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961  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin disadvantages for non-technician users on: October 16, 2011, 11:29:19 PM
If you don't believe me use windows performance counters and you can see exactly how much is written to the block chain.  The entire block chain is ~800MB.  800MB isn't written for every block.  Just because a hard drive is used consistantly for 8 hours doesn't mean the drive is writing GB up GB of data continually for that 8 hours.
Probably it uses fsync's at each write or somehow disables write cache in another way. System has really big iowait values when downloading whole  block chain (i'm about linux).
962  Local / Трейдеры / Re: Тренды биткоин нетворка on: October 16, 2011, 11:25:03 PM
Вот эти пять тысяч ежедневных транзакций
- на какие подвиды они делятся ?
ни на какие. просто валидные транзакции. если убрать транзакции генерации, это ничего не изменит. график просядет на пару %

и заметь, на пике пузыря было 14к транзакций в сутки.
963  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin disadvantages for non-technician users on: October 16, 2011, 02:11:19 PM
IMHO Bitcoin will most likely always stay an underground currency. That doesn't have to be a bad thing at all. It just means that the early adopters can't sell their BTC for $50 a piece anytime soon.

The most promising uses for Bitcoin as I see it are focused on the anonymous transactions. Why would I buy something with BTC if it gets delivered to my real name and address? That's defeating the point of it.
If this mtgox application will be futher elaborated, bitcoin could hit mobile payments market in a future.
964  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin disadvantages for non-technician users on: October 16, 2011, 01:43:21 PM
Quote from: Bitsky
N1: I don't know if it's possible, but maybe the initial download could run backwards; eg load the most current blocks first so that new transactions show up. Then continue the rest of the blockchain in the background.
Well, the bitcoin client not just downloading, i verifying each block. And blocks can not be verifyed from the end. Because block hash can be verified only if you know previous block hash.

So downloading from the end is a wrong way.

Quote from: Bitsky
N2: Instant confirmations would be nice, but waiting up to 10 mins for the first hint in your wallet is acceptable (for me).
p2p currency will never have instant confirmations without significant CPU and network load. Then smaller confirmation time - then network is more insecure. I dont imagine how this can be resolved.
965  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Bitcoin disadvantages for non-technician users on: October 16, 2011, 01:00:13 PM
I own a small bitcoin exchange and I saw that new non-technician user have strong difficulties to start using bitcoin.

N1. Downloading full block chain at first launch disappointing clients. There is no any warning that block chain is not up to date, so users ensure they can start using it immediately. The typical dialogue:
I: I have sent you bitcoins
...few minutes....
Client: Still not get it. How long bitcoins are come?
I: What is your block counter shows? How long ago you launched your client at first time?
Client: 5000 blocks, I have launched it 30 minutes ago.
I: You have to wait while block count will reach XXXXXX block, then you will see your transaction
Client: How long it can take?
I: 8 hours or more
Client: OMFG Sad

N2. Confirmations. 10 to 60 minutes is too much. But... I do not think this can be fixed in any way.

N3. Wallet backups. Non-technician user does not understand one point in backups. If he backup his wallet, then generate a new address and receive funds on it, and then restore his backup, the funds received with new address will be lost.

As for N1 - this is very, very big disadvantage. I think it could be fixed if the network will provide last block height, so bitcoin client can compare it with its current highest block and display a warning that block chain is not up to date and a serious transaction delay may occur.
966  Local / Трейдеры / Тренды биткоин нетворка on: October 16, 2011, 12:15:33 PM
Дело было вечером, делать было нечего. Пустил парсилку цепи блоков в формат мускуля. Получил данные с 15 июня 2011 по 9 октября 2011. На это ушло пару недель работы ноутбука. Одно из двух. Или я не умею правильно юзать беркли, или беркли нереально жоский тормоз.

Так вот. Сравниваем графики курса mtgox, дневного количества транзакций и дневного оборота. Последний оказался практически бесполезным в плане предсказания курса.

А вот дневное количество транзакций в таком масштабе позволяет говорить о том что нетворк в депрухе. И пока выходить из нее не собирается.

Любуйтесь на здоровье.




967  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: October 16, 2011, 11:58:12 AM
I have parsed block chain from 15 Jun 2011 till 9 Oct 2011. Why... why Berkeley DB is so fu**ing slow??? It took two weeks and still parsing because i want to get deeper data.

But.. intermediate graphs are here. So, I am about to compare exchange rate to daily transaction number and daily transaction volume.

The daily transaction number is the major bitcoin network activity and popularity marker. I didnt find any useful data in daily volume graph.





Well, I do not see any bullish trends here. Network is depressing (as i told you 5-6 page posts ago). I dont exclude that network activity will raise in near future, but now it is under depression.

ps. to be concluded >>>> Smiley
968  Economy / Speculation / Re: Nice market depth graph )) on: October 12, 2011, 09:22:34 PM
Okay, another one on the way )


969  Local / Бизнес / Re: Работающие магазины on: October 12, 2011, 07:55:00 PM
Ага. Доставили прямо к дому. Только почему то доставщиков было 10 человек, все были в масках. Агрессивные какие то. Стали бить и задавать вопросы. Тыкали какую бумажку на подпись. И посылку себе забрали. Шо за пиздец? Плохой магазин. Не давайте ему денег!
970  Local / Обменники / Re: Меняю BTC <=> WMZ on: October 12, 2011, 05:05:18 PM
Комиссия снижена до 10%.
971  Economy / Speculation / NASDAQ vs BTC on: October 12, 2011, 01:32:01 AM
I've seen this before...

NASDAQ 1992 - 2002


USD/BTC 2010 - 2011

972  Economy / Speculation / Re: What I'd do now on: October 07, 2011, 09:31:15 PM
While speculation makes major turnover, bitcoin price will fall.

I think new wave of popularity is coming, which will inflate this bubble again.
973  Economy / Speculation / Re: Bitcoin Technical Analysis on: October 07, 2011, 09:08:20 PM
bullshit your triangles, sorry.

While we have bitcoin turnover consisting of mtgox trades (trying to fool each other), this bubble will defalte.
974  Economy / Speculation / Re: Nice market depth graph )) on: October 07, 2011, 08:58:33 PM
Big torpedo for big ship  Grin
975  Economy / Speculation / Re: Nice market depth graph )) on: October 07, 2011, 08:55:56 PM
Wow. There is no that wall anymore...
976  Economy / Speculation / Re: Nice market depth graph )) on: October 07, 2011, 04:40:42 PM
The 'wall' is being slowly chipped away.

Still there ))

977  Economy / Gambling / Re: [180%, >6BTC jackpot] A simple automated lottery on: October 07, 2011, 03:21:17 PM
Jackpot 8.4162 BTC taken by someone with nickname  "YES". Congratulations!


978  Economy / Speculation / Nice market depth graph )) on: October 07, 2011, 03:08:27 AM
>20k btc wall @4.45 btc

Looks very ominously....

979  Local / Трейдеры / 20к btc @4.45 на Mt.Gox on: October 07, 2011, 03:03:50 AM
Медвежья стена на 20к btc @4.45, и мертвые с косами стоят.... И тишинаааа...

Выглядит как то зловеще...



980  Local / Трейдеры / Апп MtGox для Android & iOS on: October 05, 2011, 11:43:14 PM
http://mtgoxlive.com/mobile/

По моему бомба. Кроме трейда и графиков, можно оплачивать всякую хрень уже со своего акка Mt.Gox.

Короче, +100500
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