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9801  Economy / Securities / Re: Will GLBSE ever be lowering its prices? on: May 08, 2012, 07:41:34 PM
That would create a spread of 1 satoshi which is nirvana for a market.  Why would that be a bad thing?
Everyone wins under such a situation.

I notice the same thing with the U.S.-based bitcoin exchanges (Camp BX, BitFloor).  Bids and asks can only be placed at one penny ($0.01) increments at those exchanges.  You'll have tighter spreads than $0.01 on Mt. Gox but never closer than $0.01 on Camp BX and BitFloor as a result (of U.S. regulation, presumably).

There is no regulation that prohibits smaller tick size (or at least none I know).  For lower priced equities (<$5? <$1? something like that) NYSE uses a  tick of $0.001.  

Personally I think 1 cent is a little too restrictive when the asset is trading around $5.00 and really bad if BTC declines to say $2.00.  If they (Camp BX, BitFloor) are continually bumping up on that limit they should look at a smaller tick size.  Maybe to 1/10th of a cent? or 1/100th of a cent? Beyond that there isn't much value.  I mean does anyone really care if they can get a 1 BTC for $5.11000001 vs $5.11000002. You save 1 cent every 1 million BTC traded. Smiley

Still it is all relative.  If someday BTC was in the ballpark of $100 ea then tick size smaller than 1 cent is really just noise.  If someday BTC was >$10,000 you probably wouldn't even need ticks smaller than a dollar (well more likely all trading would be done in mBTC.  1 mBTC = $10.00). 

A good exchange tries to balance divisibility with ease of use.  "Does having a smaller tick size provide any benefit to traders?"
9802  Economy / Economics / Re: Why (I think) the 21Million hard limit will never be reached [deflation] on: May 08, 2012, 07:25:26 PM
Well no none of that is true.

I don't think deflation will be a problem but your reasons don't make sense.  Adding decimal places isn't increasing the money supply.  Deflation WILL occur I just don't think the deflationary death spiral idea has ever been proven.

Also I don't think there will ever be a time when 1 satoshi will be equal to 1 BTC now.

That would put 1 satoshi = $5 and the Bitcoin money supply at ~ 10 quadrillion dollars (or ~100x the size of entire global money supply).
9803  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Legality of IPOing securities on GLBSE on: May 08, 2012, 07:11:56 PM
I don't think GLBSE is in violation of the law or at least not yet.

The determination if a security exists (and thus is subject to regulations of selling and promoting a security) is the Howey Test:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Securities_and_Exchange_Commission_v._W._J._Howey_Co.

Quote
Murphy then formulated one of the U.S. Supreme Court’s earliest tests to determine whether an instrument qualifies as an "investment contract" for the purposes of the Securities Act (which later came to be referred to as the Howey test):
* investment of money due to
* an expectation of profits arising from
* a common enterprise
* which depends solely on the efforts of a promoter or third party

Is Bitcoin money?  Has any US court given an opinion that Bitcoin IS money?

If the SEC was to try and indict the operators of GLBSE they would need to show that Bitcoin is money.  If it isn't money then it isn't a security.  For example in the game "Eve Online" corporations exist and they control assets sometimes massive amounts of assets who's market value is in the tens of thousands of dollars.  I doubt that SEC would find that those corporations would need to issue shares.  Any profits intended or realized aren't money.

On crowdfunding & the Jobs Act yes the law will loosen regulations.  The SEC hasn't written those regulations yet and almost certainly the regulations while "loose" compared to current regulations will still be "significant".  There will requirements related to KYC, AML, limits on funding, limits on number of investors, due diligence requirements on the exchange, surety bond requirements, licensing requirements, etc.

In other words driving down the cost of an IPO from tens of millions to tens of thousands.  I don't see that helping GLBSE or at least not until Bitcoin is significantly bigger.
9804  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: [RETYPE] - Leaked FBI Report on Bitcoin- April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 07:02:01 PM
I'll get you started with 2 BTC.
http://blockchain.info/tx-index/5161830/47ccf90112665550b4930c68dde8578f6bfe9ff703d19f635044abdc4aca43ed
9805  Economy / Economics / Re: Why (I think) the 21Million hard limit will never be reached on: May 08, 2012, 06:42:59 PM
MoonShadow is correct.

The method used for determining the reward is to do a right shift on 50,000,000 satoshis every 210K blocks.  That truncates any fractional satoshis.
There are some truncation along the way.  For example starting in block 6,090,000 the reward is 9 satoshis.  In block 6,300,000 it becomes 4 satoshis so the block reward declines by more than 50%. Block 6,930,000 will drop the reward to 0 satoshis however only  2,099,999,997,690,000 so it looks like we will be eternally  2,310,000 satoshis (0.0231 BTC) short of the magical 21M.

