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961  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Brasileirão 2023 - Brazilian Championship Serie A on: November 10, 2023, 07:00:53 PM
interesting my friend's friend cousin shenanigans have been wondering if it's better to focus on high reward/low probability bets or low reward/high probability bets
or a combination of the two
I understand that having a simple system you can follow and stick to is usually the best way
just curious on everyone's thoughts on this one

I don't have an answer for that haha
I'm betting this way because I can get a lot of results right as to who wins. But I'm not good at predicting how many goals there will be in the match, or the other bets
So I see if the match has good odds, if I have a good guess and then I place my bet
There are some people who just do multiples, they get a lot wrong, but when they get it right, it all pays off and they make a profit because the odds are so high

Try placing a few bets, it can be as little as 1 or 2 dollars, it's a lot of fun haha

The match between Botafogo and Gremio had some great highlights. Botafogo finished the first half leading 3-1. Then Luis Suarez came on the scene in the second half and scored a hatrick. I had the chance to watch the 3 goals he scored. He scored some really classy goals and gave Gremio the 3 points. Suarez may not be as athletic as he used to be but his technical skills are still the same. Form goes but technique stays. He has been one of the best examples of this. I am sure he will continue to score beautiful goals after meeting Messi in America.

The Botafogo x Gremio game was incredible, even more so with Suarez doing a hat trick. He's managing to help Grêmio at the right time
Botafogo are in serious danger of losing the championship right now, the team are completely lost right now, looks like Arsenal last season  Cheesy
962  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Sou novo e queria dicas desse mundo de cryptomoedas on: November 10, 2023, 01:56:16 AM
Seja bem vindo!
Espero que essa nova bull run traga bastante usuários novos haha

Tem um tópico já bem antigo, mas é interessante ler: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=759695.0
É sobre as "regras" do fórum que pode te ajudar a entender melhor aqui

Não precisa tentar entender tudo de primeira porque tem bastante coisa legal aqui no fórum, ranking, merits, activity, campanhas etc e você pode ficar meio perdido
Mas a dica mesmo é participar, quando tiver algo a acrescentar, ou quiser expor seu ponto de vista, faça o post, ou se tiver algo legal para compartilhar, faça um tópico

Especificamente sobre se comunicar, não tem muito segredo
963  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 09, 2023, 10:49:11 PM
Many are trapped like you, indeed before the game begins Man United is very favorite to win especially this match is important for Man United to keep hope in order to remain able to qualify for the next stage. In addition, many of which convince this fight will be won by Man United because only Copenhagen can be said to be weak than Galatasay and Bayern Munich. So this fight is so important for Man United to steal three points so it's no wonder that many bet on Man United. But in the end of the end too. Cheesy

Honestly I am the biggest regret in my life is when betting on Man United three weeks in a row only relies on logic. It turns out that for Man United's predictions can not rely on logic, indeed they have not been stable so avoid betting on Man United. Cheesy

I'll certainly avoid betting on the team until at least the end of this year or this Champions League, as they probably won't even qualify.
Their next opponents are Galatasaray, and I think they can win, but Manchester are still up against Bayern, who are in great phase with Harry Kane, and who haven't lost a game in the Champions League or the Bundesliga yet
They will certainly have to act in the next transfer window

This Manchester situation is very difficult to bet on, no matter what happens I'm not going to bet on the team for now, I haven't had any luck
I'm going to study the next round matches carefully to try and recover my bankroll, which has been damaged by my losing streak
964  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: JPMORGAN diz que ETFs estão sendo SUPERESTIMADOS on: November 09, 2023, 10:36:41 PM
Eu acho que o valor do BTC já está até precificado por causa da especulação toda de comprar agora e vender um pouco depois que liberarem os ETFs, mas no longo prazo pode gerar interesse sim
O que mais chamou a atenção dessa vez, diferente dos outros produtos, é que a Blackrock está acreditando no BTC, então podemos supor que outros investidores, tanto empresas quanto pessoas físicas também podem acreditar mais no futuro do BTC e investirem um pouco, com mais segurança, afinal é a maior empresa de investimentos do mundo
Sem contar também que dá uma certa confiança para todo um mercado que o BTC não vai ser banido ou proibido.
965  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: UEFA Champions League 2023/24 Season on: November 09, 2023, 06:07:25 PM
Yesterday I had another losing bet, this time with Man. United, and I don't think I was the only one

I had odds of 1.83, I thought the team would react against Copenhagen to position themselves better in the group and at least secure a second place with 6 points
But the team is really unlucky, even with a red card I thought that at least they could hold a draw. Take 4 goals of Copenhagen is not normal
It seems that no matter how much they change, the team isn't reacting, the injured Casemiro is a bad thing, Antony was hired to score goals, he's not managing to show anything so far...

