Bitcoin Forum
July 07, 2024, 06:57:35 PM *
News: Latest Bitcoin Core release: 27.0 [Torrent]
 
  Home Help Search Login Register More  
  Show Posts
Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 [46] 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 ... 252 »
901  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: March 12, 2016, 08:52:10 PM

I stand corrected. Didn't look correctly (or at all). Just saw: hmm, it's still at the price I got in, so it hasn't moved... pretty stupid of me Wink


That's why, even if you don't want to trade, you should at least cost-average, in a disciplined manner.
902  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: March 12, 2016, 08:25:59 PM
The bots make it impossible to play both sides.

Very much not true.  I am more than happy to take XMR from the bots.  The more market makers, the fewer big swings.  You start by placing your ladder in anticipation of the swings.  When that ceases to be useful, because of competition, you adapt your order placement.  It does not take long until the strategy has paid for itself, and your risk of a net loss has gone to zero.  Meanwhile, by making the currency more attractive for transactional use, you have increased the value of your principal holdings.

Quote
What if Fincen shuts it down tomorrow?

A valid concern.  If you haven't done compliance and continue to refrain from compliance, you could loose on that.  For that reason, an off-shore exchange (with fiat) can't come soon enough.
903  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 12, 2016, 08:12:44 PM
...consider the pumping of ETH to have somewhat of an overall suppressing effect on the BTC prices.  It may not be a large effect, but there is probably some relationship there...

When people want ETH, they buy BTC.  When they make large gains, today, they want to book in fiat, so they sell BTC.  If the gains are more than the pot stakes, it is a net negative for BTC, but so far the trend has been recycling via trading, and a net inflow to BTC.  If they wait for BFX to exchange against fiat, it is good for BTC and bad for ETH, because the gains get booked against ETH, for fiat.  Eventually, the flows into ETH may be more from fiat, less from BTC, and the BTC sales to ETH buyers will decline, which is bad for BTC, but almost certainly in the beginning of BFX trading the net flows are fiat -> BTC -> ETH -> fiat, which is favorable to BTC and negative for ETH.

Quote
not going to cause me to send any of my dong in that ETH direction. 

I am not entirely sure they want your dong.
904  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 12, 2016, 08:04:48 PM
I guess there's someting to be said for having stayed off that list. Wink

It has been "berry berry good *to* *me*".
905  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 12, 2016, 05:19:57 PM
I hope you realize that the alt coin market cap is actually a subset of the Bitcoin market cap. The overwhelming bulk of that figure is directly accretive to the value of Bitcoin.

Nope.
Please make a rational case. Or if that is beyond your present resources, at least explain with an occasional hand-wave. Even an incoherent rant would be an improvement, providing more information.
906  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 12, 2016, 05:17:02 PM
I hope you realize that the alt coin market cap is actually a subset of the Bitcoin market cap. The overwhelming bulk of that figure is directly accretive to the value of Bitcoin.
907  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Announcements (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero - A secure, private, untraceable cryptocurrency on: March 12, 2016, 05:04:38 PM
Not really a speculation topic: I would like to encourage anyone with coins on an exchange to place smallish bid ladders on both sides of the book.  Liquidity is important for growth of the transactional market.  If you use small orders and only a small part of your supply, and update your orders frequently, the risks are small and gains are reasonably consistent.  Discussion of the speculative aspects should be referred to the speculation thread.  I'm just throwing this up as an encouragement to those who want to help the economy mature.
908  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 12, 2016, 04:42:55 PM
BTW I have been trying to find a country where an exchange can be hosted that does not cow to fincen
Basically no such country exists, not any more. Singapore and Hong Kong were the last holdouts I knew of and they're towing the line now too.
Andorra, Monaco, wherever.

Start with countries off-sides from the U.S. which aren't under international sanctions.  Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, UAE, Uruguay, Fiji, Seychelles, Madagascar, Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Laos, Myanmar....
909  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 12, 2016, 04:35:09 PM
You guys.... hedge funds?  Really?  ...I would much rather the humble nerds and little people have a taste first. ...If a hedge fund gets richer, no one gives a shit.  

