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981  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: March 23, 2022, 02:24:32 PM
Much will depend not only on the sports component (where Barcelona is now successful), but also on the financial situation. I have not heard that Barcelona have somehow solved their problem with a huge debt, this may affect the club next season.
How did they solve their huge debt? Could you share source of news you read about it? I see Barcelona made a few smart transfers in the winter transfer but I also read news that they are not ready to join transfer competition with other giant clubs to get Haaland. Perhaps they are still in trouble with finance and don't want to make it worse by any big transfer in this period.

I wrote just about the fact that there is no information about the solution to this problem - I would love to read some news on this subject, because the old information that Barcelona owes about one and a half billion euros is horrifying. Apparently, Real joined the race for Haaland, and if before Barcelona's chances were scanty, now they don't exist at all. Real Madrid are doing well financially.
982  Other / Off-topic / Re: Jake Paul vs Conor McGregor on: March 23, 2022, 02:07:45 PM
100% it's nothing more than a show and there's not much point in worrying about whether it will take place or not. I'm not even sure that I would like to watch this show online, maybe after the event I'll watch the highlights (if there are any at all hahahaha).
As for the recovery of his legs, I don’t think that a boxing show match will somehow interfere with this. After all, they don't use their legs in boxing (i mean punches).
As Hydrogen pointed above about Conor's net worth then its true that i dont see a reason for him to fight Jake Paul for some money and it would really be
more sensible if he would rather focus on getting some belts which is more better and worthy for him to look on rather wasting his time with some lousy
exhibition match and its clear as day that Paul brothers as usual are really trying to tie up themselves with famous and known athletes on particular
sports since they know that they could make big bucks but it wont be effective this time.

I'm not sure that this is true. There is no point in trusting the words of Connor McGregor - he is a well-known braggart and could easily inflate the real figure by 10 times. The difference between 700 and 150 million is huge. If he has 150 million then it's very different than if he had 700, because considering the cost of maintaining celebrity status, 150 million is not that much because some celebrity houses are more expensive. In any case, I think that even with a billion, he would not refuse to "easily" earn another 50 million.
983  Economy / Collectibles / Re: [FREE RAFFLE] Pinky1234 Tuesday 2nd Raffle giveaway😎😉 on: March 22, 2022, 06:27:14 PM
# 35 for Boristhecat

Thank you!
984  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Premier League Prediction Thread 2021/2022 on: March 22, 2022, 06:23:40 PM

The odds have changed and now they are:

Manchester City FC 1.45

Liverpool 2.70

There are 9 more rounds ahead, 27 points will be played. Is a one-point advantage really that critical? After all, even one draw for Manchester City means the loss of first place. A tough choice, but betting on Liverpool looks like the more logical in terms risk/reward.
Both teams now look about the same to me, but Liverpool look stronger towards the end of the championship.

The odds will change the more and the odd makers will keep reducing the odds because it is now becoming obvious to them that Liverpool can conquer. I have seen that Liverpool can win the title months ago. When you look at the table you will know the Liverpool has scored more goals and Liverpool has loss less match. Why Manchester City is ahead of them is because they drew more than Manchester City.

Between Manchester City and Liverpool till the end of the season, Manchester City is the one that will likely loss because Liverpool has a better attack and they score alot of goals on a normal day. Apart from that, every other clubs in England are against Manchester City to win the title. This means that when they have match with them, they will put in their best effort to atleast have a draw. Manchester City has dominated England very well, they shouldn't be allowed to win this year again so that epl will not look like ligue 1.

I agree that it would be better if the champion was updated. Most likely now the entire league (except for Manchester City fans) is rooting in this race for Liverpool. As for the coefficients, if these teams did not play each other in the 32nd round, then with each round they would change in favor of Manchester City (provided that both teams do not lose points and the gap remains constant) - the shorter the distance, the more valuable each point. But a personal meeting changes everything and it will be possible to look at the chances after it.
985  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Champions League Discussion Thread -- 2021/22 Round of 16! on: March 22, 2022, 05:55:57 PM
Not at all discounting the size of the blip -- and full credit to Barca for restoring hope and confidence in their rebuilding campaign spearheaded by Xavi (and dare I say Auba?). But blips are allowed, and sometimes even necessary, if you believe in the philosophies of football that dictate teams need a wakeup call every now and then especially when there's a big cushion in the league lead.

I remember when Liverpool lost 7-frikking-2 to Villa last season and yes, it was humiliating, it broke records and it was a horror show but it was a blip (one of several no doubt, but I note also that was a crazy season without defenders). We've seen big blips from champions this season, Bochum v Bayern for example. Ajax blip over 2 legs (it has to count right?).