I'll avoid any bet with Man United hehe, I just lost 3 bets in a row in less than a week



966  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Preço não para de subir. Nada mais pode ser feito. on: November 09, 2023, 04:18:59 PM
37k



38k



Não vi bater os 38k  Cheesy

Cara que coisa boa, se continuar assim, logo logo podemos já ver o BTC na casa dos 40k de novo, saudades hahaha

Tem umas notícias aí saindo que tem uma janela de dias que pode ser que liberem todos ETFs

Outra coisa legal, fazia tempo que não via o ETH 2k  Grin
Se fosse na época de mineração eu estaria feliz demais
967  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: MPF abre licitação para comprar sistema para rastrear/monitorar criptomoedas on: November 09, 2023, 12:27:45 PM
E olha que criei um tópico há alguns dias sobre a Receita estar monitorando as transações cripto, até entre pessoas físicas
Dá uma conferida: https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5471902.0

É o cerco se fechando por aqui, o Brasil com certeza não vai proibir nada, mas vai querer ganhar a parte dele em forma de impostos, aliás o governo está atirando pra todo lado pra arrecadar mais impostos
968  Other / Meta / Re: Signature campaign as a creation of bitcointalk on: November 08, 2023, 07:25:55 PM
I am like you.

parts-express
andantech
macrumors
macmini 123

all did not let you sell your signature.
I made thousands of posts on those forums. maybe 15000 on them.

I did a lot of mac mini sales on mac mini 123.
a few sales on andantech.

 I don’t do a lot of signature work here. maybe 2 years out of  11. But it comes in handy if you get a bit tight on cash.

Of those you mentioned, the only one I didn't know was parts-express
These forums have helped me a lot too
But it's amazing to think that even with so many years of participating in forums, I had never thought about the possibility of renting/selling a signature

A few years ago when forums were more popular, and if the moderators/owners of the forums allowed it, I think hardware stores could pay for the best users to promote them
But as I said, I didn't think about that possibility

I've seen you with 2 signature that I remember before, the most recent one from TalkImg, and another one that I don't remember which one, but I don't think it was a paid one

The signature campaigns here on the forum become very interesting when the payments equal or exceed a salary of the country where the user lives, for the US or most of Europe it is good but for other countries it is a very high value



I am grateful that there is a signature campaign as it is helping me out during this tight time for mining.

Yeah BTC and bitcointalk has been quite a trip for myself.

I think it's a almost win win situation
Of course, it generates some spam or unnecessary/excessive posts, but it also brings activity to the forum, it's a reward that helps to keep good users here, help them (like you said right now)
It also generates cryptocurrency traffic, new users and a few other good things

Another very interesting thing is that cryptos are essential to this system, the campaigns capture the essence of cryptos very well, of being able to pay someone living in another country, without intermediaries, without excessive fees and with privacy/anonymity if the user wants it
969  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Elon Musk lançou o Grok, sua AI on: November 08, 2023, 06:49:03 PM
Bem interessante, eu vi algo no Twitter sobre Grok mas nem dei atenção e não tinha a mínima ideia que era a IA do Elon

Eu boto fé porque todas empresas do Elon devem usar bastante a IA, especialmente a Tesla, e acredito que muito conhecimento e a tecnologia devem ser compartilhada entre as empresas dele (Tesla, Space X, agora o X)
O estágio da IA dos Tesla é bem avançado, se você ver lá nos Estados Unidos tem bastante coisas que os carros da empresa conseguem fazer

Estou ansioso pra testar aqui, inclusive tenho uns 2 mini projetos que preciso de IA pra funcionar mas não tenho conseguido muito bem no chatgpt
970  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Brasileirão 2023 - Brazilian Championship Serie A on: November 08, 2023, 03:08:08 PM
I'm not but I have a friend who has a friend whose cousin's best friend is betting

 Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy

he says that he's profitable and that most of the time he manages bank roll well and bet mostly on game winners, double chances (one or another, one or draw), draw no bet and one team to score over 0.5 (1 goal)

what are you betting on more often? the team to win?

