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881  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: High Rollers on: April 14, 2022, 04:42:15 PM
If so, it turns out that his bankroll is at least 100-150 bitcoins. And if we assume that he does not play for the last money, then this is a real multimillionaire or even a billionaire (this is very cool and indicates an adoption in my opinion). There is still a possibility that he received his bankroll as a result of some crazy winning, but this is not very close to the truth, since an ordinary person would rather withdraw the funds won than continue to play but already at fantastic limits.
That's a lot if that's an accurate one with that speculation.

But as said, we'll never know on how much he really got. And whenever there's someone that surprises us with such amounts, it's always interesting to know that person and the other information that we want to know.

Well, we're for that but it breaks the purpose of decentralization on it. It's just so funny that we're all for that because someone got to hold that huge amount of bitcoin and gambles it.

As long as gaming transactions take place inside the casino, it is impossible to track a specific player (unless he himself reveals himself). Undoubtedly it is intriguing. I think if this information were available then we would see a lot of "breaking" news about how "the son of a politician so-and-so lost a million dollars in a casino." Probably, online crypto casinos will always at least be a niche for such players, because in regular casinos information about high rollers is more likely to "leak".
882  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions on: April 14, 2022, 04:26:15 PM
It's funny how we are sneaking in Newcastle United into this transfer rumors of Mbappe and Erling Haaland. There's no chance that a player of Haaland or Mbappe level will move to a club as Newcastle at this age. No disrespect to Newcastle but as a championship club they are not there yet to be able to attract A- list on form players in the game. Bayern can be an option for Haaland but I think he might opt for Real Madrid or Manchester City.

On the one hand, you are right and everyone understands that top players will choose a team for themselves where they are almost guaranteed to receive titles and reach high stages in the Champions League, but on the other hand, I want to believe in a miracle that an ambitious player will appear who is not afraid to try to achieve everything with a new team. In the old days, this happened and now there is something similar in the NHL when the best player in the draft goes to the worst team.
883  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: April 14, 2022, 04:21:39 PM
Maybe it is just me, but wagering AGAINST Barcelona right now with a martingale rule could be actually quite worthy. They have been winning in la liga for too many games in a row right now and I have a feeling that eventually they will lose.

It means that even if it is not the next game, they may lose just one and if you do martingale until they lose, you may get something good in return. Obviously the downside is that they may never lose another game until the season is over, which would be awesome for Barcelona but I just feel like that is unlikely to see. I won't do it, I just do not have the courage enough to do this, but I wonder what would happen if someone tried it.

It's a good idea and I thought about it too. The main profit here will be from the fact that, due to a long series of successful matches, Barcelona is gradually being assessed as a team that is much stronger than its real capabilities. At a certain point in time, they will lose and the scores will return to normal, but if you "catch" this game when Barcelona loses, you can make a good profit. Considering that the odds of Barcelona's opponents are always higher than 3 (and even higher), such a martingale does not need a lot of money. This is an additional plus.
884  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: April 13, 2022, 01:38:02 PM
Since Manchester City won the first leg, they will be in the safe zone today. And the players will be stress-free. Manchester City's defense is very strong. It will not be easy for Atletico to win. Moreover City is a team that is completely stable. Atletico Madrid's performance is very irregular. And their main problem is their striker is not good enough, they have to face a lot of problems to score. And so, as usual, Manchester City is the favorite in today's match.

Bookmakers are of the same opinion:

Qualifies

Atletico Madrid 6.40

Manchester City FC 1.11

But even though Atlético is very weak in attack, I would rate their chances higher. After all, they showed that they know how to defend well and conceded only one goal away (and as you can see from other matches, one goal means almost nothing). Even with a weak attack, they can score one goal and at least secure extra time (if they don't concede). I don't think Manchester City will be in the safe zone today.
885  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: April 13, 2022, 01:21:14 PM
By the way, Arsenal still have one match yet to be played so if both of them consistently get full points, in the end Arsenal will be able to overtake Tottenham. But yes, it's just an analogy that basically Arsenal still have a chance to finish in 4th position, we realize for consistent results is hard work and difficult to achieve. But if we consider the inconsistency, then even if Arsenal have one match pending it will still be difficult for Arsenal. I personally see at the moment who their coach is and of course Conte is better, so I think Tottenham will be more consistent now until the end of the season compared to Arsenal who are likely to have lost more and left points behind for fourth place.