If Satoshi had wanted it to be an even number the starting block reward should have been a multiple of 2.  For example is the first block reward had been 2^32 satoshis (~42.94 BTC) then we would have had 32 perfect halvings of the reward.  2^32 down to 2^0.  A bit of trivia, the "21M" appears nowhere in the code.  The entire subsidy calculation is just a handful of lines.



Even IF decimal places are added (a move of dubious value) we will hit 0 block reward again before hitting 21M total minted.  I doubt decimal places will be added.  If the entire global money supply was in Bitcoins and no fiat anywhere on the planet existed 1 satoshi would be worth about 5 cents which isn't a limit on commerce. In any scenario short of single global currency 1 satoshi ends up being worth various fractions of a single cent.

Lastly adding decimial places wouldn't change the rate of price deflation by any material amount.  Even if you added decimal 4 places that would allow you to pay out ~ 2.1 million satoshis over the next 3 decades.    99.9999999% will still be issued by the time the block reward originally would have hits 0.  Spreading the remaining 0.00000001% over a couple decades means the money supply growth rate is something like 1 billionth of 1% per year.

0% vs 0.00000000037% = totally meaningless a token change at best.


 Essentially 0% (which is what it will be when block reward is 0).
9806  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: So what is going on with Mt.Gox -> Dwolla. on: May 08, 2012, 06:39:55 PM
Weird they seem to be processing tx "out of order".
9807  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Discussion of Leaked FBI Report on Bitcoin- April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 05:41:46 PM
I just want a complete copy.  I don't care how it gets done.  If you guys want to compete that is fine.  If you want to work together split the work and the reward.  I don't really need two complete copies from independent sources though.  Smiley

I would however STRONGLY suggestion someone start a seperate thread, put up a donation address, a goal for releasing, and show progress.  If you do all the work, release it, and THEN try to get some compensation I guarantee you it will end being less than flipping burgers.
9808  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin FBI Report April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 05:18:58 PM
Would want me to explain how that process would work, in public?

You see only A and Z could spend. All the A(...)Z between only passed it along.

Simple it is called a copy. 

It would be trivial for any entity B through Y to make a copy.  Hell it beomes trivial for Z to steal the funds and then blame it on A.  Even "IF" (and that is a big if) everyone is honest it becomes impossible to prove that B through Y only passed it along without making a copy.  Even if when Z gets it the funds are still there it is now unprovable if the funds are secure.  They could "disappear" in the next second or the next year.  When they do nobody can prove who took it.  

Also if I am "A" I really don't want to be doing business with an entity so stupid as to essentially leave 7 figures lying around in big piles without any protection or accountability.  When it goes missing I don't want them coming to look for me ... especially if I didn't even have anything to do with it.

Also maybe "A" gets jammmed up and is going to be dead if he doesn't come up with some money.  Better to steal from Z that risk guaranteed death from this new threat.  So Z needs to trust that not only is A honest right NOW but he will continue to be honest forever.  If "Z" needs to send funds to someone else that simply extends this chain of trust and unaccountability.

There is a reason we hash tx into blocks.
9809  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Discussion of Leaked FBI Report on Bitcoin- April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 05:15:15 PM
Someone needs to OCR this ASAP

In the other thread someone said they are willing to retype it (or OCR and correct it).  Maybe we can crowdfund this.  Get 10 people who want a readable copy to pledge 2? BTC.  

Sure, I'm in for 2 BTC.

Wanna set up the thread?

For the record, I've already got OCR going on it and its having good results. I'll post when its done and I've fixed the errors.

Perfect! Throw us your BTC address when your done, Ill gladly donate 2-3 BTC for it.

+1 and start a separate thread to handle crowd source funding and progress.  Having a digital searchable, quotable version would be an asset for whole community.
9810  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin FBI Report April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 05:07:21 PM
I would tend to believe that the people that would to that in a serious Organized Crime way, would be trusted or dead.

Sure.  You understand stand that at any point in the future anyone who had access to the wallet.dat could spend it and that spend would be untraceable.

So I buy $1M in drugs from you and give you a $1M wallet.dat.  You don't spend/transfer it to a secure address.  You pass that wallet.dat up to your boss, up to his boss up to his boss.

Suddenly one day the wallet is empty.  Who stole it?  You, me, your boss, your boss to frame me, your boss to frame you, you to frame your boss and take his job?

9811  Economy / Securities / Re: Will GLBSE ever be lowering its prices? on: May 08, 2012, 04:59:37 PM
So a strategy to get shares would be to bid 1 Satoshi lower than the lowest ask and hope for someone holding shares to eat up the 0.5% fee?

That would create a spread of 1 satoshi which is nirvana for a market.  Why would that be a bad thing?
Everyone wins under such a situation.

If GBLSE needs the revenue even cutting the fee when adding liquidity is better than a flat fee on both sides.

