools; just for everyones information.

On paper there look to be loads of good bets; will add these two with medium stakes:

Wuhan - Qingdao Wuhan -0.25 @1.88 4/10
Henan - Jiangsu Jiangsu ML @1.65 4/10

Qingdao and Henan are struggling mightily with their personnel - Henan doesn't even have any coaching staff right now -  while Jiangsu/Wuhan have all players/staff available. For those smaller and weaker teams it doesn't matter that much, where they finish in the group stage, they should look to be at their peak in the 2nd phase.

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Thanks for the heads up @notblox1, my bad and I fixed it