I'm also making a profit from the Brasileirao, but it's not easy, I've lost several bets with surprise results

I don't usually bet on double chances and goals.
I've only been betting on the winners, and sometimes I place multiple bets
Of course, every now and then I place a different bet on the number of goals, but it's more rare

I see a lot of users placing riskier bets that pay out very well. In the past, I used to place bets on the number of goals, fouls and cards, but I realized that I lost a lot
The simple way has given me better results




971  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Problemas com Ledger envolvendo resgate de DOT on: November 08, 2023, 12:22:24 PM
Rapaz, você parece mó especialista em manutenção caseira do visor ledger.
Vou anotar aqui para pedir orientações se o meu visor morrer um dia kkk

Fiquei até com vontade de abrir o meu e limpar com álcool, mas acho q agora pode mais piorar do que resolver.

Haha, é porque eu já abri ela quando comprei, pra verificar se era original e se estava intacta, então eu vi que ela é bem simples.
Como eu já fiz muito conserto em peças de videogame, PC e eletrônicos em geral, é uma área que gosto e tenho facilidade

Dica: se a sua está funcionando ainda, não mexe em nada porque pode piorar ou quebrar mesmo, mas pra quem já está com o visor quebrado, aí sim compensa fazer a tentativa ou se não der, comprar a telinha e substituir
Precisarem de qualquer ajuda em eletrônicos é só chamar hahaha  Cheesy



R$ 10 + uns R$ 15 de frete você pega um na Aliexpress já com impostos.

https://pt.aliexpress.com/item/1005006180243667.html

Melhor ainda, vale a pena demais

Derramei agua no meu entao nem fui buscar essas soluções alternativas, só descartei. Tongue

Sei sei, perdeu seus BTC também no acidente de barco e molhou a ledger  Cheesy Cheesy Cheesy
972  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Brasileirão 2023 - Brazilian Championship Serie A on: November 08, 2023, 12:14:25 PM
For example, who would have imagined that Vasco would beat Botofogo? lol

Nobody, I even lost a few dollars on that bet haha  Cheesy

Botafogo x Gremio
Palmeiras x Flamengo

Victory will be extremely important for these teams, and if they draw against each other, the teams in 6th, 7th and 8th place will be able to benefit from this if they win... and the top 4 teams draw

I won't be placing any bets on these two matches, I don't have any good guesses as to who will win. Even betting on goals is risky
These matches are only good to watch

Take a look at the odds for this round's games, practically all balanced, no easy bets
The most "easy" bet would be Inter against Fluminense, but I don't think Inter is that much of a favorite, after all Fluminense just won the Libertadores



973  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Brasileirão 2023 - Brazilian Championship Serie A on: November 07, 2023, 09:31:42 PM
as expected:

Vasco da gama 1 - 0 Botafogo

The worst part is that I actually bet on Botafogo, who had good odds, and lost another bet.
In fact, I lost two bets yesterday because I also believed that Santos could beat Cuiaba
Two losses in a row

there are still some ways to make money betting on the Brazilian championship with low odds, high probability events like over 0.5 goals and this kind of bet than pay 10-25% but have really high chances of happening.

a bit of work to do it and keep track of everything but not hard.

Are you betting too Lucasgabd? hahaha  Cheesy
Be careful, the championship is crazy right now  Grin
I didn't think the championship would be so exciting in the end

Edit: look at the top 10

974  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Problemas com Ledger envolvendo resgate de DOT on: November 07, 2023, 06:14:39 PM
Eu estava me esquecendo de uma coisa
O visor parou totalmente mesmo?

Você pode falar pra ele tentar visualizar com uma lanterna pra ver se ainda tem algum resquício de imagem no visor, as vezes fica tão apagado mas ainda daria pra ver um pouquinho de nada.
Ou tentar num local totalmente escuro

Outra coisa, ele pode trocar o visor somente. Eu já abri minha nano S e é bem fácil, e dá pra ver que ela é bem frágil.
Ele pode também tentar abrir e limpar com alcool isopropilico e desplugar e plugar o visor, as vezes volta.

Se for a Nano S mesmo, no MercadoLivre tem pra vender por 140 reais: https://produto.mercadolivre.com.br/MLB-3275960060-display-para-ledger-nano-s-novo-azul-12-pinos-funciona-_JM
Obs - não conheço o vendedor, é só para fim de amostra mesmo
975  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Problemas com Ledger envolvendo resgate de DOT on: November 07, 2023, 04:43:53 PM
Que bizarro, não sabia dessa peculiaridade da carteira da polkadot  Shocked

Se ele não vai mais usar essa seed, pode pedir para um amigo importá-la em uma Ledger e então enviar a quantia para ele.. é o que eu faria se precisasse desse dinheiro de imediato.