It will be funny if Arsenal win the game they have in their hand and match Tottenham in points. In this case, Tottenham will be ahead only because of the better difference between goals scored and conceded. Now Tottenham Hotspur has +19 and Arsenal +9. It looks like it will be very difficult for Arsenal to catch up with Tottenham in this sense and they can only hope for a mistake by Spurs.
886  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: F1 Formula Sports Racing - Sportsbet.io promotions & discussion thread on: April 13, 2022, 12:59:09 PM
Quotes of Grand Prix Emilia Romagna Race - Winner:

Leclerc, Charles 2.20

Verstappen, Max 2.65

Sainz Jr., Carlos 8.85

Perez, Sergio 12.70

Hamilton, Lewis 15.50

Russell, George 19.00

I wonder why Verstappen is quoted so much higher than Sainz? Just because he's the reigning champion? It seems doubtful to me.
And I would also like to see bookmakers' quotes for the result of the whole season, but I looked at several bookmakers and so far no one offers such an option. Maybe someone has seen something like this?
I see the same odds for Max and they are quite low for not even finishing on the podium.
But it is still early in the week so expect them to change closer to the race and most certainly after P1-P3.
Here they are for those who are interesting to keep an eye on them during the week:
https://sportsbet.io/sports/event/formula-1/formula-1/race/race-6252a7d78b29f8417b45f6bd

It is clear that the chances will change a lot if the outsiders according to the results of free practice/qualification will be ahead, but I do not understand the current quotes. Is Sainz's car really that much worse than Leclerc's? Or is it implied that he is identified as number two so his chances are initially worse due to team strategy? But then why are Verstappen's chances so high?
887  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: What is your opinions about simulated reality games? on: April 13, 2022, 12:25:38 PM
^

So your words have a rational basis, but most bettors will choose to bet on real games in which the outcome of the match can be more accurately predicted because we can observe in real time the athletic form of players, injuries, reshuffles, etc. I could be wrong but it seems to me that in simulated reality games, probability has a greater role and therefore it is an increased risk.

Of course, most real bettors choose to bet on real sporting events, as they place bets based not on the numbers that bookmakers draw, but on the information they collect about teams and analyze. But some bettors who are actually gamblers will bet on anything, even simulation of real games. But the question under discussion is different - how similar is the simulation to reality? I cannot give any specific answer to this question, since here we need to analyze a large amount of data from simulations that have already happened.
888  Local / Токены / Re: Все что нужно знать о NFT токенах on: April 13, 2022, 12:15:41 PM
Тут вроде как новый стандарт NFT завезли - ERC721R (R - значит Refund) с возможностью возврата денег.
После минта будет дано определённое время (30 дней) на получение средств обратно, что в теории позволит хоть как-то защищаться от Rug Pull и скамных коллекций.
Правда это функционал должны реализовывать сами разработчики NFT коллекций.
Детали можно посмотреть здесь: https://erc721r.org/

Значит теперь Rug Pull и скам коллекций будет происходить на 31-й день.
Вообще такие "улучшения" на мой взгляд просто бред, противоречащий принципам крипты, и скорее свидетельствует о том, что среднестатический пользователь между фиатом и криптой выберет фиат. Но зачем разработчики идут на поводу у большинства и пытаются превратить крипту в фиат?
889  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Betja.com Prediction Contest| Win up to $2000 | Free to participate | Round 23 on: April 13, 2022, 11:48:03 AM
My Betja Username- Boristhecat
Screenshot-

890  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: April 12, 2022, 12:56:40 PM
A relatively difficult match for Real Madrid this week against Sevilla, Sevilla being one of the toughest teams this season. If Real Madrid drop points against Sevilla, it will give a bigger chance to Barcelona who are just below them. After all, this is an important match for Real Madrid to pave the way to the championship.

Bookmakers estimate the probability of Real Madrid winning this match at less than 50%, probably taking into account the fact that the match with Chelsea will take a lot of energy:

3,20 - 3,35 - 2,32

But I think that if Real Madrid plays Chelsea successfully, then it will be safe to bet on its victory, as they will be inspired and most likely will defeat Sevilla.
891  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: High Rollers on: April 12, 2022, 12:42:10 PM
Good bets! I wonder if this is all the bets he made or is it part of a much larger series?
That made me think either maybe there were earlier bets that he has made and they're larger than these.