You're right of course, Ancelotti shouldn't let his defenders off easy even if he's taken all the blame but I still think they're value odds to bet on against Chelsea.

I don’t follow the history of changing odds from bookmakers, but if I think logically, I can assume that now Real Madrid has begun to be quoted worse than before the meeting with Barcelona. But how do you correctly write such a kind of "random" result is nothing more than a fluctuation and it is wrong to draw conclusions based on it. Therefore, if the odds of Real Madrid have increased, then betting on it now will be value betting.
986  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Germany League - Bundesliga Prediction Thread on: March 22, 2022, 05:30:16 PM
Besides experience, Bayern players are extremely team-fixated. That's one of the qualities the club looks for in new signings. This is also the reason why Bayern would never sign players like Messi, Ronaldo, Drogba and others (if they had the chance), because they would upset the team structure. In my opinion, there is no top team in Europe, apart from FC Liverpool perhaps, where all the players line up in such a way without airs and graces and special treatment.

How is Lewandowski different from the listed players? I think none of the listed players would break the system, the fact that these players are bright personalities does not prevent them from playing team football, but the fact that they "take over the game and waste scoring chances" is their job. The striker must shoot on goal even from uncomfortable positions, some of these shots are converted into goals and some will be unsuccessful. And at this moment, some fans will say - but he could have made a pass, oh, what an individualistic player he is.
987  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2020/21 on: March 22, 2022, 05:07:04 PM
Barca's opportunity this season may be far away. but next season with more consistent play than at the start of the season I think Barca can win the La Liga trophy next season.
at least this season Barca has shown an extraordinary spirit. Don't give up and fix mistakes slowly. bringing in the right coach and buying some very effective players. Hopefully, next season Barca will be more ready to compete.

Much will depend not only on the sports component (where Barcelona is now successful), but also on the financial situation. I have not heard that Barcelona have somehow solved their problem with a huge debt, this may affect the club next season. Real Madrid will get Mbappe next season and maybe a few more players, so it's possible that Barcelona will fight for second place at the most.
988  Economy / Games and rounds / Re: Betja.com Prediction Contest| Win up to $2000 | Free to participate | Round 22 on: March 22, 2022, 04:59:37 PM
My Betja Username- Boristhecat
Screenshot-
989  Other / Archival / Re: [BTC] Лотереи, Конкурсы, Раздачи... on: March 22, 2022, 04:53:40 PM
Интересно есть ли еще шанс что он до меня дойдет.

А он вообще отслеживается? У меня тоже такие проблемы были с посылками из Америки, например. Тупо на какой-нибудь границе или таможне застревает и потом валяется там месяцами. Мой рекорд ожидания - это посылка из Германии, которая шла 8 (!) месяцев.

Трек номер есть, но он без полного отслеживания. Только зафиксирована дата отгрузки и, как я понимаю, когда я получу будет зафиксирована дата получения, а где (и сколько по времени) в процессе подарок побывает одному богу известно.
990  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: March 21, 2022, 08:24:05 PM
If we assume that at this stage of the tournament, when there are only a few games left before the title and the teams have maximum motivation, then we can assume that Barcelona will be the clear favorite from these pairs. In a pair of Braga - Rangers, I have no ideas, so I agree with the quotes. In pairs Leipzig - Atalanta and West Ham - Lyon Leipzig and West Ham are the favorites indeed, but in my opinion they are overrated, so I would rather bet on Atalanta and Lyon.

By looking at the remaining teams, I think Barcelona is very favored to win the Europa League. And I think this is a distinct advantage for Barcelona to play in the Europa League because they are dealing with a team that is below Barcelona on paper. This is the only very big chance to win the Trophy this season, Given that to win the Spanish league championship trophy is very difficult or the chance is very small.

Given the fact that after a potential victory over Eintracht, Barcelona goes to the winner of the West Ham - Lyon pair, then most likely the final is secured for Barcelona. The second participant in the final will obviously be either Leipzig or Atalanta. Now both of these clubs look weaker than Barcelona, but both have a chance to beat it if they are "in the mood".
991  Other / Off-topic / Re: Jake Paul vs Conor McGregor on: March 21, 2022, 08:14:24 PM
Who cares?  They're both fake boxers.

If he do really intent on letting his legs to heal then this wont really be a good idea or gamble.He would neither make his entire popularity be lost if he would be beaten up by Jake.
But well as the poll given then i dont really care on this two whether they would meet up on ring or not but speaking of money then i wont really cross out the
possibility.

