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981  Economy / Economics / Re: what happens when btc2 comes out? on: March 20, 2011, 05:05:36 AM
I think that there will be space for a second crypto-currency, probably one with superior/stronger protocols but using generally the same principles. This btc2 will be to bitcoin as silver is to gold.


Hrmmm.. not so sure about that one.

If it is determined that btc2 has absolutely no flaws (probably by the bitcoin community) then bitcoin would quickly deplete to 0 dollars value. People would forget about it, and move on to btc2.

I think there is no need for that. You are forgetting the power of Open Source. Because everything is open, all things can be joined & connected so that they cooperate together. A synergy.
IMHO it is possible to seamlessly move on to the new "Bitcoin 2.0", using a patched software, modified protocol & block chain that are backwards compatibile with the old chain.

Let's say that we implement something that changes the rules and the protocol from block 300.000. The old bitcoins would simply be converted to the new chain, and the beginning of the new chain would be "hooked" to the end of the old chain for security. So the new version would support both the old chain and new chain, but only new chain since block 300.000.

EDIT:
The beauty of open source is that you don't have to compete. You _always_ have the option of cooperation.

That may be entirely possible, but who (besides us, people who already have a large investment in bitcoin) would be willing to go through all the trouble of updating their clients and verifying they were indeed on the "new" network.

Some people still surf with IE6 for goodness sake.

Once press coverage hit that bitcoin blows and "theShitCoin" is the next best thing, the public will probably follow.
982  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: What If Took After The Belizean Dollar? For A Short While At Least... on: March 20, 2011, 12:36:37 AM
That's a stupid policy. Why let terrible American monetary policy drag you down, as well?

It's not possible with Bitcoin, anyway, since it's not possible for the system to back BTC with anything (which is required to maintain a fixed exchange rate).

The bitcoin community is really going to go places with it's "authority" figures shooting down newcomers ideas as "stupid".

I was not suggesting that we accept the USD forever. I am not suggesting that we peg it at the same rate as Belize does. I am not even suggesting we peg it to USD.

Think about the IDEA for a moment, before you shoot somebody down. Belize is a small economy like Bitcoin (actually, it overshadows the bitcoin economy by almost a factor of 1,000 - but it is still tiny).

Who in their right mind would invest any money in belize if their currency's value fluctuated as wildly as bitcoins?

How old are you, theymos? Seriously.
983  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin Calender on: March 20, 2011, 12:07:38 AM
This thread got me thinking http://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=4543.0

Would it be a good idea to create a calender...perhaps a naked one of girls using gadgets or technology - or guys if thats your thing.

The profits would raise money for FOSS projects or fund bitcoin developments . We need a photographer and 24 models who would accept bitcoins as payment. Maybe also reflecting the international use with models from different countries would be good.

Good idea or not ?


Good luck explaining bitcoin to fashion models. You would probably have to still pay them in cash.
984  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / What If We Took After The Belizean Dollar? For A Short While At Least... on: March 20, 2011, 12:06:19 AM
Just to gain some stability in the bitcoin markets.

One belizean dollar is worth, and has been worth since 1978 $0.50 USD. Since the belizean dollar is pegged at 2 belizean dollars per american dollar.

Makes sense for a country/group of people who have literally no power or authority in the world.

In the next 50 or 100 years I am sure they will divest themselves of that bond. But for the meantime, it seems to make sense.
985  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Could A Severe "Attack" On Bitcoin Possibly Be A Good Thing??? on: March 19, 2011, 11:13:57 AM
there is no such thing as bad publicity

Exactly what I was thinking.

It could be a great "call to action" for everybody to join forces with bitcoin and run their generator client 24/7.
986  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: An anonymous bitcoin-operated mail service on: March 19, 2011, 10:10:03 AM
Teppy, what a brilliant idea! Just for the theoretical approach of course! Cheesy
I think a better concept would be to leave out the official mail system all together. There are just too many ways to get caught once you expand your business.  What you need is a bitcoin operated anonymous delivery-service. Of couse to operate a secret mail service is very dangerous for the postman. So the concept would be that the postman delivers the packet to a secret spot and never meets the recipient in person.
The heroin shop would need a website running on freenet or i2p of course - like the postal service.
Once the packet is placed on the secret spot, you will get the info - could be gps-coordinates - or some advanced app on your iphone.