For some reason, it seems to me that the second one, since such bets are usually made according to the principle "won - lost - won - etc." until a complete loss or a big win. I would like to believe that he also had victories because the size of the bets is absolutely unrealistic for most gamblers.
IMO, that's for sure that he got wins as he has bet with such large amounts. Well, I guess all of us wants to hear from him on what he's thinking and if this is just a smaller part of his bankroll and there's actually more to it and he's part of those silent whales that are happily gambling and having fun with their fortune.

If so, it turns out that his bankroll is at least 100-150 bitcoins. And if we assume that he does not play for the last money, then this is a real multimillionaire or even a billionaire (this is very cool and indicates an adoption in my opinion). There is still a possibility that he received his bankroll as a result of some crazy winning, but this is not very close to the truth, since an ordinary person would rather withdraw the funds won than continue to play but already at fantastic limits.
892  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: April 12, 2022, 12:29:22 PM
Frankfurt have bad capital against with Barcelona because last math on Bundesliga defeated by Freiburg 1-2 although playing on home, different with Barcelona have crucial match after last minutes goals from Frank De Jong give 3 points for Barcelona defeated Levante. I think with capital result on domestic league will give effect when both team against on second leg UEFA Europe League and looks Barcelona favorite because play on home, but have several match when Barcelona play on Camp Nou at Europe League always got draw result from against with Napoli until Galatasaray.

In the upcoming game, Barcelona would be the favorite for any results of the games in the national championships in the last round. Another thing is that the defense of Barcelona is far from perfect and even outsiders from La Liga can score goals against it, if Frankfurt is no less successful, then Barcelona will have a difficult match. Even a second draw for Frankfurt will be a good result because in the penalty shoot-out all clubs have approximately equal chances.
893  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: April 12, 2022, 12:18:53 PM
Is it true that PSG owner Nasser Al Khelaifi decide to sell PSG after the World Cup, also he will leave club? The Qatar owner might be disheartened after knock out from Champion league, also give up winning the title despite having multiple star players in the same squad. French league isn't an attractive prospect for investing, let's see how this unfolds as turns out by.

I think this is not true. Whatever we think about his ambitions, I think he is first and foremost a businessman and invested in PSG on the basis of calculations, not emotions. An unsuccessful performance in the Champions League is unpleasant but does not change anything strategically - I heard that PSG's financial performance is satisfactory, there is no point in getting rid of such an asset even if he is supposedly disappointed in sports results.
894  Local / Альтернативные криптовалюты / Re: [ETH] Ethereum - мировой компьютер on: April 12, 2022, 09:23:56 AM
Согласно этой модели оценки, эфир стоит более 6000 долларов.

Между тем, согласно отчету Bloomberg, активы под управлением криптовалютных биржевых продуктов или ETP могут удвоиться до 120 миллиардов долларов к 2028 году.
Согласно недавнему отчету Bloomberg, эфир оценивается в 6 128 долларов, или около 180% от текущей цены криптовалюты, исходя из модели дисконтированных денежных потоков, поскольку предстоящее крупное обновление Ethereum может превратить криптовалюту в «инструмент, подобный акциям».

Источник
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/ether-is-worth-more-than-6-000-based-on-this-valuation-model-11649188553

Интересно, они рассматривают только позитивный сценарий или негативные тоже учитывают? Ведь если переход на POS будет неудачным или произойдет какой-нибудь большой взлом/нахождение уязвимости, требующей отката назад (если это вообще будет возможно), то цена эфира может улететь к 100 баксам или ниже.
Позитивный исход обновления тоже вовсе необязательно приведет к росту курса - сейчас NFT на спаде и если обновление не изменит степень использования ETH (количества транзакций), то с чего цене расти?
895  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Italian League Prediction Thread (Serie A) on: April 11, 2022, 07:05:21 PM
After the 0:0, AC Milan is more likely to be in 2nd place in Serie A, Inter Milan has one game less and is only 2 points behind. AC Torino play defensive very hard for the 0:0, reward 1 point. I don't think they wanted to win, but they had a few good chances. Now even Juventus is getting closer and closer, they only have 6 points to catch up on 1st place, that's not much.

