... and today there's been 7 blocks from a miner who is mining to a new address and not putting anything in the coinbase to identify them.
One block 7 hours ago, then six in the last 3 hours.
So someone is definitely trying to increase the hash rate ...
See the current block 691111 coinbase.
...
Looks like that was fupool using that 691,111 block bc1 address (bc1q7wed...) and not identifying it as themselves again.
The last address they did that with (bc1qf274...) for about 330 blocks, stopped at block 691,063 also didn't have their name in the coinbase, but they transferred block rewards to the usual fupool mining address, so it obviously was them.
That address stopped appearing just before this new one appeared (and has now been in 35 blocks)
Meanwhile, the history calc on the diff is now -4.58% with only 67 blocks to go, thus
very likely that hash rate is now increasing again.
-4.44% is better than I hoped for.
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimatorLatest Block: 691430 (9 minutes ago)
Current Pace: 95.5102% (1959 / 2051.09 expected, 92.09 behind)
Previous Difficulty: 19932791027262.74
Current Difficulty: 14363025673659.96
Next Difficulty: between 13724229954263 and 13724717918669
Next Difficulty Change: between -4.4475% and -4.4441%
Previous Retarget: July 3, 2021 at 2:25 AM (-27.9427%)
Next Retarget (earliest): Today at 6:11 PM (in 0d 9h 56m 2s)
Next Retarget (latest): Today at 6:12 PM (in 0d 9h 56m 47s)
Projected Epoch Length: between 14d 15h 46m 56s and 14d 15h 47m 41s
...
we are pulling a lot of blocks at the moment.
If next jump on July 31 or Aug 1 jumps +2 to +5 will will be back on track.
But it would mean six week of mining with diff at or near 14 on average
July 3 to July 17 at 14.36
July 17 to July 31 at 13.72
Aug 1 to Aug 15 at 14.00? Next guess on my part.
edit at 730 pm EST
1 block to go
and 732 pm done
dropped to 13.67
enjoy the extra coin for next 2 weeks or maybe 13 days.
I smell +2 to +4%
https://www.bitrawr.com/difficulty-estimatorLatest Block: 691489 (3 minutes ago)
Current Pace: 522.2318% (2 / 0.38 expected, 1.62 ahead)
Previous Difficulty: 14363025673659.96
Current Difficulty: 13672594272814.14
Next Difficulty: between 13694756121608 and 54690377091256
Next Difficulty Change: between +0.1621% and +300.0000%
Previous Retarget: Today at 7:32 PM (-4.8070%)
Next Retarget (earliest): Tuesday at 11:52 AM (in 2d 16h 16m 31s)
Next Retarget (latest): July 31, 2021 at 6:59 PM (in 13d 23h 23m 50s)
Projected Epoch Length: between 2d 16h 20m 21s and 13d 23h 27m 40s
The drop was about -4.807%
So if we go up 2% we go to 13.946
and if we go up 4% we go to 14.219
While I guess that as a slot. I could be wrong.