Secret mail service = instant terrorist threat = no go.
987  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: BTC, an alternative to Paypal? on: March 19, 2011, 10:07:02 AM
Well, there is CoinPal: Buy bitcoins with Paypal.

For a more complete list of currency exchanges see https://en.bitcoin.it/wiki/Trade#Currency_exchange



I would be REALLY wary of purchasing bitcoins via PayPal. They are quite trigger happy with their "banned account" reasonings. Seems to me that something like "Bitcoin" might be grounds for seizing your money. In their eyes at least.
988  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Could A Severe "Attack" On Bitcoin Possibly Be A Good Thing??? on: March 19, 2011, 10:01:41 AM
"The people" generally do not like governments and/or other powerful entities interfering in free markets.

If anybody did attempt to gain more than 50% computing/node power of the network in order to sabotage it... (meaning it was a significant game changing idea).

A headline like that could make the new york times.
989  Economy / Economics / Re: what happens when btc2 comes out? on: March 19, 2011, 09:19:36 AM
I think that there will be space for a second crypto-currency, probably one with superior/stronger protocols but using generally the same principles. This btc2 will be to bitcoin as silver is to gold.


Hrmmm.. not so sure about that one.

If it is determined that btc2 has absolutely no flaws (probably by the bitcoin community) then bitcoin would quickly deplete to 0 dollars value. People would forget about it, and move on to btc2.

I know I would. It's business, not personal. I'm not going to stick around and keep any amount of real value in a system that is sub par.

You can still keep your life savings in a paper bag under your mattress... you'd even save on so many banking fees... but do you? No. Not if you are worth any serious amount of money. (And are legally sane.)
990  Economy / Economics / Re: Bancor: The New Global Currency ? on: March 19, 2011, 09:15:04 AM
“…in the eyes of the IMF at least, the best way to ensure the stability of the international monetary system (post crisis) is actually by launching a global currency.” Izabella Kaminska notes. “And that, the IMF says, is largely because sovereigns — as they stand — cannot be trusted to redistribute surplus reserves, or battle their deficits, themselves.

So the IMF thinks governments can not manage the currencies responsably (which I happen to agree) but then the solution is to give control to the IMF itself. Yeah, right.

Here here people. Gather round. I, too believe that the governments cannot control your currencies properly.

Please, allow ME to take better control over them.
991  Economy / Economics / Re: Bitcoin: Disaster Proof? on: March 19, 2011, 09:12:46 AM
I think what could hurt it most, besides the loss of people using Bitcoin that died in the disaster, would be if the Internet got split into two or more significant non-interconnected groups for a prolonged period of time; any coin mined during the period is under the risk of eventually being wiped from existence when the Internet becomes one once again.



I wonder what would happen to Bitcoin if Earth went in the bullseye of a severe solar storm of the type that not only fries satelites but also lights on fire electrical, telephone etc wires closer to ground (some time ago telegraph wires went aflame under such an event)

If all of our electrical equipment ceased to work. I doubt there would be much of a world left, let alone bitcoin.

Police and authoritarian figures couldn't communicate. TVs couldn't sooth the public back to sleep. It would be mayhem.
992  Bitcoin / Mining / Re: I Hope ALL Of Your Are Running Your Bitcoin Client As Well As Greedily Mining..! on: March 18, 2011, 06:07:09 PM
Non-mining machines still strengthen the network by improving connectivity.

My thoughts exactly.
993  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin in Australia: what's happening down under? on: March 18, 2011, 09:15:28 AM
That's what we need. A car, a building, a business perhaps...? Something that society deems to be a large purchase... To be sold in exchange for bitcoins.