This is a lot when there are 6 matches left until the end of the season. In addition, there is not one team ahead of Juventus, and not two, but three, so it is unlikely that Juventus will be able to overtake all three. The chances of Juventus winning the championship are estimated at 1 in 46, and it looks like a fair estimate. Juventus, of course, it's a shame now to watch the flickering of the teams in front of him while it got into good shape.
896  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: F1 Formula Sports Racing - Sportsbet.io promotions & discussion thread on: April 11, 2022, 06:49:02 PM
Quotes of Grand Prix Emilia Romagna Race - Winner:

Leclerc, Charles 2.20

Verstappen, Max 2.65

Sainz Jr., Carlos 8.85

Perez, Sergio 12.70

Hamilton, Lewis 15.50

Russell, George 19.00

I wonder why Verstappen is quoted so much higher than Sainz? Just because he's the reigning champion? It seems doubtful to me.
And I would also like to see bookmakers' quotes for the result of the whole season, but I looked at several bookmakers and so far no one offers such an option. Maybe someone has seen something like this?
897  Economy / Gambling / Re: Which would be better ? on: April 11, 2022, 06:37:42 PM
Which would be better for gambling casinos or sports games?
I've seen both but sports seem a lot easier to me and casinos are hard for me.
  • What do I need to know to play casino?
  • Which is a more profitable casino or sports game?
  • And Which Platform should take as a newbie gambler, casino or sports?

If I chose to start my career in gambling, then I would choose something that requires intellectual effort - either poker or sports betting. It seems to me that such an activity is less dangerous in terms of addiction, plus it makes sense, unlike slots where you just need to press a button. As for profitability, I would not count on it, first of all, this is entertainment, and a very small percentage of all gamblers win.
898  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: High Rollers on: April 11, 2022, 06:23:59 PM
Good bets! I wonder if this is all the bets he made or is it part of a much larger series? For some reason, it seems to me that the second one, since such bets are usually made according to the principle "won - lost - won - etc." until a complete loss or a big win. I would like to believe that he also had victories because the size of the bets is absolutely unrealistic for most gamblers.
899  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: April 10, 2022, 01:46:18 PM
Atletico Madrid - Manchester City game is approaching us now. Atletico Madrid are going to need to have a more attacking game plan at this point. Because they are already 1-0 behind now and they need to find that goal before their opponent. If they succeed, then things can go on very interestingly. Otherwise it is the end for Atletico Madrid I'm afraid.
For sure, they have to score asap and then they can Apply their defensive strategy otherwise city will find many spaces and can score alot of goals

This is not the style of Atlético Madrid. They won't force things as they actually only need one goal to fix the situation. Most likely they will look for their chances as before in a tough defensive game. Maybe they will massively go forward only if at the end of the game there are 10-15 minutes before the end and only if the score does not suit them.
900  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: F1 Formula Sports Racing - Sportsbet.io promotions & discussion thread on: April 10, 2022, 01:30:55 PM
Great win from Charles and great win for Ferrari.

Happy to see RedBull DNF again but not happy for Max ...but I guess karma is karma no matter what.

Charles Leclerc's 71/78 (91% of points available) in the first three races is the best start to a season for a Ferrari driver since...

...Michael Schumacher in 2004 (30/30 points in the first three races)!


Well , it seems that we can already crown Charles as the new champion if we take that stats for what it stands for so it's time for F1 to become RED AGAIN.

I think it's too early to talk about the outcome of the championship, but at the moment Leclerc's advantage looks total:

1   Charles Leclerc   MON   FERRARI   71
2   George Russell   GBR   MERCEDES   37
3   Carlos Sainz   ESP   FERRARI   33
4   Sergio Perez   MEX   RED BULL RACING RBPT   30
5   Lewis Hamilton   GBR   MERCEDES   28
6   Max Verstappen   NED   RED BULL RACING RBPT   25
7   Esteban Ocon   FRA   ALPINE RENAULT   20
8   Lando Norris   GBR   MCLAREN MERCEDES   16
9   Kevin Magnussen   DEN   HAAS FERRARI   12
10   Valtteri Bottas   FIN   ALFA ROMEO FERRARI   12

The gap from the nearest serious competitor is 41 points, and this is a lot, as it allows you to make one big mistake (for example, get into an accident and not score at all) and still remain the first. Mercedes is still very lucky and comes in second place. For them, this is a very good result.
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