100% it's nothing more than a show and there's not much point in worrying about whether it will take place or not. I'm not even sure that I would like to watch this show online, maybe after the event I'll watch the highlights (if there are any at all hahahaha).
As for the recovery of his legs, I don’t think that a boxing show match will somehow interfere with this. After all, they don't use their legs in boxing (i mean punches).
992  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Your favorite casino reviewer here in Bitcointalk? on: March 21, 2022, 08:02:50 PM
Interesting topic! For some reason, until now, the topics of these reviewers have not caught my eye. I will definitely look at their reviews, although I must say that nothing can replace personal experience (after all, for example, a reviewer may be from a jurisdiction that allows him to interact with the casino in a way that is not available to gamblers from other jurisdictions). Plus, circumstances change quite quickly and the review may cease to be relevant at some important points.
993  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Chess online? on: March 21, 2022, 07:54:17 PM
I would agree with @Wildan a player can use other computer to cheat so it doesn't make sense on having a bet on a Chess game but that would be great if anyone can stop people from cheating (Which is not) for me adding a bet on Chess game could spice up or make the game more intense.

It is possible to have a this kind of game if the player could have a live webcam to them (to see if they are using other computer) and a screen share of their computer just like what they are doing in online chess tournament but that was too much right? Setting up cameras and sharing your screen to others.

In fact, cheating among strong and even average players is practically not used. It makes no sense (in serious games and tournaments) because computer analysis quickly reveals the use of third-party programs. Strange as it may seem, the player's chess behavior is very easy to predict, and if he "suddenly" starts to play better than his level, this immediately attracts attention. In addition, if a player plays games as first lines of chess engines, then he automatically receives a ban on almost all chess sites.
994  Other / Archival / Re: [BTC] Лотереи, Конкурсы, Раздачи... on: March 21, 2022, 07:46:54 PM
Аааа, топик захватили гемблеры со своими казиношными ставками.  AngryGrin Где розыгрыши хламья, я так соскучился? Roll Eyes

А смысл если получение приза под большим вопросом?
Кстати, я до сих пор еще свой выигрыш не получил, уже третий месяц на исходе как он был отправлен. Интересно есть ли еще шанс что он до меня дойдет.
995  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: The paradox of arbitrage betting (and how to make money on it) on: March 20, 2022, 04:17:59 PM
I'm not sure this coordination you think is going on exists, at least beyond a group of subsidiaries that exist within a wider gambling company. Not just because that sort of collusion actually helps competitors who are mispricing their bets, but also because this kind of profitable arbitrage is so rare already and there are plenty of peer to peer marketplaces that will almost instantly close any gaps. You'd be lucky to make 1 or 2 percent after commission from regular trading. Most people make money in this arbitrage game but taking advantage of different promo offers but even those run out if they start to cost the sportsbook too much. The most obvious reaction from any sportsbook will just be to ban a player who is regularly taking profit from their country, that is how they shut down such activity.

Using promotional offers is the most stupid thing you can think of for arbitration. Firstly, this is an actual deception and the one who does this has no moral right to complain later about the reaction (legitimate or not) of the bookmaker. Secondly, promotional offers are monitored with much more care, so the one who uses them does it to his own detriment.
As for the efficiency of the market, I'm not at all sure about it. Odds change both before the event and in live mode. I think the skews in the odds are much larger than 1-2 percent.
996  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Motosport General discussion tread --- Formula1, MotoGP, WTCC, ETCC, DTM..... on: March 20, 2022, 03:31:09 PM
I am curious about the race, Ferrari and RedBull look very strong, also in the race? The Ferrari engines seem very strong, which is also seen in the performance of the customer teams, for me very sad for Kimi, last year he had no chance with the car and Alfa also seems strong this year and it seems Alfa is ready for a good midfield team and good for points.

Yesterday I read Hamilton's interview on the results of the qualification and as I understand it, he was very happy with the 5th place, because those whom he was able to overtake from his words have faster cars (and judging by the race, they are). About the top four, he said that they play in a different league and there will be no competition with them. A sad start to the season for Mercedes, I wonder if the team can do something to fight for the podiums this season?
997  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: French Soccer League Predictions and Discussion Thread (Ligue 1) on: March 20, 2022, 02:59:22 PM
Bloody hell, I put a live bet on Monaco at 20th minute, just a small, rather ambitious thought behind it. And then they score 5 mins later and then proceed to just rub it in PSG's face. Problem was odds were "only" 3/1 -- 5/1 or more and I might have been tempted for a more serious bet.