Something like:
0.4% taking liquidity
0.2% adding liquidity
9812  Economy / Securities / Re: Will GLBSE ever be lowering its prices? on: May 08, 2012, 04:55:04 PM
Why is reduced/no fees for those who create liquidity "broken"?  I guess some people are unaware that every major exchange in the world operates under similar model (including the NYSE).

http://individuals.interactivebrokers.com/en/accounts/fees/NYSEstkfee.php?ib_entity=llc

You will notice for share price >1 the "fee" is negative.  Thats right.  The exchange PAYS you for placing the order which adds liquidity.

Ever notice the spread on most highly traded stocks is 1 cent.
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=BAC

Wonder why?  Yup.  reduced/no/negative fee for adding liquidity drives the spreads closer.  The reason it isn't closer than 1 cent is simply because NYSE has min tick rules and for stocks valued > $5 the min tick is 1 cent.
9813  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin FBI Report April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 04:52:09 PM
They didn't even mention that beyond a network P2P, that there could be exchange of Wallet.dat files that the network wouldn't even see.

That is non-viable method beyond immediate and well trusted peers and only for tiny amounts of money.


9814  Economy / Trading Discussion / Re: So what is going on with Mt.Gox -> Dwolla. on: May 08, 2012, 04:46:12 PM
mufa23 - Sent Friday - Shows Tuesday
tgmarks - Sent Wed/Thur - Shows Monday
D&T - Sent Thursday - Huh No Show

How that hell did that happen?
9815  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Discussion of Leaked FBI Report on Bitcoin- April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 04:42:35 PM
Someone needs to OCR this ASAP

In the other thread someone said they are willing to retype it (or OCR and correct it).  Maybe we can crowdfund this.  Get 10 people who want a readable copy to pledge 2? BTC. 
9816  Bitcoin / Legal / Re: Discussion of Leaked FBI Report on Bitcoin- April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 04:37:05 PM
Caution I am not a lawyer but I have seen one on TV.

My semi-informed but totally layman's understanding of cross state licensing:

1) Most states require a license if your company has a presence in that state.

2) Some states (NY, CA, VA about a dozen more) require a license even if you are out of state (foreign entity) if you process any tx for residents in that state.

3) We have learned that many surety bond issuers can issue a multi-state bond.  So if you need to be licensed in 8 states and the largest requires a 200K bond you can find an issuer who can issue a bond covering your obligation in all 8 states.  It will be more than the cost of a single state bond but it won't be 8x the cost of a single state bond.  Cost is still pretty significant though.  Oh to just have an extra $200K in cash (to post a security deposit in lieu of a bond).

4) If you aren't registered in all states some mechanism of verifying the user's address will be required.  You can then dynamically limit your offerings to the states where you either have a license or no license is required.

We are looking into licensing in Virginia.  Due to the cost and complexity we likely will not initially obtain licensing in states which require licensing for out of state entities (IMHO I feel they are overstepping their bounds).   As a result if we offer any money transmitter services it will not include all 50 states.

Not exactly optimal but the govt has really turned this into a mess.
9817  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin FBI Report April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 04:27:11 PM
Where's your "another FBI report"? I'd like to take a look.

It will be available in 5-6 months but only if 1000 people pre-order it now.  It's gonna be awesome.  20,000 pages, full color, so glossy it will fall right out of your hands, and in 1080P 3D.  Contact Matt is you want to purchase some ad space.
9818  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Bitcoin FBI Report April 2012 on: May 08, 2012, 01:59:23 PM
Yeah that is what I figured.  It is going to take a lot of work to get it into a usable format. 
9819  Alternate cryptocurrencies / Altcoin Discussion / Re: how long to get a namecoin block with p2pool? maybe I'm doing something wrong? on: May 08, 2012, 01:58:06 PM
You can't get p2pool to point towards a different pool.

You may want to try p2mining.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=66202.0

It will reduce the VARAINCE but your avg reward won't increase.

You do understand the gross value of 2.2 MH/s is <$0.01 per day (including both full profit from BTC & NMC) and that is before pool fees, tx fees, exchange fees, electrical cost, and wear and tear on your computer.
9820  Economy / Securities / Re: Announcing GPUMoney, “Monetize Your Gaming!” GPUMoney.com on: May 08, 2012, 01:51:24 PM
Can I run e.G. a BFL Single as well with your client? In the end it could just work like this that you give me a BTC address and anything that arrives there (via mining, transactions...) gets pulled over to your site and credited to my account. Then you'd just need to create a fancy GUI mining client + pool where users only need to input their payout address and done.

If you are an experienced miner with a BFL Single why would you want to use this.  It is essentially a mining pool with a 50% fee.  The main draw would be the ease of user for non-Bitcoin users.  No need to figure out miner software, no need to create pool accounts, wallets, exchange accounts, figure out how to cashout, etc.
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