Hedge funds are oft vilified, but you know who banks most of the gains?  Pension funds.  Grossly underfunded pension funds.  Hedgies make money the old fashioned way:  With OPM (other people's money).  Yes, they sometimes (not usually, but if they are good, certainly) bank outsized gains, and charge exorbitant fees.  It is a sweet business  if you are good at it, and the reward is quite disproportionate to the social benefit in such cases.  However, keeping pension funds in the black is an enormous social benefit.  And it is about 50% of the sink for hedgie gains.  ~20% is probably insurance, ~4% is high net-worth punters, and the rest is internal to the industry, with about 10% going to the managing partners.

Yes, it is not as efficient a redistribution mechanism as direct grass-roots XMR investment.  But I would argue that it is far more efficient than state-socialism!  I would not avoid the market.  I just think it is premature to take the market seriously, except on an opportunistic basis.
910  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 12, 2016, 04:26:43 PM
Guys cmon... Let's be real with this hedge fund bullshit. We're going to do more harm than help if we were to pitch monero to a hedge fund right now. Unless that hedge fund manager is computer literative, he/she is going to have to store their stash on mymoner.com and let's be honest, that's not how you want to pitch an idea to a hedge fund. Pet focus on the now before we get ahead of ourselves here.

The FXD people to whom I have provided XMR have taken it as a paper wallet.  It's like any other derivative contract to them.
911  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 12, 2016, 03:11:18 AM
Actually it is pretty fair.  The BitcoinATM near my office in the city charges at 8.6% premium for buys.  The one in LES does btc to fiat, requires KYC, and charges some serious double-digit premium on sells, like crazy bad, that I have erased from my memory as a traumatic experience.  Well, fair compared to outright rape, that is.
912  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 12, 2016, 02:55:14 AM
Get a thread.  (Also, "homestead" release, hardfork is Monday.)
913  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 12, 2016, 02:45:25 AM
If you know enough to know that you don't know, then you know a lot more that a lot of people who know that they know a lot more.
914  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: March 12, 2016, 01:34:54 AM
By the time of the next 2-3-4 halvings, our blocksize limits could be in the hundreds of megabytes.
given that phones will have terabytes of non-volatile nanosecond latency memory by then, it shouldn't be a problem.  but, competing with low-latency centralized settlement while surviving kyc/aml will be a challenge before 2020. 
915  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 12, 2016, 01:24:14 AM
Discusão curiosa !!!  Roll Eyes
Bem vinda. Lamento que eu não falo Português. Mas parece que você obter algum gozo a partir da discussão Inglês, então nem tudo está perdido.
916  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 11, 2016, 11:48:59 PM
People love cash, if it is easy enough to use, there are only 6 people between you and everyone else.


A propos: https://research.facebook.com/blog/three-and-a-half-degrees-of-separation/

...makes me want to cry about my Erdös number.
917  Economy / Economics / Re: Economic Devastation on: March 11, 2016, 10:23:36 PM
I favor Chile.  Good personal liberty, climate, education levels, and some nice natural resources (copper, lithium, &c).  Very long flights however.
918  Economy / Speculation / Re: rpietila Wall Observer - the Quality TA Thread ;) on: March 11, 2016, 09:29:53 PM
Fitch just downgraded Finland.
919  Economy / Economics / Re: Martin Armstrong Discussion on: March 11, 2016, 09:23:19 PM
THANK YOU -- I trust this above is in-line with Sir Amrstrong

I have not read his recent report.  I have often found M. Armstrong's estimations similar to my own.  I was in some disagreement with him about 2015.75, however, and I was proven right, in my own estimation.  Although, I do believe that July was a generational SPX top.  2134, in constant money terms?  Maybe again in 2029.

I describe only the positions I choose for my own portfolio.  Your needs and objectives may differ.
920  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Speculation (Altcoins) / Re: [XMR] Monero Speculation on: March 11, 2016, 09:05:26 PM
By contrast, if someone (e.g. Fluffypony) would give a presentation about Monero to them which is easily understandable your scenario is quite plausible.  

Actually I did this, very informally, a few times back in 2014.  Probably at least one or two of the larger spikes in Summer and Fall of 2014 were at my instigation.  *Every* FX derivatives person I pitched to, bought some, either on their own according to their report, or else from me, OTC.  If I had more time I would pitch more.  FX quants seem to be my natural audience. I am 99.44% sure they are uniformly hodlers, too.

Pages: « 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 [46] 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 ... 252 »
Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.19 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!