As a Liverpool supporter, feel a bit sad to see Wijnaldum just wasting away at PSG. So ineffective, playing him in such inconsistent selections and then out of position (to my mind).

Many bettors have lost money on PSG today, not only in live mode.
I'm starting to think that PSG is a bullshit, overrated team. In fact, what do they have in season? Weak game and relegation from the French Cup. Weak game and relegation from the Champions League. Can you call their game in the championship strong? According to the results, yes, but we remember with what difficulty PSG got most of the victories. It seems that if the rest of the top French teams did not fall into the crisis, PSG could even lose the French championship.
998  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: Should Casinos invest on endorsement from celebrities on: March 19, 2022, 01:07:47 PM
Should casinos invest in the endorsement of celebrities just like what Stakes is doing or it's better to just stick with giveaways contests and maintain their reputation, we know we all know the high cost of celebrity endorsement should other casinos follow Stake's lead to partner or pay celebrities to promote them.

I see no reason to oppose these two areas of promotional work. They solve different problems. Giveaways and work on maintaining the reputation solves the problem of retaining the audience. Working with celebrities helps to attract new audiences. I think that if casinos work with celebrities like Drake, then the conversion from such cooperation is positive. That is, in itself, the "high cost" of such cooperation does not matter, since the profit is greater than the costs.
999  Economy / Gambling discussion / Re: ⚽UEFA Europa League Discussion Thread on: March 19, 2022, 12:34:04 PM
The draw for the Europa League quarter-finals has been done and now I think the betting market is active. Barcelona is believed to be superior to Frankfurt where Barcelona are currently at 1.92 odds compared to Frankfurt 3.75. I think this is natural considering that Barcelona's performance with Xavi has really improved.



So far Barcelona, ​​West Ham, Leipzig might be favotites in the first leg which starts next month but things are different for the Braga match against Rangers where both have almost the same odds.

If we assume that at this stage of the tournament, when there are only a few games left before the title and the teams have maximum motivation, then we can assume that Barcelona will be the clear favorite from these pairs. In a pair of Braga - Rangers, I have no ideas, so I agree with the quotes. In pairs Leipzig - Atalanta and West Ham - Lyon Leipzig and West Ham are the favorites indeed, but in my opinion they are overrated, so I would rather bet on Atalanta and Lyon.
1000  Local / Майнеры / Re: Выбор видеокарт на долгосрок on: March 19, 2022, 12:11:08 PM
Вы серьёзно сейчас рекомендуете кому-то на российский фондовый рынок входить? Наверное стоит предупредить, что биржа уже как больше полумесяца не работает, то есть у Тинькофф и клиентов любых других брокеров там сейчас тупо заморожено всё. Если биржа откроется, люди оттуда будут деньги выводить, причём в первую очередь продавая российские ценные бумаги. Это происходило в те редкие моменты, когда торги решали открывать и так будет происходить дальше. Многие крупные компании в преддефолтном состоянии, мелкие вообще закроются.
За счёт чего будут иксы? Откуда будет привлечение капитала?

Крипта сейчас реально надёжнее хоть в намайненном виде (автору очень крупно, если он всё-таки купил карточки), хоть в качестве сохранения сбережений.

Даже до войны акции финансового сектора и сырьевого (нефть, алюминий, удобрения и т.д.) по соотношению доходность/капитализация выглядели на порядок лучше зарубежных. Цена была "низкой" из-за рисков. Ирония в том, что риски сработали и теперь цены вообще нет (около ноля).
Когда все разрулится, естественно, если брать текущий уровень (почти нулевой), цены дадут сотни иксов. Это неизбежно.

Проблема (для мелкого инвестора) в том, что "когда" может наступить через 20 лет (или никогда) - много ли мы знаем об акциях Иранских компаний, Венесуэльских или Кубинских? А ведь там тоже везде будут сотни иксов когда страны перестанут маяться херней.
Вторая, не менее важная проблема, что даже если инвестору (миноритарному, которые здесь и пишут на форуме) повезет, то никто ему не даст забрать ни сотню ни десяток иксов - налоги, принудительный выкуп, слияния/поглощения, дополнительная эмиссия в лучшем случае позволят вернуть свое, но не получить прибыль.

а еще я помню, как в 14м брали баксы по 80-90, а потом кричали "путин, верни деньги".

А почему брали не помните? Не потому ли, что бакс до этих цен резко скаканул с уровня 33 рубля за доллар?
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