The press potential for that one is phenomenal.
994  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoins in space on: March 18, 2011, 09:12:15 AM
A money market on the planet Zlorg wouldn't be able to "communicate" quickly enough with Earth either for that matter.

What with quantum finance erupting as a new business model. It would be pointless to try and communicate a sale of USD between Earth and some planet 50 lightyears away.
995  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thought Experiment on Super Computing and Bitcoin Generation Difficulty on: March 18, 2011, 09:09:53 AM
This is in itself a DDOS attack. Theoretically the entire networks difficulty can be hijacked in an instant. That can be done for quite "cheaply" given the world's size.

I like your thinking though... if we could get the EFF to create something like their DES cracking board... that would give us substantial publicity, safety and reason for investment.
996  Bitcoin / Mining / I Hope ALL Of Your Are Running Your Bitcoin Client As Well As Greedily Mining..! on: March 18, 2011, 09:06:34 AM
Even if you don't have to because you're mining in a shared pool and don't really use bitcoin yet...

I know I am!

There is strength in numbers. The larger our network looks to outsiders the more secure/accepted it will be perceived.
997  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thought Experiment on Super Computing and Bitcoin Generation Difficulty on: March 18, 2011, 07:27:36 AM
I'm pretty sure 10 million CPUs running 1,000 kHash/sec could make a significant dent in our hash rate. That's still 10,000,000 * 1,000,000 hashes/sec = 10 trillion hashes/second.

Ok so it seems to be "case closed" then. Any massively funded operation could bring bitcoin to a screeching halt (for at least a few days) at any point in time until we are accepted worldwide.

I guess we will have to come up with reasons to dissuade these massively funded operations we are going to disrupt from crushing us like an ant.

I'm going to go and watch "The Jungle Book"  Tongue
998  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thought Experiment on Super Computing and Bitcoin Generation Difficulty on: March 17, 2011, 10:15:20 PM
Thanks for all of the replies guys, we have a great discussion going on here! But I think Gavin said is best... and I am paraphrasing this Tongue it's still quite risky to invest in bitcoin until the entire world is running near-quantum-computer level super computers and the bitcoin software from their home.

To everybody who says "but they cannot make a supercomputer that powerful..."

Let's just say for simplicity's sake that a 5970 costs $1,000 and that it is too difficult to overclock too many of them at once.

That means 600,000 kHash/sec or 600 MHash/sec costs about $1,000 USD.

With $10,000,000 USD one could place 10,000 x 5970s in parallel. Creating a machine capable of 6,000,000,000 kHash/sec or 6 trillion hashes per second.

According to the bitcoin calculator, that would take an infinitesimally small time to generate a block.

Thus putting us in our doomsday situation that I described above with just a "splash in the pond" to most of the world rich's wallets.
999  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thought Experiment on Super Computing and Bitcoin Generation Difficulty on: March 17, 2011, 12:49:19 PM
vladimir, are you talking about 50% network capacity in terms of computer power or networking nodes? I am referring to a single computer capable of generating 2016 blocks within a matter of seconds on a single node/ip address. And then abandoning the network. Thus making it nearly impossible for the rest of us to solve a block... ever.
1000  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Thought Experiment on Super Computing and Bitcoin Generation Difficulty on: March 17, 2011, 12:42:07 PM
The difficulty can't go up or down more than 4x in one adjustment, so it'd take longer than 2016 blocks to become completely out of reach.

If that ever happens, I suppose we'd have to change the difficulty adjustment method to fix it.

That was going to be one of the suggestions I just had as a way to stop this attack... but how often do the "adjustments" take place?

Theoretically this is just a bandaid to the attack vector. Even if the bitcoin network forced a new difficultly to be increased by only 4x every 10 minutes... the difficulty could be increased 4^6=4096 times within one hour. Thus ceasing all transactions to a halt (once they backed out of generating).

I doubt the bitcoin core developers will update their software once an hour.

And what if the difficulty adjustment takes place instantaneously? Which I assume it would... the attacker could ramp up a 10,000 factor difficulty in a matter of seconds just as originally described. With a 4x per increment maximum or not.
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