Eu ia falar isso, não sei se é uma quantia muito grande, mas se ele conhecer alguém de confiança, seria o mais simples de fazer, pede pro amigo resgatar a carteira, transfere a quantia de volta pra ele e pronto
Não lembro se você tem ou não ledger disruptivas...
976  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Trade vs HODL - evite armadilhas on: November 06, 2023, 05:01:32 PM
Parabéns pela tradução gagux

Pelo menos aqui no meu caso eu também fico no hodl e faço algum trade aqui ou lá, somente se compensar bastante, não tenho regra alguma quanto a isso e não leio nenhum gráfico ou análise
Eu só uso a experiência que tenho de estar a 6 anos no mercado e isso ajuda um pouquinho

Mas a grande maioria do que tenho em crypto, está tudo em hodl e vai ficar por um bom tempo
977  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Do You Believe That Reading People's Bad Experience Will Help You on: November 06, 2023, 04:49:18 PM
With all my honesty, I think it's important for anyone to know about the risks and to listen to more experienced people, but when I started betting, I didn't pay any attention to it
What's more, I think most bettors end up having their own experience and have to go through it
And one more thing, a bettor usually starts with a very small bankroll, so some of the experiences you've mentioned may not be that relevant to a beginner

In the beginning I tested various methods, I think every bettor starts out thinking they're going to get rich with the Martingale method, after all it seems infallible and you don't want to hear from other people that it might not work hehehe

In my country there are also warnings about tobacco, even on the cigarette packets themselves, but I've never seen anyone say that they stopped because of this campaign
978  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Campanhas de assinatura funcionariam em outro fórum? on: November 06, 2023, 04:15:57 PM
Aqui tem o tópico da campanha da 1xbet, está todo mundo "negativado" por "promover um golpe": https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=5367666.0

Exatamente essa 1xbit, olha a chuva de negativações que os usuários tem  Shocked
Praticamente acabaram qualquer chances de um usuário desses entrarem em campanhas novas

Desculpem por confundir com essa yobit, não tem nada a ver, eu confundi os "bit"  Tongue
979  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Brasileirão 2023 - Brazilian Championship Serie A on: November 06, 2023, 02:16:53 PM
I don't know if anyone is betting and following the Brazilian championship (Brasileirão), we are in the last rounds of the championship and apparently it is very competitive and fierce.
Botafogo (1st) and Palmeiras (2nd) both have 59 points, Bragantino (3rd) with 58 points and Gremio (4th) with 56 points.

I'm realizing we're going to have another exciting championship final this year again.

Of course I do hahaha,  every round I'm here sharing a bit of my bets
What seemed easy for Botafogo, gradually became difficult and now the competition is very good, there are 4 teams with total conditions to be champions, I believe it will only be defined in the 2 last rounds

Have you been placing bets too?

as the results became very unpredictable for me, so I stopped betting on the Brazilian and I'm just going to follow the results, it's strange how Palmeiras recovered, they are 5 games away with consecutive victories and have the same points with Botafogo as despite having 2 games left, there is no guarantee that they will be able to win the 2 games left, in fact the chances of defeat in tomorrow's game are very high, that's why I see Palmeiras becoming champions again, Botafogo was this season's biggest joke. I think that when all Brasileirao games end, they should give a prize to Botafogo, the prize would be for the most clownish team of all time

As I said above, it's incredible how Botafoto had a 10-point lead, but now it's become hard to them to hold
If they win the two games they have left, they'll still be in a good position, with a six-point lead.

Botafogo are still the favorite to becoming champions, as the only really tough teams they will face are Gremio and Bragantino, but who knows?


980  Local / Português (Portuguese) / Re: Campanhas de assinatura funcionariam em outro fórum? on: November 06, 2023, 11:51:48 AM
Essa Yobit foi uma que já deu problema aqui no fórum?
Ou estou confundindo?

Lembro que você corria o risco de tomar um negative trust caso entrasse nessa campanha.. não lembro direito porque, imagino que por conta do spam..

Ou será que era da 1xbit/1xbet/3xbit, algo assim? Também lembro de um cassino com má reputação que teve uma treta parecida.

É isso mesmo, é uma campanha que na época eu vi bastante gente tomar negative, só que agora fiquei mais confuso ainda porque você escreveu essa 1xbit aí e eu acho que deve ser ela, e não a Yobit  Huh

Se alguém lembrar posta aí, mas eu me lembro que deu bastante treta na época
Deve ser bem ruim tomar um negative por causa de uma campanha de assinatura
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